FedExForum · at Memphis
Closing line
MEM -14.5✓ MEM covered by 1.5
MEM -14.5✓ MEM covered by 1.5Closing total149.5Over by 6.5
 NOLA | This season | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | Record | 2-4 |
| 3-4 | ATS | 5-1 |
| 3-4 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NOLA 69–84 MEM · ✓ MEM (91%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOLA | 28 | 42 | 70 |
| MEM | 48 | 38 | 86 |
1st half: NOLA 28, MEM 48 (MEM by 20). The model had MEM by 9.2 and a total of 71.6 (actual 76).
Team stats
| NOLA | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-61 39% | Field goals | 33-67 49% |
| 7-25 28% | 3-pointers | 10-25 40% |
| 15-21 71% | Free throws | 10-14 71% |
| 35 15 off | Rebounds | 40 15 off |
| 13 | Assists | 21 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 6 | Blocks | 8 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 11 | Fouls | 20 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 21 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| NOLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakevion Buckley G | 35 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Coleton Benson G | 27 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1-9 | 1-6 |
| MJ Thomas F | 26 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Churchill Abass F | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Panagiotis Pagonis F | 15 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| TJ Cope G | 23 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 7-10 | 3-5 |
| Kedrick Osby F | 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-9 | 1-5 |
| Irish Coquia G | 20 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Enzo Boudouma F | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Mathok Majok F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Eze Nwakamma, Vieux Sanneh, Jamal Chretien II, William Patterson Jr., Grant Kemp
| MEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dug McDaniel G | 31 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 4-10 | 0-3 |
| Simon Majok C | 26 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-1 |
| Hasan Abdul Hakim G | 25 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-3 |
| William Whorton F | 18 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Julius Thedford G | 10 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5-6 | 3-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zach Davis G | 24 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-5 |
| Sincere Parker G | 20 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Quante Berry G | 19 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 7-8 | 3-4 |
| Tariq Ingraham F | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Arop Arop F | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Mason Matthews F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Thierno Sylla C | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ashton Hardaway, Curtis Givens III, Aaron Bradshaw
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMEM -17.5
3 → NOLA
CloseMEM -14.5
3 pts toward NOLA
Total
Open154.5
▼ 5
Close149.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
NOLA +850 · MEM -1450
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MEM -17.5 · closed MEM -14.5 · moved 3 toward NOLAmodel MEM -15.5
model MEM -15.5
Opened 154.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 5 downmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MEM -14.5 | MEM -15.5 | MEM +1.0 | W MEM covered |
| Total | 149.5 | 152.9 | Over 3.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | NOLA 68.7 · MEM 84.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MEM -9.2 | MEM -20.0 |
| 1H total | 71.6 | 76 |
| 1H projected score | NOLA 31.2 · MEM 40.4 | NOLA 28 · MEM 48 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOLAlast 7 | 2-5 29% | 3-4 43% | 3-4 43% |
| MEMlast 6 | 2-4 33% | 5-1 83% | 2-4 33% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
LSU N Orleans
7 games played
Straight up
2-5
29% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg +7.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
TCU
TCUW 78-74
+25.5
10
@
LSU
LSUL 58-93
−15.5
14
@
TULN
TULNW 85-63
+33.5
18
@
PEPP
PEPPL 79-90
−5.5
21
@
FRES
FRESL 76-85
−2.5
24
@
MSST
MSSTL 78-81
+20.5
26
@
TTU
TTUL 50-82
−2.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg +7.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TCU
TCUW 78-74
+2.5
10
@LSU
LSUL 58-93
−11.5
14
@TULN
TULNW 85-63
−5.5
18
@PEPP
PEPPL 79-90
+11.5
21
@FRES
FRESL 76-85
+6.5
24
@MSST
MSSTL 78-81
−1.5
26
@TTU
TTUL 50-82
−25.5
over 3under 4avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Memphis
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
5-1
83% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
SF
SFW 76-70
+3.5
11
@
MISS
MISSL 77-83
+3.5
16
vs
UNLV
UNLVL 78-92
−23.5
20
vs
PUR
PURL 71-80
+5.5
21
vs
WAKE
WAKEL 68-69
+1.5
26
vs
SIU
SIUW 74-58
+5.5
covered 5didn’t cover 1avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSF
SFW 76-70
−11.5
11
@MISS
MISSL 77-83
+7.5
16
vsUNLV
UNLVL 78-92
+6.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 71-80
−5.5
21
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
−23.5
26
vsSIU
SIUW 74-58
−24.5
over 2under 4avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
LSU N Orleans
2-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Texas Tech50–82
- L@ Mississippi St78–81
- L@ Fresno St76–85
- L@ Pepperdine79–90
- W@ Tulane85–63
A week or more of rest.
Memphis
2-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs S Illinois74–58
- Lvs Wake Forest68–69
- Lvs Purdue71–80
- Lvs UNLV78–92
- L@ Ole Miss77–83
A week or more of rest.