Portland State Vikings at Utah Tech Trailblazers: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Nov 25, 9:00 PM ETBurns Arena · at Utah Tech

#274PRSTPortland St68▲ winner

Final

#268UTUUtah Tech63final

Closing linePRST -1.5✓ PRST covered by 3.5

Closing total146.5Under by 15.5

Season records: Portland St and Utah Tech
PRST	This season	UTU
1-2	Record	2-4
3-0	ATS	3-3
2-1	O/U	1-5

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: PRST 77–76 UTU · ✓ PRST (56%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
PRST	24	44	68
UTU	26	37	63

1st half: PRST 24, UTU 26 (UTU by 2). The model had PRST by 1.2 and a total of 71.8 (actual 50).

Team stats

PRST		UTU
23-58 40%	Field goals	25-57 44%
5-19 26%	3-pointers	5-21 24%
17-24 71%	Free throws	8-10 80%
44 16 off	Rebounds	26 3 off
11	Assists	17
6	Steals	4
4	Blocks	2
17	Turnovers	13
16	Fouls	19
34	Points in paint	34
4	Fast-break points	4

Players

PRST	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jaylin Henderson G	40	10	5	8	1-7	0-4
Tre-Vaughn Minott C	37	16	16	0	7-14	0-0
Alex Dupre G	29	9	3	0	3-7	2-4
Keyon Kensie Jr. G	26	2	8	1	1-7	0-2
Terri Miller Jr. F	20	19	4	2	7-11	1-1
Bench
Sebastian Tidor G	22	9	3	0	3-9	1-6
Kelcy Phipps G	18	3	1	0	1-1	1-1
Brycen Long G	3	0	3	0	0-2	0-1
Charles Chukwu F	3	0	1	0	0-0	0-0
Samuel Stewart IV G	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Matt Beatty, Brayden Barron, Isaiah Williams, Colt Ness, Mozae Downing-Rivers, Kean Webb, Isaac Brice

UTU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Chance Trujillo G	34	12	7	5	3-9	1-6
Jusaun Holt G	31	6	2	4	2-7	2-4
Ethan Potter F	30	18	5	0	9-13	0-0
Noah Bolanga G	29	7	4	1	3-10	1-5
Tanner Davis G	26	8	0	2	4-8	0-2
Bench
Madiba Owona G	24	5	2	3	2-7	0-3
Britton Berrett G	13	3	0	0	1-1	1-1
Samuel Ariyibi F	10	4	3	2	1-2	0-0
Boston Harker G	3	0	1	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Hunter Schenck, Marvel Allen, Preston Vandermyde, Dallin Grant, Dario Domingos

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	PRST -1.5	PRST -1.7	PRST +0.2	W PRST covered
Total	146.5	153.2	Over 6.7	L Under
Projected score	—	PRST 77.4 · UTU 75.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	PRST -1.2	UTU -2.0
1H total	71.8	50
1H projected score	PRST 36.5 · UTU 35.3	PRST 24 · UTU 26

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PRST WWW	3-0	100%	2-0	1-0
UTU WLLLW	3-3	50%	—	3-1

Venue/role: PRST away, as favorite; UTU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
PRST OUO	2-1	67%	1-2
UTU UUUOU	1-5	17%	2-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PRSTlast 3	1-2 33%	3-0 100%	2-1 67%
UTUlast 6	2-4 33%	3-3 50%	1-5 17%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

PRST 1–0 UTUPRST leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · PRST 0-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 30, 2024-25	UTU 68 @ PRST 71	PRST -6.5	UTU W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Portland St

3 games played

Straight up

1-2

33% wins

Against the spread

3-0

100% covers · avg +3.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-1

67% overs · avg +16.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-233%

L L W

1 of 3 wonno streak

Against the spread

3-0100%

W W W

3 straight covers3 of 3 covered

Over / Under

2-167%

O U O

2 of 3 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@STAN	L 79-89	+11.5	W +1.5	144.5	O 168
Nov 12	@SF	L 70-80	+13.5	W +3.5	154.5	U 150
Nov 17	vsCSUB	W 93-80	-8.5	W +4.5	141.5	O 173

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

STAN

L 79-89

+1.5

L 70-80

+3.5

CSUB

W 93-80

+4.5

covered 3didn’t cover 0avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

STAN

L 79-89

+23.5

L 70-80

−4.5

CSUB

W 93-80

+31.5

over 2under 1avg +16.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Utah Tech

6 games played

Straight up

2-4

33% wins

Against the spread

3-3

50% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-5

17% overs · avg −4.3 pts vs the total

Straight up

2-433%

W L L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

3-350%

W W L L L W

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

1-517%

U U U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@SDAK	W 81-79	+1.5	W +3.5	164.5	U 160
Nov 7	@ARIZ	L 67-93	+33.5	W +7.5	162.5	U 160
Nov 9	@ASU	L 66-81	+12.5	L −2.5	152.5	U 147
Nov 12	vsMAN	L 75-79	-2.5	L −6.5	158.5	U 154
Nov 14	vsMVSU	W 81-75	-26.5	L −20.5	145.5	O 156
Nov 15	@HAW	L 62-68	+16.5	W +10.5	149.5	U 130

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SDAK

W 81-79

+3.5

ARIZ

L 67-93

+7.5

ASU

L 66-81

−2.5

MAN

L 75-79

−6.5

MVSU

W 81-75

−20.5

HAW

L 62-68

+10.5

covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SDAK

W 81-79

−4.5

ARIZ

L 67-93

−2.5

ASU

L 66-81

−5.5

MAN

L 75-79

−4.5

MVSU

W 81-75

+10.5

HAW

L 62-68

−19.5

over 1under 5avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Portland State Vikings at Utah Tech Trailblazers

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Portland St

Utah Tech

Portland St

Utah Tech