Mercyhurst Athletic Center · at Mercyhurst · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
MERC -3.5✓ MERC covered by 5.5
MERC -3.5✓ MERC covered by 5.5Closing total131.5Under by 0.5
 FDU | This season | MERC |
|---|---|---|
| 8-20 | Record | 13-16 |
| 10-18 | ATS | 19-9 |
| 10-18 | O/U | 14-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FDU 65–71 MERC · ✓ MERC (69%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FDU | 28 | 33 | 61 |
| MERC | 35 | 35 | 70 |
1st half: FDU 28, MERC 35 (MERC by 7). The model had MERC by 3.3 and a total of 63.7 (actual 63).
Team stats
| FDU | MERC | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-54 39% | Field goals | 25-49 51% |
| 5-23 22% | 3-pointers | 6-17 35% |
| 14-21 67% | Free throws | 14-16 88% |
| 32 11 off | Rebounds | 33 4 off |
| 8 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 0 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| FDU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Niesman G | 39 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 5-15 | 2-10 |
| Cyril Martynov C | 31 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| David Jevtic G | 31 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 4-10 | 3-5 |
| Taeshaud Jackson F | 26 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Eric Parnell G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Arthur Cox F | 24 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Ras Elijah Godbolt G | 24 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Raysean Johnson G | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Tyler McQuaid, Sebastian Haubro, Kody Frey, Cole Alexander, Andrew Canda, Josiah Francis, Chid Ekwommadu, Noah Melson
| MERC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qadir Martin F | 34 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Jake Lemelman G | 34 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 7-13 | 3-6 |
| Bernie Blunt III G | 32 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 6-15 | 2-6 |
| Mykolas Ivanauskas F | 17 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Christian Gamble G | 16 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kaden Fuhrmann G | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| DeShaun Jackson Jr. PG | 16 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Johnson F | 14 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Sean Lang G | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| James Thomas F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Or Faran, Vladimir Pavlovic, Chris Leman, Brady Conner, Emilis Butkus
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMERC -3.5
ModelMERC -5.7
Model edgeMERC +2.2
W MERC covered
Total
Market131.5
Model136.1
Model edgeOver 4.6
L Under
Projected score
FDU 65.2 · MERC 70.9
FDU 61 · MERC 70
Win probability
MERC 69%
1st half
Spread
MERC -3.3
MERC -7.0
Total
63.7
63 points
Projected score
FDU 30.2 · MERC 33.5
FDU 28 · MERC 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMERC -4.5
1 → FDU
CloseMERC -3.5
1 pt toward FDU
Total
Open134.5
▼ 3
Close131.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
FDU +150 · MERC -180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MERC -4.5 · closed MERC -3.5 · moved 1 toward FDUmodel MERC -5.5
model MERC -5.5
Opened 134.5 · closed 131.5 · moved 3 downmodel 136
model 136
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FDU | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
| MERC | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
FDU 2–2 MERCSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · FDU has won the last 2 meetings · FDU 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2025-26 | MERC 52 @ FDU 55 | FDU -2.5 | FDU W |
| Jan 2, 2025-26 | FDU 74 @ MERC 67 | MERC -5.5 | FDU W |
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | FDU 60 @ MERC 65 | MERC +2.5 | MERC W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | MERC 67 @ FDU 60 | FDU -5.5 | MERC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
FDU
28 games played
Straight up
8-20
29% wins
Against the spread
10-18
36% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-18
36% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ISU | L 50-88 | +37.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 8 | @ SPU | L 83-93 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 12 | @ TEX | L 58-93 | +31.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | @ NJIT | L 81-93 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 24 | vs ETAM | L 65-70 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 26 | vs ARMY | L 73-81 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 2 | @ PROV | L 64-94 | +26.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Dec 10 | @ FOR | L 54-75 | +11.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 22 | @ BC | L 61-72 | +16.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | @ MINN | L 43-60 | +25.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | U 103 |
| Jan 2 | @MERC | W 74-67 | +5.5 | W +12.5 | 133.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | @ SFPA | L 82-85 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 8 | vs CHST | W 70-63 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @ NHVN | L 55-65 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 130.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 17 | vs LIU | L 59-66 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 19 | vs WAG | W 68-61 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 23 | @ CCSU | W 76-66 | +7.5 | W +17.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 26 | vs LEM | L 74-87 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 29 | @ STO | L 57-58 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 131.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 31 | @WAG | L 72-75 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 133.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 5 | vsSTO | W 74-58 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Feb 7 | vsMERC | W 55-52 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 131.5 | U 107 |
| Feb 12 | vsSFPA | W 66-59 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 14 | vsCCSU | L 57-63 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 133.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 19 | @CHST | W 60-59 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 131.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 21 | vsNHVN | L 77-84 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 123.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 26 | @LEM | L 59-76 | +4.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 28 | @LIU | L 60-74 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ISU
ISUL 50-88
−0.5
8
@SPU
SPUL 83-93
−3.5
12
@TEX
TEXL 58-93
−3.5
15
@NJIT
NJITL 81-93
−9.5
24
vsETAM
ETAML 65-70
−1.5
26
vsARMY
ARMYL 73-81
−12.5
2
@PROV
PROVL 64-94
−3.5
10
@FOR
FORL 54-75
−9.5
22
@BC
BCL 61-72
+5.5
29
@MINN
MINNL 43-60
+8.5
2
@MERC
MERCW 74-67
+12.5
4
@SFPA
SFPAL 82-85
−5.5
8
vsCHST
CHSTW 70-63
+2.5
10
@NHVN
NHVNL 55-65
−8.5
17
vsLIU
LIUL 59-66
+0.5
19
vsWAG
WAGW 68-61
+4.5
23
@CCSU
CCSUW 76-66
+17.5
26
vsLEM
LEML 74-87
−14.5
29
@STO
STOL 57-58
+1.5
31
@WAG
WAGL 72-75
−1.5
5
vsSTO
STOW 74-58
+14.5
7
vsMERC
MERCW 55-52
+0.5
12
vsSFPA
SFPAW 66-59
−0.5
14
vsCCSU
CCSUL 57-63
−7.5
19
@CHST
CHSTW 60-59
−0.5
21
vsNHVN
NHVNL 77-84
−9.5
26
@LEM
LEML 59-76
−12.5
28
@LIU
LIUL 60-74
−4.5
covered 10didn’t cover 18avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ISU
ISUL 50-88
−9.5
8
@SPU
SPUL 83-93
+38.5
12
@TEX
TEXL 58-93
−7.5
15
@NJIT
NJITL 81-93
+27.5
24
vsETAM
ETAML 65-70
−14.5
26
vsARMY
ARMYL 73-81
+1.5
2
@PROV
PROVL 64-94
−4.5
10
@FOR
FORL 54-75
−12.5
22
@BC
BCL 61-72
−8.5
29
@MINN
MINNL 43-60
−36.5
2
@MERC
MERCW 74-67
+7.5
4
@SFPA
SFPAL 82-85
+23.5
8
vsCHST
CHSTW 70-63
−10.5
10
@NHVN
NHVNL 55-65
−10.5
17
vsLIU
LIUL 59-66
−18.5
19
vsWAG
WAGW 68-61
−8.5
23
@CCSU
CCSUW 76-66
+1.5
26
vsLEM
LEML 74-87
+21.5
29
@STO
STOL 57-58
−16.5
31
@WAG
WAGL 72-75
+13.5
5
vsSTO
STOW 74-58
+1.5
7
vsMERC
MERCW 55-52
−24.5
12
vsSFPA
SFPAW 66-59
−16.5
14
vsCCSU
CCSUL 57-63
−13.5
19
@CHST
CHSTW 60-59
−12.5
21
vsNHVN
NHVNL 77-84
+37.5
26
@LEM
LEML 59-76
−4.5
28
@LIU
LIUL 60-74
−3.5
over 10under 18avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mercyhurst
29 games played
Straight up
13-16
45% wins
Against the spread
19-9
68% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-14
50% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NU | L 47-70 | +26.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 6 | @ LUC | W 73-65 | +21.5 | W +29.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @ CAN | L 55-58 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 15 | vs MORG | W 86-72 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 20 | @ M-OH | L 71-76 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 23 | @ MRSH | L 60-69 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 30 | @ WVU | L 38-70 | +21.5 | L −10.5 | 127.5 | U 108 |
