Marquette Golden Eagles at Seton Hall Pirates: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Jan 31, 12:00 PM ETPrudential Center · at Seton Hall · Conference game

#42MARQMarquette64final

Final

#67HALLSeton Hall69▲ winner

Closing lineHALL -6.5✓ MARQ covered by 1.5

Closing total143.5Under by 10.5

Season records: Marquette and Seton Hall
MARQ	This season	HALL
8-14	Record	15-6
6-16	ATS	13-8
12-10	O/U	9-12

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: MARQ 68–75 HALL · ✓ HALL (71%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
MARQ	41	23	64
HALL	33	36	69

1st half: MARQ 41, HALL 33 (MARQ by 8). The model had HALL by 3.6 and a total of 66.9 (actual 74).

Team stats

MARQ		HALL
24-51 47%	Field goals	29-57 51%
11-19 58%	3-pointers	4-10 40%
5-9 56%	Free throws	7-9 78%
25 10 off	Rebounds	32 12 off
15	Assists	14
9	Steals	10
6	Blocks	8
16	Turnovers	14
11	Fouls	12
26	Points in paint	42
5	Fast-break points	6

Players

MARQ	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Royce Parham F	38	17	6	2	7-13	1-3
Chase Ross G	36	7	1	4	3-8	1-2
Adrien Stevens G	32	9	5	5	3-5	3-3
Ben Gold F	32	10	2	0	3-8	3-7
Nigel James Jr. G	31	16	6	3	6-12	2-2
Bench
Damarius Owens SF	21	2	2	1	1-4	0-1
Caedin Hamilton F	5	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Michael Phillips II SF	3	3	0	0	1-1	1-1
Joshua Clark F	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Ian Miletic, Sheek Pearson, Braeden Brenn, Nash Walker, Casey O'Malley, Jonah Lucas, Sean Jones, Zaide Lowery, Tre Norman

HALL	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Adam Clark G	34	19	3	6	8-16	0-0
AJ Staton-McCray G	30	11	2	1	4-9	3-4
Stephon Payne F	24	9	9	0	4-6	0-0
Elijah Fisher G	18	7	3	1	3-5	0-0
Mike Williams III G	15	0	0	0	0-4	0-1
Bench
Tajuan Simpkins G	33	9	1	3	3-9	1-4
Joshua Rivera F	18	6	6	3	3-3	0-0
Na'jai Hines C	15	4	3	0	2-2	0-0
Trey Parker G	9	4	0	0	2-3	0-1
Jacob Dar G	4	0	2	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Assane Mbaye, Patrick Suemnick, David Gabriel, Godswill Erheriene, Jahseem Felton

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	HALL -6.5	HALL -6.2	MARQ +0.3	W MARQ covered
Total	143.5	142.8	Under 0.7	W Under
Projected score	—	MARQ 68.3 · HALL 74.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	HALL -3.6	MARQ -8.0
1H total	66.9	74
1H projected score	MARQ 31.7 · HALL 35.2	MARQ 41 · HALL 33

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
MARQ LLLLW	6-16	27%	1-6	4-7
HALL WLWLW	13-8	62%	5-7	6-8

Venue/role: MARQ away, as underdog; HALL home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
MARQ OOOOU	12-10	55%	8-14
HALL OUUUO	9-12	43%	15-6

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
MARQ	3-7 30%	3-7 30%	6-4 60%
HALL	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22

MARQ 7–2 HALLMARQ leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · MARQ 7-2 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 30, 2025-26	HALL 79 @ MARQ 73	MARQ -1.5	HALL W
Feb 18, 2024-25	HALL 56 @ MARQ 80	MARQ -18.5	MARQ W
Jan 21, 2024-25	MARQ 76 @ HALL 59	HALL +12.5	MARQ W
Jan 27, 2023-24	HALL 57 @ MARQ 75	MARQ -10.5	MARQ W
Jan 6, 2023-24	MARQ 75 @ HALL 78	HALL +4.5	HALL W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Marquette

