John M. Belk Arena · at Davidson · Conference game
Closing line
DAV -1.5✓ JOES covered by 4.5
DAV -1.5✓ JOES covered by 4.5Closing total136.5Over by 0.5
 JOES | This season | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| 17-10 | Record | 16-11 |
| 15-12 | ATS | 12-15 |
| 9-18 | O/U | 12-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JOES 68–70 DAV · ✗ DAV (57%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JOES | 37 | 33 | 70 |
| DAV | 35 | 32 | 67 |
1st half: JOES 37, DAV 35 (JOES by 2). The model had DAV by 1.1 and a total of 64.5 (actual 72).
Team stats
| JOES | DAV | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-53 47% | Field goals | 25-59 42% |
| 8-23 35% | 3-pointers | 9-31 29% |
| 12-14 86% | Free throws | 8-16 50% |
| 41 7 off | Rebounds | 27 4 off |
| 13 | Assists | 11 |
| 3 | Steals | 7 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| JOES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaiden Glover-Toscano G | 35 | 23 | 9 | 0 | 8-14 | 5-10 |
| Justice Ajogbor C | 34 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Austin Williford G | 32 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Derek Simpson G | 32 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 4-11 | 1-5 |
| Dasear Haskins F | 27 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Khaafiq Myers G | 19 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Anthony Finkley F | 14 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Jaden Smith C | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Mekai Johnson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Al Amadou, Deuce Jones, Will Lange, Kevin Kearney, Owen Verna, Billy Rayer, Steven Solano
| DAV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Brown G | 33 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 7-11 | 1-3 |
| Parker Friedrichsen G | 32 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 6-15 | 4-10 |
| Devin Brown G | 29 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Sean Logan F | 22 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Josh Scovens F | 20 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 6-8 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Hunter Adam G | 20 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-6 |
| Nick Coval G | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Ian Platteeuw C | 12 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Manie Joses F | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| JaQualon Roberts F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Joe Hurlburt, Phillip Kavu, Roberts Blums, RJ Greer, Brock Matheny, John Nowland
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDAV -1.5
ModelDAV -2.1
Model edgeDAV +0.6
L JOES covered
Total
Market136.5
Model137.6
Model edgeOver 1.1
W Over
Projected score
JOES 67.8 · DAV 69.9
JOES 70 · DAV 67
Win probability
DAV 57%
1st half
Spread
DAV -1.1
JOES -2.0
Total
64.5
72 points
Projected score
JOES 31.7 · DAV 32.8
JOES 37 · DAV 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDAV -4.5
3 → JOES
CloseDAV -1.5
3 pts toward JOES
Total
Open137.5
▼ 1
Close136.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
JOES +110 · DAV -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DAV -4.5 · closed DAV -1.5 · moved 3 toward JOESmodel DAV -2
model DAV -2
Opened 137.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 1 downmodel 137.5
model 137.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JOES | 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% |
| DAV | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
JOES 2–4 DAVDAV leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · JOES 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | DAV 62 @ JOES 56 | JOES +1.5 | DAV W |
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | JOES 78 @ DAV 61 | DAV +1.5 | JOES W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | DAV 71 @ JOES 89 | JOES -6.5 | JOES W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | JOES 75 @ DAV 76 | DAV -5.5 | JOES W |
| Feb 9, 2021-22 | JOES 67 @ DAV 73 | DAV -12 | JOES W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Joseph's
27 games played
Straight up
17-10
63% wins
Against the spread
15-12
56% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-18
