Hornet Pavilion · at Sacramento St · Conference game
Closing line
MONT -3.5✓ SAC covered by 10.5
MONT -3.5✓ SAC covered by 10.5Closing total155.5Over by 9.5
| MONT | This season | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| 10-8 | Record | 4-13 |
| 11-7 | ATS | 8-9 |
| 7-11 | O/U | 10-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MONT 80–77 SAC · ✗ MONT (61%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MONT | 32 | 47 | 79 |
| SAC | 49 | 37 | 86 |
1st half: MONT 32, SAC 49 (SAC by 17). The model had MONT by 2.1 and a total of 73.7 (actual 81).
Team stats
| MONT | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-58 48% | Field goals | 29-59 49% |
| 7-19 37% | 3-pointers | 11-24 46% |
| 16-21 76% | Free throws | 17-24 71% |
| 38 12 off | Rebounds | 30 8 off |
| 15 | Assists | 22 |
| 5 | Steals | 11 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| MONT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Money Williams G | 37 | 24 | 4 | 8 | 8-15 | 0-2 |
| Te'Jon Sawyer F | 34 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 13-16 | 5-7 |
| Tyler Thompson G | 33 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Kenyon Aguino F | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Grant Kepley G | 17 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brooklyn Hicks G | 23 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Tyler Isaak G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Connor Dick G | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Amari Jedkins F | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Trae Taylor F | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chase Henderson, Courtney Anderson Jr., Luke Moxon, Kadyn Betts
| SAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prophet Johnson G | 39 | 26 | 7 | 4 | 10-18 | 4-5 |
| Mikey Williams G | 37 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Jahni Summers G | 29 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 7-14 | 2-8 |
| Shaqir O'Neal F | 21 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Mark Lavrenov F | 21 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Arman Madi G | 30 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 6-9 | 4-6 |
| Taj Glover G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Romari Robinson G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Teat G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Davis Ambuehl, Jeremiah Nyarko, Bear Cherry, Brandon Gardner, Zach Anderson, Isaiah Bronson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMONT -3.5
ModelMONT -3.3
Model edgeSAC +0.2
W SAC covered
Total
Market155.5
Model157.4
Model edgeOver 1.9
W Over
Projected score
MONT 80.4 · SAC 77
MONT 79 · SAC 86
Win probability
MONT 61%
1st half
Spread
MONT -2.1
SAC -17.0
Total
73.7
81 points
Projected score
MONT 37.9 · SAC 35.8
MONT 32 · SAC 49
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMONT -4.5
1 → SAC
CloseMONT -3.5
1 pt toward SAC
Total
Open156.5
▼ 1
Close155.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
MONT -162 · SAC +136
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MONT -4.5 · closed MONT -3.5 · moved 1 toward SACmodel MONT -3.5 matches the line
model MONT -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 156.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 1 downmodel 157.5
model 157.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MONT | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% | 2-8 20% |
| SAC | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
MONT 6–2 SACMONT leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · MONT has won the last 5 meetings · MONT 2-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | MONT 60 @ SAC 54 | SAC +7.5 | SAC W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | SAC 59 @ MONT 87 | MONT -11.5 | MONT W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | SAC 61 @ MONT 68 | MONT -13.5 | SAC W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | MONT 70 @ SAC 67 | SAC +6.5 | SAC W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | SAC 72 @ MONT 74 | MONT -5.5 | SAC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Montana
18 games played
Straight up
10-8
56% wins
Against the spread
11-7
61% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-11
39% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ STAN | L 68-91 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNLV | W 102-93 | +10.5 | W +19.5 | 157.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 14 | vs CP | W 90-82 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | @ TA&M | L 81-86 | +17.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 23 | vs LAM | L 63-68 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 25 | vs OAK | L 87-95 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 162.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 3 | vs NDSU | L 72-81 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @ UND | W 79-75 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 20 | @ LOU | L 54-94 | +30.5 | L −9.