Baha Mar Convention Center · Neutral site
Closing line
WAKE -2.5✓ MEM covered by 1.5
WAKE -2.5✓ MEM covered by 1.5Closing total160.5Under by 23.5
| WAKE | This season | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 1-3 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 3-1 |
| 4-1 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WAKE 82–79 MEM · ✓ WAKE (63%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE | 27 | 42 | 69 |
| MEM | 33 | 35 | 68 |
1st half: WAKE 27, MEM 33 (MEM by 6). The model had WAKE by 2.4 and a total of 75.3 (actual 60).
Team stats
| WAKE | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-61 38% | Field goals | 23-56 41% |
| 9-33 27% | 3-pointers | 11-29 38% |
| 14-19 74% | Free throws | 11-18 61% |
| 36 15 off | Rebounds | 37 16 off |
| 16 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| WAKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juke Harris G | 35 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Mekhi Mason G | 32 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2-10 | 2-8 |
| Tre'Von Spillers F | 31 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 8-13 | 2-3 |
| Nate Calmese G | 23 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Omaha Biliew F | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Myles Colvin G | 25 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 7-12 | 3-8 |
| Cooper Schwieger F | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Sebastian Akins G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Marqus Marion F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaac Carr, Dimitrije Kovacevic, Anson Beard Jr., Jaylen Cross, Will Underwood, Vincent Ricchiuti, Owen Kmety
| MEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dug McDaniel G | 36 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 7-12 | 5-8 |
| Ashton Hardaway F | 28 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-10 | 2-6 |
| Zach Davis G | 24 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 4-11 | 2-7 |
| Simon Majok C | 22 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Aaron Bradshaw F | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Curtis Givens III G | 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| William Whorton F | 18 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Tariq Ingraham F | 16 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Julius Thedford G | 16 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Quante Berry G | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Sincere Parker G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Hasan Abdul Hakim, Mason Matthews, Arop Arop, Thierno Sylla
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWAKE -2.5
no move
CloseWAKE -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open161.5
▼ 1
Close160.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
WAKE -140 · MEM +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WAKE -2.5 · unchangedmodel WAKE -3.5
model WAKE -3.5
Opened 161.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 1 downmodel 160.5 matches the line
model 160.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | WAKE -2.5 | WAKE -3.7 | WAKE +1.2 | L MEM covered |
| Total | 160.5 | 160.7 | Over 0.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | WAKE 82.2 · MEM 78.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | WAKE -2.4 | MEM -6.0 |
| 1H total | 75.3 | 60 |
| 1H projected score | WAKE 38.8 · MEM 36.4 | WAKE 27 · MEM 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAKElast 5 | 3-2 60% | 3-2 60% | 4-1 80% |
| MEMlast 4 | 1-3 25% | 3-1 75% | 2-2 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wake Forest
5 games played
Straight up
3-2
60% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-1
80% overs · avg +8.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
AMER
AMERW 88-74
−5.5
7
vs
MORE
MOREW 81-65
−6.5
11
vs
MICH
MICHL 84-85
+14.5
16
vs
UML
UMLW 109-75
+3.5
20
vs
TTU
TTUL 83-84
+8.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAMER
AMERW 88-74
+22.5
7
vsMORE
MOREW 81-65
−6.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 84-85
+0.5
16
vsUML
UMLW 109-75
+18.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 83-84
+6.5
over 4under 1avg +8.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Memphis
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
SF
SFW 76-70
+3.5
11
@
MISS
MISSL 77-83
+3.5
16
vs
UNLV
UNLVL 78-92
−23.5
20
vs
PUR
PURL 71-80
+5.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSF
SFW 76-70
−11.5
11
@MISS
MISSL 77-83
+7.5
16
vsUNLV
UNLVL 78-92
+6.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 71-80
−5.5
over 2under 2avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wake Forest
3-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Texas Tech83–84
- Wvs UMass Lowell109–75
- Lvs Michigan84–85
- Wvs Morehead St81–65
- Wvs American88–74
1 day since their last game.
Memphis
1-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Purdue71–80
- Lvs UNLV78–92
- L@ Ole Miss77–83
- Wvs San Francisco76–70
1 day since their last game.