Reed Gym · at Idaho St · Conference game
Closing line
MONT -1.5✓ IDST covered by 5.5
MONT -1.5✓ IDST covered by 5.5Closing total149.5Under by 7.5
| MONT | This season | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| 11-11 | Record | 7-17 |
| 12-10 | ATS | 11-13 |
| 10-12 | O/U | 14-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MONT 75–74 IDST · ✗ MONT (54%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MONT | 37 | 32 | 69 |
| IDST | 39 | 34 | 73 |
1st half: MONT 37, IDST 39 (IDST by 2). The model had MONT by 0.8 and a total of 70.0 (actual 76).
Team stats
| MONT | IDST | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-48 46% | Field goals | 26-58 45% |
| 9-21 43% | 3-pointers | 7-21 33% |
| 16-22 73% | Free throws | 14-17 82% |
| 29 5 off | Rebounds | 33 10 off |
| 11 | Assists | 8 |
| 4 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| MONT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Kepley G | 36 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Money Williams G | 36 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 5-13 | 3-7 |
| Tyler Thompson G | 35 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Kenyon Aguino F | 27 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Te'Jon Sawyer F | 20 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brooklyn Hicks G | 17 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Amari Jedkins F | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Isaak G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Trae Taylor F | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Connor Dick G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Courtney Anderson Jr., Luke Moxon, Kadyn Betts, Chase Henderson
| IDST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlan Brewer G | 30 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| Martin Kheil G | 23 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Connor Hollenbeck F | 21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-10 | 0-5 |
| Jamison Guerra PG | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Evan Otten F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gus Etchison G | 27 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 10-16 | 4-7 |
| Louis Bond G | 26 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Blake Daberkow F | 22 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Cheikh Sow G | 21 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Van De Griend F | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Quin Patterson, Kasen Carpenter, Trey Arland, Landen Birley, Jaedyn Brown
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMONT -1.5
ModelMONT -1.1
Model edgeIDST +0.4
W IDST covered
Total
Market149.5
Model149.6
Model edgeOver 0.1
L Under
Projected score
MONT 75.3 · IDST 74.3
MONT 69 · IDST 73
Win probability
MONT 54%
1st half
Spread
MONT -0.8
IDST -2.0
Total
70.0
76 points
Projected score
MONT 35.4 · IDST 34.6
MONT 37 · IDST 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMONT -1.5
no move
CloseMONT -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open149.5
no move
Close149.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MONT -110 · IDST -110
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MONT -1.5 · unchangedmodel MONT -1
model MONT -1
Opened 149.5 · unchangedmodel 149.5 matches the line
model 149.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MONT | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| IDST | 1-9 10% | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
MONT 9–2 IDSTMONT leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · MONT has won the last 2 meetings · MONT 9-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025-26 | IDST 60 @ MONT 69 | MONT -4.5 | MONT W |
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | IDST 68 @ MONT 81 | MONT -4.5 | MONT W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | MONT 62 @ IDST 86 | IDST -1.5 | IDST W |
| Mar 12, 2023-24 | IDST 58 vs MONT 72 | MONT -6.5 | MONT W |
| Mar 4, 2023-24 | IDST 65 @ MONT 79 | MONT -9.5 | MONT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Montana
22 games played
Straight up
11-11
50% wins
Against the spread
12-10
55% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ STAN | L 68-91 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNLV | W 102-93 | +10.5 | W +19.5 | 157.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 14 | vs CP | W 90-82 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | @ TA&M | L 81-86 | +17.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 23 | vs LAM | L 63-68 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 25 | vs OAK | L 87-95 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 162.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 3 | vs NDSU | L 72-81 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @ UND | W 79-75 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 20 | @ LOU | L 54-94 | +30.5 | L −9.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 1 | vs NAU | W 78-64 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 3 | vs UNCO | W 88-79 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 161.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 8 | @ IDHO | W 79-73 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | @ EWU | L 65-66 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 161.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | @ MTST | L 67-76 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 19 | @NAU | W 98-72 | -3.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 22 | vs WEB | W 81-65 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 24 | vsIDST | W 69-60 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 29 | @ PRST | W 64-60 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | @ SAC | L 79-86 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 5 | vsEWU | L 74-82 | -5.5 | L −13.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 7 | vsIDHO | W 73-68 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 14 | vsMTST | L 71-82 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@STAN
