Reilly Center · at St Bonaventure · Conference game
Closing line
SBU -5.5✓ JOES covered by 11.5
SBU -5.5✓ JOES covered by 11.5Closing total147.5Under by 11.5
 JOES | This season | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| 13-10 | Record | 13-11 |
| 11-12 | ATS | 9-15 |
| 8-15 | O/U | 15-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JOES 72–75 SBU · ✗ SBU (59%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JOES | 28 | 43 | 71 |
| SBU | 30 | 35 | 65 |
1st half: JOES 28, SBU 30 (SBU by 2). The model had SBU by 1.4 and a total of 69.0 (actual 58).
Team stats
| JOES | SBU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-67 39% | Field goals | 25-69 36% |
| 10-33 30% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 9-13 69% | Free throws | 6-6 100% |
| 44 13 off | Rebounds | 43 13 off |
| 20 | Assists | 15 |
| 4 | Steals | 7 |
| 6 | Blocks | 9 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| JOES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Williford G | 40 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 5-12 | 4-9 |
| Derek Simpson G | 38 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 6-13 | 4-7 |
| Jaiden Glover-Toscano G | 36 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 5-15 | 0-7 |
| Justice Ajogbor C | 33 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 6-11 | 0-0 |
| Dasear Haskins F | 32 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 4-12 | 2-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Finkley F | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Jaden Smith C | 7 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Mekai Johnson G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Billy Rayer, Deuce Jones, Al Amadou, Khaafiq Myers, Kevin Kearney, Steven Solano, Will Lange, Owen Verna
| SBU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darryl Simmons II G | 39 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 7-18 | 4-10 |
| Dasonte Bowen G | 38 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 5-16 | 3-5 |
| Cayden Charles G | 37 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 3-10 | 1-2 |
| Frank Mitchell F | 36 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Daniel Egbuniwe F | 19 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andrew Osasuyi F | 16 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Joe Grahovac F | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Achille Lonati G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: John Ikpotokin, Ilia Ermakov, Brayden Jackson, Xander Wedlow, Broek Ostrom, Amar'e Marshall, Jack DeRose
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSBU -5.5
ModelSBU -2.6
Model edgeJOES +2.9
W JOES covered
Total
Market147.5
Model147.4
Model edgeUnder 0.1
W Under
Projected score
JOES 72.4 · SBU 75
JOES 71 · SBU 65
Win probability
SBU 59%
1st half
Spread
SBU -1.4
SBU -2.0
Total
69.0
58 points
Projected score
JOES 33.8 · SBU 35.2
JOES 28 · SBU 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSBU -5.5
no move
CloseSBU -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open145.5
▲ 2
Close147.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
JOES +180 · SBU -218
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SBU -5.5 · unchangedmodel SBU -2.5
model SBU -2.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 2 upmodel 147.5 matches the line
model 147.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JOES | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% |
| SBU | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
JOES 2–4 SBUSBU leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · JOES has won the last 2 meetings · JOES 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025-26 | SBU 64 @ JOES 68 | JOES +1.5 | JOES W |
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | SBU 64 @ JOES 75 | JOES -6.5 | JOES W |
| Jan 26, 2023-24 | JOES 72 @ SBU 91 | SBU -2.5 | SBU W |
| Feb 26, 2022-23 | JOES 76 @ SBU 89 | SBU -4.5 | SBU W |
| Feb 26, 2021-22 | SBU 54 @ JOES 52 | JOES +7 | JOES W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Joseph's
23 games played
Straight up
13-10
57% wins
Against the spread
11-12
48% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-15
35% overs · avg −3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LAF | W 85-76 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | vs DREX | W 76-65 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 12 | @ VT | L 59-94 | +12.5 | L −22.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 17 | @ PENN | L 74-83 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 20 | @ UNLV | L 85-99 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 30 | vs PRIN | W 60-58 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 6 | vs TEM | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs COPP | W 87-65 | -22.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 11 | @ SYR | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 18 | vs DSU | W 67-51 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 22 | vs CCU | L 62-68 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 31 | @ SLU | L 79-102 | +19.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 3 | vs DAV | L 56-62 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | vs DUQ | W 97-90 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 11 | @ RICH | W 67-65 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 14 | vsSBU | W 68-64 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 19 | @ VCU | L 72-79 | +14.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 24 | vs DAY | W 81-74 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 27 | @ LUC | W 85-64 | -1.5 | W +19.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | @ LAS | W 67-58 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 4 | vs GW | W 76-73 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 7 | @ GMU | L 52-60 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | U 112 |