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 1 | vs NAU | W 78-64 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 3 | vs UNCO | W 88-79 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 161.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 8 | @ IDHO | W 79-73 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | @ EWU | L 65-66 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 161.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | @ MTST | L 67-76 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 19 | @NAU | W 98-72 | -3.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 22 | vs WEB | W 81-65 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 24 | vs IDST | W 69-60 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 29 | @ PRST | W 64-60 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@STAN
STANL 68-91
−10.5
11
@UNLV
UNLVW 102-93
+19.5
14
vsCP
CPW 90-82
+0.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 81-86
+12.5
23
vsLAM
LAML 63-68
−9.5
25
vsOAK
OAKL 87-95
−12.5
3
vsNDSU
NDSUL 72-81
−12.5
6
@UND
UNDW 79-75
−1.5
20
@LOU
LOUL 54-94
−9.5
1
vsNAU
NAUW 78-64
+8.5
3
vsUNCO
UNCOW 88-79
+10.5
8
@IDHO
IDHOW 79-73
+10.5
10
@EWU
EWUL 65-66
+0.5
17
@MTST
MTSTL 67-76
−3.5
19
@NAU
NAUW 98-72
+22.5
22
vsWEB
WEBW 81-65
+11.5
24
vsIDST
IDSTW 69-60
+4.5
29
@PRST
PRSTW 64-60
+8.5
covered 11didn’t cover 7avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@STAN
STANL 68-91
+8.5
11
@UNLV
UNLVW 102-93
+37.5
14
vsCP
CPW 90-82
+3.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 81-86
+2.5
23
vsLAM
LAML 63-68
−17.5
25
vsOAK
OAKL 87-95
+19.5
3
vsNDSU
NDSUL 72-81
−0.5
6
@UND
UNDW 79-75
−0.5
20
@LOU
LOUL 54-94
−18.5
1
vsNAU
NAUW 78-64
−7.5
3
vsUNCO
UNCOW 88-79
+5.5
8
@IDHO
IDHOW 79-73
−2.5
10
@EWU
EWUL 65-66
−30.5
17
@MTST
MTSTL 67-76
−7.5
19
@NAU
NAUW 98-72
+23.5
22
vsWEB
WEBW 81-65
−11.5
24
vsIDST
IDSTW 69-60
−19.5
29
@PRST
PRSTW 64-60
−19.5
over 7under 11avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Sacramento St
17 games played
Straight up
4-13
24% wins
Against the spread
8-9
47% covers · avg +0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-7
59% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs UCSB | L 87-92 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 14 | @ UCD | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 16 | vs PRES | W 64-62 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 18 | @ UCLA | L 48-79 | +27.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | @ CAL | L 67-91 | +21.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 29 | @ PAC | L 54-68 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 2 | @ BAY | L 88-110 | +29.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 20 | @ CBU | L 67-74 | +14.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 22 | @ CSUN | L 88-100 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 1 | @IDST | L 84-97 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 3 | @WEB | L 82-95 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 168.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @PRST | L 69-96 | +9.5 | L −17.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 15 | vsNAU | W 83-69 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 17 | vsUNCO | W 93-89 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 22 | @IDHO | L 76-86 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 161.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 24 | @EWU | L 67-75 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 163.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 29 | vsMTST | W 83-80 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsUCSB
UCSBL 87-92
+2.5
14
@UCD
UCDL 73-77
+0.5
16
vsPRES
PRESW 64-62
−4.5
18
@UCLA
UCLAL 48-79
−3.5
21
@CAL
CALL 67-91
−2.5
29
@PAC
PACL 54-68
−3.5
2
@BAY
BAYL 88-110
+7.5
20
@CBU
CBUL 67-74
+7.5
22
@CSUN
CSUNL 88-100
−3.5
1
@IDST
IDSTL 84-97
−4.5
3
@WEB
WEBL 82-95
−6.5
10
@PRST
PRSTL 69-96
−17.5
15
vsNAU
NAUW 83-69
+12.5
17
vsUNCO
UNCOW 93-89
+10.5
22
@IDHO
IDHOL 76-86
+0.5
24
@EWU
EWUL 67-75
−2.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 83-80
+7.5
covered 8didn’t cover 9avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsUCSB
UCSBL 87-92
+17.5
14
@UCD
UCDL 73-77
−1.5
16
vsPRES
PRESW 64-62
−24.5
18
@UCLA
UCLAL 48-79
−19.5
21
@CAL
CALL 67-91
+3.5
29
@PAC
PACL 54-68
−24.5
2
@BAY
BAYL 88-110
+39.5
20
@CBU
CBUL 67-74
−17.5
22
@CSUN
CSUNL 88-100
+23.5
1
@IDST
IDSTL 84-97
+27.5
3
@WEB
WEBL 82-95
+8.5
10
@PRST
PRSTL 69-96
+4.5
15
vsNAU
NAUW 83-69
−1.5
17
vsUNCO
UNCOW 93-89
+18.5
22
@IDHO
IDHOL 76-86
+0.5
24
@EWU
EWUL 67-75
−21.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 83-80
+9.5
over 10under 7avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Montana
10-8 overall · 7-2 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Portland St64–60
- Wvs Idaho St69–60
- Wvs Weber St81–65
- W@ N Arizona98–72
- L@ Montana St67–76
2 days since their last game.
Sacramento St
4-13 overall · 3-5 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Montana St83–80
- L@ E Washington67–75
- L@ Idaho76–86
- Wvs N Colorado93–89
- Wvs N Arizona83–69
2 days since their last game.