Reed Gym · at Idaho St · Conference game
Closing line
MTST -1.5✓ IDST covered by 16.5
MTST -1.5✓ IDST covered by 16.5Closing total144.5Over by 22.5
| MTST | This season | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| 12-12 | Record | 8-17 |
| 14-10 | ATS | 12-13 |
| 13-11 | O/U | 14-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MTST 74–71 IDST · ✗ MTST (59%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTST | 30 | 46 | 76 |
| IDST | 50 | 41 | 91 |
1st half: MTST 30, IDST 50 (IDST by 20). The model had MTST by 1.7 and a total of 67.9 (actual 80).
Team stats
| MTST | IDST | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-57 42% | Field goals | 34-59 58% |
| 7-23 30% | 3-pointers | 8-23 35% |
| 21-27 78% | Free throws | 15-17 88% |
| 19 6 off | Rebounds | 35 7 off |
| 9 | Assists | 14 |
| 10 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 18 | Fouls | 21 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 52 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| MTST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Miller G | 39 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-5 |
| Christian King F | 37 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 5-17 | 3-9 |
| Patrick McMahon G | 35 | 35 | 3 | 1 | 10-20 | 0-2 |
| Jeremiah Davis G | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Chris Hodges F | 18 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Steppe F | 21 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Seth Amunrud G | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Howie Keene G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Grayson Gaddis F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Calum Rutherfurd F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Davian Brown, CJ Purdie, Cavin Holden, Waka Mbatch, James Steward
| IDST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlan Brewer G | 32 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 5-9 | 3-6 |
| Martin Kheil G | 25 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Connor Hollenbeck F | 21 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Evan Otten F | 13 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jamison Guerra PG | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gus Etchison G | 31 | 36 | 3 | 8 | 15-25 | 3-8 |
| Louis Bond G | 30 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Caleb Van De Griend F | 18 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Cheikh Sow G | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Blake Daberkow F | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Landen Birley G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Quin Patterson F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trey Arland, Kasen Carpenter, Jaedyn Brown
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMTST -1.5
ModelMTST -2.6
Model edgeMTST +1.1
L IDST covered
Total
Market144.5
Model145.1
Model edgeOver 0.6
W Over
Projected score
MTST 73.8 · IDST 71.2
MTST 76 · IDST 91
Win probability
MTST 59%
1st half
Spread
MTST -1.7
IDST -20.0
Total
67.9
80 points
Projected score
MTST 34.8 · IDST 33.1
MTST 30 · IDST 50
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMTST -1.5
no move
CloseMTST -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open145.5
▼ 1
Close144.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
MTST -120 · IDST +100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MTST -1.5 · unchangedmodel MTST -2.5
model MTST -2.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 1 downmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTST | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| IDST | 1-9 10% | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
MTST 9–1 IDSTMTST leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · MTST has won the last 3 meetings · MTST 8-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025-26 | IDST 62 @ MTST 74 | MTST -5.5 | MTST W |
| Mar 10, 2024-25 | MTST 80 vs IDST 60 | IDST +1.5 | MTST W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | IDST 69 @ MTST 74 | MTST -3.5 | MTST W |
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | MTST 67 @ IDST 70 | IDST -0.5 | IDST W |
| Jan 22, 2023-24 | IDST 70 @ MTST 77 | MTST -5.5 | MTST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Montana St
24 games played
Straight up
12-12
50% wins
Against the spread
14-10
58% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-11
54% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ COLO | L 78-84 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs DEN | L 73-75 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 12 | @ STAN | L 68-77 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 15 | @ BOIS | L 58-62 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 21 | @ LBSU | W 78-72 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 29 | @ USU | L 81-84 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | vs STMN | W 82-74 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ ORU | L 68-72 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | @ ORST | L 57-67 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 16 | @ CP | W 83-80 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 1 | vs UNCO | W 89-75 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | vs NAU | W 77-68 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 8 | @ EWU | W 68-64 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 10 | @ IDHO | L 89-92 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 17 | vs MONT | W 76-67 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 19 | @UNCO | W 73-68 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 22 | vsIDST | W 74-62 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vs WEB | W 91-88 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 29 | @ SAC | L 80-83 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 31 | @ PRST | L 54-63 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 5 | vsIDHO | W 73-66 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 7 | vsEWU | L 71-72 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 14 | @MONT | W 82-71 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 19 | @WEB | L 79-82 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@COLO
