Finneran Pavilion · at Villanova · Conference game
Closing line
VILL -9.5✓ MARQ covered by 6.5
VILL -9.5✓ MARQ covered by 6.5Closing total144.5Over by 6.5
 MARQ | This season | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| 9-15 | Record | 18-5 |
| 8-16 | ATS | 16-7 |
| 12-12 | O/U | 13-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MARQ 69–78 VILL · ✓ VILL (80%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MARQ | 32 | 42 | 74 |
| VILL | 36 | 41 | 77 |
1st half: MARQ 32, VILL 36 (VILL by 4). The model had VILL by 5.6 and a total of 68.7 (actual 68).
Team stats
| MARQ | VILL | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-49 49% | Field goals | 23-59 39% |
| 8-23 35% | 3-pointers | 13-34 38% |
| 18-20 90% | Free throws | 18-31 58% |
| 32 5 off | Rebounds | 36 17 off |
| 15 | Assists | 17 |
| 7 | Steals | 13 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 22 | Fouls | 17 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| MARQ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royce Parham F | 37 | 26 | 11 | 0 | 8-9 | 1-1 |
| Adrien Stevens G | 34 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 5-11 | 4-10 |
| Nigel James Jr. G | 32 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| Chase Ross G | 29 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Ben Gold F | 28 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Damarius Owens SF | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Tre Norman G | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Michael Phillips II SF | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Caedin Hamilton F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Joshua Clark F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Braeden Brenn, Sheek Pearson, Ian Miletic, Nash Walker, Casey O'Malley, Jonah Lucas, Sean Jones
| VILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Perkins G | 34 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 7-16 | 5-9 |
| Duke Brennan F | 32 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Acaden Lewis G | 31 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Bryce Lindsay G | 29 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1-8 | 1-6 |
| Matt Hodge F | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 5-8 | 3-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Malachi Palmer G | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Devin Askew G | 15 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| Braden Pierce C | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chris Jeffrey G | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nico Onyekwere, Wade Chiddick, Zion Stanford, Tafara Gapare, Malcolm Flaggs
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVILL -10.5
1 → MARQ
CloseVILL -9.5
1 pt toward MARQ
Total
Open143.5
▲ 1
Close144.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MARQ +380 · VILL -500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VILL -10.5 · closed VILL -9.5 · moved 1 toward MARQmodel VILL -9.5 matches the line
model VILL -9.5 = line ✓
Opened 143.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 1 upmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | VILL -9.5 | VILL -9.6 | VILL +0.1 | L MARQ covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 146.8 | Over 2.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MARQ 68.6 · VILL 78.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | VILL -5.6 | VILL -4.0 |
| 1H total | 68.7 | 68 |
| 1H projected score | MARQ 31.6 · VILL 37.2 | MARQ 32 · VILL 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MARQ | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| VILL | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
MARQ 8–2 VILLMARQ leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · VILL has won the last 2 meetings · MARQ 9-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | VILL 76 @ MARQ 73 | MARQ +3.5 | MARQ W |
| Feb 21, 2024-25 | MARQ 66 @ VILL 81 | VILL +2.5 | VILL W |
| Jan 24, 2024-25 | VILL 74 @ MARQ 87 | MARQ -9.5 | MARQ W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | VILL 65 vs MARQ 71 | MARQ -4.5 | MARQ W |
| Jan 30, 2023-24 | MARQ 85 @ VILL 80 | VILL -2.5 | MARQ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Marquette
24 games played
Straight up
9-15
38% wins
Against the spread
8-16
33% covers · avg −3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-12
50% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UALB | W 80-53 | -24.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 5 | vs SOU | W 100-82 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 9 | vs IU | L 77-100 | +3.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs LR | W 89-49 | -21.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | vs MD | L 82-89 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs DAY | L 71-77 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs CMU | W 85-71 | -25.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 28 | vs OU | L 74-75 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 162.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs VAL | W 75-72 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 6 | @ WIS | L 76-96 | +11.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ PUR | L 59-79 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs GTWN | L 69-78 | -6.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 20 | @ CREI | L 63-84 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 30 | vs HALL | L 73-79 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 4 | @ CONN | L 57-73 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 7 | vs XAV | W 66-65 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 157.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vsVILL | L 73-76 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 13 | @ SJU | L 68-92 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 16 | @ DEP | L 75-80 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 19 | vs PROV | W 105-104 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | O 209 |
