Bud Walton Arena · at Arkansas · Conference game
Closing line
ARK -6.5✓ ARK covered by 13.5
ARK -6.5✓ ARK covered by 13.5Closing total163.5Over by 26.5
 TEX | This season | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| 17-11 | Record | 21-8 |
| 16-12 | ATS | 19-10 |
| 17-11 | O/U | 16-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TEX 82–87 ARK · ✓ ARK (68%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 34 | 51 | 85 |
| ARK | 56 | 49 | 105 |
1st half: TEX 34, ARK 56 (ARK by 22). The model had ARK by 3.0 and a total of 78.7 (actual 90).
Team stats
| TEX | ARK | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-67 49% | Field goals | 35-60 58% |
| 5-13 38% | 3-pointers | 11-19 58% |
| 14-27 52% | Free throws | 24-30 80% |
| 31 10 off | Rebounds | 35 5 off |
| 17 | Assists | 21 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 7 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 22 |
| 52 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 38 |
Players
| TEX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailyn Swain G | 34 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 5-10 | 1-1 |
| Tramon Mark G | 28 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 6-12 | 1-2 |
| Camden Heide F | 27 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Matas Vokietaitis C | 24 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 9-15 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Pope G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Simeon Wilcher G | 28 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Chendall Weaver G | 27 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Nic Codie F | 26 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Declan Duru Jr. F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Lewis Obiorah, Anthon McDermott, Brandon Taylor, John Clark, Lassina Traore, Cole Bott
| ARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Richmond III G | 37 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 3-9 | 0-1 |
| Trevon Brazile F | 36 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 9-11 | 3-5 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. G | 36 | 28 | 3 | 13 | 8-15 | 4-6 |
| Meleek Thomas G | 28 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Nick Pringle F | 14 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DJ Wagner G | 30 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 6-9 | 3-4 |
| Malique Ewin F | 15 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Sealy F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Karuletwa G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Elmir Dzafic, Karim Rtail, Paulo Semedo, Ayden Kelley, Amere Brown, Karter Knox
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketARK -6.5
ModelARK -5.3
Model edgeTEX +1.2
L ARK covered
Total
Market163.5
Model168.6
Model edgeOver 5.1
W Over
Projected score
TEX 81.6 · ARK 86.9
TEX 85 · ARK 105
Win probability
ARK 68%
1st half
Spread
ARK -3.0
ARK -22.0
Total
78.7
90 points
Projected score
TEX 37.9 · ARK 40.9
TEX 34 · ARK 56
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARK -7.5
1 → TEX
CloseARK -6.5
1 pt toward TEX
Total
Open167.5
▼ 4
Close163.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
TEX +260 · ARK -325
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARK -7.5 · closed ARK -6.5 · moved 1 toward TEXmodel ARK -5.5
model ARK -5.5
Opened 167.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 4 downmodel 168.5
model 168.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| ARK | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TEX 0–2 ARKARK leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · ARK has won the last 2 meetings · TEX 0-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | TEX 81 @ ARK 86 | ARK -2.5 | ARK W |
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | ARK 78 @ TEX 70 | TEX -6.5 | ARK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas
28 games played
Straight up
17-11
61% wins
Against the spread
16-12
57% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-11
61% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs DUKE | L 60-75 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs LAF | W 97-60 | -25.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs FDU | W 93-58 | -31.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs KC | W 71-55 | -31.5 | L −15.5 | 159.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 18 | vs RID | W 99-65 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs ASU | L 86-87 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 26 | vs NCSU | W 102-97 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVA | L 69-88 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 8 | vs SOU | W 95-69 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 12 | @ CONN | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | vs LEM | W 95-53 | -29.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 22 | vs UMES | W 94-71 | -33.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vs MSST | L 98-101 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 199 |
| Jan 6 | @ TENN | L 71-85 | +12.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @ ALA | W 92-88 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 177.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 14 | vs VAN | W 80-64 | +3.5 | W +19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs TA&M | L 70-74 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 166.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 21 | @ UK | L 80-85 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vs UGA | W 87-67 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 28 | @ AUB | L 82-88 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | @ OU | W 79-69 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 3 | vs SC | W 84-75 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 7 | vs MISS | W 79-68 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 14 | @ MIZ | W 85-68 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 17 | vs LSU | W 88-85 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 21 | @UGA | L 80-91 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 162.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 25 | vs FLA | L 71-84 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 28 | @TA&M | W 76-70 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−4.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+11.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
+3.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−15.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+3.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
−7.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+6.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
−22.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+3.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
+3.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
+12.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
−10.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
−12.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
−1.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+15.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
+19.5
17
vsTA&M
TA&ML 70-74
