Wintrust Arena · at DePaul · Conference game
Closing line
VILL -1.5✓ VILL covered by 17.5
VILL -1.5✓ VILL covered by 17.5Closing total135.5Under by 2.5
| VILL | This season | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| 22-7 | Record | 16-13 |
| 17-12 | ATS | 20-9 |
| 17-12 | O/U | 10-19 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VILL 70–67 DEP · ✓ VILL (62%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VILL | 26 | 50 | 76 |
| DEP | 24 | 33 | 57 |
1st half: VILL 26, DEP 24 (VILL by 2). The model had VILL by 2.2 and a total of 64.2 (actual 50).
Team stats
| VILL | DEP | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-57 46% | Field goals | 22-51 43% |
| 7-21 33% | 3-pointers | 2-16 13% |
| 17-23 74% | Free throws | 11-16 69% |
| 35 8 off | Rebounds | 29 5 off |
| 14 | Assists | 9 |
| 11 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| VILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Brennan F | 35 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Perkins G | 35 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 6-13 | 2-7 |
| Acaden Lewis G | 32 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Lindsay G | 32 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 2-8 | 2-5 |
| Malachi Palmer G | 29 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devin Askew G | 29 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| Braden Pierce C | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chris Jeffrey G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matt Hodge, Zion Stanford, Wade Chiddick, Tafara Gapare, Malcolm Flaggs, Nico Onyekwere
| DEP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Maclin G | 37 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| NJ Benson F | 29 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| RJ Smith G | 24 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Layden Blocker G | 17 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| Theo Pierre-Justin F | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kruz McClure G | 27 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| CJ Gunn G | 27 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-5 |
| Kaleb Banks F | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Fabian Flores C | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Nate Kasher G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jeremy Lorenz, Ilija Milijasevic, Amsal Delalic, Isaiah Medina, Jonas Johnson, Khaman Maker
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVILL -1.5
ModelVILL -3.5
Model edgeVILL +2.0
W VILL covered
Total
Market135.5
Model137.0
Model edgeOver 1.5
L Under
Projected score
VILL 70.2 · DEP 66.7
VILL 76 · DEP 57
Win probability
VILL 62%
1st half
Spread
VILL -2.2
VILL -2.0
Total
64.2
50 points
Projected score
VILL 33.2 · DEP 31
VILL 26 · DEP 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVILL -3.5
2 → DEP
CloseVILL -1.5
2 pts toward DEP
Total
Open133.5
▲ 2
Close135.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
VILL -135 · DEP +114
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VILL -3.5 · closed VILL -1.5 · moved 2 toward DEPmodel VILL -3.5
model VILL -3.5
Opened 133.5 · closed 135.5 · moved 2 upmodel 137
model 137
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VILL | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| DEP | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
VILL 9–1 DEPVILL leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · VILL has won the last 7 meetings · VILL 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025-26 | DEP 66 @ VILL 71 | VILL -12.5 | DEP W |
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | VILL 59 @ DEP 49 | DEP +6.5 | VILL W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | DEP 56 @ VILL 100 | VILL -9.5 | VILL W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | DEP 57 vs VILL 58 | VILL -24.5 | DEP W |
| Jan 12, 2023-24 | DEP 69 @ VILL 94 | VILL -19.5 | VILL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Villanova
29 games played
Straight up
22-7
76% wins
Against the spread
17-12
59% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-12
59% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BYU | L 66-71 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs QUC | W 94-74 | -17.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs SHU | W 94-60 | -19.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs DUQ | W 87-77 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ LAS | W 70-55 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 25 | vs ODU | W 89-75 | -22.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 1 | vs TEM | W 74-56 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 6 | vs PENN | W 90-63 | -18.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 9 | @ MICH | L 61-89 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs PITT | W 79-61 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 19 | vs WIS | W 76-66 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 23 | @ HALL | W 64-56 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 31 | vsDEP | W 71-66 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @ BTLR | W 85-67 | +2.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 7 | vs CREI | L 72-76 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | @ MARQ | W 76-73 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 13 | @ PROV | W 88-82 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 17 | vs SJU | L 79-86 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 21 | vs GTWN | W 66-51 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 24 | @ CONN | L 67-75 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 30 | vsPROV | W 87-73 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 4 | vsHALL | W 72-60 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 134.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 7 | @GTWN | W 80-73 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 10 | vsMARQ | W 77-74 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 14 | @CREI | W 80-69 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 17 | @ XAV | W 92-89 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 181 |
| Feb 21 | vsCONN | L 63-73 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 25 | vsBTLR | W 82-73 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 28 | @SJU | L 57-89 | +7.5 | L −24.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
+4.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+2.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
+14.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
−0.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
+2.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
−8.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
+3.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+8.5
9
@MICH
MICHL 61-89
−10.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 79-61
+7.5
19
vsWIS
WISW 76-66
+13.5
23
@HALL
HALLW 64-56
+9.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 71-66
−7.5
3
@BTLR
BTLRW 85-67
+20.5
7
vsCREI
CREIL 72-76
−8.5
10
@MARQ
MARQW 76-73
−0.5
13
@PROV
PROVW 88-82
+3.5
17
vsSJU
SJUL 79-86
−4.5
21
vsGTWN
GTWNW 66-51
+6.5
24
@CONN
CONNL 67-75
+3.5
30
vsPROV
PROVW 87-73
+5.5
4
vsHALL
HALLW 72-60
+6.5
7
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-73
+4.5
10
vsMARQ
MARQW 77-74
−6.5
14
@CREI
CREIW 80-69
+9.5
17
@XAV
XAVW 92-89
−1.5
21
vsCONN
CONNL 63-73
−6.5
25
vsBTLR
BTLRW 82-73
−1.5
28
@SJU
SJUL 57-89
−24.5
covered 17didn’t cover 12avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
−16.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+17.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
−6.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
+12.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
−19.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
+16.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
−16.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+2.5
9
@MICH
MICHL 61-89
−6.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 79-61
+1.5
19
vsWIS
WISW 76-66
−10.5
23
@HALL
HALLW 64-56
−15.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 71-66
−2.5
3
@BTLR
BTLRW 85-67
+2.5
7
vsCREI
CREIL 72-76
+5.5
10
@MARQ
MARQW 76-73
+2.5
13
@PROV
PROVW 88-82
+13.5
17
vsSJU
SJUL 79-86
+17.5
21
vsGTWN
GTWNW 66-51
−25.5
24
@CONN
CONNL 67-75
+4.5
30
vsPROV
PROVW 87-73
+2.5
4
vsHALL
HALLW 72-60
−2.5
7
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-73
+12.5
10
vsMARQ
MARQW 77-74
+6.5
14
@CREI
CREIW 80-69
+3.5
17
@XAV
XAVW 92-89
+28.5
21
vsCONN
CONNL 63-73
−5.5
25
vsBTLR
BTLRW 82-73
+7.5
28
@SJU
SJUL 57-89
−1.5
over 17under 12avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
DePaul
29 games played
Straight up
16-13
55% wins
Against the spread
20-9
69% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-19
