McKale Center at ALKEME Arena · at Arizona · Conference game
Closing line
ARIZ -13.5✓ ARIZ covered by 12.5
ARIZ -13.5✓ ARIZ covered by 12.5Closing total152.5Under by 24.5
 CIN | This season | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| 10-8 | Record | 18-0 |
| 8-10 | ATS | 10-8 |
| 5-13 | O/U | 11-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CIN 68–82 ARIZ · ✓ ARIZ (89%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 27 | 24 | 51 |
| ARIZ | 33 | 44 | 77 |
1st half: CIN 27, ARIZ 33 (ARIZ by 6). The model had ARIZ by 8.4 and a total of 69.9 (actual 60).
Team stats
| CIN | ARIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-56 30% | Field goals | 27-63 43% |
| 4-21 19% | 3-pointers | 3-13 23% |
| 13-14 93% | Free throws | 20-28 71% |
| 33 11 off | Rebounds | 46 18 off |
| 8 | Assists | 15 |
| 4 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 21 | Fouls | 14 |
| 14 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| CIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baba Miller F | 33 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 5-13 | 0-1 |
| Day Day Thomas G | 29 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-8 | 0-3 |
| Jizzle James G | 25 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Moustapha Thiam C | 17 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Sencire Harris G | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Celestine G | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Tyler McKinley F | 19 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Shon Abaev F | 19 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Keyshuan Tillery G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Halvine Dzellat C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kerr Kriisa G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jordi Rodriguez-Stegemeijer G | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Grant Darbyshire, Jalen Haynes, Bryson Buckingham, Lucas Atauri
| ARIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Bradley G | 33 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 2-10 | 0-1 |
| Brayden Burries G | 30 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 3-11 | 2-4 |
| Motiejus Krivas C | 30 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Ivan Kharchenkov F | 29 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 6-11 | 0-4 |
| Koa Peat F | 25 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tobe Awaka F | 20 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Dell'Orso G | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Dwayne Aristode F | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Addison Arnold G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Evan Nelson G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sven Djopmo G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sidi Gueye C | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jackson Francois, Bryce James, Jackson Cook, Mabil Mawut
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARIZ -15.5
2 → CIN
CloseARIZ -13.5
2 pts toward CIN
Total
Open151.5
▲ 1
Close152.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
CIN +750 · ARIZ -1200
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARIZ -15.5 · closed ARIZ -13.5 · moved 2 toward CINmodel ARIZ -14.5
model ARIZ -14.5
Opened 151.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 1 upmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ARIZ -13.5 | ARIZ -14.3 | ARIZ +0.8 | W ARIZ covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 149.3 | Under 3.2 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | CIN 67.5 · ARIZ 81.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ARIZ -8.4 | ARIZ -6.0 |
| 1H total | 69.9 | 60 |
| 1H projected score | CIN 30.8 · ARIZ 39.2 | CIN 27 · ARIZ 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| ARIZ | 10-0 100% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CIN 0–2 ARIZARIZ leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · ARIZ has won the last 2 meetings · CIN 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | ARIZ 72 @ CIN 67 | CIN -2.5 | ARIZ W |
| Nov 21, 2022-23 | CIN 93 vs ARIZ 101 | ARIZ -9.5 | CIN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cincinnati
18 games played
Straight up
10-8
56% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-13
28% overs · avg −5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WCU | W 94-63 | -22.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | vs GAST | W 74-64 | -29.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 11 | vs DAY | W 74-62 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 16 | vs MSM | W 72-55 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs LOU | L 64-74 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs NJIT | W 94-67 | -34.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs EMU | L 56-64 | -22.5 | L −30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 1 | vs TAR | W 76-58 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 5 | @ XAV | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | vs UGA | L 65-84 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 17 | vs ALST | W 88-51 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vs CLEM | L 65-68 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | vs LIP | W 89-62 | -13.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 3 | vs HOU | L 60-67 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 6 | @ WVU | L 60-62 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @ UCF | L 72-73 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | vs COLO | W 77-68 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | vs ISU | W 79-70 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+8.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−19.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
+6.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−8.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−1.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
−7.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−30.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−6.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
−6.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−13.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 88-51
+15.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 65-68
+0.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 89-62
+13.5
3
vsHOU
HOUL 60-67
−2.5
6
@WVU
WVUL 60-62
−3.5
11
@UCF
UCFL 72-73
+1.5
14
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
+0.5
17
vsISU
ISUW 79-70
+14.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+13.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−13.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
−11.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−18.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−25.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
+19.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−26.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−8.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
+5.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−8.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 88-51
−6.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 65-68
−7.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 89-62
+0.5
3
vsHOU
HOUL 60-67
−8.5
6
@WVU
WVUL 60-62
−10.5
11
@UCF
UCFL 72-73
−5.5
14
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
−0.5
17
vsISU
ISUW 79-70
+7.5
over 5under 13avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arizona
18 games played
Straight up
18-0
100% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-7
61% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FLA | W 93-87 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | vs UTU | W 93-67 | -33.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 11 | vs NAU | W 84-49 | -35.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 14 | vs UCLA | W 69-65 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ CONN | W 71-67 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs DEN | W 103-73 | -32.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs NORF | W 98-61 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs AUB | W 97-68 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs ALA | W 96-75 | -2.5 | W +18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
| Dec 16 | vs ACU | W 96-62 | -34.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 20 | vs SDSU | W 68-45 | -13.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 22 | vs BCU | W 107-71 | -39.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 29 | vs SDST | W 99-71 | -31.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 3 | @ UTAH | W 97-78 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 7 | vs KSU | W 101-76 | -17.5 | W +7.5 | 171.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @ TCU | W 86-73 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 14 | vs ASU | W 89-82 | -21.5 | L −14.5 | 167.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | @UCF | W 84-77 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+9.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−7.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−0.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
+2.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
+8.5
24
vsDEN
DENW 103-73
−2.5
29
vsNORF
NORFW 98-61
+1.5
6
vsAUB
AUBW 97-68
+17.5
13
vsALA
ALAW 96-75
+18.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 96-62
−0.5
20
vsSDSU
SDSUW 68-45
+9.5
22
vsBCU
BCUW 107-71
−3.5
29
vsSDST
SDSTW 99-71
−3.5
3
@UTAH
UTAHW 97-78
+1.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 101-76
+7.5
10
@TCU
TCUW 86-73
+5.5
14
vsASU
ASUW 89-82
−14.5
17
@UCF
UCFW 84-77
−2.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+15.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−2.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−30.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
−19.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
−18.5
24
vsDEN
DENW 103-73
+21.5
29
vsNORF
NORFW 98-61
+12.5
6
vsAUB
AUBW 97-68
+2.5
13
vsALA
ALAW 96-75
−7.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 96-62
+12.5
20
vsSDSU
SDSUW 68-45
−40.5
22
vsBCU
BCUW 107-71
+23.5
29
vsSDST
SDSTW 99-71
+10.5
3
@UTAH
UTAHW 97-78
+12.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 101-76
+5.5
10
@TCU
TCUW 86-73
+1.5
14
vsASU
ASUW 89-82
+3.5
17
@UCF
UCFW 84-77
−4.5
over 11under 7avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cincinnati
10-8 overall · 2-3 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Iowa State79–70
- Wvs Colorado77–68
- L@ UCF72–73
- L@ West Virginia60–62
- Lvs Houston60–67
4 days since their last game.
Arizona
18-0 overall · 5-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UCF84–77
- Wvs Arizona St89–82
- W@ TCU86–73
- Wvs Kansas St101–76
- W@ Utah97–78
4 days since their last game.