McDermott Center · at Incarnate Word
Closing line
UIW -6.5✓ UIW covered by 17.5
UIW -6.5✓ UIW covered by 17.5Closing total140.5Over by 15.5
 NAU | This season | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| 3-6 | Record | 2-6 |
| 6-3 | ATS | 4-4 |
| 2-7 | O/U | 4-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NAU 68–74 UIW · ✓ UIW (71%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAU | 33 | 33 | 66 |
| UIW | 39 | 51 | 90 |
1st half: NAU 33, UIW 39 (UIW by 6). The model had UIW by 3.7 and a total of 66.3 (actual 72).
Team stats
| NAU | UIW | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-47 51% | Field goals | 29-60 48% |
| 8-17 47% | 3-pointers | 12-28 43% |
| 10-21 48% | Free throws | 20-30 67% |
| 26 3 off | Rebounds | 39 14 off |
| 13 | Assists | 13 |
| 1 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 18 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 20 |
Players
| NAU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Abelman G | 33 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 6-9 | 2-4 |
| Kavon Bradford G | 31 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Arne Osojnik F | 21 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Isaiah Shaw F | 21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Zack Davidson F | 20 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Karl Poom F | 22 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Chris Komin G | 20 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Traivar Jackson F | 13 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Oakland Fort G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Brennan Peterson G | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Diego Campisano F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Walker Timme, JT Amundsen, Erez Poran
| UIW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Bailey G | 31 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 7-15 | 4-10 |
| Tahj Staveskie G | 29 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 4-13 | 2-7 |
| Jordan Pyke G | 26 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 7-10 | 2-2 |
| Esteban Mann F | 22 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Lewis Rowe C | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Harold Woods G | 27 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Harrison Reede G | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Marcus Glover F | 12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Williams C | 10 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Love Bettis G | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Amani Drummond G | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Drew Barbee G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mihael Tomic G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaiah Kortas, Tyler Simon
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUIW -6.5
no move
CloseUIW -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open141.5
▼ 1
Close140.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
NAU +230 · UIW -285
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UIW -6.5 · unchangedmodel UIW -6.5 matches the line
model UIW -6.5 = line ✓
Opened 141.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 1 downmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UIW -6.5 | UIW -6.4 | NAU +0.1 | L UIW covered |
| Total | 140.5 | 141.5 | Over 1.0 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | NAU 67.6 · UIW 74 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UIW -3.7 | UIW -6.0 |
| 1H total | 66.3 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | NAU 31.3 · UIW 35 | NAU 33 · UIW 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAUlast 9 | 3-6 33% | 6-3 67% | 2-7 22% |
| UIWlast 8 | 2-6 25% | 4-4 50% | 4-4 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NAU 2–0 UIWNAU leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · NAU has won the last 2 meetings · NAU 0-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2024-25 | UIW 74 @ NAU 75 | NAU -4.5 | UIW W |
| Dec 9, 2023-24 | NAU 76 @ UIW 75 | UIW +4.5 | UIW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Arizona
9 games played
Straight up
3-6
33% wins
Against the spread
6-3
67% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-7
22% overs · avg −11.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs DRKE | L 71-77 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ ARIZ | L 49-84 | +35.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 24 | vs CP | W 93-87 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 26 | vs SEMO | W 79-72 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs SDST | L 62-75 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ NDSU | L 68-69 | +12.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 9 | @ ASU | L 48-73 | +16.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | @ USD | L 69-78 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 18 | vs SUU | W 65-57 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsDRKE
DRKEL 71-77
+2.5
11
@ARIZ
ARIZL 49-84
+0.5
24
vsCP
CPW 93-87
+7.5
26
vsSEMO
SEMOW 79-72
+4.5
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 62-75
−10.5
6
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-69
+11.5
9
@ASU
ASUL 48-73
−8.5
13
@USD
USDL 69-78
−4.5
18
vsSUU
SUUW 65-57
+2.5
covered 6didn’t cover 3avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsDRKE
DRKEL 71-77
+3.5
11
@ARIZ
ARIZL 49-84
−30.5
24
vsCP
CPW 93-87
+15.5
26
vsSEMO
SEMOW 79-72
−2.5
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 62-75
−11.5
6
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-69
−10.5
9
@ASU
ASUL 48-73
−33.5
13
@USD
USDL 69-78
−2.5
18
vsSUU
SUUW 65-57
−28.5
over 2under 7avg −11.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Incarnate Word
8 games played
Straight up
2-6
25% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CSU | L 64-98 | +10.5 | L −23.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 16 | @ IU | L 61-69 | +28.5 | W +20.5 | 157.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs USI | W 87-81 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 22 | vs HPU | L 80-91 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 1 | vs MCN | W 71-67 | +10.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | @ NICH | L 67-74 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 8 | @ NOLA | L 83-84 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 15 | @ TCU | L 65-69 | +19.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CSU
CSUL 64-98
−23.5
16
@IU
IUL 61-69
+20.5
20
vsUSI
USIW 87-81
−3.5
22
vsHPU
HPUL 80-91
+1.5
1
vsMCN
MCNW 71-67
+14.5
6
@NICH
NICHL 67-74
−8.5
8
@NOLA
NOLAL 83-84
−2.5
15
@TCU
TCUL 65-69
+15.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CSU
CSUL 64-98
+14.5
16
@IU
IUL 61-69
−27.5
20
vsUSI
USIW 87-81
+22.5
22
vsHPU
HPUL 80-91
+10.5
1
vsMCN
MCNW 71-67
−7.5
6
@NICH
NICHL 67-74
−4.5
8
@NOLA
NOLAL 83-84
+18.5
15
@TCU
TCUL 65-69
−9.5
over 4under 4avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Arizona
3-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Southern Utah65–57
- L@ San Diego69–78
- L@ Arizona St48–73
- L@ N Dakota St68–69
- Lvs S Dakota St62–75
3 days since their last game.
Incarnate Word
2-6 overall · 1-2 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ TCU65–69
- L@ LSU N Orleans83–84
- L@ Nicholls67–74
- Wvs McNeese71–67
- Lvs High Point80–91
6 days since their last game.