KFC Yum! Center · at Louisville · Conference game
Closing line
LOU -9.5✓ LOU covered by 4.5
LOU -9.5✓ LOU covered by 4.5Closing total163.5Under by 1.5
 SMU | This season | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| 15-5 | Record | 14-6 |
| 9-11 | ATS | 10-10 |
| 11-9 | O/U | 8-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SMU 78–86 LOU · ✓ LOU (76%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | 47 | 27 | 74 |
| LOU | 44 | 44 | 88 |
1st half: SMU 47, LOU 44 (SMU by 3). The model had LOU by 4.8 and a total of 76.7 (actual 91).
Team stats
| SMU | LOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-62 48% | Field goals | 31-63 49% |
| 8-25 32% | 3-pointers | 10-35 29% |
| 6-9 67% | Free throws | 16-23 70% |
| 34 9 off | Rebounds | 35 9 off |
| 7 | Assists | 20 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 14 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| SMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boopie Miller G | 38 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 8-14 | 2-4 |
| B.J. Edwards G | 36 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Jaron Pierre Jr. G | 32 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 3-11 | 1-4 |
| Corey Washington F | 29 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 5-10 | 3-8 |
| Samet Yigitoglu C | 27 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 7-8 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Toombs F | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. F | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Sam Walters F | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Mitchell Holmes F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| B.J. Davis-Ray G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chance Puryear, Trey Utter, Niccolo Kalischer-Stork, Billy White III, Nigel Walls
| LOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Conwell G | 34 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4-15 | 1-11 |
| J'Vonne Hadley G | 29 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-3 |
| Isaac McKneely G | 24 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 5-10 | 4-9 |
| Sananda Fru F | 18 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Adrian Wooley G | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mikel Brown Jr. G | 29 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 7-14 | 3-8 |
| Khani Rooths F | 20 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Aly Khalifa C | 14 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Kobe Rodgers G | 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Vangelis Zougris F | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cole Sherman, Spencer Legg, London Johnson, Mouhamed Camara, Will Hanke, Kasean Pryor
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLOU -7.5
2 → LOU
CloseLOU -9.5
2 pts toward LOU
Total
Open164.5
▼ 1
Close163.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
SMU +425 · LOU -575
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LOU -7.5 · closed LOU -9.5 · moved 2 toward LOUmodel LOU -8
model LOU -8
Opened 164.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 1 downmodel 164
model 164
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LOU -9.5 | LOU -8.2 | SMU +1.3 | L LOU covered |
| Total | 163.5 | 163.9 | Over 0.4 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | SMU 77.9 · LOU 86.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LOU -4.8 | SMU -3.0 |
| 1H total | 76.7 | 91 |
| 1H projected score | SMU 36 · LOU 40.7 | SMU 47 · LOU 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| LOU | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SMU 0–1 LOULOU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SMU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | LOU 98 @ SMU 73 | SMU -1.5 | LOU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SMU
20 games played
Straight up
15-5
75% wins
Against the spread
9-11
45% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TAR | W 96-76 | -21.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 6 | vs AMCC | W 69-58 | -23.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 11 | vs MUR | W 102-91 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 15 | vs BTLR | W 87-85 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | vs UAPB | W 106-60 | -35.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 21 | vs ARST | W 100-69 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Nov 24 | vs RAD | W 89-72 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 28 | @ MSST | W 87-81 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 3 | @ VAN | L 69-88 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 7 | vs TA&M | W 93-80 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 164.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 13 | vs LSU | L 77-89 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs CARK | W 99-82 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 28 | vs CSUF | W 110-63 | -21.5 | W +25.5 | 170.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 3 | vs UNC | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 7 | @ CLEM | L 70-74 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ DUKE | L 75-82 | +15.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 14 | vs VT | W 77-76 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 17 | vs UVA | L 68-72 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 20 | @ WAKE | W 91-79 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 24 | vs FSU | W 83-80 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