33% overs · avg −4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LAF | W 85-76 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | vs DREX | W 76-65 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 12 | @ VT | L 59-94 | +12.5 | L −22.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 17 | @ PENN | L 74-83 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 20 | @ UNLV | L 85-99 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 30 | vs PRIN | W 60-58 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 6 | vs TEM | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs COPP | W 87-65 | -22.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 11 | @ SYR | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 18 | vs DSU | W 67-51 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 22 | vs CCU | L 62-68 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 31 | @ SLU | L 79-102 | +19.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 3 | vsDAV | L 56-62 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | vs DUQ | W 97-90 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 11 | @ RICH | W 67-65 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 14 | vs SBU | W 68-64 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 19 | @ VCU | L 72-79 | +14.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 24 | vs DAY | W 81-74 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 27 | @ LUC | W 85-64 | -1.5 | W +19.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | @ LAS | W 67-58 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 4 | vs GW | W 76-73 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 7 | @ GMU | L 52-60 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | U 112 |
| Feb 10 | vs FOR | L 64-68 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 135.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 18 | @SBU | W 71-65 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 21 | vsLUC | W 75-61 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 25 | vsGMU | W 81-63 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 136.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 28 | @ URI | W 61-55 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
−4.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−22.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−14.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
−3.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 60-58
−3.5
6
vsTEM
TEMW 70-69
+2.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-65
−0.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 63-71
+3.5
18
vsDSU
DSUW 67-51
−1.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 62-68
−13.5
31
@SLU
SLUL 79-102
−3.5
3
vsDAV
DAVL 56-62
−4.5
7
vsDUQ
DUQW 97-90
+8.5
11
@RICH
RICHW 67-65
+9.5
14
vsSBU
SBUW 68-64
+5.5
19
@VCU
VCUL 72-79
+7.5
24
vsDAY
DAYW 81-74
+13.5
27
@LUC
LUCW 85-64
+19.5
31
@LAS
LASW 67-58
+6.5
4
vsGW
GWW 76-73
+4.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 52-60
−1.5
10
vsFOR
FORL 64-68
−7.5
18
@SBU
SBUW 71-65
+11.5
21
vsLUC
LUCW 75-61
+4.5
25
vsGMU
GMUW 81-63
+19.5
28
@URI
URIW 61-55
+8.5
covered 15didn’t cover 12avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
+22.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−5.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−6.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
+22.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 60-58
−28.5
6
vsTEM
TEMW 70-69
−8.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-65
+5.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 63-71
−12.5
18
vsDSU
DSUW 67-51
−19.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 62-68
−14.5
31
@SLU
SLUL 79-102
+19.5
3
vsDAV
DAVL 56-62
−21.5
7
vsDUQ
DUQW 97-90
+37.5
11
@RICH
RICHW 67-65
−18.5
14
vsSBU
SBUW 68-64
−15.5
19
@VCU
VCUL 72-79
−0.5
24
vsDAY
DAYW 81-74
+15.5
27
@LUC
LUCW 85-64
+5.5
31
@LAS
LASW 67-58
−17.5
4
vsGW
GWW 76-73
−6.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 52-60
−27.5
10
vsFOR
FORL 64-68
−3.5
18
@SBU
SBUW 71-65
−11.5
21
vsLUC
LUCW 75-61
−6.5
25
vsGMU
GMUW 81-63
+7.5
28
@URI
URIW 61-55
−25.5
over 9under 18avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Davidson
27 games played
Straight up
16-11
59% wins
Against the spread
12-15
44% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-15
44% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs WSU | W 85-69 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 11 | @ CLT | W 62-55 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 15 | vs BGSU | W 91-87 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 21 | vs BC | W 59-49 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 23 | vs USU | L 60-94 | +9.5 | L −24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 28 | vs NCAT | W 90-74 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 4 | vs CIT | W 79-63 | -18.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 7 | vs SMC | L 61-70 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs MERC | W 80-47 | -11.5 | W +21.5 | 132.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 18 | vsTEM | L 63-68 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 22 | @ KU | L 61-90 | +14.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 30 | vsDUQ | L 83-89 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 3 | @JOES | W 62-56 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | @LUC | W 79-64 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | vsURI | L 45-70 | -2.5 | L −27.5 | 134.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 14 | @GW | W 84-79 | +9.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 21 | vsFOR | W 68-63 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 24 | vsVCU | L 69-75 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @GMU | L 52-60 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 134.5 | U 112 |
| Jan 31 | @RICH | W 79-54 | +1.5 | W +26.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 3 | vsSLU | L 82-91 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 6 | vsLUC | W 84-64 | -9.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 15 | @DAY | L 59-70 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 18 | vsRICH | W 65-63 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 21 | @FOR | L 59-63 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 131.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 25 | @DUQ | W 67-56 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Mar 1 | vsLAS | W 71-64 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 133.5 | O 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsWSU
WSUW 85-69
+11.5
11
@CLT
CLTW 62-55
+8.5
15
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-87
−0.5
21
vsBC
BCW 59-49
+11.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 60-94
−24.5
28
vsNCAT
NCATW 90-74
+2.5
4
vsCIT
CITW 79-63
−2.5
7
vsSMC
SMCL 61-70
−0.5
13
vsMERC
MERCW 80-47
+21.5
18
vsTEM
TEML 63-68
−10.5
22
@KU
KUL 61-90
−14.5
30
vsDUQ
DUQL 83-89
−8.5
3
@JOES
JOESW 62-56
+4.5
7
@LUC
LUCW 79-64
+13.5
10
vsURI
URIL 45-70
−27.5
14
@GW
GWW 84-79
+14.5
21
vsFOR
FORW 68-63
+0.5
24
vsVCU
VCUL 69-75
−0.5
28
@GMU
GMUL 52-60
−1.5
31
@RICH
RICHW 79-54
+26.5
3
vsSLU
SLUL 82-91
−0.5
6
vsLUC
LUCW 84-64
+10.5
15
@DAY
DAYL 59-70
−5.5
18
vsRICH
RICHW 65-63
−3.5
21
@FOR
FORL 59-63
−5.5
25
@DUQ
DUQW 67-56
+14.5
1
vsLAS
LASW 71-64
−3.5
covered 12didn’t cover 15avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsWSU
WSUW 85-69
+0.5
11
@CLT
CLTW 62-55
−26.5
15
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-87
+33.5
21
vsBC
BCW 59-49
−32.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 60-94
+6.5
28
vsNCAT
NCATW 90-74
+18.5
4
vsCIT
CITW 79-63
+4.5
7
vsSMC
SMCL 61-70
−6.5
13
vsMERC
MERCW 80-47
−5.5
18
vsTEM
TEML 63-68
−10.5
22
@KU
KUL 61-90
+11.5
30
vsDUQ
DUQL 83-89
+21.5
3
@JOES
JOESW 62-56
−21.5
7
@LUC
LUCW 79-64
+6.5
10
vsURI
URIL 45-70
−19.5
14
@GW
GWW 84-79
+12.5
21
vsFOR
FORW 68-63
−4.5
24
vsVCU
VCUL 69-75
−4.5
28
@GMU
GMUL 52-60
−22.5
31
@RICH
RICHW 79-54
−7.5
3
vsSLU
SLUL 82-91
+21.5
6
vsLUC
LUCW 84-64
+7.5
15
@DAY
DAYL 59-70
−11.5
18
vsRICH
RICHW 65-63
−13.5
21
@FOR
FORL 59-63
−9.5
25
@DUQ
DUQW 67-56
−19.5
1
vsLAS
LASW 71-64
+1.5
over 12under 15avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Joseph's
17-10 overall · 11-5 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Rhode Island61–55
- Wvs George Mason81–63
- Wvs Loyola Chicago75–61
- W@ St Bonaventure71–65
- Lvs Fordham64–68
4 days since their last game.
Davidson
16-11 overall · 9-7 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs La Salle71–64
- W@ Duquesne67–56
- L@ Fordham59–63
- Wvs Richmond65–63
- L@ Dayton59–70
3 days since their last game.