Watsco Center · at Miami · Conference game
Closing line
MIA -15.5✓ MIA covered by 6.5
MIA -15.5✓ MIA covered by 6.5Closing total143.5Under by 13.5
 BC | This season | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| 10-18 | Record | 22-6 |
| 13-15 | ATS | 15-13 |
| 11-17 | O/U | 18-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BC 65–80 MIA · ✓ MIA (90%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BC | 19 | 35 | 54 |
| MIA | 36 | 40 | 76 |
1st half: BC 19, MIA 36 (MIA by 17). The model had MIA by 8.5 and a total of 67.9 (actual 55).
Team stats
| BC | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-50 40% | Field goals | 29-58 50% |
| 5-22 23% | 3-pointers | 7-20 35% |
| 9-12 75% | Free throws | 11-18 61% |
| 28 9 off | Rebounds | 35 13 off |
| 9 | Assists | 15 |
| 7 | Steals | 14 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| BC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Payne G | 35 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4-12 | 1-5 |
| Boden Kapke F | 33 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 7-13 | 2-4 |
| Jayden Hastings F | 30 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 5-6 | 0-1 |
| Chase Forte G | 28 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-4 |
| Luka Toews G | 25 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aidan Shaw F | 17 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Donald Hand Jr. G | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Caleb Steger G | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Jason Asemota F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jack Bailey, Jack DiDonna, Kany Musungay, Akbar Waheed III, Nick Petronio, Will Eggemeier, Marko Radunovic
| MIA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest Udeh Jr. C | 35 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Shelton Henderson F | 31 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 4-12 | 0-1 |
| Tre Donaldson G | 30 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 6-13 | 1-4 |
| Dante Allen G | 26 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Malik Reneau F | 23 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tru Washington G | 26 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 5-8 | 2-4 |
| Noam Dovrat G | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4-5 | 4-5 |
| Timo Malovec F | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Salih Altuntas C | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jordyn Kee G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Marcus Allen, JJ Laboy, Treyvon Maddox
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMIA -16.5
1 → BC
CloseMIA -15.5
1 pt toward BC
Total
Open142.5
▲ 1
Close143.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
BC +1000 · MIA -1800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MIA -16.5 · closed MIA -15.5 · moved 1 toward BCmodel MIA -14.5
model MIA -14.5
Opened 142.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 upmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MIA -15.5 | MIA -14.5 | BC +1.0 | L MIA covered |
| Total | 143.5 | 145.0 | Over 1.5 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | BC 65.3 · MIA 79.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MIA -8.5 | MIA -17.0 |
| 1H total | 67.9 | 55 |
| 1H projected score | BC 29.7 · MIA 38.2 | BC 19 · MIA 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BC | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| MIA | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
BC 4–4 MIASeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · BC 6-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2025-26 | MIA 74 @ BC 68 | BC +8.5 | BC W |
| Jan 1, 2024-25 | MIA 68 @ BC 78 | BC +1.5 | BC W |
| Mar 12, 2023-24 | MIA 65 vs BC 81 | BC +2.5 | BC W |
| Mar 6, 2023-24 | BC 67 @ MIA 57 | MIA -5.5 | BC W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | MIA 77 @ BC 85 | BC -0.5 | BC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Boston College
28 games played
Straight up
10-18
36% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-17
