Ellis T. Johnson Arena · at Morehead St · Conference game
Closing line
TNST -1.5✓ MORE covered by 9.5
TNST -1.5✓ MORE covered by 9.5Closing total148.5Over by 31.5
| TNST | This season | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| 14-8 | Record | 11-12 |
| 12-10 | ATS | 13-10 |
| 10-12 | O/U | 12-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TNST 78–77 MORE · ✗ TNST (55%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNST | 41 | 45 | 86 |
| MORE | 37 | 57 | 94 |
1st half: TNST 41, MORE 37 (TNST by 4). The model had TNST by 1.0 and a total of 72.4 (actual 78).
Team stats
| TNST | MORE | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-61 38% | Field goals | 32-53 60% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 32-36 89% | Free throws | 22-28 79% |
| 30 16 off | Rebounds | 36 11 off |
| 13 | Assists | 12 |
| 9 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 25 | Fouls | 23 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 22 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| TNST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Harris G | 36 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 2-12 | 0-3 |
| Aaron Nkrumah G | 36 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 5-15 | 2-7 |
| Travis Harper II G | 34 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 8-18 | 5-9 |
| Antoine Lorick III F | 27 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Pitre F | 27 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carlous Williams F | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Kavien Jones F | 11 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jabrion Spikes G | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Damon Howard Jr. G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| JC Brooks F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jayden Jones, Alex Garcia, Jean Lafleur, Ogien Ayo, Maddux Bodenhamer, Khalil London
| MORE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anouar Mellouk F | 37 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Jon Carroll F | 29 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| George Marshall G | 26 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Chase Dawson G | 20 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Vince Dawson III G | 12 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Davion Cunningham G | 30 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 5-9 | 1-4 |
| Josiah LeGree G | 26 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 7-12 | 4-8 |
| Tamaury Releford C | 11 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Tyonne Farrell F | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Clayton Parker, Jaden Priester, Jarvis Wright, Jace Winkleman, Kameren Wright, Jacob Wilson
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMORE -1.5
3 → TNST
CloseTNST -1.5
3 pts toward TNST
Total
Open151.5
▼ 3
Close148.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
TNST -115 · MORE -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MORE -1.5 · closed TNST -1.5 · moved 3 toward TNSTmodel TNST -1.5 matches the line
model TNST -1.5 = line ✓
Opened 151.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 3 downmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TNST -1.5 | TNST -1.5 | — | MORE covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 154.7 | Over 6.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | TNST 78.1 · MORE 76.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TNST -1.0 | TNST -4.0 |
| 1H total | 72.4 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | TNST 36.7 · MORE 35.7 | TNST 41 · MORE 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNST | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
| MORE | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
TNST 2–7 MOREMORE leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · TNST has won the last 2 meetings · TNST 2-6-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025-26 | MORE 100 @ TNST 105 | TNST -7.5 | MORE W |
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | MORE 55 @ TNST 64 | TNST -5.5 | TNST W |
| Dec 21, 2024-25 | TNST 68 @ MORE 74 | MORE -3.5 | MORE W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | MORE 68 @ TNST 49 | TNST +4.5 | MORE W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | TNST 68 @ MORE 78 | MORE -8.5 | MORE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tennessee St
22 games played
Straight up
14-8
64% wins
Against the spread
12-10
55% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ BEL | L 79-87 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 16 | @ WKU | L 82-95 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 20 | @ TENN | L 60-89 | +31.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | @ UNCA | W 75-73 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | @ UTC | W 70-64 | +8.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 3 | @ AAMU | L 53-80 | -4.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNLV | W 63-60 | +12.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 18 | vs UTM | W 78-71 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 20 | vs SEMO | L 82-91 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 30 | @ TNTC | W 88-76 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @ LR | W 84-79 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @ WIU | W 90-68 | -6.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | @ EIU | L 70-74 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 15 | vsMORE | W 105-100 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 205 |