COLOL 78-84
+5.5
9
vsDEN
DENL 73-75
−9.5
12
@STAN
STANL 68-77
+5.5
15
@BOIS
BOISL 58-62
+12.5
21
@LBSU
LBSUW 78-72
+2.5
29
@USU
USUL 81-84
+14.5
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 82-74
+5.5
6
@ORU
ORUL 68-72
−10.5
13
@ORST
ORSTL 57-67
−8.5
16
@CP
CPW 83-80
+0.5
1
vsUNCO
UNCOW 89-75
+11.5
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-68
−1.5
8
@EWU
EWUW 68-64
+1.5
10
@IDHO
IDHOL 89-92
−1.5
17
vsMONT
MONTW 76-67
+3.5
19
@UNCO
UNCOW 73-68
+7.5
22
vsIDST
IDSTW 74-62
+6.5
24
vsWEB
WEBW 91-88
−3.5
29
@SAC
SACL 80-83
−7.5
31
@PRST
PRSTL 54-63
−4.5
5
vsIDHO
IDHOW 73-66
+4.5
7
vsEWU
EWUL 71-72
−6.5
14
@MONT
MONTW 82-71
+13.5
19
@WEB
WEBL 79-82
−1.5
covered 14didn’t cover 10avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@COLO
COLOL 78-84
+13.5
9
vsDEN
DENL 73-75
+1.5
12
@STAN
STANL 68-77
−3.5
15
@BOIS
BOISL 58-62
−27.5
21
@LBSU
LBSUW 78-72
+9.5
29
@USU
USUL 81-84
+16.5
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 82-74
+8.5
6
@ORU
ORUL 68-72
−10.5
13
@ORST
ORSTL 57-67
−16.5
16
@CP
CPW 83-80
+3.5
1
vsUNCO
UNCOW 89-75
+9.5
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-68
+1.5
8
@EWU
EWUW 68-64
−24.5
10
@IDHO
IDHOL 89-92
+36.5
17
vsMONT
MONTW 76-67
−7.5
19
@UNCO
UNCOW 73-68
−12.5
22
vsIDST
IDSTW 74-62
−8.5
24
vsWEB
WEBW 91-88
+31.5
29
@SAC
SACL 80-83
+9.5
31
@PRST
PRSTL 54-63
−21.5
5
vsIDHO
IDHOW 73-66
−8.5
7
vsEWU
EWUL 71-72
−5.5
14
@MONT
MONTW 82-71
+7.5
19
@WEB
WEBL 79-82
+12.5
over 13under 11avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Idaho St
25 games played
Straight up
8-17
32% wins
Against the spread
12-13
48% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-11
56% overs · avg +5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ USD | W 71-68 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 9 | @ SDSU | L 57-73 | +21.5 | W +5.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | @ SEA | L 74-83 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 18 | @ SCU | L 55-64 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 26 | vs SHSU | L 81-84 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 28 | vs CSUN | W 82-50 | -1.5 | W +30.5 | 148.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 3 | @ KC | W 68-59 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 6 | vsDEN | W 93-79 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ UVU | L 69-73 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs UCD | L 83-93 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 1 | vsSAC | W 97-84 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 3 | vsPRST | L 87-93 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 8 | @UNCO | L 72-85 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 10 | @NAU | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 15 | vsIDHO | W 76-68 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsEWU | L 66-84 | -6.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 22 | @MTST | L 62-74 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | @MONT | L 60-69 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 31 | @WEB | L 79-81 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 2 | @PRST | L 65-88 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 136.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 5 | vsNAU | L 73-79 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 7 | vsUNCO | L 61-69 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 12 | @EWU | L 75-88 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 14 | @IDHO | L 69-99 | +6.5 | L −23.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 19 | vsMONT | W 73-69 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@USD
USDW 71-68
+7.5
9
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-73
+5.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 74-83
+2.5
18
@SCU
SCUL 55-64
+5.5
26
vsSHSU
SHSUL 81-84
−1.5
28
vsCSUN
CSUNW 82-50
+30.5
3
@KC
KCW 68-59
+3.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 93-79
+5.5
10
@UVU
UVUL 69-73
+5.5
21
vsUCD
UCDL 83-93
−15.5
1
vsSAC
SACW 97-84
+4.5
3
vsPRST
PRSTL 87-93
−9.5
8
@UNCO
UNCOL 72-85
−8.5
10
@NAU
NAUW 81-79
−2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 76-68
+5.5
17
vsEWU
EWUL 66-84
−24.5
22
@MTST
MTSTL 62-74
−6.5
24
@MONT
MONTL 60-69
−4.5
31
@WEB
WEBL 79-81
+0.5
2
@PRST
PRSTL 65-88
−15.5
5
vsNAU
NAUL 73-79
−14.5
7
vsUNCO
UNCOL 61-69
−5.5
12
@EWU
EWUL 75-88
−10.5
14
@IDHO
IDHOL 69-99
−23.5
19
vsMONT
MONTW 73-69
+5.5
covered 12didn’t cover 13avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@USD
USDW 71-68
−13.5
9
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-73
−5.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 74-83
+18.5
18
@SCU
SCUL 55-64
−22.5
26
vsSHSU
SHSUL 81-84
+22.5
28
vsCSUN
CSUNW 82-50
−16.5
3
@KC
KCW 68-59
−10.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 93-79
+29.5
10
@UVU
UVUL 69-73
+0.5
21
vsUCD
UCDL 83-93
+32.5
1
vsSAC
SACW 97-84
+27.5
3
vsPRST
PRSTL 87-93
+37.5
8
@UNCO
UNCOL 72-85
+1.5
10
@NAU
NAUW 81-79
+20.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 76-68
−5.5
17
vsEWU
EWUL 66-84
−2.5
22
@MTST
MTSTL 62-74
−8.5
24
@MONT
MONTL 60-69
−19.5
31
@WEB
WEBL 79-81
+8.5
2
@PRST
PRSTL 65-88
+16.5
5
vsNAU
NAUL 73-79
+10.5
7
vsUNCO
UNCOL 61-69
−20.5
12
@EWU
EWUL 75-88
+15.5
14
@IDHO
IDHOL 69-99
+21.5
19
vsMONT
MONTW 73-69
−7.5
over 14under 11avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Montana St
12-12 overall · 9-5 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Weber St79–82
- W@ Montana82–71
- Lvs E Washington71–72
- Wvs Idaho73–66
- L@ Portland St54–63
2 days since their last game.
Idaho St
8-17 overall · 4-11 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Montana73–69
- L@ Idaho69–99
- L@ E Washington75–88
- Lvs N Colorado61–69
- Lvs N Arizona73–79
2 days since their last game.