39% overs · avg −3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ FAU | L 78-83 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 6 | vs CIT | W 76-47 | -15.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | vs CCSU | L 59-60 | -17.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | @ TEM | W 76-71 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 18 | vs HAMP | W 63-52 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 21 | vs DAV | L 49-59 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 23 | vs TULN | L 90-93 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs HARV | W 73-60 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 3 | vs LSU | L 69-78 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 6 | vs NHVN | W 67-63 | -17.5 | L −13.5 | 126.5 | O 130 |
| Dec 10 | vs MASS | L 74-76 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 22 | vs FDU | W 72-61 | -16.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 28 | vs LEM | W 72-64 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 3 | @ GT | L 53-65 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 6 | vs NCSU | L 71-79 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ LOU | L 62-75 | +21.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 13 | @ CLEM | L 50-74 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 17 | vs SYR | W 81-73 | +5.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 21 | vs PITT | W 65-62 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | @ ND | L 64-68 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 31 | vs UVA | L 66-73 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 3 | @ DUKE | L 49-67 | +26.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 7 | vsMIA | L 68-74 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 11 | vs STAN | L 64-70 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 14 | vs CAL | L 75-86 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 17 | @ FSU | L 72-80 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 21 | @ SMU | L 70-94 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 25 | vs WAKE | W 68-67 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@FAU
FAUL 78-83
−3.5
6
vsCIT
CITW 76-47
+13.5
11
vsCCSU
CCSUL 59-60
−18.5
15
@TEM
TEMW 76-71
+8.5
18
vsHAMP
HAMPW 63-52
−1.5
21
vsDAV
DAVL 49-59
−11.5
23
vsTULN
TULNL 90-93
−5.5
26
vsHARV
HARVW 73-60
+5.5
3
vsLSU
LSUL 69-78
−1.5
6
vsNHVN
NHVNW 67-63
−13.5
10
vsMASS
MASSL 74-76
−3.5
22
vsFDU
FDUW 72-61
−5.5
28
vsLEM
LEMW 72-64
−4.5
3
@GT
GTL 53-65
−5.5
6
vsNCSU
NCSUL 71-79
+3.5
10
@LOU
LOUL 62-75
+8.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 50-74
−8.5
17
vsSYR
SYRW 81-73
+13.5
21
vsPITT
PITTW 65-62
+5.5
24
@ND
NDL 64-68
+3.5
31
vsUVA
UVAL 66-73
+6.5
3
@DUKE
DUKEL 49-67
+8.5
7
vsMIA
MIAL 68-74
+2.5
11
vsSTAN
STANL 64-70
−2.5
14
vsCAL
CALL 75-86
−7.5
17
@FSU
FSUL 72-80
+3.5
21
@SMU
SMUL 70-94
−8.5
25
vsWAKE
WAKEW 68-67
+4.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@FAU
FAUL 78-83
+12.5
6
vsCIT
CITW 76-47
−21.5
11
vsCCSU
CCSUL 59-60
−17.5
15
@TEM
TEMW 76-71
+4.5
18
vsHAMP
HAMPW 63-52
−20.5
21
vsDAV
DAVL 49-59
−32.5
23
vsTULN
TULNL 90-93
+42.5
26
vsHARV
HARVW 73-60
−5.5
3
vsLSU
LSUL 69-78
−2.5
6
vsNHVN
NHVNW 67-63
+3.5
10
vsMASS
MASSL 74-76
+6.5
22
vsFDU
FDUW 72-61
−8.5
28
vsLEM
LEMW 72-64
−10.5
3
@GT
GTL 53-65
−27.5
6
vsNCSU
NCSUL 71-79
+8.5
10
@LOU
LOUL 62-75
−13.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 50-74
−12.5
17
vsSYR
SYRW 81-73
+12.5
21
vsPITT
PITTW 65-62
−10.5
24
@ND
NDL 64-68
−5.5
31
vsUVA
UVAL 66-73
−2.5
3
@DUKE
DUKEL 49-67
−25.5
7
vsMIA
MIAL 68-74
+0.5
11
vsSTAN
STANL 64-70
−5.5
14
vsCAL
CALL 75-86
+16.5
17
@FSU
FSUL 72-80
+3.5
21
@SMU
SMUL 70-94
+13.5
25
vsWAKE
WAKEW 68-67
−10.5
over 11under 17avg −3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Miami
28 games played
Straight up
22-6
79% wins
Against the spread
15-13
54% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-10
64% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JAX | W 86-69 | -18.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 6 | vs BCU | W 101-61 | -16.5 | W +23.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 10 | vs STET | W 102-61 | -34.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 16 | vs FLA | L 68-82 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 171.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 20 | vs ELON | W 99-72 | -19.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DSU | W 97-41 | -34.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 27 | vs BYU | L 62-72 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 28 | vs GTWN | W 78-65 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 2 | @ MISS | W 75-66 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | vs USM | W 88-64 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 13 | vs ULM | W 104-79 | -35.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 16 | vs FIU | W 98-81 | -22.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 21 | vs UNF | W 105-67 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 171.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 30 | vsPITT | W 76-69 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 7 | @WAKE | W 81-77 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | vsGT | W 91-81 | -15.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 13 | @ND | W 81-69 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 17 | @CLEM | L 59-69 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 20 | vsFSU | L 63-65 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | @SYR | W 85-76 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 28 | vsSTAN | W 79-70 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | vsCAL | L 85-86 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 7 | @BC | W 74-68 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 10 | vs UNC | W 75-66 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 14 | @NCSU | W 77-76 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 17 | vs VT | W 67-66 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 21 | @UVA | L 83-86 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 24 | @FSU | W 83-73 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJAX
JAXW 86-69
−1.5
6
vsBCU
BCUW 101-61
+23.5
10
vsSTET
STETW 102-61
+6.5
16
vsFLA
FLAL 68-82
−3.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 99-72
+7.5
23
vsDSU
DSUW 97-41
+21.5
27
vsBYU
BYUL 62-72
−2.5
28
vsGTWN
GTWNW 78-65
+7.5
2
@MISS
MISSW 75-66
+10.5
6
vsUSM
USMW 88-64
+4.5
13
vsULM
ULMW 104-79
−10.5
16
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
−5.5
21
vsUNF
UNFW 105-67
+0.5
30
vsPITT
PITTW 76-69
−2.5
7
@WAKE
WAKEW 81-77
+5.5
10
vsGT
GTW 91-81
−5.5
13
@ND
NDW 81-69
+6.5
17
@CLEM
CLEML 59-69
−5.5
20
vsFSU
FSUL 63-65
−12.5
24
@SYR
SYRW 85-76
+7.5
28
vsSTAN
STANW 79-70
−0.5
31
vsCAL
CALL 85-86
−12.5
7
@BC
BCW 74-68
−2.5
10
vsUNC
UNCW 75-66
+7.5
14
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
+6.5
17
vsVT
VTW 67-66
−7.5
21
@UVA
UVAL 83-86
+4.5
24
@FSU
FSUW 83-73
+7.5
covered 15didn’t cover 13avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJAX
JAXW 86-69
+12.5
6
vsBCU
BCUW 101-61
+7.5
10
vsSTET
STETW 102-61
+1.5
16
vsFLA
FLAL 68-82
−21.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 99-72
+6.5
23
vsDSU
DSUW 97-41
−13.5
27
vsBYU
BYUL 62-72
−31.5
28
vsGTWN
GTWNW 78-65
−8.5
2
@MISS
MISSW 75-66
−4.5
6
vsUSM
USMW 88-64
+6.5
13
vsULM
ULMW 104-79
+29.5
16
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
+17.5
21
vsUNF
UNFW 105-67
+0.5
30
vsPITT
PITTW 76-69
+0.5
7
@WAKE
WAKEW 81-77
+0.5
10
vsGT
GTW 91-81
+15.5
13
@ND
NDW 81-69
+6.5
17
@CLEM
CLEML 59-69
−15.5
20
vsFSU
FSUL 63-65
−35.5
24
@SYR
SYRW 85-76
+11.5
28
vsSTAN
STANW 79-70
+1.5
31
vsCAL
CALL 85-86
+22.5
7
@BC
BCW 74-68
+0.5
10
vsUNC
UNCW 75-66
−15.5
14
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
−4.5
17
vsVT
VTW 67-66
−15.5
21
@UVA
UVAL 83-86
+23.5
24
@FSU
FSUW 83-73
+3.5
over 18under 10avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Boston College
10-18 overall · 3-12 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wake Forest68–67
- L@ SMU70–94
- L@ Florida St72–80
- Lvs California75–86
- Lvs Stanford64–70
3 days since their last game.
Miami
22-6 overall · 11-4 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Florida St83–73
- L@ Virginia83–86
- Wvs Virginia Tech67–66
- W@ NC State77–76
- Wvs North Carolina75–66
4 days since their last game.