Jack Stephens Center · at Little Rock · Conference game
Closing line
SEMO -1.5✓ SEMO covered by 3.5
SEMO -1.5✓ SEMO covered by 3.5Closing total143.5Under by 8.5
| SEMO | This season | LR |
|---|---|---|
| 14-11 | Record | 9-17 |
| 12-13 | ATS | 11-15 |
| 12-13 | O/U | 13-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SEMO 73–70 LR · ✓ SEMO (59%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEMO | 30 | 40 | 70 |
| LR | 32 | 33 | 65 |
1st half: SEMO 30, LR 32 (LR by 2). The model had SEMO by 1.7 and a total of 67.2 (actual 62).
Team stats
| SEMO | LR | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-56 45% | Field goals | 22-58 38% |
| 5-22 23% | 3-pointers | 4-15 27% |
| 15-22 68% | Free throws | 17-19 89% |
| 38 11 off | Rebounds | 31 9 off |
| 8 | Assists | 14 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| SEMO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJ Ward G | 34 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-6 |
| Brendan Terry F | 33 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Braxton Stacker G | 31 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 3-11 | 0-3 |
| Luke Almodovar G | 23 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 5-10 | 3-8 |
| Landren Blocker G | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marqueas Bell G | 26 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Troy Cole Jr. G | 22 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| David Idada C | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PJ Farmer G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Blaize Sagna G | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Trace Sadler, Saxton Hoepker, Jay Reynolds, Elliot Lowndes
| LR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Lawson G | 38 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 3-11 | 0-4 |
| Braxton Bayless G | 36 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek F | 34 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Wallace F | 31 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4-10 | 0-0 |
| Kachi Nzeh F | 28 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 6-13 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Joseph Thomas G | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Truman Claytor IV F | 11 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
Did not play: Caleb Pennyfeather, Travonne Jackson, Christian Hughes, Khasen Robinson, Kellen Robinson, Terrion Burgess, Tracy Steele Jr., KK Robinson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSEMO -1.5
ModelSEMO -2.7
Model edgeSEMO +1.2
W SEMO covered
Total
Market143.5
Model143.5
Model edge—
Under
Projected score
SEMO 73.1 · LR 70.4
SEMO 70 · LR 65
Win probability
SEMO 59%
1st half
Spread
SEMO -1.7
LR -2.0
Total
67.2
62 points
Projected score
SEMO 34.5 · LR 32.7
SEMO 30 · LR 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSEMO -2.5
1 → LR
CloseSEMO -1.5
1 pt toward LR
Total
Open141.5
▲ 2
Close143.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
SEMO -135 · LR +114
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SEMO -2.5 · closed SEMO -1.5 · moved 1 toward LRmodel SEMO -2.5
model SEMO -2.5
Opened 141.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 2 upmodel 143.5 matches the line
model 143.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEMO | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| LR | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
SEMO 5–3 LRSEMO leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · SEMO has won the last 3 meetings · SEMO 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025-26 | LR 65 @ SEMO 70 | SEMO -5.5 | LR W |
| Mar 7, 2024-25 | LR 59 vs SEMO 78 | SEMO -2.5 | SEMO W |
| Feb 11, 2024-25 | SEMO 57 @ LR 45 | LR -4.5 | SEMO W |
| Jan 14, 2024-25 | LR 73 @ SEMO 71 | SEMO -0.5 | LR W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | LR 83 @ SEMO 61 | SEMO +7.5 | LR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SE Missouri
25 games played
Straight up
14-11
56% wins
Against the spread
12-13
48% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-13
48% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SLU | L 67-92 | +19.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 7 | @ MIZ | L 84-89 | +25.5 | W +20.5 | 157.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 15 | vs STMN | L 72-84 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 18 | @ IOWA | L 70-99 | +23.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 25 | vs CP | W 84-68 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 170.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 26 | @ NAU | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 29 | vs LIP | L 77-88 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 6 | @ UTC | W 74-70 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 18 | @ TNTC | L 74-85 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 155.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | @ TNST | W 91-82 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 1 | vs EIU | W 68-59 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vs WIU | W 73-50 | -13.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 8 | @ USI | W 84-76 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 10 | @ MORE | L 69-71 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 15 | vs LIN | L 76-88 | -6.5 | L −18.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 17 | vs SIUE | L 55-68 | -9.5 | L −22.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 20 | vs UTM | W 66-50 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 22 | vsLR | W 70-65 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | @WIU | W 78-74 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 31 | @EIU | W 77-59 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 5 | vsMORE | W 82-70 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 7 | vsUSI | W 90-65 | -11.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 12 | @SIUE | L 56-74 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 137.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 14 | @LIN | W 73-61 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 17 | @UTM | W 56-53 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | U 109 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SLU
SLUL 67-92
−5.5
7
@MIZ
MIZL 84-89
+20.5
15
vsSTMN
STMNL 72-84
−9.5
18
@IOWA
IOWAL 70-99
−5.5
25
vsCP
CPW 84-68
+14.5
26
@NAU
NAUL 72-79
−4.5
29
vsLIP
LIPL 77-88
−14.5
6
@UTC
UTCW 74-70
+7.5
18
@TNTC
TNTCL 74-85
−13.5
20
@TNST
TNSTW 91-82
+7.5
1
vsEIU
EIUW 68-59
−3.5
3
vsWIU
WIUW 73-50
+9.5
8
@USI
USIW 84-76
+0.5
10
@MORE
MOREL 69-71
−7.5
15
vsLIN
LINL 76-88
−18.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEL 55-68
−22.5
20
vsUTM
UTMW 66-50
+13.5
22
vsLR
LRW 70-65
−0.5
29
@WIU
WIUW 78-74
−6.5
31
@EIU
EIUW 77-59
+13.5
5
vsMORE
MOREW 82-70
+4.5
7
vsUSI
USIW 90-65
+13.5
12
@SIUE
SIUEL 56-74
−19.5
14
@LIN
LINW 73-61
+13.5
17
@UTM
UTMW 56-53
+5.5
covered 12didn’t cover 13avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SLU
SLUL 67-92
+5.5
7
@MIZ
MIZL 84-89
+15.5
15
vsSTMN
STMNL 72-84
+3.5
18
@IOWA
IOWAL 70-99
+21.5
25
vsCP
CPW 84-68
−18.5
26
@NAU
NAUL 72-79
−2.5
29
vsLIP
LIPL 77-88
+11.5
6
@UTC
UTCW 74-70
−5.5
18
@TNTC
TNTCL 74-85
+3.5
20
@TNST
TNSTW 91-82
+21.5
1
vsEIU
EIUW 68-59
−19.5
3
vsWIU
WIUW 73-50
−24.5
8
@USI
USIW 84-76
+13.5
10
@MORE
MOREL 69-71
−4.5
15
vsLIN
LINL 76-88
+9.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEL 55-68
−16.5
20
vsUTM
UTMW 66-50
−24.5
22
vsLR
LRW 70-65
−10.5
29
@WIU
WIUW 78-74
+9.5
31
@EIU
EIUW 77-59
−2.5
5
vsMORE
MOREW 82-70
+7.5
7
vsUSI
USIW 90-65
+13.5
12
@SIUE
SIUEL 56-74
−7.5
14
@LIN
LINW 73-61
−20.5
17
@UTM
UTMW 56-53
−29.5
over 12under 13avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Little Rock
26 games played
Straight up
9-17
35% wins
Against the spread
11-15
42% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-13
50% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ MILW | L 72-92 | +3.5 | L −16.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ MARQ | L 49-89 | +21.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ BALL | W 68-62 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | @ MUR | L 68-89 | +13.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ TXST | L 56-65 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 131.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | @ SIU | L 65-74 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | @ CARK | L 47-85 | +3.5 | L −34.5 | 138.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 6 | vs ARST | L 78-90 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 9 | @ WVU | L 58-90 | +27.5 | L −4.5 | 132.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 16 | @MORE | L 64-78 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 18 | @USI | W 77-62 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 1 | vsTNTC | W 77-58 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vsTNST | L 79-84 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @SIUE | W 73-70 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 131.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @LIN | W 82-74 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vsEIU | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 133.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 17 | vsWIU | W 86-79 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 22 | @SEMO | L 65-70 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | @TNST | L 63-70 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 31 | @TNTC | L 77-87 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 141.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 3 | @UTM | L 52-55 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | U 107 |
| Feb 5 | vsLIN | L 74-79 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 7 | vsSIUE | L 61-71 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 132.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 12 | @WIU | W 77-58 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 14 | @EIU | L 72-78 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 134.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 19 | vsUTM | W 67-65 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@MILW
MILWL 72-92
−16.5
12
@MARQ
MARQL 49-89
−18.5
15
@BALL
BALLW 68-62
+8.5
18
@MUR
MURL 68-89
−7.5
21
@TXST
TXSTL 56-65
−3.5
29
@SIU
SIUL 65-74
+4.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 47-85
−34.5
6
vsARST
ARSTL 78-90
−2.5
9
@WVU
WVUL 58-90
−4.5
16
@MORE
MOREL 64-78
−11.5
18
@USI
USIW 77-62
+12.5
1
vsTNTC
TNTCW 77-58
+17.5
3
vsTNST
TNSTL 79-84
−3.5
8
@SIUE
SIUEW 73-70
+6.5
10
@LIN
LINW 82-74
+14.5
15
vsEIU
EIUW 74-63
+4.5
17
vsWIU
WIUW 86-79
−3.5
22
@SEMO
SEMOL 65-70
+0.5
29
@TNST
TNSTL 63-70
−2.5
31
@TNTC
TNTCL 77-87
−11.5
3
@UTM
UTML 52-55
+3.5
5
vsLIN
LINL 74-79
−3.5
7
vsSIUE
SIUEL 61-71
−11.5
12
@WIU
WIUW 77-58
+11.5
14
@EIU
EIUL 72-78
−8.5
19
vsUTM
UTMW 67-65
+4.5
covered 11didn’t cover 15avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@MILW
MILWL 72-92
+7.5
12
@MARQ
MARQL 49-89
−17.5
15
@BALL
BALLW 68-62
−16.5
18
@MUR
MURL 68-89
+3.5
21
@TXST
TXSTL 56-65
−10.5
29
@SIU
SIUL 65-74
−2.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 47-85
−6.5
6
vsARST
ARSTL 78-90
+20.5
9
@WVU
WVUL 58-90
+15.5
16
@MORE
MOREL 64-78
+5.5
18
@USI
USIW 77-62
−1.5
1
vsTNTC
TNTCW 77-58
−9.5
3
vsTNST
TNSTL 79-84
+18.5
8
@SIUE
SIUEW 73-70
+11.5
10
@LIN
LINW 82-74
+6.5
15
vsEIU
EIUW 74-63
+3.5
17
vsWIU
WIUW 86-79
+29.5
22
@SEMO
SEMOL 65-70
−10.5
29
@TNST
TNSTL 63-70
−17.5
31
@TNTC
TNTCL 77-87
+22.5
3
@UTM
UTML 52-55
−32.5
5
vsLIN
LINL 74-79
+3.5
7
vsSIUE
SIUEL 61-71
−0.5
12
@WIU
WIUW 77-58
−6.5
14
@EIU
EIUL 72-78
+15.5
19
vsUTM
UTMW 67-65
−4.5
over 13under 13avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SE Missouri
14-11 overall · 12-5 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UT Martin56–53
- W@ Lindenwood Lions73–61
- L@ SIUE56–74
- Wvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles90–65
- Wvs Morehead St82–70
4 days since their last game.
Little Rock
9-17 overall · 8-9 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UT Martin67–65
- L@ E Illinois72–78
- W@ W Illinois77–58
- Lvs SIUE61–71
- Lvs Lindenwood Lions74–79
2 days since their last game.