34% overs · avg −5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CHST | W 92-62 | -24.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 7 | vs STO | W 72-64 | -22.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 11 | vs BUF | L 53-66 | -18.5 | L −31.5 | 153.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 14 | vs NU | L 79-81 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 18 | vs GWEB | W 93-62 | -21.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs DETM | W 95-75 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 28 | vs GT | W 75-61 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 29 | vs LSU | L 63-96 | +5.5 | L −27.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs UAPB | W 76-72 | -23.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 9 | vs MORG | W 92-49 | -21.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 13 | @ WICH | W 61-58 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 16 | @SJU | L 66-79 | +19.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 21 | vsCONN | L 54-72 | +12.5 | L −5.5 | 133.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 31 | @VILL | L 66-71 | +12.5 | W +7.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | vsXAV | W 86-77 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 6 | vsGTWN | W 56-50 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 10 | @CONN | L 60-72 | +19.5 | W +7.5 | 137.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 16 | vsMARQ | W 80-75 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 20 | @BTLR | L 80-87 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 24 | vsHALL | W 67-60 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 28 | @GTWN | L 61-70 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 31 | @XAV | L 66-68 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 3 | vsSJU | L 56-68 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 7 | @PROV | L 72-90 | +4.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 11 | vsCREI | W 72-71 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 18 | @HALL | W 69-57 | +7.5 | W +19.5 | 129.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 21 | vsPROV | L 68-71 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 25 | @CREI | W 72-71 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 143 |
| Mar 1 | @MARQ | W 62-51 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | U 113 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCHST
CHSTW 92-62
+5.5
7
vsSTO
STOW 72-64
−14.5
11
vsBUF
BUFL 53-66
−31.5
14
vsNU
NUL 79-81
+3.5
18
vsGWEB
GWEBW 93-62
+9.5
23
vsDETM
DETMW 95-75
+0.5
28
vsGT
GTW 75-61
+12.5
29
vsLSU
LSUL 63-96
−27.5
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 76-72
−19.5
9
vsMORG
MORGW 92-49
+21.5
13
@WICH
WICHW 61-58
+10.5
16
@SJU
SJUL 66-79
+6.5
21
vsCONN
CONNL 54-72
−5.5
31
@VILL
VILLL 66-71
+7.5
3
vsXAV
XAVW 86-77
+6.5
6
vsGTWN
GTWNW 56-50
+3.5
10
@CONN
CONNL 60-72
+7.5
16
vsMARQ
MARQW 80-75
+2.5
20
@BTLR
BTLRL 80-87
+0.5
24
vsHALL
HALLW 67-60
+9.5
28
@GTWN
GTWNL 61-70
−5.5
31
@XAV
XAVL 66-68
+2.5
3
vsSJU
SJUL 56-68
−2.5
7
@PROV
PROVL 72-90
−13.5
11
vsCREI
CREIW 72-71
+2.5
18
@HALL
HALLW 69-57
+19.5
21
vsPROV
PROVL 68-71
−5.5
25
@CREI
CREIW 72-71
+4.5
1
@MARQ
MARQW 62-51
+15.5
covered 20didn’t cover 9avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCHST
CHSTW 92-62
+10.5
7
vsSTO
STOW 72-64
−11.5
11
vsBUF
BUFL 53-66
−34.5
14
vsNU
NUL 79-81
+14.5
18
vsGWEB
GWEBW 93-62
−0.5
23
vsDETM
DETMW 95-75
+18.5
28
vsGT
GTW 75-61
−11.5
29
vsLSU
LSUL 63-96
+6.5
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 76-72
−8.5
9
vsMORG
MORGW 92-49
−9.5
13
@WICH
WICHW 61-58
−26.5
16
@SJU
SJUL 66-79
−2.5
21
vsCONN
CONNL 54-72
−7.5
31
@VILL
VILLL 66-71
−2.5
3
vsXAV
XAVW 86-77
+13.5
6
vsGTWN
GTWNW 56-50
−38.5
10
@CONN
CONNL 60-72
−5.5
16
vsMARQ
MARQW 80-75
+9.5
20
@BTLR
BTLRL 80-87
+19.5
24
vsHALL
HALLW 67-60
−8.5
28
@GTWN
GTWNL 61-70
−8.5
31
@XAV
XAVL 66-68
−16.5
3
vsSJU
SJUL 56-68
−21.5
7
@PROV
PROVL 72-90
+8.5
11
vsCREI
CREIW 72-71
+1.5
18
@HALL
HALLW 69-57
−3.5
21
vsPROV
PROVL 68-71
−13.5
25
@CREI
CREIW 72-71
+0.5
1
@MARQ
MARQW 62-51
−26.5
over 10under 19avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Villanova
22-7 overall · 13-5 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ St John's57–89
- Wvs Butler82–73
- Lvs UConn63–73
- W@ Xavier92–89
- W@ Creighton80–69
4 days since their last game.
DePaul
16-13 overall · 8-10 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Marquette62–51
- W@ Creighton72–71
- Lvs Providence68–71
- W@ Seton Hall69–57
- Wvs Creighton72–71
3 days since their last game.