| Jan 23 | @ BTLR | L 76-87 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 27 | vsCREI | W 86-62 | +1.5 | W +25.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 31 | @HALL | L 64-69 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 7 | vsBTLR | W 70-55 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUALB
UALBW 80-53
+2.5
5
vsSOU
SOUW 100-82
−6.5
9
vsIU
IUL 77-100
−19.5
12
vsLR
LRW 89-49
+18.5
15
vsMD
MDL 82-89
−15.5
19
vsDAY
DAYL 71-77
−12.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 85-71
−11.5
28
vsOU
OUL 74-75
+0.5
2
vsVAL
VALW 75-72
−14.5
6
@WIS
WISL 76-96
−8.5
13
@PUR
PURL 59-79
−3.5
17
vsGTWN
GTWNL 69-78
−15.5
20
@CREI
CREIL 63-84
−14.5
30
vsHALL
HALLL 73-79
−7.5
4
@CONN
CONNL 57-73
+1.5
7
vsXAV
XAVW 66-65
−4.5
10
vsVILL
VILLL 73-76
+0.5
13
@SJU
SJUL 68-92
−8.5
16
@DEP
DEPL 75-80
−2.5
19
vsPROV
PROVW 105-104
−1.5
23
@BTLR
BTLRL 76-87
−5.5
27
vsCREI
CREIW 86-62
+25.5
31
@HALL
HALLL 64-69
+1.5
7
vsBTLR
BTLRW 70-55
+11.5
covered 8didn’t cover 16avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUALB
UALBW 80-53
−16.5
5
vsSOU
SOUW 100-82
+26.5
9
vsIU
IUL 77-100
+20.5
12
vsLR
LRW 89-49
−17.5
15
vsMD
MDL 82-89
+24.5
19
vsDAY
DAYL 71-77
−3.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 85-71
+3.5
28
vsOU
OUL 74-75
−13.5
2
vsVAL
VALW 75-72
+0.5
6
@WIS
WISL 76-96
+11.5
13
@PUR
PURL 59-79
−16.5
17
vsGTWN
GTWNL 69-78
−2.5
20
@CREI
CREIL 63-84
−4.5
30
vsHALL
HALLL 73-79
+6.5
4
@CONN
CONNL 57-73
−14.5
7
vsXAV
XAVW 66-65
−26.5
10
vsVILL
VILLL 73-76
+2.5
13
@SJU
SJUL 68-92
+4.5
16
@DEP
DEPL 75-80
+9.5
19
vsPROV
PROVW 105-104
+41.5
23
@BTLR
BTLRL 76-87
+1.5
27
vsCREI
CREIW 86-62
−6.5
31
@HALL
HALLL 64-69
−10.5
7
vsBTLR
BTLRW 70-55
−30.5
over 12under 12avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Villanova
23 games played
Straight up
18-5
78% wins
Against the spread
16-7
70% covers · avg +3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-10
57% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BYU | L 66-71 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs QUC | W 94-74 | -17.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs SHU | W 94-60 | -19.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs DUQ | W 87-77 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ LAS | W 70-55 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 25 | vs ODU | W 89-75 | -22.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 1 | vs TEM | W 74-56 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 6 | vs PENN | W 90-63 | -18.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 9 | @ MICH | L 61-89 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs PITT | W 79-61 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 19 | vsWIS | W 76-66 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 23 | @HALL | W 64-56 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 31 | vsDEP | W 71-66 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @BTLR | W 85-67 | +2.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 7 | vsCREI | L 72-76 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | @MARQ | W 76-73 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 13 | @PROV | W 88-82 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 17 | vsSJU | L 79-86 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 21 | vsGTWN | W 66-51 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 24 | @CONN | L 67-75 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 30 | vsPROV | W 87-73 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 4 | vsHALL | W 72-60 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 134.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 7 | @GTWN | W 80-73 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
+4.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+2.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
+14.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
−0.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
+2.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
−8.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
+3.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+8.5
9
@MICH
MICHL 61-89
−10.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 79-61
+7.5
19
vsWIS
WISW 76-66
+13.5
23
@HALL
HALLW 64-56
+9.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 71-66
−7.5
3
@BTLR
BTLRW 85-67
+20.5
7
vsCREI
CREIL 72-76
−8.5
10
@MARQ
MARQW 76-73
−0.5
13
@PROV
PROVW 88-82
+3.5
17
vsSJU
SJUL 79-86
−4.5
21
vsGTWN
GTWNW 66-51
+6.5
24
@CONN
CONNL 67-75
+3.5
30
vsPROV
PROVW 87-73
+5.5
4
vsHALL
HALLW 72-60
+6.5
7
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-73
+4.5
covered 16didn’t cover 7avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
−16.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+17.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
−6.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
+12.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
−19.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
+16.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
−16.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+2.5
9
@MICH
MICHL 61-89
−6.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 79-61
+1.5
19
vsWIS
WISW 76-66
−10.5
23
@HALL
HALLW 64-56
−15.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 71-66
−2.5
3
@BTLR
BTLRW 85-67
+2.5
7
vsCREI
CREIL 72-76
+5.5
10
@MARQ
MARQW 76-73
+2.5
13
@PROV
PROVW 88-82
+13.5
17
vsSJU
SJUL 79-86
+17.5
21
vsGTWN
GTWNW 66-51
−25.5
24
@CONN
CONNL 67-75
+4.5
30
vsPROV
PROVW 87-73
+2.5
4
vsHALL
HALLW 72-60
−2.5
7
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-73
+12.5
over 13under 10avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Marquette
9-15 overall · 4-9 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Butler70–55
- L@ Seton Hall64–69
- Wvs Creighton86–62
- L@ Butler76–87
- Wvs Providence105–104
3 days since their last game.
Villanova
18-5 overall · 9-3 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Georgetown80–73
- Wvs Seton Hall72–60
- Wvs Providence87–73
- L@ UConn67–75
- Wvs Georgetown66–51
3 days since their last game.