Bon Secours Wellness Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
CLEM -3.5✓ CIN covered by 0.5
CLEM -3.5✓ CIN covered by 0.5Closing total140.5Under by 7.5
 CIN | This season | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| 7-4 | Record | 9-3 |
| 3-8 | ATS | 6-6 |
| 3-8 | O/U | 6-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CIN 69–72 CLEM · ✓ CLEM (62%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 18 | 47 | 65 |
| CLEM | 38 | 30 | 68 |
1st half: CIN 18, CLEM 38 (CLEM by 20). The model had CLEM by 1.9 and a total of 66.0 (actual 56).
Team stats
| CIN | CLEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-58 38% | Field goals | 24-50 48% |
| 10-25 40% | 3-pointers | 10-20 50% |
| 11-15 73% | Free throws | 10-14 71% |
| 36 10 off | Rebounds | 27 2 off |
| 9 | Assists | 15 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| CIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day Day Thomas G | 34 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 6-12 | 5-9 |
| Baba Miller F | 30 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Moustapha Thiam C | 26 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 5-8 | 1-1 |
| Shon Abaev F | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Kerr Kriisa G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jizzle James G | 29 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 3-9 | 1-2 |
| Sencire Harris G | 28 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-1 |
| Jalen Celestine G | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Halvine Dzellat C | 14 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jalen Haynes, Tyler McKinley, Grant Darbyshire, Keyshuan Tillery, Bryson Buckingham, Lucas Atauri, Jordi Rodriguez-Stegemeijer
| CLEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Hunter G | 34 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Jestin Porter G | 31 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| RJ Godfrey F | 25 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Carter Welling F | 21 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Jake Wahlin F | 20 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ace Buckner G | 27 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5-11 | 1-2 |
| Nick Davidson F | 27 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 4-5 | 2-2 |
| Butta Johnson G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chase Thompson F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dallas Thomas, Trent Steinour, Zac Foster, Blake Davidson
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCLEM -5.5
2 → CIN
CloseCLEM -3.5
2 pts toward CIN
Total
Open137.5
▲ 3
Close140.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
CIN +154 · CLEM -185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CLEM -5.5 · closed CLEM -3.5 · moved 2 toward CINmodel CLEM -3.5 matches the line
model CLEM -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 137.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 3 upmodel 141
model 141
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CLEM -3.5 | CLEM -3.5 | — | CIN covered |
| Total | 140.5 | 140.9 | Over 0.4 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | CIN 68.7 · CLEM 72.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CLEM -1.9 | CLEM -20.0 |
| 1H total | 66.0 | 56 |
| 1H projected score | CIN 32 · CLEM 34 | CIN 18 · CLEM 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% | 2-8 20% |
| CLEM | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cincinnati
11 games played
Straight up
7-4
64% wins
Against the spread
3-8
27% covers · avg −5.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-8
27% overs · avg −7.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WCU | W 94-63 | -22.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | vs GAST | W 74-64 | -29.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 11 | vs DAY | W 74-62 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 16 | vs MSM | W 72-55 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs LOU | L 64-74 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs NJIT | W 94-67 | -34.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs EMU | L 56-64 | -22.5 | L −30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 1 | vs TAR | W 76-58 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 5 | @ XAV | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | vs UGA | L 65-84 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 17 | vs ALST | W 88-51 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+8.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−19.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
+6.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−8.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−1.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
−7.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−30.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−6.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
−6.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−13.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 88-51
+15.5
covered 3didn’t cover 8avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+13.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−13.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
−11.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−18.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−25.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
+19.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−26.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−8.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
+5.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−8.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 88-51
−6.5
over 3under 8avg −7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Clemson
12 games played
Straight up
9-3
75% wins
Against the spread
6-6
50% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UNH | W 88-38 | -29.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 7 | vs GWEB | W 97-59 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 11 | vs MORE | W 83-56 | -29.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 15 | @ GTWN | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 17 | vs UNA | W 81-61 | -25.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs WVU | W 70-67 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 23 | vsUGA | W 97-94 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 28 | vs AAMU | W 92-56 | -27.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | @ ALA | L 84-90 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 9 | vs BYU | L 64-67 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs MER | W 70-63 | -22.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 16 | vs SC | W 68-61 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUNH
UNHW 88-38
+20.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 97-59
+8.5
11
vsMORE
MOREW 83-56
−2.5
15
@GTWN
GTWNL 74-79
−6.5
17
vsUNA
UNAW 81-61
−5.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 70-67
−1.5
23
vsUGA
UGAW 97-94
+1.5
28
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-56
+8.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 84-90
+2.5
9
vsBYU
BYUL 64-67
+1.5
13
vsMER
MERW 70-63
−15.5
16
vsSC
SCW 68-61
−5.5
covered 6didn’t cover 6avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUNH
UNHW 88-38
−20.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 97-59
+10.5
11
vsMORE
MOREW 83-56
−12.5
15
@GTWN
GTWNL 74-79
+10.5
17
vsUNA
UNAW 81-61
−2.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 70-67
+4.5
23
vsUGA
UGAW 97-94
+38.5
28
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-56
+6.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 84-90
+8.5
9
vsBYU
BYUL 64-67
−21.5
13
vsMER
MERW 70-63
−19.5
16
vsSC
SCW 68-61
−13.5
over 6under 6avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cincinnati
7-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Alabama St88–51
- Lvs Georgia65–84
- L@ Xavier74–79
- Wvs Tarleton St76–58
- Lvs E Michigan56–64
4 days since their last game.
Clemson
9-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs South Carolina68–61
- Wvs Mercer70–63
- Lvs BYU64–67
- L@ Alabama84–90
- Wvs Alabama A&M92–56
5 days since their last game.