Moody Coliseum (Dallas) · at SMU · Conference game
Closing line
SMU -1.5✓ MIA covered by 9.5
SMU -1.5✓ MIA covered by 9.5Closing total156.5Under by 10.5
 MIA | This season | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| 23-6 | Record | 19-10 |
| 16-13 | ATS | 13-16 |
| 18-11 | O/U | 17-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MIA 80–82 SMU · ✗ SMU (56%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 38 | 39 | 77 |
| SMU | 31 | 38 | 69 |
1st half: MIA 38, SMU 31 (MIA by 7). The model had SMU by 0.9 and a total of 75.3 (actual 69).
Team stats
| MIA | SMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-57 47% | Field goals | 26-63 41% |
| 11-18 61% | 3-pointers | 8-24 33% |
| 12-18 67% | Free throws | 9-11 82% |
| 37 12 off | Rebounds | 34 13 off |
| 20 | Assists | 12 |
| 7 | Steals | 10 |
| 4 | Blocks | 7 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| MIA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Donaldson G | 36 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 6-15 | 3-5 |
| Shelton Henderson F | 36 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Malik Reneau F | 32 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 4-14 | 2-3 |
| Ernest Udeh Jr. C | 27 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Dante Allen G | 23 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tru Washington G | 28 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Noam Dovrat G | 14 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-5 | 4-5 |
| Salih Altuntas C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jordyn Kee, JJ Laboy, Timo Malovec, Treyvon Maddox, Marcus Allen
| SMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron Pierre Jr. G | 40 | 27 | 4 | 2 | 9-18 | 6-11 |
| Boopie Miller G | 40 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 8-17 | 1-5 |
| Samet Yigitoglu C | 36 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. F | 25 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Corey Washington F | 24 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-10 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Toombs F | 22 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| B.J. Davis-Ray G | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chance Puryear, Sam Walters, Billy White III, Niccolo Kalischer-Stork, Mitchell Holmes, Trey Utter, B.J. Edwards, Nigel Walls
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSMU -2.5
1 → MIA
CloseSMU -1.5
1 pt toward MIA
Total
Open160.5
▼ 4
Close156.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
MIA +110 · SMU -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SMU -2.5 · closed SMU -1.5 · moved 1 toward MIAmodel SMU -1.5 matches the line
model SMU -1.5 = line ✓
Opened 160.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 4 downmodel 161
model 161
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SMU -1.5 | SMU -1.7 | SMU +0.2 | L MIA covered |
| Total | 156.5 | 161.2 | Over 4.7 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | MIA 79.7 · SMU 81.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SMU -0.9 | MIA -7.0 |
| 1H total | 75.3 | 69 |
| 1H projected score | MIA 37.2 · SMU 38.1 | MIA 38 · SMU 31 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| SMU | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MIA 0–1 SMUSMU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · MIA 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | SMU 117 @ MIA 74 | MIA +6.5 | SMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Miami
29 games played
Straight up
23-6
79% wins
Against the spread
16-13
55% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-11
62% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JAX | W 86-69 | -18.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 6 | vs BCU | W 101-61 | -16.5 | W +23.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 10 | vs STET | W 102-61 | -34.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 16 | vs FLA | L 68-82 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 171.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 20 | vs ELON | W 99-72 | -19.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DSU | W 97-41 | -34.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 27 | vs BYU | L 62-72 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 28 | vs GTWN | W 78-65 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 2 | @ MISS | W 75-66 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | vs USM | W 88-64 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 13 | vs ULM | W 104-79 | -35.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 16 | vs FIU | W 98-81 | -22.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 21 | vs UNF | W 105-67 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 171.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 30 | vs PITT | W 76-69 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 7 | @ WAKE | W 81-77 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | vs GT | W 91-81 | -15.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 13 | @ ND | W 81-69 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 17 | @ CLEM | L 59-69 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 20 | vs FSU | L 63-65 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | @ SYR | W 85-76 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 28 | vs STAN | W 79-70 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | vs CAL | L 85-86 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 7 | @ BC | W 74-68 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 10 | vs UNC | W 75-66 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 14 | @ NCSU | W 77-76 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 17 | vs VT | W 67-66 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 21 | @ UVA | L 83-86 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 24 | @FSU | W 83-73 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | vsBC | W 76-54 | -15.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJAX
JAXW 86-69
−1.5
6
vsBCU
BCUW 101-61
+23.5
10
vsSTET
STETW 102-61
+6.5
16
vsFLA
FLAL 68-82
−3.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 99-72
+7.5
23
vsDSU
DSUW 97-41
+21.5
27
vsBYU
BYUL 62-72
−2.5
28
vsGTWN
GTWNW 78-65
+7.5
2
@MISS
MISSW 75-66
+10.5
6
vsUSM
USMW 88-64
+4.5
13
vsULM
ULMW 104-79
−10.5
16
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
−5.5
21
vsUNF
UNFW 105-67
+0.5
30
vsPITT
PITTW 76-69
−2.5
7
@WAKE
WAKEW 81-77
+5.5
10
vsGT
GTW 91-81
−5.5
13
@ND