−8.5
21
@UK
UKL 80-85
+2.5
24
vsUGA
UGAW 87-67
+16.5
28
@AUB
AUBL 82-88
+0.5
31
@OU
OUW 79-69
+8.5
3
vsSC
SCW 84-75
−4.5
7
vsMISS
MISSW 79-68
+1.5
14
@MIZ
MIZW 85-68
+19.5
17
vsLSU
LSUW 88-85
−7.5
21
@UGA
UGAL 80-91
−8.5
25
vsFLA
FLAL 71-84
−6.5
28
@TA&M
TA&MW 76-70
+8.5
covered 16didn’t cover 12avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−18.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+3.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
−7.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−33.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+20.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
+19.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+37.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
+2.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+5.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
−11.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
−4.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
+26.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
+41.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
+2.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+2.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
−19.5
17
vsTA&M
TA&ML 70-74
−22.5
21
@UK
UKL 80-85
+12.5
24
vsUGA
UGAW 87-67
−14.5
28
@AUB
AUBL 82-88
+15.5
31
@OU
OUW 79-69
−7.5
3
vsSC
SCW 84-75
+9.5
7
vsMISS
MISSW 79-68
+1.5
14
@MIZ
MIZW 85-68
+2.5
17
vsLSU
LSUW 88-85
+22.5
21
@UGA
UGAL 80-91
+8.5
25
vsFLA
FLAL 71-84
−2.5
28
@TA&M
TA&MW 76-70
−13.5
over 17under 11avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arkansas
29 games played
Straight up
21-8
72% wins
Against the spread
19-10
66% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-13
55% overs · avg +6.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsSOU | W 109-77 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 8 | @ MSU | L 66-69 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | vs CARK | W 93-56 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAM | W 79-75 | -24.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs WIN | W 84-83 | -23.5 | L −22.5 | 168.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs JKST | W 115-61 | -29.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 27 | vsDUKE | L 71-80 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs LOU | W 89-80 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs FRES | W 82-58 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs TTU | W 93-86 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs QUC | W 108-80 | -23.5 | W +4.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | vs HOU | L 85-94 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs JMU | W 103-74 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 3 | vsTENN | W 86-75 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 7 | @MISS | W 94-87 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | @AUB | L 73-95 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | vsSC | W 108-74 | -12.5 | W +21.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | @UGA | L 76-90 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 181.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 20 | vsVAN | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 24 | vsLSU | W 85-81 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 27 | @OU | W 83-79 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 167.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 31 | vsUK | L 77-85 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 7 | @MSST | W 88-68 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 10 | @LSU | W 91-62 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 14 | vsAUB | W 88-75 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 18 | @ALA | L 115-117 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 181.5 | O 232 |
| Feb 21 | vsMIZ | W 94-86 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 25 | vsTA&M | W 99-84 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 170.5 | O 183 |
| Feb 28 | @FLA | L 77-111 | +9.5 | L −24.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+5.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−0.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
+1.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−20.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−22.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+24.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
+3.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+10.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
+4.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+9.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+4.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
−3.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+5.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+12.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+3.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−19.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+21.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−11.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
+23.5
24
vsLSU
LSUW 85-81
−6.5
27
@OU
OUW 83-79
+0.5
31
vsUK
UKL 77-85
−14.5
7
@MSST
MSSTW 88-68
+14.5
10
@LSU
LSUW 91-62
+24.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 88-75
+5.5
18
@ALA
ALAL 115-117
+1.5
21
vsMIZ
MIZW 94-86
−1.5
25
vsTA&M
TA&MW 99-84
+7.5
28
@FLA
FLAL 77-111
−24.5
covered 19didn’t cover 10avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+35.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−20.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
−9.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−4.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−1.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+16.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
−8.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+2.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
−21.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+23.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+18.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
+32.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+17.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+2.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+27.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−1.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+26.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−15.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
−12.5
24
vsLSU
LSUW 85-81
+2.5
27
@OU
OUW 83-79
−5.5
31
vsUK
UKL 77-85
+2.5
7
@MSST
MSSTW 88-68
−7.5
10
@LSU
LSUW 91-62
−6.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 88-75
−2.5
18
@ALA
ALAL 115-117
+50.5
21
vsMIZ
MIZW 94-86
+20.5
25
vsTA&M
TA&MW 99-84
+12.5
28
@FLA
FLAL 77-111
+18.5
over 16under 13avg +6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas
17-11 overall · 9-7 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Texas A&M76–70
- Lvs Florida71–84
- L@ Georgia80–91
- Wvs LSU88–85
- W@ Missouri85–68
4 days since their last game.
Arkansas
21-8 overall · 11-5 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Florida77–111
- Wvs Texas A&M99–84
- Wvs Missouri94–86
- L@ Alabama115–117
- Wvs Auburn88–75
4 days since their last game.