Hornet Pavilion · at Sacramento St · Conference game
Closing line
IDST -1.5✓ SAC covered by 19.5
IDST -1.5✓ SAC covered by 19.5Closing total160.5Under by 12.5
| IDST | This season | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| 9-18 | Record | 6-20 |
| 13-14 | ATS | 11-15 |
| 16-11 | O/U | 15-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IDST 79–80 SAC · ✓ SAC (53%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDST | 29 | 36 | 65 |
| SAC | 46 | 37 | 83 |
1st half: IDST 29, SAC 46 (SAC by 17). The model had SAC by 0.3 and a total of 74.2 (actual 75).
Team stats
| IDST | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-58 38% | Field goals | 29-54 54% |
| 6-29 21% | 3-pointers | 7-18 39% |
| 15-21 71% | Free throws | 18-23 78% |
| 32 10 off | Rebounds | 33 4 off |
| 14 | Assists | 21 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| IDST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlan Brewer G | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Connor Hollenbeck F | 26 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4-10 | 0-4 |
| Jamison Guerra PG | 23 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Martin Kheil G | 21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Evan Otten F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Louis Bond G | 24 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 6-10 | 2-5 |
| Blake Daberkow F | 22 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Gus Etchison G | 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Caleb Van De Griend F | 15 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Cheikh Sow G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Quin Patterson F | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Landen Birley G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kasen Carpenter G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trey Arland, Jaedyn Brown
| SAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prophet Johnson G | 40 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6-14 | 1-4 |
| Arman Madi G | 38 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Mark Lavrenov F | 33 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 6-11 | 2-3 |
| Jahni Summers G | 27 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Shaqir O'Neal F | 23 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Romari Robinson G | 19 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Teat G | 12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Taj Glover G | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Mikey Williams, Jeremiah Nyarko, Brandon Gardner, Bear Cherry, Zach Anderson, Isaiah Bronson, Davis Ambuehl
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketIDST -1.5
ModelSAC -0.7
Model edgeSAC +2.2
W SAC covered
Total
Market160.5
Model158.8
Model edgeUnder 1.7
W Under
Projected score
IDST 79 · SAC 79.8
IDST 65 · SAC 83
Win probability
SAC 53%
1st half
Spread
SAC -0.3
SAC -17.0
Total
74.2
75 points
Projected score
IDST 36.9 · SAC 37.3
IDST 29 · SAC 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSAC -1.5
3 → IDST
CloseIDST -1.5
3 pts toward IDST
Total
Open160.5
no move
Close160.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
IDST -112 · SAC -108
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SAC -1.5 · closed IDST -1.5 · moved 3 toward IDSTmodel SAC -0.5
model SAC -0.5
Opened 160.5 · unchangedmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDST | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
| SAC | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
IDST 4–5 SACSAC leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · IDST has won the last 2 meetings · IDST 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025-26 | SAC 84 @ IDST 97 | IDST -8.5 | IDST W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | SAC 66 @ IDST 83 | IDST -10.5 | IDST W |
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | IDST 71 @ SAC 75 | SAC +5.5 | SAC W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | SAC 40 @ IDST 68 | IDST -5.5 | IDST W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | IDST 64 @ SAC 66 | SAC -2.5 | IDST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Idaho St
27 games played
Straight up
9-18
33% wins
Against the spread
13-14
48% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-11
59% overs · avg +5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ USD | W 71-68 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 9 | @ SDSU | L 57-73 | +21.5 | W +5.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | @ SEA | L 74-83 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 18 | @ SCU | L 55-64 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 26 | vs SHSU | L 81-84 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 28 | vs CSUN | W 82-50 | -1.5 | W +30.5 | 148.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 3 | @ KC | W 68-59 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 6 | vs DEN | W 93-79 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ UVU | L 69-73 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs UCD | L 83-93 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 1 | vsSAC | W 97-84 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 3 | vs PRST | L 87-93 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 8 | @ UNCO | L 72-85 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 10 | @ NAU | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 15 | vs IDHO | W 76-68 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs EWU | L 66-84 | -6.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 22 | @ MTST | L 62-74 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | @ MONT | L 60-69 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 31 | @ WEB | L 79-81 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 2 | @PRST | L 65-88 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 136.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 5 | vsNAU | L 73-79 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 7 | vsUNCO | L 61-69 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 12 | @EWU | L 75-88 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 14 | @IDHO | L 69-99 | +6.5 | L −23.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 19 | vsMONT | W 73-69 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 21 | vsMTST | W 91-76 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 144.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 28 | vsWEB | L 73-83 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@USD
USDW 71-68
+7.5
9
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-73
+5.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 74-83
+2.5
18
@SCU
SCUL 55-64
+5.5
26
vsSHSU
SHSUL 81-84
−1.5
28
vsCSUN
CSUNW 82-50
+30.5
3
@KC
KCW 68-59
+3.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 93-79
+5.5
10
@UVU
UVUL 69-73
+5.5
21
vsUCD
UCDL 83-93
−15.5
1
vsSAC
SACW 97-84
+4.5
3
vsPRST
PRSTL 87-93
−9.5
8
@UNCO
UNCOL 72-85
−8.5
10
@NAU
NAUW 81-79
−2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 76-68
+5.5
17
vsEWU
EWUL 66-84
−24.5
22
@MTST
MTSTL 62-74
−6.5
24
@MONT
MONTL 60-69
−4.5
31
@WEB
WEBL 79-81
+0.5
2
@PRST
PRSTL 65-88
−15.5
5
vsNAU
NAUL 73-79
−14.5
7
vsUNCO
UNCOL 61-69
−5.5
12
@EWU
EWUL 75-88
−10.5
14
@IDHO
IDHOL 69-99
−23.5
19
vsMONT
MONTW 73-69
+5.5
21
vsMTST
MTSTW 91-76
+16.5
28
vsWEB
WEBL 73-83
−12.5
covered 13didn’t cover 14avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@USD
USDW 71-68
−13.5
9
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-73
−5.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 74-83
+18.5
18
@SCU
SCUL 55-64
−22.5
26
vsSHSU
SHSUL 81-84
+22.5
28
vsCSUN
CSUNW 82-50
−16.5
3
@KC
KCW 68-59
−10.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 93-79
+29.5
10
@UVU
UVUL 69-73
+0.5
21
vsUCD
UCDL 83-93
+32.5
1
vsSAC
SACW 97-84
+27.5
3
vsPRST
PRSTL 87-93
+37.5
8
@UNCO
UNCOL 72-85
+1.5
10
@NAU
NAUW 81-79
+20.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 76-68
−5.5
17
vsEWU
EWUL 66-84
−2.5
22
@MTST
MTSTL 62-74
−8.5
24
@MONT
MONTL 60-69
−19.5
31
@WEB
WEBL 79-81
+8.5
2
@PRST
PRSTL 65-88
+16.5
5
vsNAU
NAUL 73-79
+10.5
7
vsUNCO
UNCOL 61-69
−20.5
12
@EWU
EWUL 75-88
+15.5
14
@IDHO
IDHOL 69-99
+21.5
19
vsMONT
MONTW 73-69
−7.5
21
vsMTST
MTSTW 91-76
+22.5
28
vsWEB
WEBL 73-83
+3.5
over 16under 11avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Sacramento St
26 games played
Straight up
6-20
23% wins
Against the spread
11-15
42% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-11
