Liberty Arena (IN) · at Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles · Conference game
Closing line
TNST -6.5✓ USI covered by 4.5
TNST -6.5✓ USI covered by 4.5Closing total147.5Under by 3.5
| TNST | This season | USI |
|---|---|---|
| 13-8 | Record | 3-19 |
| 12-9 | ATS | 8-14 |
| 10-11 | O/U | 7-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TNST 78–73 USI · ✓ TNST (69%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNST | 29 | 44 | 73 |
| USI | 37 | 34 | 71 |
1st half: TNST 29, USI 37 (USI by 8). The model had TNST by 3.5 and a total of 70.6 (actual 66).
Team stats
| TNST | USI | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-56 39% | Field goals | 26-54 48% |
| 5-11 45% | 3-pointers | 4-15 27% |
| 24-28 86% | Free throws | 15-34 44% |
| 40 17 off | Rebounds | 36 16 off |
| 6 | Assists | 7 |
| 6 | Steals | 10 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 24 | Fouls | 20 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| TNST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nkrumah G | 36 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 5-15 | 1-3 |
| Travis Harper II G | 35 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 5-12 | 3-5 |
| Dante Harris G | 33 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 5-12 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Pitre F | 23 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Antoine Lorick III F | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carlous Williams F | 31 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| JC Brooks F | 14 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jabrion Spikes G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Khalil London G | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Damon Howard Jr. G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jean Lafleur, Jayden Jones, Ogien Ayo, Kavien Jones, Alex Garcia, Maddux Bodenhamer
| USI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tolu Samuels F | 40 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Ola Ajiboye F | 31 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Ismail Habib G | 25 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-3 |
| Amaree Brown G | 17 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Steven Clay G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cardell Bailey G | 33 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 10-18 | 1-6 |
| Sheridan Sharp G | 22 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Josiah Dunham G | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Devin Curtis F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trey Thomas, Alem Fejzic, Ben Ezeagu, Braxton Jones, Cayden Gehlhausen, Kaden Brown
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTNST -5.5
1 → TNST
CloseTNST -6.5
1 pt toward TNST
Total
Open149.5
▼ 2
Close147.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
TNST -285 · USI +230
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TNST -5.5 · closed TNST -6.5 · moved 1 toward TNSTmodel TNST -5.5
model TNST -5.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 2 downmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TNST -6.5 | TNST -5.6 | USI +0.9 | W USI covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 150.9 | Over 3.4 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | TNST 78.3 · USI 72.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TNST -3.5 | USI -8.0 |
| 1H total | 70.6 | 66 |
| 1H projected score | TNST 37 · USI 33.6 | TNST 29 · USI 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNST | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| USI | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
TNST 5–3 USITNST leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · TNST has won the last 2 meetings · TNST 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | USI 67 @ TNST 73 | TNST -8.5 | USI W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | USI 69 @ TNST 74 | TNST -7.5 | USI W |
| Dec 19, 2024-25 | TNST 75 @ USI 77 | USI -4.5 | TNST W |
| Mar 6, 2023-24 | USI 64 vs TNST 78 | TNST -4.5 | TNST W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | USI 74 @ TNST 79 | TNST -4.5 | TNST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tennessee St
21 games played
Straight up
13-8
62% wins
Against the spread
12-9
57% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-11
48% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ BEL | L 79-87 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 16 | @ WKU | L 82-95 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 20 | @ TENN | L 60-89 | +31.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | @ UNCA | W 75-73 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | @ UTC | W 70-64 | +8.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 3 | @ AAMU | L 53-80 | -4.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNLV | W 63-60 | +12.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 18 | vs UTM | W 78-71 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 20 | vs SEMO | L 82-91 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 30 | @ TNTC | W 88-76 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @ LR | W 84-79 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @ WIU | W 90-68 | -6.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | @ EIU | L 70-74 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 15 | vs MORE | W 105-100 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 205 |