STANL 68-91
−10.5
11
@UNLV
UNLVW 102-93
+19.5
14
vsCP
CPW 90-82
+0.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 81-86
+12.5
23
vsLAM
LAML 63-68
−9.5
25
vsOAK
OAKL 87-95
−12.5
3
vsNDSU
NDSUL 72-81
−12.5
6
@UND
UNDW 79-75
−1.5
20
@LOU
LOUL 54-94
−9.5
1
vsNAU
NAUW 78-64
+8.5
3
vsUNCO
UNCOW 88-79
+10.5
8
@IDHO
IDHOW 79-73
+10.5
10
@EWU
EWUL 65-66
+0.5
17
@MTST
MTSTL 67-76
−3.5
19
@NAU
NAUW 98-72
+22.5
22
vsWEB
WEBW 81-65
+11.5
24
vsIDST
IDSTW 69-60
+4.5
29
@PRST
PRSTW 64-60
+8.5
31
@SAC
SACL 79-86
−10.5
5
vsEWU
EWUL 74-82
−13.5
7
vsIDHO
IDHOW 73-68
+3.5
14
vsMTST
MTSTL 71-82
−13.5
covered 12didn’t cover 10avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@STAN
STANL 68-91
+8.5
11
@UNLV
UNLVW 102-93
+37.5
14
vsCP
CPW 90-82
+3.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 81-86
+2.5
23
vsLAM
LAML 63-68
−17.5
25
vsOAK
OAKL 87-95
+19.5
3
vsNDSU
NDSUL 72-81
−0.5
6
@UND
UNDW 79-75
−0.5
20
@LOU
LOUL 54-94
−18.5
1
vsNAU
NAUW 78-64
−7.5
3
vsUNCO
UNCOW 88-79
+5.5
8
@IDHO
IDHOW 79-73
−2.5
10
@EWU
EWUL 65-66
−30.5
17
@MTST
MTSTL 67-76
−7.5
19
@NAU
NAUW 98-72
+23.5
22
vsWEB
WEBW 81-65
−11.5
24
vsIDST
IDSTW 69-60
−19.5
29
@PRST
PRSTW 64-60
−19.5
31
@SAC
SACL 79-86
+9.5
5
vsEWU
EWUL 74-82
+4.5
7
vsIDHO
IDHOW 73-68
−11.5
14
vsMTST
MTSTL 71-82
+7.5
over 10under 12avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Idaho St
24 games played
Straight up
7-17
29% wins
Against the spread
11-13
46% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-10
58% overs · avg +5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ USD | W 71-68 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 9 | @ SDSU | L 57-73 | +21.5 | W +5.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | @ SEA | L 74-83 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 18 | @ SCU | L 55-64 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 26 | vs SHSU | L 81-84 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 28 | vs CSUN | W 82-50 | -1.5 | W +30.5 | 148.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 3 | @ KC | W 68-59 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 6 | vs DEN | W 93-79 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ UVU | L 69-73 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs UCD | L 83-93 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 1 | vsSAC | W 97-84 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 3 | vsPRST | L 87-93 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 8 | @UNCO | L 72-85 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 10 | @NAU | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 15 | vsIDHO | W 76-68 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsEWU | L 66-84 | -6.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 22 | @MTST | L 62-74 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | @MONT | L 60-69 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 31 | @WEB | L 79-81 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 2 | @PRST | L 65-88 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 136.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 5 | vsNAU | L 73-79 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 7 | vsUNCO | L 61-69 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 12 | @EWU | L 75-88 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 14 | @IDHO | L 69-99 | +6.5 | L −23.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@USD
USDW 71-68
+7.5
9
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-73
+5.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 74-83
+2.5
18
@SCU
SCUL 55-64
+5.5
26
vsSHSU
SHSUL 81-84
−1.5
28
vsCSUN
CSUNW 82-50
+30.5
3
@KC
KCW 68-59
+3.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 93-79
+5.5
10
@UVU
UVUL 69-73
+5.5
21
vsUCD
UCDL 83-93
−15.5
1
vsSAC
SACW 97-84
+4.5
3
vsPRST
PRSTL 87-93
−9.5
8
@UNCO
UNCOL 72-85
−8.5
10
@NAU
NAUW 81-79
−2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 76-68
+5.5
17
vsEWU
EWUL 66-84
−24.5
22
@MTST
MTSTL 62-74
−6.5
24
@MONT
MONTL 60-69
−4.5
31
@WEB
WEBL 79-81
+0.5
2
@PRST
PRSTL 65-88
−15.5
5
vsNAU
NAUL 73-79
−14.5
7
vsUNCO
UNCOL 61-69
−5.5
12
@EWU
EWUL 75-88
−10.5
14
@IDHO
IDHOL 69-99
−23.5
covered 11didn’t cover 13avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@USD
USDW 71-68
−13.5
9
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-73
−5.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 74-83
+18.5
18
@SCU
SCUL 55-64
−22.5
26
vsSHSU
SHSUL 81-84
+22.5
28
vsCSUN
CSUNW 82-50
−16.5
3
@KC
KCW 68-59
−10.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 93-79
+29.5
10
@UVU
UVUL 69-73
+0.5
21
vsUCD
UCDL 83-93
+32.5
1
vsSAC
SACW 97-84
+27.5
3
vsPRST
PRSTL 87-93
+37.5
8
@UNCO
UNCOL 72-85
+1.5
10
@NAU
NAUW 81-79
+20.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 76-68
−5.5
17
vsEWU
EWUL 66-84
−2.5
22
@MTST
MTSTL 62-74
−8.5
24
@MONT
MONTL 60-69
−19.5
31
@WEB
WEBL 79-81
+8.5
2
@PRST
PRSTL 65-88
+16.5
5
vsNAU
NAUL 73-79
+10.5
7
vsUNCO
UNCOL 61-69
−20.5
12
@EWU
EWUL 75-88
+15.5
14
@IDHO
IDHOL 69-99
+21.5
over 14under 10avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Montana
11-11 overall · 8-5 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Montana St71–82
- Wvs Idaho73–68
- Lvs E Washington74–82
- L@ Sacramento St79–86
- W@ Portland St64–60
5 days since their last game.
Idaho St
7-17 overall · 3-11 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Idaho69–99
- L@ E Washington75–88
- Lvs N Colorado61–69
- Lvs N Arizona73–79
- L@ Portland St65–88
5 days since their last game.