Lakefront Arena · at LSU N Orleans · Conference game
Closing line
UIW -1.5✓ NOLA covered by 2.5
UIW -1.5✓ NOLA covered by 2.5Closing total148.5Over by 18.5
| UIW | This season | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 2-7 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 3-6 |
| 3-3 | O/U | 5-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UIW 77–77 NOLA · ✓ NOLA (50%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UIW | 26 | 57 | 83 |
| NOLA | 38 | 46 | 84 |
1st half: UIW 26, NOLA 38 (NOLA by 12). The model had UIW by 0.1 and a total of 72.3 (actual 64).
Team stats
| UIW | NOLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-59 47% | Field goals | 28-48 58% |
| 12-27 44% | 3-pointers | 7-14 50% |
| 15-21 71% | Free throws | 21-26 81% |
| 27 12 off | Rebounds | 31 9 off |
| 19 | Assists | 19 |
| 9 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 8 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| UIW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Bailey G | 40 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 8-17 | 5-10 |
| Tahj Staveskie G | 38 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 9-15 | 4-9 |
| Harold Woods G | 36 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6-9 | 3-4 |
| Jordan Pyke G | 18 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2-9 | 0-1 |
| Marcus Glover F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Lewis Rowe C | 19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Love Bettis G | 18 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Mihael Tomic G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Harrison Reede G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jayden Williams C | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Drew Barbee G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tyler Simon, Esteban Mann, Isaiah Kortas, Amani Drummond
| NOLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coleton Benson G | 38 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1-8 | 1-6 |
| TJ Cope G | 35 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 6-9 | 1-2 |
| Jakevion Buckley G | 30 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 5-10 | 1-2 |
| MJ Thomas F | 26 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Churchill Abass F | 22 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Panagiotis Pagonis F | 21 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 5-6 | 2-2 |
| Irish Coquia G | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Mathok Majok F | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kedrick Osby F | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: William Patterson Jr., Enzo Boudouma, Jamal Chretien II, Vieux Sanneh, Eze Nwakamma, Grant Kemp
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUIW -1.5
no move
CloseUIW -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open150.5
▼ 2
Close148.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
UIW -130 · NOLA +110
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UIW -1.5 · unchangedmodel NOLA -0
model NOLA -0
Opened 150.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 2 downmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UIW -1.5 | NOLA -0.1 | NOLA +1.6 | W NOLA covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 154.5 | Over 6.0 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UIW 77.2 · NOLA 77.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UIW -0.1 | NOLA -12.0 |
| 1H total | 72.3 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | UIW 36.2 · NOLA 36.1 | UIW 26 · NOLA 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UIWlast 6 | 2-4 33% | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% |
| NOLAlast 9 | 2-7 22% | 3-6 33% | 5-4 56% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
UIW 5–3 NOLAUIW leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · UIW has won the last 2 meetings · UIW 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024-25 | NOLA 65 @ UIW 75 | UIW -12.5 | NOLA W |
| Jan 27, 2024-25 | UIW 74 @ NOLA 58 | NOLA +5.5 | UIW W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | NOLA 87 @ UIW 80 | UIW -3.5 | NOLA W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | UIW 82 @ NOLA 80 | NOLA -4.5 | UIW W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | UIW 78 @ NOLA 70 | NOLA -3.5 | UIW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Incarnate Word
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
CSU
CSUL 64-98
−23.5
16
@
IU
IUL 61-69
+20.5
20
vs
USI
USIW 87-81
−3.5
22
vs
HPU
HPUL 80-91
+1.5
1
vs
MCN
MCNW 71-67
+14.5
6
@
NICH
NICHL 67-74
−8.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CSU
CSUL 64-98
+14.5
16
@IU
IUL 61-69
−27.5
20
vsUSI
USIW 87-81
+22.5
22
vsHPU
HPUL 80-91
+10.5
1
vsMCN
MCNW 71-67
−7.5
6
@NICH
NICHL 67-74
−4.5
over 3under 3avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
LSU N Orleans
9 games played
Straight up
2-7
22% wins
Against the spread
3-6
33% covers · avg +4.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TCU | W 78-74 | +21.5 | W +25.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 10 | @ LSU | L 58-93 | +19.5 | L −15.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 14 | @ TULN | W 85-63 | +11.5 | W +33.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 18 | @ PEPP | L 79-90 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 21 | @ FRES | L 76-85 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 24 | @ MSST | L 78-81 | +23.5 | W +20.5 | 160.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 26 | @ TTU | L 50-82 | +29.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 3 | @ MEM | L 70-86 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 6 | vs HCU | L 76-85 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TCU
TCUW 78-74
+25.5
10
@LSU
LSUL 58-93
−15.5
14
@TULN
TULNW 85-63
+33.5
18
@PEPP
PEPPL 79-90
−5.5
21
@FRES
FRESL 76-85
−2.5
24
@MSST
MSSTL 78-81
+20.5
26
@TTU
TTUL 50-82
−2.5
3
@MEM
MEML 70-86
−1.5
6
vsHCU
HCUL 76-85
−13.5
covered 3didn’t cover 6avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TCU
TCUW 78-74
+2.5
10
@LSU
LSUL 58-93
−11.5
14
@TULN
TULNW 85-63
−5.5
18
@PEPP
PEPPL 79-90
+11.5
21
@FRES
FRESL 76-85
+6.5
24
@MSST
MSSTL 78-81
−1.5
26
@TTU
TTUL 50-82
−25.5
3
@MEM
MEML 70-86
+6.5
6
vsHCU
HCUL 76-85
+20.5
over 5under 4avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Incarnate Word
2-4 overall · 1-1 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Nicholls67–74
- Wvs McNeese71–67
- Lvs High Point80–91
- Wvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles87–81
- L@ Indiana61–69
2 days since their last game.
LSU N Orleans
2-7 overall · 0-1 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Hou Christian76–85
- L@ Memphis70–86
- L@ Texas Tech50–82
- L@ Mississippi St78–81
- L@ Fresno St76–85
2 days since their last game.