| Jan 17 | vsUSI | W 73-67 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 22 | @ SIUE | L 66-74 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | @ LIN | W 96-86 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 29 | vsLR | W 70-63 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 2 | vsTNTC | L 85-90 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 5 | vsEIU | W 77-68 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 7 | vsWIU | W 83-56 | -15.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+5.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
−0.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
+2.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
+7.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
+14.5
3
@AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−31.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
+15.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 78-71
+4.5
20
vsSEMO
SEMOL 82-91
−7.5
30
@TNTC
TNTCW 88-76
+10.5
3
@LR
LRW 84-79
+3.5
8
@WIU
WIUW 90-68
+15.5
10
@EIU
EIUL 70-74
−7.5
15
vsMORE
MOREW 105-100
−2.5
17
vsUSI
USIW 73-67
−2.5
22
@SIUE
SIUEL 66-74
−6.5
24
@LIN
LINW 96-86
+14.5
29
vsLR
LRW 70-63
+2.5
2
vsTNTC
TNTCL 85-90
−12.5
5
vsEIU
EIUW 77-68
−0.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 83-56
+11.5
covered 12didn’t cover 9avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+7.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
+9.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
−8.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
−16.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
−21.5
3
@AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−14.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
−38.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 78-71
+7.5
20
vsSEMO
SEMOL 82-91
+21.5
30
@TNTC
TNTCW 88-76
+8.5
3
@LR
LRW 84-79
+18.5
8
@WIU
WIUW 90-68
+12.5
10
@EIU
EIUL 70-74
−0.5
15
vsMORE
MOREW 105-100
+56.5
17
vsUSI
USIW 73-67
−10.5
22
@SIUE
SIUEL 66-74
−2.5
24
@LIN
LINW 96-86
+21.5
29
vsLR
LRW 70-63
−17.5
2
vsTNTC
TNTCL 85-90
+21.5
5
vsEIU
EIUW 77-68
−0.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 83-56
−12.5
over 10under 11avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
22 games played
Straight up
3-19
14% wins
Against the spread
8-14
36% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-15
32% overs · avg −5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | @ BTLR | L 58-88 | +22.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs VMI | L 74-78 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 12 | @ SDAK | L 74-89 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | U 163 |
| Nov 20 | vs UIW | L 81-87 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 22 | vs UIC | L 73-84 | +11.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 26 | @ VAL | W 64-56 | +9.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 3 | @ WMU | L 74-88 | +5.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 7 | @ INST | L 55-77 | +11.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 18 | vsLR | L 62-77 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | vsMORE | L 60-64 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 1 | @SIUE | L 55-59 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 3 | @LIN | L 80-83 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | vsSEMO | L 76-84 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 10 | vsUTM | L 56-73 | +5.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 15 | @TNTC | W 71-54 | +5.5 | W +22.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 17 | @TNST | L 67-73 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 22 | vsEIU | L 51-59 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 23 | vsWIU | W 96-64 | -6.5 | W +25.5 | 136.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 29 | vsLIN | L 60-73 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 31 | vsSIUE | L 46-58 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 130.5 | U 104 |
| Feb 5 | @UTM | L 54-76 | +10.5 | L −11.5 | 132.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | @SEMO | L 65-90 | +11.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
@BTLR
BTLRL 58-88
−7.5
7
vsVMI
VMIL 74-78
−1.5
12
@SDAK
SDAKL 74-89
−7.5
20
vsUIW
UIWL 81-87
+3.5
22
vsUIC
UICL 73-84
+0.5
26
@VAL
VALW 64-56
+17.5
3
@WMU
WMUL 74-88
−8.5
7
@INST
INSTL 55-77
−10.5
18
vsLR
LRL 62-77
−12.5
20
vsMORE
MOREL 60-64
−2.5
1
@SIUE
SIUEL 55-59
+6.5
3
@LIN
LINL 80-83
+6.5
8
vsSEMO
SEMOL 76-84
−0.5
10
vsUTM
UTML 56-73
−11.5
15
@TNTC
TNTCW 71-54
+22.5
17
@TNST
TNSTL 67-73
+2.5
22
vsEIU
EIUL 51-59
−10.5
23
vsWIU
WIUW 96-64
+25.5
29
vsLIN
LINL 60-73
−8.5
31
vsSIUE
SIUEL 46-58
−10.5
5
@UTM
UTML 54-76
−11.5
7
@SEMO
SEMOL 65-90
−13.5
covered 8didn’t cover 14avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
@BTLR
BTLRL 58-88
−10.5
7
vsVMI
VMIL 74-78
−1.5
12
@SDAK
SDAKL 74-89
−1.5
20
vsUIW
UIWL 81-87
+22.5
22
vsUIC
UICL 73-84
+3.5
26
@VAL
VALW 64-56
−30.5
3
@WMU
WMUL 74-88
+11.5
7
@INST
INSTL 55-77
−26.5
18
vsLR
LRL 62-77
−1.5
20
vsMORE
MOREL 60-64
−21.5
1
@SIUE
SIUEL 55-59
−22.5
3
@LIN
LINL 80-83
+15.5
8
vsSEMO
SEMOL 76-84
+13.5
10
vsUTM
UTML 56-73
−8.5
15
@TNTC
TNTCW 71-54
−17.5
17
@TNST
TNSTL 67-73
−10.5
22
vsEIU
EIUL 51-59
−25.5
23
vsWIU
WIUW 96-64
+23.5
29
vsLIN
LINL 60-73
−17.5
31
vsSIUE
SIUEL 46-58
−26.5
5
@UTM
UTML 54-76
−2.5
7
@SEMO
SEMOL 65-90
+13.5
over 7under 15avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tennessee St
13-8 overall · 10-4 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs W Illinois83–56
- Wvs E Illinois77–68
- Lvs Tennessee Tech85–90
- Wvs Little Rock70–63
- W@ Lindenwood Lions96–86
5 days since their last game.
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
3-19 overall · 2-12 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ SE Missouri65–90
- L@ UT Martin54–76
- Lvs SIUE46–58
- Lvs Lindenwood Lions60–73
- Wvs W Illinois96–64
5 days since their last game.