−1.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−12.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+0.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
−5.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
+10.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
+16.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−6.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 87-81
+7.5
3
@VAN
VANL 69-88
−8.5
7
vsTA&M
TA&MW 93-80
+14.5
13
vsLSU
LSUL 77-89
−10.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 99-82
−7.5
28
vsCSUF
CSUFW 110-63
+25.5
3
vsUNC
UNCW 97-83
+12.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 70-74
−0.5
10
@DUKE
DUKEL 75-82
+8.5
14
vsVT
VTW 77-76
−7.5
17
vsUVA
UVAL 68-72
−1.5
20
@WAKE
WAKEW 91-79
+13.5
24
vsFSU
FSUW 83-80
−8.5
covered 9didn’t cover 11avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
+27.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−33.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+28.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
+8.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
−2.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
−3.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−4.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 87-81
+5.5
3
@VAN
VANL 69-88
−8.5
7
vsTA&M
TA&MW 93-80
+8.5
13
vsLSU
LSUL 77-89
+7.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 99-82
+24.5
28
vsCSUF
CSUFW 110-63
+2.5
3
vsUNC
UNCW 97-83
+24.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 70-74
−5.5
10
@DUKE
DUKEL 75-82
+1.5
14
vsVT
VTW 77-76
−2.5
17
vsUVA
UVAL 68-72
−13.5
20
@WAKE
WAKEW 91-79
+12.5
24
vsFSU
FSUW 83-80
−0.5
over 11under 9avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Louisville
20 games played
Straight up
14-6
70% wins
Against the spread
10-10
50% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-12
40% overs · avg −5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SCST | W 104-45 | -35.5 | W +23.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 6 | vs JKST | W 106-70 | -38.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 11 | vs UK | W 96-88 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 173.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 15 | vs OHIO | W 106-81 | -31.5 | L −6.5 | 174.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 21 | vs CIN | W 74-64 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs EMU | W 87-46 | -33.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | vs NJIT | W 104-47 | -44.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | @ ARK | L 80-89 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs IU | W 87-78 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs MEM | W 99-73 | -16.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 16 | @ TENN | L 62-83 | +4.5 | L −16.5 | 156.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | vs MONT | W 94-54 | -30.5 | W +9.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 30 | @ CAL | W 90-70 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 2 | @ STAN | L 76-80 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 6 | vsDUKE | L 73-84 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 161.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 10 | vs BC | W 75-62 | -21.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 13 | vsUVA | L 70-79 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | @ PITT | W 100-59 | -7.5 | W +33.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | vsVT | W 85-71 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 26 | @DUKE | L 52-83 | +8.5 | L −22.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSCST
SCSTW 104-45
+23.5
6
vsJKST
JKSTW 106-70
−2.5
11
vsUK
UKW 96-88
+2.5
15
vsOHIO
OHIOW 106-81
−6.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 74-64
+1.5
24
vsEMU
EMUW 87-46
+7.5
26
vsNJIT
NJITW 104-47
+12.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 80-89
−10.5
6
vsIU
IUW 87-78
+5.5
13
vsMEM
MEMW 99-73
+9.5
16
@TENN
TENNL 62-83
−16.5
20
vsMONT
MONTW 94-54
+9.5
30
@CAL
CALW 90-70
+12.5
2
@STAN
STANL 76-80
−11.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 73-84
−9.5
10
vsBC
BCW 75-62
−8.5
13
vsUVA
UVAL 70-79
−13.5
17
@PITT
PITTW 100-59
+33.5
24
vsVT
VTW 85-71
−0.5
26
@DUKE
DUKEL 52-83
−22.5
covered 10didn’t cover 10avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSCST
SCSTW 104-45
−10.5
6
vsJKST
JKSTW 106-70
+10.5
11
vsUK
UKW 96-88
+10.5
15
vsOHIO
OHIOW 106-81
+12.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 74-64
−25.5
24
vsEMU
EMUW 87-46
−29.5
26
vsNJIT
NJITW 104-47
−7.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 80-89
+2.5
6
vsIU
IUW 87-78
+2.5
13
vsMEM
MEMW 99-73
+9.5
16
@TENN
TENNL 62-83
−11.5
20
vsMONT
MONTW 94-54
−18.5
30
@CAL
CALW 90-70
+0.5
2
@STAN
STANL 76-80
−1.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 73-84
−4.5
10
vsBC
BCW 75-62
−13.5
13
vsUVA
UVAL 70-79
−5.5
17
@PITT
PITTW 100-59
+6.5
24
vsVT
VTW 85-71
−4.5
26
@DUKE
DUKEL 52-83
−22.5
over 8under 12avg −5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SMU
15-5 overall · 4-3 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Florida St83–80
- W@ Wake Forest91–79
- Lvs Virginia68–72
- Wvs Virginia Tech77–76
- L@ Duke75–82
A week or more of rest.
Louisville
14-6 overall · 4-4 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Duke52–83
- Wvs Virginia Tech85–71
- W@ Pitt100–59
- Lvs Virginia70–79
- Wvs Boston College75–62
5 days since their last game.