Haas Pavilion · at California · Conference game
Closing line
SMU -4.5✓ CAL covered by 8.5
SMU -4.5✓ CAL covered by 8.5Closing total163.5Under by 21.5
| SMU | This season | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| 19-8 | Record | 18-8 |
| 13-14 | ATS | 14-12 |
| 16-11 | O/U | 12-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SMU 83–78 CAL · ✗ SMU (66%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | 33 | 36 | 69 |
| CAL | 38 | 35 | 73 |
1st half: SMU 33, CAL 38 (CAL by 5). The model had SMU by 3.0 and a total of 75.3 (actual 71).
Team stats
| SMU | CAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-55 45% | Field goals | 26-65 40% |
| 8-21 38% | 3-pointers | 9-32 28% |
| 11-26 42% | Free throws | 12-15 80% |
| 44 13 off | Rebounds | 33 9 off |
| 13 | Assists | 17 |
| 4 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| SMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boopie Miller G | 38 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 6-12 | 2-2 |
| Jaron Pierre Jr. G | 34 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 4-11 | 1-5 |
| Corey Washington F | 33 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 4-9 | 3-6 |
| Samet Yigitoglu C | 32 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| B.J. Edwards G | 17 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Toombs F | 22 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. F | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Sam Walters F | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Mitchell Holmes, Billy White III, B.J. Davis-Ray, Niccolo Kalischer-Stork, Nigel Walls, Chance Puryear, Trey Utter
| CAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bell F | 34 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 7-12 | 4-8 |
| Justin Pippen G | 34 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 8-19 | 2-10 |
| John Camden F | 33 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 5-11 | 2-7 |
| Dai Dai Ames G | 28 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-10 | 0-4 |
| Milos Ilic C | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Lee Dort F | 22 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Semetri Carr G | 18 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Sammie Yeanay F | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Nolan Dorsey G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Mantas Kocanas C | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Butler, Jorell Clark, BJ Fisher, DeJuan Campbell, Stephon Marbury II, Jovani Ruff, Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut, Rytis Petraitis
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSMU -2.5
2 → SMU
CloseSMU -4.5
2 pts toward SMU
Total
Open159.5
▲ 4
Close163.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
SMU -192 · CAL +160
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SMU -2.5 · closed SMU -4.5 · moved 2 toward SMUmodel SMU -5
model SMU -5
Opened 159.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 4 upmodel 161
model 161
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SMU -4.5 | SMU -4.8 | SMU +0.3 | L CAL covered |
| Total | 163.5 | 161.0 | Under 2.5 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | SMU 82.9 · CAL 78.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SMU -3.0 | CAL -5.0 |
| 1H total | 75.3 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | SMU 39.1 · CAL 36.1 | SMU 33 · CAL 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| CAL | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SMU 2–0 CALSMU leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · SMU has won the last 2 meetings · SMU 0-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | SMU 81 @ CAL 77 | CAL +4.5 | CAL W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | CAL 65 @ SMU 76 | SMU -13.5 | CAL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SMU
27 games played
Straight up
19-8
70% wins
Against the spread
13-14
48% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-11
59% overs · avg +4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TAR | W 96-76 | -21.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 6 | vs AMCC | W 69-58 | -23.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 11 | vs MUR | W 102-91 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 15 | vs BTLR | W 87-85 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | vs UAPB | W 106-60 | -35.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 21 | vs ARST | W 100-69 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Nov 24 | vs RAD | W 89-72 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 28 | @ MSST | W 87-81 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 3 | @ VAN | L 69-88 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 7 | vs TA&M | W 93-80 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 164.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 13 | vs LSU | L 77-89 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs CARK | W 99-82 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 28 | vs CSUF | W 110-63 | -21.5 | W +25.5 | 170.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 3 | vs UNC | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 7 | @ CLEM | L 70-74 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ DUKE | L 75-82 | +15.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 14 | vs VT | W 77-76 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 17 | vs UVA | L 68-72 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 20 | @ WAKE | W 91-79 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 24 | vs FSU | W 83-80 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 31 | @ LOU | L 74-88 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Feb 3 | vs NCSU | L 83-84 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 7 | @ PITT | W 86-67 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 10 | vs ND | W 89-81 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 14 | @ SYR | L 78-79 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 17 | vsLOU | W 95-85 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 168.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 21 | vs BC | W 94-70 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
−1.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−12.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+0.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