| Jan 17 | vs USI | W 73-67 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 22 | @ SIUE | L 66-74 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | @ LIN | W 96-86 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 29 | vsLR | W 70-63 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 2 | vsTNTC | L 85-90 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 5 | vsEIU | W 77-68 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 7 | vsWIU | W 83-56 | -15.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 12 | @USI | W 73-71 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+5.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
−0.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
+2.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
+7.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
+14.5
3
@AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−31.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
+15.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 78-71
+4.5
20
vsSEMO
SEMOL 82-91
−7.5
30
@TNTC
TNTCW 88-76
+10.5
3
@LR
LRW 84-79
+3.5
8
@WIU
WIUW 90-68
+15.5
10
@EIU
EIUL 70-74
−7.5
15
vsMORE
MOREW 105-100
−2.5
17
vsUSI
USIW 73-67
−2.5
22
@SIUE
SIUEL 66-74
−6.5
24
@LIN
LINW 96-86
+14.5
29
vsLR
LRW 70-63
+2.5
2
vsTNTC
TNTCL 85-90
−12.5
5
vsEIU
EIUW 77-68
−0.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 83-56
+11.5
12
@USI
USIW 73-71
−4.5
covered 12didn’t cover 10avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+7.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
+9.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
−8.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
−16.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
−21.5
3
@AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−14.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
−38.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 78-71
+7.5
20
vsSEMO
SEMOL 82-91
+21.5
30
@TNTC
TNTCW 88-76
+8.5
3
@LR
LRW 84-79
+18.5
8
@WIU
WIUW 90-68
+12.5
10
@EIU
EIUL 70-74
−0.5
15
vsMORE
MOREW 105-100
+56.5
17
vsUSI
USIW 73-67
−10.5
22
@SIUE
SIUEL 66-74
−2.5
24
@LIN
LINW 96-86
+21.5
29
vsLR
LRW 70-63
−17.5
2
vsTNTC
TNTCL 85-90
+21.5
5
vsEIU
EIUW 77-68
−0.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 83-56
−12.5
12
@USI
USIW 73-71
−3.5
over 10under 12avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Morehead St
23 games played
Straight up
11-12
48% wins
Against the spread
13-10
57% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-11
52% overs · avg +3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ WAKE | L 65-81 | +22.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 9 | @ UGA | L 81-120 | +28.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 201 |
| Nov 11 | @ CLEM | L 56-83 | +29.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 21 | @ ETSU | L 62-77 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 22 | vs ULM | W 83-80 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 29 | @ IUIN | L 80-85 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 181.5 | U 165 |
| Dec 2 | @ MUR | L 52-84 | +16.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | @ PRES | L 72-80 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 16 | vsLR | W 78-64 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | @USI | W 64-60 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 1 | @LIN | L 64-77 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 3 | @SIUE | W 73-72 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 131.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 8 | vsUTM | L 68-76 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 10 | vsSEMO | W 71-69 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 15 | @TNST | L 100-105 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 205 |
| Jan 17 | @TNTC | W 76-70 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 22 | vsWIU | W 71-66 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 24 | vsEIU | W 73-68 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 29 | vsSIUE | W 67-65 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Jan 31 | vsLIN | L 78-79 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 5 | @SEMO | L 70-82 | +7.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 7 | @UTM | W 61-55 | +8.5 | W +14.5 | 136.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 12 | vsTNTC | W 73-66 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@WAKE
WAKEL 65-81
+6.5
9
@UGA
UGAL 81-120
−10.5
11
@CLEM
CLEML 56-83
+2.5
21
@ETSU
ETSUL 62-77
−4.5
22
vsULM
ULMW 83-80
−3.5
29
@IUIN
IUINL 80-85
−1.5
2
@MUR
MURL 52-84
−15.5
6
@PRES
PRESL 72-80
−0.5
16
vsLR
LRW 78-64
+11.5
20
@USI
USIW 64-60
+2.5
1
@LIN
LINL 64-77
−6.5
3
@SIUE
SIUEW 73-72
+5.5
8
vsUTM
UTML 68-76
−5.5
10
vsSEMO
SEMOW 71-69
+7.5
15
@TNST
TNSTL 100-105
+2.5
17
@TNTC
TNTCW 76-70
+7.5
22
vsWIU
WIUW 71-66
−3.5
24
vsEIU
EIUW 73-68
+0.5
29
vsSIUE
SIUEW 67-65
+0.5
31
vsLIN
LINL 78-79
+0.5
5
@SEMO
SEMOL 70-82
−4.5
7
@UTM
UTMW 61-55
+14.5
12
vsTNTC
TNTCW 73-66
+2.5
covered 13didn’t cover 10avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@WAKE
WAKEL 65-81
−6.5
9
@UGA
UGAL 81-120
+50.5
11
@CLEM
CLEML 56-83
−12.5
21
@ETSU
ETSUL 62-77
−5.5
22
vsULM
ULMW 83-80
+17.5
29
@IUIN
IUINL 80-85
−16.5
2
@MUR
MURL 52-84
−22.5
6
@PRES
PRESL 72-80
+17.5
16
vsLR
LRW 78-64
+5.5
20
@USI
USIW 64-60
−21.5
1
@LIN
LINL 64-77
−6.5
3
@SIUE
SIUEW 73-72
+13.5
8
vsUTM
UTML 68-76
+8.5
10
vsSEMO
SEMOW 71-69
−4.5
15
@TNST
TNSTL 100-105
+56.5
17
@TNTC
TNTCW 76-70
+4.5
22
vsWIU
WIUW 71-66
−1.5
24
vsEIU
EIUW 73-68
+6.5
29
vsSIUE
SIUEW 67-65
+1.5
31
vsLIN
LINL 78-79
+8.5
5
@SEMO
SEMOL 70-82
+7.5
7
@UTM
UTMW 61-55
−20.5
12
vsTNTC
TNTCW 73-66
−4.5
over 12under 11avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tennessee St
14-8 overall · 11-4 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles73–71
- Wvs W Illinois83–56
- Wvs E Illinois77–68
- Lvs Tennessee Tech85–90
- Wvs Little Rock70–63
2 days since their last game.
Morehead St
11-12 overall · 10-5 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Tennessee Tech73–66
- W@ UT Martin61–55
- L@ SE Missouri70–82
- Lvs Lindenwood Lions78–79
- Wvs SIUE67–65
2 days since their last game.