Ford Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
TNST -1.5✓ TNST covered by 11.5
TNST -1.5✓ TNST covered by 11.5Closing total137.5Under by 14.5
 UTM | This season | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| 19-10 | Record | 18-9 |
| 15-14 | ATS | 16-11 |
| 9-20 | O/U | 12-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTM 71–73 TNST · ✓ TNST (55%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTM | 28 | 27 | 55 |
| TNST | 36 | 32 | 68 |
1st half: UTM 28, TNST 36 (TNST by 8). The model had TNST by 0.8 and a total of 67.4 (actual 64).
Team stats
| UTM | TNST | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-56 38% | Field goals | 26-55 47% |
| 8-28 29% | 3-pointers | 9-22 41% |
| 5-7 71% | Free throws | 7-8 88% |
| 28 12 off | Rebounds | 37 13 off |
| 13 | Assists | 13 |
| 12 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| UTM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrija Bukumirovic F | 35 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 6-11 | 3-6 |
| Filip Petkovski G | 32 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| Matas Deniusas F | 25 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-12 | 1-6 |
| Filip Radakovic G | 23 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Luca Colceag F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Pedro Santos G | 27 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-2 |
| Afan Trnka G | 27 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3-9 | 2-6 |
| Vladimir Khryapa F | 20 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| AJ Hopkins F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ty Price, Ama Sow, Charlie King, Damien King, James Bass, Enrique Moya, Will Hopkins, Lucas Williams, Lamine Niang, Dragos Lungu
| TNST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Harper II G | 34 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 5-14 | 4-11 |
| Dante Harris G | 32 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Aaron Nkrumah G | 31 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 8-14 | 3-5 |
| Antoine Lorick III F | 29 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Pitre F | 23 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carlous Williams F | 21 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Jabrion Spikes G | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Kavien Jones F | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Damon Howard Jr. G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Maddux Bodenhamer, Khalil London, Jean Lafleur, Jayden Jones, Ogien Ayo, Alex Garcia, JC Brooks
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTNST -1.5
ModelTNST -1.5
Model edge—
TNST covered
Total
Market137.5
Model144.0
Model edgeOver 6.5
L Under
Projected score
UTM 71.2 · TNST 72.8
UTM 55 · TNST 68
Win probability
TNST 55%
1st half
Spread
TNST -0.8
TNST -8.0
Total
67.4
64 points
Projected score
UTM 33.3 · TNST 34.1
UTM 28 · TNST 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTNST -1.5
no move
CloseTNST -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open139.5
▼ 2
Close137.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
UTM +110 · TNST -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TNST -1.5 · unchangedmodel TNST -1.5 matches the line
model TNST -1.5 = line ✓
Opened 139.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 2 downmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTM | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| TNST | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UTM 4–6 TNSTTNST leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · TNST has won the last 4 meetings · UTM 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025-26 | TNST 67 @ UTM 42 | UTM -2.5 | TNST W |
| Dec 18, 2025-26 | UTM 71 @ TNST 78 | TNST -2.5 | TNST W |
| Feb 18, 2024-25 | TNST 86 @ UTM 75 | UTM -2.5 | TNST W |
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | UTM 80 @ TNST 81 | TNST -1.5 | UTM W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | TNST 87 @ UTM 96 | UTM -6.5 | UTM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UT Martin
29 games played
Straight up
19-10
66% wins
Against the spread
15-14
52% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-20