58% overs · avg +4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs UCSB | L 87-92 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 14 | @UCD | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 16 | vs PRES | W 64-62 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 18 | @ UCLA | L 48-79 | +27.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | @ CAL | L 67-91 | +21.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 29 | @ PAC | L 54-68 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 2 | @ BAY | L 88-110 | +29.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 20 | @ CBU | L 67-74 | +14.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 22 | @CSUN | L 88-100 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 1 | @IDST | L 84-97 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 3 | @WEB | L 82-95 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 168.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @PRST | L 69-96 | +9.5 | L −17.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 15 | vsNAU | W 83-69 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 17 | vsUNCO | W 93-89 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 22 | @IDHO | L 76-86 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 161.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 24 | @EWU | L 67-75 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 163.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 29 | vsMTST | W 83-80 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 31 | vsMONT | W 86-79 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 2 | vsWEB | W 104-90 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 162.5 | O 194 |
| Feb 7 | vsPRST | L 73-74 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 12 | @UNCO | L 79-95 | +11.5 | L −4.5 | 164.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 14 | @NAU | L 74-79 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 19 | vsEWU | L 94-102 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 160.5 | O 196 |
| Feb 21 | vsIDHO | L 80-86 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 26 | @MONT | L 73-81 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 28 | @MTST | L 61-82 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsUCSB
UCSBL 87-92
+2.5
14
@UCD
UCDL 73-77
+0.5
16
vsPRES
PRESW 64-62
−4.5
18
@UCLA
UCLAL 48-79
−3.5
21
@CAL
CALL 67-91
−2.5
29
@PAC
PACL 54-68
−3.5
2
@BAY
BAYL 88-110
+7.5
20
@CBU
CBUL 67-74
+7.5
22
@CSUN
CSUNL 88-100
−3.5
1
@IDST
IDSTL 84-97
−4.5
3
@WEB
WEBL 82-95
−6.5
10
@PRST
PRSTL 69-96
−17.5
15
vsNAU
NAUW 83-69
+12.5
17
vsUNCO
UNCOW 93-89
+10.5
22
@IDHO
IDHOL 76-86
+0.5
24
@EWU
EWUL 67-75
−2.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 83-80
+7.5
31
vsMONT
MONTW 86-79
+10.5
2
vsWEB
WEBW 104-90
+12.5
7
vsPRST
PRSTL 73-74
+2.5
12
@UNCO
UNCOL 79-95
−4.5
14
@NAU
NAUL 74-79
−2.5
19
vsEWU
EWUL 94-102
−5.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-86
−1.5
26
@MONT
MONTL 73-81
−0.5
28
@MTST
MTSTL 61-82
−14.5
covered 11didn’t cover 15avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsUCSB
UCSBL 87-92
+17.5
14
@UCD
UCDL 73-77
−1.5
16
vsPRES
PRESW 64-62
−24.5
18
@UCLA
UCLAL 48-79
−19.5
21
@CAL
CALL 67-91
+3.5
29
@PAC
PACL 54-68
−24.5
2
@BAY
BAYL 88-110
+39.5
20
@CBU
CBUL 67-74
−17.5
22
@CSUN
CSUNL 88-100
+23.5
1
@IDST
IDSTL 84-97
+27.5
3
@WEB
WEBL 82-95
+8.5
10
@PRST
PRSTL 69-96
+4.5
15
vsNAU
NAUW 83-69
−1.5
17
vsUNCO
UNCOW 93-89
+18.5
22
@IDHO
IDHOL 76-86
+0.5
24
@EWU
EWUL 67-75
−21.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 83-80
+9.5
31
vsMONT
MONTW 86-79
+9.5
2
vsWEB
WEBW 104-90
+31.5
7
vsPRST
PRSTL 73-74
−3.5
12
@UNCO
UNCOL 79-95
+9.5
14
@NAU
NAUL 74-79
−1.5
19
vsEWU
EWUL 94-102
+35.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-86
+2.5
26
@MONT
MONTL 73-81
−7.5
28
@MTST
MTSTL 61-82
−15.5
over 15under 11avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Idaho St
9-18 overall · 5-12 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Weber St73–83
- Wvs Montana St91–76
- Wvs Montana73–69
- L@ Idaho69–99
- L@ E Washington75–88
2 days since their last game.
Sacramento St
6-20 overall · 5-12 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Montana St61–82
- L@ Montana73–81
- Lvs Idaho80–86
- Lvs E Washington94–102
- L@ N Arizona74–79
2 days since their last game.