| Dec 5 | @ LAF | L 71-79 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ DAV | L 47-80 | +11.5 | L −21.5 | 132.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 17 | @ SYR | L 62-76 | +24.5 | W +10.5 | 131.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs BING | W 82-61 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 132.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 2 | vsFDU | L 67-74 | -5.5 | L −12.5 | 133.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | vsLEM | W 74-60 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 8 | @LIU | L 58-60 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 10 | @WAG | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 132.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 17 | vsSTO | L 57-62 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 128.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 19 | vsCCSU | W 79-61 | -1.5 | W +16.5 | 132.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 23 | @NHVN | W 61-57 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 122.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 25 | vsCHST | W 61-59 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 131.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | vsNHVN | W 70-51 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 122.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 31 | @CHST | L 74-78 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 129.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 5 | vsSFPA | W 98-89 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 187 |
| Feb 7 | @FDU | L 52-55 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 131.5 | U 107 |
| Feb 12 | @LEM | L 57-58 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 14 | @SFPA | W 94-79 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 19 | vsWAG | L 80-83 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 21 | vsLIU | W 91-83 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 26 | @CCSU | L 78-80 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 28 | @STO | W 75-72 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NU
NUL 47-70
+3.5
6
@LUC
LUCW 73-65
+29.5
12
@CAN
CANL 55-58
−4.5
15
vsMORG
MORGW 86-72
+7.5
20
@M-OH
M-OHL 71-76
+10.5
23
@MRSH
MRSHL 60-69
+2.5
30
@WVU
WVUL 38-70
−10.5
13
@DAV
DAVL 47-80
−21.5
17
@SYR
SYRL 62-76
+10.5
20
vsBING
BINGW 82-61
+13.5
2
vsFDU
FDUL 67-74
−12.5
4
vsLEM
LEMW 74-60
+11.5
8
@LIU
LIUL 58-60
+6.5
10
@WAG
WAGW 70-69
+2.5
17
vsSTO
STOL 57-62
−9.5
19
vsCCSU
CCSUW 79-61
+16.5
23
@NHVN
NHVNW 61-57
+2.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 61-59
−7.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 70-51
+13.5
31
@CHST
CHSTL 74-78
−6.5
5
vsSFPA
SFPAW 98-89
+2.5
7
@FDU
FDUL 52-55
−0.5
12
@LEM
LEML 57-58
+1.5
14
@SFPA
SFPAW 94-79
+12.5
19
vsWAG
WAGL 80-83
−6.5
21
vsLIU
LIUW 91-83
+11.5
26
@CCSU
CCSUL 78-80
+1.5
28
@STO
STOW 75-72
+1.5
covered 19didn’t cover 9avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NU
NUL 47-70
−23.5
6
@LUC
LUCW 73-65
−6.5
12
@CAN
CANL 55-58
−22.5
15
vsMORG
MORGW 86-72
+11.5
20
@M-OH
M-OHL 71-76
+7.5
23
@MRSH
MRSHL 60-69
−18.5
30
@WVU
WVUL 38-70
−19.5
13
@DAV
DAVL 47-80
−5.5
17
@SYR
SYRL 62-76
+6.5
20
vsBING
BINGW 82-61
+10.5
2
vsFDU
FDUL 67-74
+7.5
4
vsLEM
LEMW 74-60
−7.5
8
@LIU
LIUL 58-60
−21.5
10
@WAG
WAGW 70-69
+6.5
17
vsSTO
STOL 57-62
−9.5
19
vsCCSU
CCSUW 79-61
+7.5
23
@NHVN
NHVNW 61-57
−4.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 61-59
−11.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 70-51
−1.5
31
@CHST
CHSTL 74-78
+22.5
5
vsSFPA
SFPAW 98-89
+49.5
7
@FDU
FDUL 52-55
−24.5
12
@LEM
LEML 57-58
−23.5
14
@SFPA
SFPAW 94-79
+34.5
19
vsWAG
WAGL 80-83
+29.5
21
vsLIU
LIUW 91-83
+33.5
26
@CCSU
CCSUL 78-80
+16.5
28
@STO
STOW 75-72
+9.5
over 14under 14avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
FDU
8-20 overall · 8-10 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Long Island60–74
- L@ Le Moyne59–76
- Lvs New Haven77–84
- W@ Chicago St60–59
- Lvs C Connecticut57–63
4 days since their last game.
Mercyhurst
13-16 overall · 10-8 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Stonehill75–72
- L@ C Connecticut78–80
- Wvs Long Island91–83
- Lvs Wagner80–83
- W@ Saint Francis Red Wolves94–79
4 days since their last game.