Show Me Center · at SE Missouri · Conference game
Closing line
SEMO -2.5✓ TNST covered by 10.5
SEMO -2.5✓ TNST covered by 10.5Closing total151.5Under by 1.5
 TNST | This season | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| 16-9 | Record | 15-11 |
| 14-11 | ATS | 13-13 |
| 12-13 | O/U | 12-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TNST 77–79 SEMO · ✗ SEMO (59%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNST | 33 | 46 | 79 |
| SEMO | 38 | 33 | 71 |
1st half: TNST 33, SEMO 38 (SEMO by 5). The model had SEMO by 1.5 and a total of 72.8 (actual 71).
Team stats
| TNST | SEMO | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-51 39% | Field goals | 22-58 38% |
| 3-11 27% | 3-pointers | 7-18 39% |
| 36-42 86% | Free throws | 20-28 71% |
| 36 10 off | Rebounds | 27 8 off |
| 9 | Assists | 12 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 6 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 19 | Fouls | 29 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 21 | Fast-break points | 21 |
Players
| TNST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nkrumah G | 37 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 2-10 | 0-3 |
| Dante Harris G | 36 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 6-14 | 0-1 |
| Travis Harper II G | 36 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 5-10 | 2-4 |
| Jalen Pitre F | 33 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Antoine Lorick III F | 28 | 20 | 9 | 0 | 6-13 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carlous Williams F | 20 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jabrion Spikes G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kavien Jones F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Damon Howard Jr., Jean Lafleur, Ogien Ayo, Jayden Jones, Maddux Bodenhamer, JC Brooks, Alex Garcia, Khalil London
| SEMO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJ Ward G | 37 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 5-11 | 3-6 |
| Braxton Stacker G | 35 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-6 |
| Brendan Terry F | 33 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 4-13 | 0-0 |
| Luke Almodovar G | 19 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Landren Blocker G | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marqueas Bell G | 19 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Troy Cole Jr. G | 17 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| PJ Farmer G | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| David Idada C | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Blaize Sagna G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Elliot Lowndes F | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Jay Reynolds, Saxton Hoepker, Trace Sadler
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSEMO -4.5
2 → TNST
CloseSEMO -2.5
2 pts toward TNST
Total
Open155.5
▼ 4
Close151.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
TNST +140 · SEMO -166
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SEMO -4.5 · closed SEMO -2.5 · moved 2 toward TNSTmodel SEMO -2.5 matches the line
model SEMO -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 155.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 4 downmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SEMO -2.5 | SEMO -2.7 | SEMO +0.2 | L TNST covered |
| Total | 151.5 | 155.8 | Over 4.3 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | TNST 76.6 · SEMO 79.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SEMO -1.5 | SEMO -5.0 |
| 1H total | 72.8 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | TNST 35.7 · SEMO 37.2 | TNST 33 · SEMO 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNST | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| SEMO | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
TNST 3–7 SEMOSEMO leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · SEMO has won the last 3 meetings · TNST 3-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025-26 | SEMO 91 @ TNST 82 | TNST +1.5 | SEMO W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | TNST 87 @ SEMO 89 | SEMO -4.5 | TNST W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | SEMO 67 @ TNST 65 | TNST -2.5 | SEMO W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | TNST 77 @ SEMO 74 | SEMO +4.5 | SEMO W |
| Mar 2, 2022-23 | SEMO 91 vs TNST 83 | TNST +1.5 | SEMO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tennessee St
25 games played
Straight up
16-9
64% wins
Against the spread
14-11
56% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-13
48% overs · avg +2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ BEL | L 79-87 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 16 | @ WKU | L 82-95 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 20 | @ TENN | L 60-89 | +31.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | @ UNCA | W 75-73 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | @ UTC | W 70-64 | +8.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 3 | @ AAMU | L 53-80 | -4.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNLV | W 63-60 | +12.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 18 | vs UTM | W 78-71 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 20 | vsSEMO | L 82-91 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 30 | @ TNTC | W 88-76 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @ LR | W 84-79 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @ WIU | W 90-68 | -6.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | @ EIU | L 70-74 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 15 | vs MORE | W 105-100 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 205 |
| Jan 17 | vs USI | W 73-67 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 22 | @ SIUE | L 66-74 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | @ LIN | W 96-86 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 29 | vsLR | W 70-63 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 2 | vsTNTC | L 85-90 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 5 | vsEIU | W 77-68 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 7 | vsWIU | W 83-56 | -15.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 12 | @USI | W 73-71 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 14 | @MORE | L 86-94 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 19 | vsLIN | W 89-80 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 21 | vsSIUE | W 80-53 | -2.5 | W +24.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+5.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