22 games played

Straight up

8-14

36% wins

Against the spread

6-16

27% covers · avg −4.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

12-10

55% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

8-1436%

W W L W L L W L W L L L L L L W L L L W L W

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

6-1627%

W L L W L L L W L L L L L L W L W L L L L W

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

12-1055%

U O O U O U O U O O U U U O U U O O O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsUALB	W 80-53	-24.5	W +2.5	149.5	U 133
Nov 5	vsSOU	W 100-82	-24.5	L −6.5	155.5	O 182
Nov 9	vsIU	L 77-100	+3.5	L −19.5	156.5	O 177
Nov 12	vsLR	W 89-49	-21.5	W +18.5	155.5	U 138
Nov 15	vsMD	L 82-89	-8.5	L −15.5	146.5	O 171
Nov 19	vsDAY	L 71-77	-6.5	L −12.5	151.5	U 148
Nov 22	vsCMU	W 85-71	-25.5	L −11.5	152.5	O 156
Nov 28	vsOU	L 74-75	+1.5	W +0.5	162.5	U 149
Dec 2	vsVAL	W 75-72	-17.5	L −14.5	146.5	O 147
Dec 6	@WIS	L 76-96	+11.5	L −8.5	160.5	O 172
Dec 13	@PUR	L 59-79	+16.5	L −3.5	154.5	U 138
Dec 17	vsGTWN	L 69-78	-6.5	L −15.5	149.5	U 147
Dec 20	@CREI	L 63-84	+6.5	L −14.5	151.5	U 147
Dec 30	vsHALL	L 73-79	-1.5	L −7.5	145.5	O 152
Jan 4	@CONN	L 57-73	+17.5	W +1.5	144.5	U 130
Jan 7	vsXAV	W 66-65	-5.5	L −4.5	157.5	U 131
Jan 10	vsVILL	L 73-76	+3.5	W +0.5	146.5	O 149
Jan 13	@SJU	L 68-92	+15.5	L −8.5	155.5	O 160
Jan 16	@DEP	L 75-80	+2.5	L −2.5	145.5	O 155
Jan 19	vsPROV	W 105-104	-2.5	L −1.5	167.5	O 209
Jan 23	@BTLR	L 76-87	+5.5	L −5.5	161.5	O 163
Jan 27	vsCREI	W 86-62	+1.5	W +25.5	154.5	U 148

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

UALB

W 80-53

+2.5

SOU

W 100-82

−6.5

L 77-100

−19.5

W 89-49

+18.5

L 82-89

−15.5

DAY

L 71-77

−12.5

CMU

W 85-71

−11.5

L 74-75

+0.5

VAL

W 75-72

−14.5

WIS

L 76-96

−8.5

PUR

L 59-79

−3.5

GTWN

L 69-78

−15.5

CREI

L 63-84

−14.5

HALL

L 73-79

−7.5

CONN

L 57-73

+1.5

XAV

W 66-65

−4.5

VILL

L 73-76

+0.5

SJU

L 68-92

−8.5

DEP

L 75-80

−2.5

PROV

W 105-104

−1.5

BTLR

L 76-87

−5.5

CREI

W 86-62

+25.5

covered 6didn’t cover 16avg −4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

