McDermott Center · at Incarnate Word · Conference game
Closing line
SFA -7.5✓ SFA covered by 0.5
SFA -7.5✓ SFA covered by 0.5Closing total142.5Over by 1.5
| SFA | This season | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| 24-4 | Record | 9-18 |
| 21-7 | ATS | 10-17 |
| 11-17 | O/U | 13-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SFA 75–68 UIW · ✓ SFA (72%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFA | 28 | 48 | 76 |
| UIW | 26 | 42 | 68 |
1st half: SFA 28, UIW 26 (SFA by 2). The model had SFA by 4.0 and a total of 67.1 (actual 54).
Team stats
| SFA | UIW | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-56 48% | Field goals | 29-59 49% |
| 12-24 50% | 3-pointers | 7-25 28% |
| 10-15 67% | Free throws | 3-9 33% |
| 39 11 off | Rebounds | 28 7 off |
| 13 | Assists | 13 |
| 3 | Steals | 3 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| SFA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keon Thompson G | 33 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 6-12 | 0-1 |
| Lateef Patrick Jr. G | 33 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 8-11 | 6-7 |
| Chrishawn Christmas G | 32 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Jerald Colonel F | 31 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Kam Burton G | 20 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 3-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Narit Chotikavanic G | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| Gediminas Alisas F | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ahamed Mohammed G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Christian Green G | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Scurry G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Eltramon Smith, Yohan Gutierrez, Harris Dar, Bryceson Melvin, Tichyque Musaka
| UIW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahj Staveskie G | 40 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 5-11 | 0-4 |
| Davion Bailey G | 40 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 8-23 | 4-14 |
| Harold Woods G | 37 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 5-10 | 2-4 |
| Love Bettis G | 35 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Lewis Rowe C | 30 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marcus Glover F | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Amani Drummond G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mihael Tomic G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jordan Pyke, Esteban Mann, Isaiah Kortas, Tyler Simon, Harrison Reede, Drew Barbee, Jayden Williams
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSFA -8.5
1 → UIW
CloseSFA -7.5
1 pt toward UIW
Total
Open144.5
▼ 2
Close142.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
SFA -375 · UIW +295
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SFA -8.5 · closed SFA -7.5 · moved 1 toward UIWmodel SFA -6.5
model SFA -6.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 2 downmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SFA -7.5 | SFA -6.5 | UIW +1.0 | L SFA covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 143.3 | Over 0.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | SFA 74.9 · UIW 68.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SFA -4.0 | SFA -2.0 |
| 1H total | 67.1 | 54 |
| 1H projected score | SFA 35.6 · UIW 31.5 | SFA 28 · UIW 26 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFA | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| UIW | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SFA 1–2 UIWUIW leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · SFA 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2025-26 | UIW 46 @ SFA 56 | SFA -7.5 | SFA W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | SFA 61 @ UIW 63 | UIW -1.5 | UIW W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | UIW 55 @ SFA 49 | SFA -5.5 | UIW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SF Austin
28 games played
Straight up
24-4
86% wins
Against the spread
21-7
75% covers · avg +4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-17
39% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs ARST | W 90-65 | +1.5 | W +26.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ RICE | W 81-69 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs ACU | W 76-66 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 18 | @ FRES | L 78-80 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 21 | @ PEPP | W 63-60 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 29 | @ UTA | L 61-66 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 3 | vs RGV | W 73-60 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 7 | vs ULM | W 96-76 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 17 | vs AMCC | W 69-60 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 29 | @ ETAM | W 75-48 | -4.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 31 | @ NWST | W 74-64 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 3 | @ SELA | W 73-63 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 137.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 5 | @ MCN | L 64-66 | +10.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vs HCU | W 85-67 | -12.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 12 | vsUIW | W 56-46 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 140.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 17 | @ NOLA | W 84-79 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 19 | @ NICH | W 79-62 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 24 | @ LAM | W 88-81 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 136.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 27 | vsNWST | W 69-67 | -14.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 31 | vsSELA | W 85-58 | -9.5 | W +17.5 | 135.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 2 | vsMCN | W 67-60 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 7 | vsLAM | W 84-74 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 9 | vsETAM | W 74-70 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 14 | @RGV | W 66-57 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 16 | @AMCC | W 78-68 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 21 | vsNICH | W 81-78 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 23 | vsNOLA | L 73-77 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 28 | @HCU | W 77-56 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsARST
ARSTW 90-65
+26.5
11
@RICE
RICEW 81-69
+14.5
14
vsACU
ACUW 76-66
+3.5
18
@FRES
FRESL 78-80
−4.5
21
@PEPP
PEPPW 63-60
+1.5
29
@UTA
UTAL 61-66
−3.5
3
vsRGV
RGVW 73-60
+6.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 96-76
+0.5
17
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-60
+2.5
29
@ETAM
ETAMW 75-48
+22.5
31
@NWST
NWSTW 74-64
+1.5
3
@SELA
SELAW 73-63
+6.5
5
@MCN
MCNL 64-66
+8.5
10
vsHCU
HCUW 85-67
+5.5
12
vsUIW
UIWW 56-46
+2.5
17
@NOLA
NOLAW 84-79
−1.5
19
@NICH
NICHW 79-62
+12.5
24
@LAM
LAMW 88-81
+2.5
27
vsNWST
NWSTW 69-67
−12.5
31
vsSELA
SELAW 85-58
+17.5
2
vsMCN
MCNW 67-60
+9.5
7
vsLAM
LAMW 84-74
+1.5
9
vsETAM
ETAMW 74-70
−12.5
14
@RGV
RGVW 66-57
+7.5
16
@AMCC
AMCCW 78-68
+4.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 81-78
−9.5
23
vsNOLA
NOLAL 73-77
−15.5
28
@HCU
HCUW 77-56
+12.5
covered 21didn’t cover 7avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsARST
ARSTW 90-65
−0.5
11
@RICE
RICEW 81-69
+0.5
14
vsACU
ACUW 76-66
−0.5
18
@FRES
FRESL 78-80
+11.5
21
@PEPP
PEPPW 63-60
−25.5
29
@UTA
UTAL 61-66
−11.5
3
vsRGV
RGVW 73-60
−10.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 96-76
+29.5
17
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-60
−10.5
29
@ETAM
ETAMW 75-48
−23.5
31
@NWST
NWSTW 74-64
−0.5
3
@SELA
SELAW 73-63
−1.5
5
@MCN
MCNL 64-66
−14.5
10
vsHCU
HCUW 85-67
+14.5
12
vsUIW
UIWW 56-46
−38.5
17
@NOLA
NOLAW 84-79
+15.5
19
@NICH
NICHW 79-62
−3.5
24
@LAM
LAMW 88-81
+32.5
27
vsNWST
NWSTW 69-67
−5.5
31
vsSELA
SELAW 85-58
+7.5
2
vsMCN
MCNW 67-60
−14.5
7
vsLAM
LAMW 84-74
+19.5
9
vsETAM
ETAMW 74-70
+0.5
14
@RGV
RGVW 66-57
−21.5
16
@AMCC
AMCCW 78-68
+10.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 81-78
+11.5
23
vsNOLA
NOLAL 73-77
−3.5
28
@HCU
HCUW 77-56
−5.5
over 11under 17avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Incarnate Word
27 games played
Straight up
9-18
33% wins
Against the spread
10-17
37% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-14
48% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CSU | L 64-98 | +10.5 | L −23.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 16 | @ IU | L 61-69 | +28.5 | W +20.5 | 157.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs USI | W 87-81 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 22 | vs HPU | L 80-91 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 1 | vsMCN | W 71-67 | +10.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | @NICH | L 67-74 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 8 | @NOLA | L 83-84 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 15 | @ TCU | L 65-69 | +19.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 21 | vs NAU | W 90-66 | -6.5 | W +17.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 30 | vsSELA | W 79-70 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | vsHCU | W 73-56 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 5 | @RGV | L 67-80 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 10 | @LAM | L 51-63 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 12 | @SFA | L 46-56 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 140.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 17 | vsNWST | W 76-74 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 19 | vsETAM | L 58-80 | -6.5 | L −28.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 24 | vsAMCC | L 71-79 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 27 | @HCU | L 75-81 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vsRGV | L 93-106 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | O 199 |
| Feb 2 | @AMCC | W 71-69 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 7 | @MCN | L 64-81 | +16.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 9 | @SELA | L 62-74 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 137.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 14 | vsNICH | L 83-91 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 16 | vsNOLA | L 64-78 | -2.5 | L −16.5 | 154.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 21 | @ETAM | W 82-73 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 23 | @NWST | L 49-54 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 103 |
| Feb 28 | vsLAM | W 72-60 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CSU
CSUL 64-98
−23.5
16
@IU
IUL 61-69
+20.5
20
vsUSI
USIW 87-81
−3.5
22
vsHPU
HPUL 80-91
+1.5
1
vsMCN
MCNW 71-67
+14.5
6
@NICH
NICHL 67-74
−8.5
8
@NOLA
NOLAL 83-84
−2.5
15
@TCU
TCUL 65-69
+15.5
21
vsNAU
NAUW 90-66
+17.5
30
vsSELA
SELAW 79-70
+2.5
3
vsHCU
HCUW 73-56
+10.5
5
@RGV
RGVL 67-80
−11.5
10
@LAM
LAML 51-63
−10.5
12
@SFA
SFAL 46-56
−2.5
17
vsNWST
NWSTW 76-74
−6.5
19
vsETAM
ETAML 58-80
−28.5
24
vsAMCC
AMCCL 71-79
−9.5
27
@HCU
HCUL 75-81
−7.5
31
vsRGV
RGVL 93-106
−11.5
2
@AMCC
AMCCW 71-69
+6.5
7
@MCN
MCNL 64-81
−0.5
9
@SELA
SELAL 62-74
−10.5
14
vsNICH
NICHL 83-91
−10.5
16
vsNOLA
NOLAL 64-78
−16.5
21
@ETAM
ETAMW 82-73
+12.5
23
@NWST
NWSTL 49-54
−3.5
28
vsLAM
LAMW 72-60
+10.5
covered 10didn’t cover 17avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CSU
CSUL 64-98
+14.5
16
@IU
IUL 61-69
−27.5
20
vsUSI
USIW 87-81
+22.5
22
vsHPU
HPUL 80-91
+10.5
1
vsMCN
MCNW 71-67
−7.5
6
@NICH
NICHL 67-74
−4.5
8
@NOLA
NOLAL 83-84
+18.5
15
@TCU
TCUL 65-69
−9.5
21
vsNAU
NAUW 90-66
+15.5
30
vsSELA
SELAW 79-70
+13.5
3
vsHCU
HCUW 73-56
−12.5
5
@RGV
RGVL 67-80
+0.5
10
@LAM
LAML 51-63
−26.5
12
@SFA
SFAL 46-56
−38.5
17
vsNWST
NWSTW 76-74
+8.5
19
vsETAM
ETAML 58-80
−4.5
24
vsAMCC
AMCCL 71-79
+13.5
27
@HCU
HCUL 75-81
+15.5
31
vsRGV
RGVL 93-106
+58.5
2
@AMCC
AMCCW 71-69
−0.5
7
@MCN
MCNL 64-81
−0.5
9
@SELA
SELAL 62-74
−1.5
14
vsNICH
NICHL 83-91
+25.5
16
vsNOLA
NOLAL 64-78
−12.5
21
@ETAM
ETAMW 82-73
+9.5
23
@NWST
NWSTL 49-54
−35.5
28
vsLAM
LAMW 72-60
−6.5
over 13under 14avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SF Austin
24-4 overall · 19-2 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Hou Christian77–56
- Lvs LSU N Orleans73–77
- Wvs Nicholls81–78
- W@ Texas A&M-CC78–68
- W@ UT Rio Grande66–57
2 days since their last game.
Incarnate Word
9-18 overall · 7-14 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Lamar72–60
- L@ N'Western St49–54
- W@ East Texas A&M82–73
- Lvs LSU N Orleans64–78
- Lvs Nicholls83–91
2 days since their last game.