−0.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
+2.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
+7.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
+14.5
3
@AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−31.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
+15.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 78-71
+4.5
20
vsSEMO
SEMOL 82-91
−7.5
30
@TNTC
TNTCW 88-76
+10.5
3
@LR
LRW 84-79
+3.5
8
@WIU
WIUW 90-68
+15.5
10
@EIU
EIUL 70-74
−7.5
15
vsMORE
MOREW 105-100
−2.5
17
vsUSI
USIW 73-67
−2.5
22
@SIUE
SIUEL 66-74
−6.5
24
@LIN
LINW 96-86
+14.5
29
vsLR
LRW 70-63
+2.5
2
vsTNTC
TNTCL 85-90
−12.5
5
vsEIU
EIUW 77-68
−0.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 83-56
+11.5
12
@USI
USIW 73-71
−4.5
14
@MORE
MOREL 86-94
−9.5
19
vsLIN
LINW 89-80
+5.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 80-53
+24.5
covered 14didn’t cover 11avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+7.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
+9.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
−8.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
−16.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
−21.5
3
@AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−14.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
−38.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 78-71
+7.5
20
vsSEMO
SEMOL 82-91
+21.5
30
@TNTC
TNTCW 88-76
+8.5
3
@LR
LRW 84-79
+18.5
8
@WIU
WIUW 90-68
+12.5
10
@EIU
EIUL 70-74
−0.5
15
vsMORE
MOREW 105-100
+56.5
17
vsUSI
USIW 73-67
−10.5
22
@SIUE
SIUEL 66-74
−2.5
24
@LIN
LINW 96-86
+21.5
29
vsLR
LRW 70-63
−17.5
2
vsTNTC
TNTCL 85-90
+21.5
5
vsEIU
EIUW 77-68
−0.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 83-56
−12.5
12
@USI
USIW 73-71
−3.5
14
@MORE
MOREL 86-94
+31.5
19
vsLIN
LINW 89-80
+9.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 80-53
−10.5
over 12under 13avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
SE Missouri
26 games played
Straight up
15-11
58% wins
Against the spread
13-13
50% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-14
46% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SLU | L 67-92 | +19.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 7 | @ MIZ | L 84-89 | +25.5 | W +20.5 | 157.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 15 | vs STMN | L 72-84 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 18 | @ IOWA | L 70-99 | +23.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 25 | vs CP | W 84-68 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 170.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 26 | @ NAU | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 29 | vs LIP | L 77-88 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 6 | @UTC | W 74-70 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 18 | @TNTC | L 74-85 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 155.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | @TNST | W 91-82 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 1 | vsEIU | W 68-59 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vsWIU | W 73-50 | -13.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 8 | @USI | W 84-76 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 10 | @MORE | L 69-71 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 15 | vsLIN | L 76-88 | -6.5 | L −18.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 17 | vsSIUE | L 55-68 | -9.5 | L −22.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 20 | vsUTM | W 66-50 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 22 | vsLR | W 70-65 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | @WIU | W 78-74 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 31 | @EIU | W 77-59 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 5 | vsMORE | W 82-70 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 7 | vsUSI | W 90-65 | -11.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 12 | @SIUE | L 56-74 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 137.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 14 | @LIN | W 73-61 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 17 | @UTM | W 56-53 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | U 109 |
| Feb 21 | @LR | W 70-65 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SLU
SLUL 67-92
−5.5
7
@MIZ
MIZL 84-89
+20.5
15
vsSTMN
STMNL 72-84
−9.5
18
@IOWA
IOWAL 70-99
−5.5
25
vsCP
CPW 84-68
+14.5
26
@NAU
NAUL 72-79
−4.5
29
vsLIP
LIPL 77-88
−14.5
6
@UTC
UTCW 74-70
+7.5
18
@TNTC
TNTCL 74-85
−13.5
20
@TNST
TNSTW 91-82
+7.5
1
vsEIU
EIUW 68-59
−3.5
3
vsWIU
WIUW 73-50
+9.5
8
@USI
USIW 84-76
+0.5
10
@MORE
MOREL 69-71
−7.5
15
vsLIN
LINL 76-88
−18.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEL 55-68
−22.5
20
vsUTM
UTMW 66-50
+13.5
22
vsLR
LRW 70-65
−0.5
29
@WIU
WIUW 78-74
−6.5
31
@EIU
EIUW 77-59
+13.5
5
vsMORE
MOREW 82-70
+4.5
7
vsUSI
USIW 90-65
+13.5
12
@SIUE
SIUEL 56-74
−19.5
14
@LIN
LINW 73-61
+13.5
17
@UTM
UTMW 56-53
+5.5
21
@LR
LRW 70-65
+3.5
covered 13didn’t cover 13avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SLU
SLUL 67-92
+5.5
7
@MIZ
MIZL 84-89
+15.5
15
vsSTMN
STMNL 72-84
+3.5
18
@IOWA
IOWAL 70-99
+21.5
25
vsCP
CPW 84-68
−18.5
26
@NAU
NAUL 72-79
−2.5
29
vsLIP
LIPL 77-88
+11.5
6
@UTC
UTCW 74-70
−5.5
18
@TNTC
TNTCL 74-85
+3.5
20
@TNST
TNSTW 91-82
+21.5
1
vsEIU
EIUW 68-59
−19.5
3
vsWIU
WIUW 73-50
−24.5
8
@USI
USIW 84-76
+13.5
10
@MORE
MOREL 69-71
−4.5
15
vsLIN
LINL 76-88
+9.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEL 55-68
−16.5
20
vsUTM
UTMW 66-50
−24.5
22
vsLR
LRW 70-65
−10.5
29
@WIU
WIUW 78-74
+9.5
31
@EIU
EIUW 77-59
−2.5
5
vsMORE
MOREW 82-70
+7.5
7
vsUSI
USIW 90-65
+13.5
12
@SIUE
SIUEL 56-74
−7.5
14
@LIN
LINW 73-61
−20.5
17
@UTM
UTMW 56-53
−29.5
21
@LR
LRW 70-65
−8.5
over 12under 14avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tennessee St
16-9 overall · 13-5 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs SIUE80–53
- Wvs Lindenwood Lions89–80
- L@ Morehead St86–94
- W@ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles73–71
- Wvs W Illinois83–56
5 days since their last game.
SE Missouri
15-11 overall · 13-5 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Little Rock70–65
- W@ UT Martin56–53
- W@ Lindenwood Lions73–61
- L@ SIUE56–74
- Wvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles90–65
5 days since their last game.