UALB

W 80-53

−16.5

SOU

W 100-82

+26.5

L 77-100

+20.5

W 89-49

−17.5

L 82-89

+24.5

DAY

L 71-77

−3.5

CMU

W 85-71

+3.5

L 74-75

−13.5

VAL

W 75-72

+0.5

WIS

L 76-96

+11.5

PUR

L 59-79

−16.5

GTWN

L 69-78

−2.5

CREI

L 63-84

−4.5

HALL

L 73-79

+6.5

CONN

L 57-73

−14.5

XAV

W 66-65

−26.5

VILL

L 73-76

+2.5

SJU

L 68-92

+4.5

DEP

L 75-80

+9.5

PROV

W 105-104

+41.5

BTLR

L 76-87

+1.5

CREI

W 86-62

−6.5

over 12under 10avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Seton Hall

21 games played

Straight up

15-6

71% wins

Against the spread

13-8

62% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

9-12

43% overs · avg −3.3 pts vs the total

Straight up

15-671%

W W W W W W L W W W W W L W W W L L L L W

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

13-862%

W L W L L W W W L W W W L W L W W L W L W

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

9-1243%

U U O U U O O U O U O U U O U O O U U U O

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsSPU	W 77-50	-13.5	W +13.5	129.5	U 127
Nov 7	vsWAG	W 68-61	-21.5	L −14.5	134.5	U 129
Nov 10	vsFAIR	W 82-59	-14.5	W +8.5	137.5	O 141
Nov 13	vsMONM	W 70-58	-15.5	L −3.5	135.5	U 128
Nov 18	vsNHVN	W 68-45	-25.5	L −2.5	129.5	U 113
Nov 24	vsNCSU	W 85-74	+7.5	W +18.5	143.5	O 159
Nov 25	vsUSC	L 81-83	+6.5	W +4.5	145.5	O 164
Nov 26	vsWSU	W 75-61	-8.5	W +5.5	147.5	U 136
Dec 3	vsCCSU	W 77-61	-18.5	L −2.5	128.5	O 138
Dec 6	@KSU	W 78-67	+2.5	W +13.5	148.5	U 145
Dec 13	vsRUTG	W 81-59	-13.5	W +8.5	136.5	O 140
Dec 19	@PROV	W 72-67	+1.5	W +6.5	152.5	U 139
Dec 23	vsVILL	L 56-64	-1.5	L −9.5	135.5	U 120
Dec 30	@MARQ	W 79-73	+1.5	W +7.5	145.5	O 152
Jan 4	vsCREI	W 56-54	-3.5	L −1.5	143.5	U 110
Jan 10	@GTWN	W 76-67	-1.5	W +7.5	137.5	O 143
Jan 13	vsCONN	L 64-69	+6.5	W +1.5	132.5	O 133
Jan 17	vsBTLR	L 66-77	-6.5	L −17.5	144.5	U 143
Jan 20	@SJU	L 60-65	+11.5	W +6.5	145.5	U 125
Jan 24	@DEP	L 60-67	-2.5	L −9.5	135.5	U 127
Jan 28	vsXAV	W 86-68	-5.5	W +12.5	145.5	O 154

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SPU

W 77-50

+13.5

WAG

W 68-61

−14.5

FAIR

W 82-59

+8.5

MONM

W 70-58

−3.5

NHVN

W 68-45

−2.5

NCSU

W 85-74

+18.5

USC

L 81-83

+4.5

WSU

W 75-61

+5.5

CCSU

W 77-61

−2.5

KSU

W 78-67

+13.5

RUTG

W 81-59

+8.5

PROV

W 72-67

+6.5

VILL

L 56-64

−9.5

MARQ

W 79-73

+7.5

CREI

W 56-54

−1.5

GTWN

W 76-67

+7.5

CONN

L 64-69

+1.5

BTLR

L 66-77

−17.5

SJU

L 60-65

+6.5

DEP

L 60-67

−9.5

XAV

W 86-68

+12.5

covered 13didn’t cover 8avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SPU

W 77-50

−2.5

WAG

W 68-61

−5.5

FAIR

W 82-59

+3.5

MONM

W 70-58

−7.5

NHVN

W 68-45

−16.5

NCSU

W 85-74

+15.5

USC

L 81-83

+18.5

WSU

W 75-61

−11.5

CCSU

W 77-61

+9.5

KSU

W 78-67

−3.5

RUTG

W 81-59

+3.5

PROV

W 72-67

−13.5

VILL

L 56-64

−15.5

MARQ

W 79-73

+6.5

CREI

W 56-54

−33.5

GTWN

W 76-67

+5.5

CONN

L 64-69

+0.5

BTLR

L 66-77

−1.5

SJU

L 60-65

−20.5

DEP

L 60-67

−8.5

XAV

W 86-68

+8.5

over 9under 12avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Marquette Golden Eagles at Seton Hall Pirates

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Marquette

Seton Hall

Marquette

Seton Hall