31% overs · avg −7.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ UNLV | W 86-81 | +16.5 | W +21.5 | 146.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 12 | @ BRAD | W 78-67 | +15.5 | W +26.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 18 | @ FSU | L 73-87 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 22 | vs PV | W 69-68 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs USM | L 60-70 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 2 | vs CHSO | W 73-56 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 7 | vs ALST | W 74-64 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 10 | @ SIU | L 54-83 | +8.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 18 | @TNST | L 71-78 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 20 | @ TNTC | W 86-62 | -2.5 | W +21.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 1 | vs WIU | W 67-60 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vs EIU | W 65-61 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 8 | @ MORE | W 76-68 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 135.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ USI | W 73-56 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 15 | vs SIUE | W 65-59 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 17 | vs LIN | W 69-55 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 20 | @ SEMO | L 50-66 | +2.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 29 | @EIU | W 76-68 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 129.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 31 | @WIU | W 84-44 | -10.5 | W +29.5 | 137.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 3 | vs LR | W 55-52 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | U 107 |
| Feb 5 | vsUSI | W 76-54 | -10.5 | W +11.5 | 132.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | vsMORE | L 55-61 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 136.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 12 | @LIN | L 74-75 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 14 | @SIUE | W 81-76 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 129.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 17 | vsSEMO | L 53-56 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | U 109 |
| Feb 19 | @LR | L 65-67 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 26 | vsTNTC | W 64-49 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 134.5 | U 113 |
| Feb 28 | vsTNST | L 42-67 | -2.5 | L −27.5 | 143.5 | U 109 |
| Mar 5 | vsEIU | W 66-63 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 126.5 | O 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@UNLV
UNLVW 86-81
+21.5
12
@BRAD
BRADW 78-67
+26.5
18
@FSU
FSUL 73-87
+5.5
22
vsPV
PVW 69-68
−9.5
23
vsUSM
USML 60-70
−11.5
2
vsCHSO
CHSOW 73-56
+13.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 74-64
+3.5
10
@SIU
SIUL 54-83
−20.5
18
@TNST
TNSTL 71-78
−4.5
20
@TNTC
TNTCW 86-62
+21.5
1
vsWIU
WIUW 67-60
−6.5
3
vsEIU
EIUW 65-61
−6.5
8
@MORE
MOREW 76-68
+5.5
10
@USI
USIW 73-56
+11.5
15
vsSIUE
SIUEW 65-59
−1.5
17
vsLIN
LINW 69-55
+11.5
20
@SEMO
SEMOL 50-66
−13.5
29
@EIU
EIUW 76-68
+4.5
31
@WIU
WIUW 84-44
+29.5
3
vsLR
LRW 55-52
−3.5
5
vsUSI
USIW 76-54
+11.5
7
vsMORE
MOREL 55-61
−14.5
12
@LIN
LINL 74-75
+0.5
14
@SIUE
SIUEW 81-76
+3.5
17
vsSEMO
SEMOL 53-56
−5.5
19
@LR
LRL 65-67
−4.5
26
vsTNTC
TNTCW 64-49
+7.5
28
vsTNST
TNSTL 42-67
−27.5
5
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−4.5
covered 15didn’t cover 14avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@UNLV
UNLVW 86-81
+20.5
12
@BRAD
BRADW 78-67
+0.5
18
@FSU
FSUL 73-87
−5.5
22
vsPV
PVW 69-68
−18.5
23
vsUSM
USML 60-70
−16.5
2
vsCHSO
CHSOW 73-56
−18.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 74-64
−6.5
10
@SIU
SIUL 54-83
−9.5
18
@TNST
TNSTL 71-78
+7.5
20
@TNTC
TNTCW 86-62
+2.5
1
vsWIU
WIUW 67-60
−13.5
3
vsEIU
EIUW 65-61
−7.5
8
@MORE
MOREW 76-68
+8.5
10
@USI
USIW 73-56
−8.5
15
vsSIUE
SIUEW 65-59
−7.5
17
vsLIN
LINW 69-55
−23.5
20
@SEMO
SEMOL 50-66
−24.5
29
@EIU
EIUW 76-68
+14.5
31
@WIU
WIUW 84-44
−9.5
3
vsLR
LRW 55-52
−32.5
5
vsUSI
USIW 76-54
−2.5
7
vsMORE
MOREL 55-61
−20.5
12
@LIN
LINL 74-75
+3.5
14
@SIUE
SIUEW 81-76
+27.5
17
vsSEMO
SEMOL 53-56
−29.5
19
@LR
LRL 65-67
−4.5
26
vsTNTC
TNTCW 64-49
−21.5
28
vsTNST
TNSTL 42-67
−34.5
5
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
+2.5
over 9under 20avg −7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tennessee St
27 games played
Straight up
18-9
67% wins
Against the spread
16-11
59% covers · avg +3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-15
44% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ BEL | L 79-87 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 16 | @ WKU | L 82-95 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 20 | @ TENN | L 60-89 | +31.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | @ UNCA | W 75-73 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | @ UTC | W 70-64 | +8.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 3 | @ AAMU | L 53-80 | -4.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 13 | @UNLV | W 63-60 | +12.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 18 | vsUTM | W 78-71 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 20 | vsSEMO | L 82-91 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 30 | @TNTC | W 88-76 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @LR | W 84-79 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @WIU | W 90-68 | -6.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | @EIU | L 70-74 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 15 | vsMORE | W 105-100 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 205 |
| Jan 17 | vsUSI | W 73-67 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 22 | @SIUE | L 66-74 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | @LIN | W 96-86 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 29 | vsLR | W 70-63 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 2 | vsTNTC | L 85-90 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 5 | vsEIU | W 77-68 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 7 | vsWIU | W 83-56 | -15.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 12 | @USI | W 73-71 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 14 | @MORE | L 86-94 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 19 | vsLIN | W 89-80 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 21 | vsSIUE | W 80-53 | -2.5 | W +24.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 26 | @SEMO | W 79-71 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 28 | @UTM | W 67-42 | +2.5 | W +27.5 | 143.5 | U 109 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+5.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
−0.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
+2.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
+7.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
+14.5
3
@AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−31.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
+15.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 78-71
+4.5
20
vsSEMO
SEMOL 82-91
−7.5
30
@TNTC
TNTCW 88-76
+10.5
3
@LR
LRW 84-79
+3.5
8
@WIU
WIUW 90-68
+15.5
10
@EIU
EIUL 70-74
−7.5
15
vsMORE
MOREW 105-100
−2.5
17
vsUSI
USIW 73-67
−2.5
22
@SIUE
SIUEL 66-74
−6.5
24
@LIN
LINW 96-86
+14.5
29
vsLR
LRW 70-63
+2.5
2
vsTNTC
TNTCL 85-90
−12.5
5
vsEIU
EIUW 77-68
−0.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 83-56
+11.5
12
@USI
USIW 73-71
−4.5
14
@MORE
MOREL 86-94
−9.5
19
vsLIN
LINW 89-80
+5.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 80-53
+24.5
26
@SEMO
SEMOW 79-71
+10.5
28
@UTM
UTMW 67-42
+27.5
covered 16didn’t cover 11avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+7.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
+9.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
−8.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
−16.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
−21.5
3
@AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−14.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
−38.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 78-71
+7.5
20
vsSEMO
SEMOL 82-91
+21.5
30
@TNTC
TNTCW 88-76
+8.5
3
@LR
LRW 84-79
+18.5
8
@WIU
WIUW 90-68
+12.5
10
@EIU
EIUL 70-74
−0.5
15
vsMORE
MOREW 105-100
+56.5
17
vsUSI
USIW 73-67
−10.5
22
@SIUE
SIUEL 66-74
−2.5
24
@LIN
LINW 96-86
+21.5
29
vsLR
LRW 70-63
−17.5
2
vsTNTC
TNTCL 85-90
+21.5
5
vsEIU
EIUW 77-68
−0.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 83-56
−12.5
12
@USI
USIW 73-71
−3.5
14
@MORE
MOREL 86-94
+31.5
19
vsLIN
LINW 89-80
+9.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 80-53
−10.5
26
@SEMO
SEMOW 79-71
−1.5
28
@UTM
UTMW 67-42
−34.5
over 12under 15avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UT Martin
19-10 overall · 14-7 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs E Illinois66–63
- Lvs Tennessee St42–67
- Wvs Tennessee Tech64–49
- L@ Little Rock65–67
- Lvs SE Missouri53–56
1 day since their last game.
Tennessee St
18-9 overall · 15-5 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UT Martin67–42
- W@ SE Missouri79–71
- Wvs SIUE80–53
- Wvs Lindenwood Lions89–80
- L@ Morehead St86–94
6 days since their last game.