Viking Pavilion · at Portland St · Conference game
Closing line
PRST -9.5✓ PRST covered by 17.5
PRST -9.5✓ PRST covered by 17.5Closing total160.5Over by 4.5
 SAC | This season | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| 1-10 | Record | 5-5 |
| 4-7 | ATS | 9-1 |
| 6-5 | O/U | 5-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SAC 73–82 PRST · ✓ PRST (78%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAC | 32 | 37 | 69 |
| PRST | 46 | 50 | 96 |
1st half: SAC 32, PRST 46 (PRST by 14). The model had PRST by 5.2 and a total of 72.8 (actual 78).
Team stats
| SAC | PRST | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-62 35% | Field goals | 35-64 55% |
| 3-21 14% | 3-pointers | 10-25 40% |
| 22-28 79% | Free throws | 16-20 80% |
| 25 7 off | Rebounds | 47 13 off |
| 8 | Assists | 25 |
| 8 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 17 | Fouls | 20 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| SAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prophet Johnson G | 38 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3-12 | 0-3 |
| Mikey Williams G | 30 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 9-20 | 0-3 |
| Brandon Gardner F | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Shaqir O'Neal F | 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jahni Summers G | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mark Lavrenov F | 28 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Arman Madi G | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Teat G | 19 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4-10 | 3-6 |
| Taj Glover G | 15 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Romari Robinson G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bear Cherry, Davis Ambuehl, Jeremiah Nyarko, Zach Anderson, Isaiah Bronson
| PRST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin Henderson G | 40 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 10-19 | 1-6 |
| Tre-Vaughn Minott C | 36 | 23 | 20 | 1 | 9-11 | 0-0 |
| Terri Miller Jr. F | 35 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 5-8 | 2-4 |
| Keyon Kensie Jr. G | 24 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Alex Dupre G | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Williams G | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Sebastian Tidor G | 11 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Brycen Long G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Kelcy Phipps G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Charles Chukwu F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Samuel Stewart IV G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mozae Downing-Rivers G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brayden Barron F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Colt Ness G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kean Webb, Isaac Brice, Matt Beatty
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPRST -10.5
1 → SAC
ClosePRST -9.5
1 pt toward SAC
Total
Open156.5
▲ 4
Close160.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
SAC +370 · PRST -485
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PRST -10.5 · closed PRST -9.5 · moved 1 toward SACmodel PRST -9
model PRST -9
Opened 156.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 4 upmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | PRST -9.5 | PRST -8.9 | SAC +0.6 | L PRST covered |
| Total | 160.5 | 155.4 | Under 5.1 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | SAC 73.2 · PRST 82.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PRST -5.2 | PRST -14.0 |
| 1H total | 72.8 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | SAC 33.8 · PRST 39 | SAC 32 · PRST 46 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAC | 1-9 10% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| PRST | 5-5 50% | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
SAC 4–4 PRSTSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · SAC 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024-25 | SAC 56 @ PRST 59 | PRST -12.5 | SAC W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | PRST 53 @ SAC 56 | SAC +4.5 | SAC W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | PRST 61 @ SAC 73 | SAC +1.5 | SAC W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | SAC 51 @ PRST 58 | PRST -5.5 | PRST W |
| Feb 27, 2022-23 | SAC 76 @ PRST 74 | PRST -2.5 | SAC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Sacramento St
11 games played
Straight up
1-10
9% wins
Against the spread
4-7
36% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs UCSB | L 87-92 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 14 | @ UCD | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 16 | vs PRES | W 64-62 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 18 | @ UCLA | L 48-79 | +27.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | @ CAL | L 67-91 | +21.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 29 | @ PAC | L 54-68 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 2 | @ BAY | L 88-110 | +29.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 20 | @ CBU | L 67-74 | +14.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 22 | @ CSUN | L 88-100 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 1 | @ IDST | L 84-97 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 3 | @ WEB | L 82-95 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 168.5 | O 177 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsUCSB
UCSBL 87-92
+2.5
14
@UCD
UCDL 73-77
+0.5
16
vsPRES
PRESW 64-62
−4.5
18
@UCLA
UCLAL 48-79
−3.5
21
@CAL
CALL 67-91
−2.5
29
@PAC
PACL 54-68
−3.5
2
@BAY
BAYL 88-110
+7.5
20
@CBU
CBUL 67-74
+7.5
22
@CSUN
CSUNL 88-100
−3.5
1
@IDST
IDSTL 84-97
−4.5
3
@WEB
WEBL 82-95
−6.5
covered 4didn’t cover 7avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsUCSB
UCSBL 87-92
+17.5
14
@UCD
UCDL 73-77
−1.5
16
vsPRES
PRESW 64-62
−24.5
18
@UCLA
UCLAL 48-79
−19.5
21
@CAL
CALL 67-91
+3.5
29
@PAC
PACL 54-68
−24.5
2
@BAY
BAYL 88-110
+39.5
20
@CBU
CBUL 67-74
−17.5
22
@CSUN
CSUNL 88-100
+23.5
1
@IDST
IDSTL 84-97
+27.5
3
@WEB
WEBL 82-95
+8.5
over 6under 5avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Portland St
10 games played
Straight up
5-5
50% wins
Against the spread
9-1
90% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg +5.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ STAN | L 79-89 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 12 | @ SF | L 70-80 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 17 | vs CSUB | W 93-80 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 25 | @ UTU | W 68-63 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 3 | @ SDAK | W 77-71 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs OMA | L 55-60 | -12.5 | L −17.5 | 144.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 17 | @ COLO | L 73-84 | +16.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | @ TULN | L 61-63 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 1 | @WEB | W 95-90 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 3 | @IDST | W 93-87 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | O 180 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@STAN
STANL 79-89
+1.5
12
@SF
SFL 70-80
+3.5
17
vsCSUB
CSUBW 93-80
+4.5
25
@UTU
UTUW 68-63
+3.5
3
@SDAK
SDAKW 77-71
+3.5
6
vsOMA
OMAL 55-60
−17.5
17
@COLO
COLOL 73-84
+5.5
20
@TULN
TULNL 61-63
+0.5
1
@WEB
WEBW 95-90
+3.5
3
@IDST
IDSTW 93-87
+9.5
covered 9didn’t cover 1avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@STAN
STANL 79-89
+23.5
12
@SF
SFL 70-80
−4.5
17
vsCSUB
CSUBW 93-80
+31.5
25
@UTU
UTUW 68-63
−15.5
3
@SDAK
SDAKW 77-71
−10.5
6
vsOMA
OMAL 55-60
−29.5
17
@COLO
COLOL 73-84
+6.5
20
@TULN
TULNL 61-63
−21.5
1
@WEB
WEBW 95-90
+36.5
3
@IDST
IDSTW 93-87
+37.5
over 5under 5avg +5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Sacramento St
1-10 overall · 0-2 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Weber St82–95
- L@ Idaho St84–97
- L@ CSU Northridge88–100
- L@ CA Baptist67–74
- L@ Baylor88–110
A week or more of rest.
Portland St
5-5 overall · 2-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Idaho St93–87
- W@ Weber St95–90
- L@ Tulane61–63
- L@ Colorado73–84
- Lvs Omaha55–60
A week or more of rest.