NDW 81-69
+6.5
17
@CLEM
CLEML 59-69
−5.5
20
vsFSU
FSUL 63-65
−12.5
24
@SYR
SYRW 85-76
+7.5
28
vsSTAN
STANW 79-70
−0.5
31
vsCAL
CALL 85-86
−12.5
7
@BC
BCW 74-68
−2.5
10
vsUNC
UNCW 75-66
+7.5
14
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
+6.5
17
vsVT
VTW 67-66
−7.5
21
@UVA
UVAL 83-86
+4.5
24
@FSU
FSUW 83-73
+7.5
28
vsBC
BCW 76-54
+6.5
covered 16didn’t cover 13avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJAX
JAXW 86-69
+12.5
6
vsBCU
BCUW 101-61
+7.5
10
vsSTET
STETW 102-61
+1.5
16
vsFLA
FLAL 68-82
−21.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 99-72
+6.5
23
vsDSU
DSUW 97-41
−13.5
27
vsBYU
BYUL 62-72
−31.5
28
vsGTWN
GTWNW 78-65
−8.5
2
@MISS
MISSW 75-66
−4.5
6
vsUSM
USMW 88-64
+6.5
13
vsULM
ULMW 104-79
+29.5
16
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
+17.5
21
vsUNF
UNFW 105-67
+0.5
30
vsPITT
PITTW 76-69
+0.5
7
@WAKE
WAKEW 81-77
+0.5
10
vsGT
GTW 91-81
+15.5
13
@ND
NDW 81-69
+6.5
17
@CLEM
CLEML 59-69
−15.5
20
vsFSU
FSUL 63-65
−35.5
24
@SYR
SYRW 85-76
+11.5
28
vsSTAN
STANW 79-70
+1.5
31
vsCAL
CALL 85-86
+22.5
7
@BC
BCW 74-68
+0.5
10
vsUNC
UNCW 75-66
−15.5
14
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
−4.5
17
vsVT
VTW 67-66
−15.5
21
@UVA
UVAL 83-86
+23.5
24
@FSU
FSUW 83-73
+3.5
28
vsBC
BCW 76-54
−13.5
over 18under 11avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
SMU
29 games played
Straight up
19-10
66% wins
Against the spread
13-16
45% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-12
59% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TAR | W 96-76 | -21.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 6 | vs AMCC | W 69-58 | -23.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 11 | vs MUR | W 102-91 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 15 | vs BTLR | W 87-85 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | vs UAPB | W 106-60 | -35.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 21 | vs ARST | W 100-69 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Nov 24 | vs RAD | W 89-72 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 28 | @ MSST | W 87-81 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 3 | @ VAN | L 69-88 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 7 | vs TA&M | W 93-80 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 164.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 13 | vs LSU | L 77-89 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs CARK | W 99-82 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 28 | vs CSUF | W 110-63 | -21.5 | W +25.5 | 170.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 3 | vsUNC | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 7 | @CLEM | L 70-74 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ DUKE | L 75-82 | +15.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 14 | vsVT | W 77-76 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 17 | vsUVA | L 68-72 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 20 | @WAKE | W 91-79 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 24 | vsFSU | W 83-80 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 31 | @ LOU | L 74-88 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Feb 3 | vsNCSU | L 83-84 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 7 | @PITT | W 86-67 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 10 | vsND | W 89-81 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 14 | @SYR | L 78-79 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 17 | vsLOU | W 95-85 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 168.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 21 | vsBC | W 94-70 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 25 | @CAL | L 69-73 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 28 | @STAN | L 75-95 | -1.5 | L −21.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
−1.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−12.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+0.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
−5.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
+10.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
+16.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−6.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 87-81
+7.5
3
@VAN
VANL 69-88
−8.5
7
vsTA&M
TA&MW 93-80
+14.5
13
vsLSU
LSUL 77-89
−10.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 99-82
−7.5
28
vsCSUF
CSUFW 110-63
+25.5
3
vsUNC
UNCW 97-83
+12.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 70-74
−0.5
10
@DUKE
DUKEL 75-82
+8.5
14
vsVT
VTW 77-76
−7.5
17
vsUVA
UVAL 68-72
−1.5
20
@WAKE
WAKEW 91-79
+13.5
24
vsFSU
FSUW 83-80
−8.5
31
@LOU
LOUL 74-88
−4.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUL 83-84
+0.5
7
@PITT
PITTW 86-67
+14.5
10
vsND
NDW 89-81
−2.5
14
@SYR
SYRL 78-79
−2.5
17
vsLOU
LOUW 95-85
+14.5
21
vsBC
BCW 94-70
+8.5
25
@CAL
CALL 69-73
−8.5
28
@STAN
STANL 75-95
−21.5
covered 13didn’t cover 16avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
+27.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−33.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+28.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
+8.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
−2.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
−3.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−4.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 87-81
+5.5
3
@VAN
VANL 69-88
−8.5
7
vsTA&M
TA&MW 93-80
+8.5
13
vsLSU
LSUL 77-89
+7.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 99-82
+24.5
28
vsCSUF
CSUFW 110-63
+2.5
3
vsUNC
UNCW 97-83
+24.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 70-74
−5.5
10
@DUKE
DUKEL 75-82
+1.5
14
vsVT
VTW 77-76
−2.5
17
vsUVA
UVAL 68-72
−13.5
20
@WAKE
WAKEW 91-79
+12.5
24
vsFSU
FSUW 83-80
−0.5
31
@LOU
LOUL 74-88
−1.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUL 83-84
+7.5
7
@PITT
PITTW 86-67
+5.5
10
vsND
NDW 89-81
+15.5
14
@SYR
SYRL 78-79
−0.5
17
vsLOU
LOUW 95-85
+11.5
21
vsBC
BCW 94-70
+13.5
25
@CAL
CALL 69-73
−21.5
28
@STAN
STANL 75-95
+14.5
over 17under 12avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Miami
23-6 overall · 12-4 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Boston College76–54
- W@ Florida St83–73
- L@ Virginia83–86
- Wvs Virginia Tech67–66
- W@ NC State77–76
4 days since their last game.
SMU
19-10 overall · 8-8 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Stanford75–95
- L@ California69–73
- Wvs Boston College94–70
- Wvs Louisville95–85
- L@ Syracuse78–79
4 days since their last game.