| Feb 10 | vs FOR | L 64-68 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 135.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
−4.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−22.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−14.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
−3.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 60-58
−3.5
6
vsTEM
TEMW 70-69
+2.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-65
−0.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 63-71
+3.5
18
vsDSU
DSUW 67-51
−1.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 62-68
−13.5
31
@SLU
SLUL 79-102
−3.5
3
vsDAV
DAVL 56-62
−4.5
7
vsDUQ
DUQW 97-90
+8.5
11
@RICH
RICHW 67-65
+9.5
14
vsSBU
SBUW 68-64
+5.5
19
@VCU
VCUL 72-79
+7.5
24
vsDAY
DAYW 81-74
+13.5
27
@LUC
LUCW 85-64
+19.5
31
@LAS
LASW 67-58
+6.5
4
vsGW
GWW 76-73
+4.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 52-60
−1.5
10
vsFOR
FORL 64-68
−7.5
covered 11didn’t cover 12avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
+22.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−5.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−6.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
+22.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 60-58
−28.5
6
vsTEM
TEMW 70-69
−8.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-65
+5.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 63-71
−12.5
18
vsDSU
DSUW 67-51
−19.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 62-68
−14.5
31
@SLU
SLUL 79-102
+19.5
3
vsDAV
DAVL 56-62
−21.5
7
vsDUQ
DUQW 97-90
+37.5
11
@RICH
RICHW 67-65
−18.5
14
vsSBU
SBUW 68-64
−15.5
19
@VCU
VCUL 72-79
−0.5
24
vsDAY
DAYW 81-74
+15.5
27
@LUC
LUCW 85-64
+5.5
31
@LAS
LASW 67-58
−17.5
4
vsGW
GWW 76-73
−6.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 52-60
−27.5
10
vsFOR
FORL 64-68
−3.5
over 8under 15avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
St Bonaventure
24 games played
Straight up
13-11
54% wins
Against the spread
9-15
38% covers · avg −3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-9
63% overs · avg +4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BRAD | W 69-63 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs CAN | W 89-70 | -21.5 | L −2.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs SIE | W 75-66 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 15 | vs YSU | W 84-80 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 20 | vs RMU | W 75-61 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNC | L 70-85 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 27 | vs ECU | W 67-58 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 30 | @ FAU | W 70-65 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 6 | @ BUF | W 77-69 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 10 | vs COLG | W 85-77 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 13 | vs OHIO | L 83-88 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 20 | vs LEM | W 92-81 | -21.5 | L −10.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 31 | @VCU | L 82-89 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 7 | vsRICH | L 80-89 | -6.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vsFOR | L 77-81 | -8.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 14 | @JOES | L 64-68 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 17 | @LAS | L 74-78 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 20 | vsLUC | W 84-70 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 23 | vsSLU | L 62-97 | +8.5 | L −26.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 28 | @DUQ | W 87-79 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 31 | vsGMU | L 73-77 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 3 | @DAY | L 70-72 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 7 | @FOR | W 70-67 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 14 | vsDUQ | L 73-78 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBRAD
BRADW 69-63
+4.5
8
vsCAN
CANW 89-70
−2.5
12
vsSIE
SIEW 75-66
−0.5
15
vsYSU
YSUW 84-80
−5.5
20
vsRMU
RMUW 75-61
+2.5
25
vsUNC
UNCL 70-85
−4.5
27
vsECU
ECUW 67-58
−1.5
30
@FAU
FAUW 70-65
+6.5
6
@BUF
BUFW 77-69
+2.5
10
vsCOLG
COLGW 85-77
−1.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOL 83-88
−11.5
20
vsLEM
LEMW 92-81
−10.5
31
@VCU
VCUL 82-89
+2.5
7
vsRICH
RICHL 80-89
−15.5
10
vsFOR
FORL 77-81
−12.5
14
@JOES
JOESL 64-68
−5.5
17
@LAS
LASL 74-78
−9.5
20
vsLUC
LUCW 84-70
+3.5
23
vsSLU
SLUL 62-97
−26.5
28
@DUQ
DUQW 87-79
+11.5
31
vsGMU
GMUL 73-77
−2.5
3
@DAY
DAYL 70-72
+5.5
7
@FOR
FORW 70-67
+1.5
14
vsDUQ
DUQL 73-78
−6.5
covered 9didn’t cover 15avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBRAD
BRADW 69-63
−7.5
8
vsCAN
CANW 89-70
+22.5
12
vsSIE
SIEW 75-66
+0.5
15
vsYSU
YSUW 84-80
+17.5
20
vsRMU
RMUW 75-61
−10.5
25
vsUNC
UNCL 70-85
+2.5
27
vsECU
ECUW 67-58
−19.5
30
@FAU
FAUW 70-65
−11.5
6
@BUF
BUFW 77-69
+1.5
10
vsCOLG
COLGW 85-77
+19.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOL 83-88
+20.5
20
vsLEM
LEMW 92-81
+21.5
31
@VCU
VCUL 82-89
+13.5
7
vsRICH
RICHL 80-89
+15.5
10
vsFOR
FORL 77-81
+15.5
14
@JOES
JOESL 64-68
−15.5
17
@LAS
LASL 74-78
+10.5
20
vsLUC
LUCW 84-70
+6.5
23
vsSLU
SLUL 62-97
−0.5
28
@DUQ
DUQW 87-79
+15.5
31
vsGMU
GMUL 73-77
+7.5
3
@DAY
DAYL 70-72
−2.5
7
@FOR
FORW 70-67
−4.5
14
vsDUQ
DUQL 73-78
−1.5
over 15under 9avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Joseph's
13-10 overall · 7-5 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Fordham64–68
- L@ George Mason52–60
- Wvs G Washington76–73
- W@ La Salle67–58
- W@ Loyola Chicago85–64
A week or more of rest.
St Bonaventure
13-11 overall · 3-9 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Duquesne73–78
- W@ Fordham70–67
- L@ Dayton70–72
- Lvs George Mason73–77
- W@ Duquesne87–79
4 days since their last game.