−5.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
+10.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
+16.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−6.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 87-81
+7.5
3
@VAN
VANL 69-88
−8.5
7
vsTA&M
TA&MW 93-80
+14.5
13
vsLSU
LSUL 77-89
−10.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 99-82
−7.5
28
vsCSUF
CSUFW 110-63
+25.5
3
vsUNC
UNCW 97-83
+12.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 70-74
−0.5
10
@DUKE
DUKEL 75-82
+8.5
14
vsVT
VTW 77-76
−7.5
17
vsUVA
UVAL 68-72
−1.5
20
@WAKE
WAKEW 91-79
+13.5
24
vsFSU
FSUW 83-80
−8.5
31
@LOU
LOUL 74-88
−4.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUL 83-84
+0.5
7
@PITT
PITTW 86-67
+14.5
10
vsND
NDW 89-81
−2.5
14
@SYR
SYRL 78-79
−2.5
17
vsLOU
LOUW 95-85
+14.5
21
vsBC
BCW 94-70
+8.5
covered 13didn’t cover 14avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
+27.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−33.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+28.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
+8.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
−2.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
−3.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−4.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 87-81
+5.5
3
@VAN
VANL 69-88
−8.5
7
vsTA&M
TA&MW 93-80
+8.5
13
vsLSU
LSUL 77-89
+7.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 99-82
+24.5
28
vsCSUF
CSUFW 110-63
+2.5
3
vsUNC
UNCW 97-83
+24.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 70-74
−5.5
10
@DUKE
DUKEL 75-82
+1.5
14
vsVT
VTW 77-76
−2.5
17
vsUVA
UVAL 68-72
−13.5
20
@WAKE
WAKEW 91-79
+12.5
24
vsFSU
FSUW 83-80
−0.5
31
@LOU
LOUL 74-88
−1.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUL 83-84
+7.5
7
@PITT
PITTW 86-67
+5.5
10
vsND
NDW 89-81
+15.5
14
@SYR
SYRL 78-79
−0.5
17
vsLOU
LOUW 95-85
+11.5
21
vsBC
BCW 94-70
+13.5
over 16under 11avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
California
26 games played
Straight up
18-8
69% wins
Against the spread
14-12
54% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-14
46% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CSUB | W 87-60 | -15.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 6 | vs WRST | W 77-67 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 10 | vsCSUF | W 93-65 | -22.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 13 | @ KSU | L 96-99 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 18 | vs PRES | W 67-57 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 124.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 21 | vs SAC | W 91-67 | -21.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCLA | W 80-72 | +7.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 2 | vs UTAH | W 79-72 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs PAC | W 67-61 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs NWST | W 79-70 | -19.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 19 | vs MORG | W 97-50 | -26.5 | W +20.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 21 | vs COLU | W 74-56 | -8.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 30 | vsLOU | L 70-90 | +7.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 2 | vsND | W 72-71 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 7 | @UVA | L 60-84 | +14.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @VT | L 75-78 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 14 | vsDUKE | L 56-71 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 17 | vsUNC | W 84-78 | +7.5 | W +13.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 24 | @ STAN | W 78-66 | +4.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @FSU | L 61-63 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | @ MIA | W 86-85 | +11.5 | W +12.5 | 148.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 4 | vs GT | W 90-85 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 7 | vsCLEM | L 55-77 | +4.5 | L −17.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 11 | @SYR | L 100-107 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | O 207 |
| Feb 14 | @BC | W 86-75 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 21 | vsSTAN | W 72-66 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-60
+11.5
6
vsWRST
WRSTW 77-67
−4.5
10
vsCSUF
CSUFW 93-65
+5.5
13
@KSU
KSUL 96-99
+3.5
18
vsPRES
PRESW 67-57
−0.5
21
vsSAC
SACW 91-67
+2.5
25
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+15.5
2
vsUTAH
UTAHW 79-72
−0.5
6
vsPAC
PACW 67-61
−1.5
13
vsNWST
NWSTW 79-70
−10.5
19
vsMORG
MORGW 97-50
+20.5
21
vsCOLU
COLUW 74-56
+9.5
30
vsLOU
LOUL 70-90
−12.5
2
vsND
NDW 72-71
−2.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 60-84
−9.5
10
@VT
VTL 75-78
+2.5
14
vsDUKE
DUKEL 56-71
−0.5
17
vsUNC
UNCW 84-78
+13.5
24
@STAN
STANW 78-66
+16.5
28
@FSU
FSUL 61-63
+1.5
31
@MIA
MIAW 86-85
+12.5
4
vsGT
GTW 90-85
−2.5
7
vsCLEM
CLEML 55-77
−17.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 100-107
−0.5
14
@BC
BCW 86-75
+7.5
21
vsSTAN
STANW 72-66
+4.5
covered 14didn’t cover 12avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-60
−0.5
6
vsWRST
WRSTW 77-67
−4.5
10
vsCSUF
CSUFW 93-65
−4.5
13
@KSU
KSUL 96-99
+30.5
18
vsPRES
PRESW 67-57
−0.5
21
vsSAC
SACW 91-67
+3.5
25
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+8.5
2
vsUTAH
UTAHW 79-72
−1.5
6
vsPAC
PACW 67-61
−16.5
13
vsNWST
NWSTW 79-70
+3.5
19
vsMORG
MORGW 97-50
−4.5
21
vsCOLU
COLUW 74-56
−23.5
30
vsLOU
LOUL 70-90
+0.5
2
vsND
NDW 72-71
+4.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 60-84
−4.5
10
@VT
VTL 75-78
+4.5
14
vsDUKE
DUKEL 56-71
−22.5
17
vsUNC
UNCW 84-78
+10.5
24
@STAN
STANW 78-66
−2.5
28
@FSU
FSUL 61-63
−33.5
31
@MIA
MIAW 86-85
+22.5
4
vsGT
GTW 90-85
+22.5
7
vsCLEM
CLEML 55-77
−7.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 100-107
+58.5
14
@BC
BCW 86-75
+16.5
21
vsSTAN
STANW 72-66
−11.5
over 12under 14avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SMU
19-8 overall · 8-6 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Boston College94–70
- Wvs Louisville95–85
- L@ Syracuse78–79
- Wvs Notre Dame89–81
- W@ Pitt86–67
4 days since their last game.
California
18-8 overall · 7-7 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Stanford72–66
- W@ Boston College86–75
- L@ Syracuse100–107
- Lvs Clemson55–77
- Wvs Georgia Tech90–85
4 days since their last game.