Mott Athletics Center · at Cal Poly
Closing line
MTST -2.5✓ MTST covered by 0.5
MTST -2.5✓ MTST covered by 0.5Closing total159.5Over by 3.5
| MTST | This season | CP |
|---|---|---|
| 2-7 | Record | 3-6 |
| 6-3 | ATS | 4-5 |
| 5-4 | O/U | 6-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MTST 80–78 CP · ✓ MTST (57%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTST | 40 | 43 | 83 |
| CP | 41 | 39 | 80 |
1st half: MTST 40, CP 41 (CP by 1). The model had MTST by 1.3 and a total of 74.3 (actual 81).
Team stats
| MTST | CP | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-66 42% | Field goals | 25-63 40% |
| 10-36 28% | 3-pointers | 8-28 29% |
| 17-25 68% | Free throws | 22-31 71% |
| 39 14 off | Rebounds | 47 17 off |
| 16 | Assists | 8 |
| 5 | Steals | 2 |
| 2 | Blocks | 0 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 24 | Fouls | 22 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 20 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| MTST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick McMahon G | 34 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 11-14 | 2-4 |
| Jed Miller G | 34 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2-11 | 2-10 |
| Jeremiah Davis G | 27 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Chris Hodges F | 23 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Davian Brown G | 19 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1-10 | 1-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Seth Amunrud G | 29 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Christian King F | 22 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6-13 | 3-7 |
| Jaden Steppe F | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Howie Keene G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: James Steward, CJ Purdie, Cavin Holden, Grayson Gaddis, Calum Rutherfurd, Waka Mbatch
| CP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Bandelj G | 33 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4-13 | 1-6 |
| Cayden Ward G | 31 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 8-15 | 2-5 |
| Hamad Mousa G | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-5 |
| Austin Goode F | 23 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Ali Assran F | 22 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luka Tarlac G | 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Troy Plumtree F | 15 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Guzman Vasilic G | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Kieran Elliott G | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jake Davis G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Aaron Price Jr. PF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Braden Freeman, Jess Esso Essis, Jason Scott, Eric Brown, Jackson Mosley
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMTST -1.5
1 → MTST
CloseMTST -2.5
1 pt toward MTST
Total
Open156.5
▲ 3
Close159.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
MTST -162 · CP +136
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MTST -1.5 · closed MTST -2.5 · moved 1 toward MTSTmodel MTST -2
model MTST -2
Opened 156.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 3 upmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MTST -2.5 | MTST -2.0 | CP +0.5 | L MTST covered |
| Total | 159.5 | 158.8 | Under 0.7 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | MTST 80.4 · CP 78.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MTST -1.3 | CP -1.0 |
| 1H total | 74.3 | 81 |
| 1H projected score | MTST 37.8 · CP 36.5 | MTST 40 · CP 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTSTlast 9 | 2-7 22% | 6-3 67% | 5-4 56% |
| CPlast 9 | 3-6 33% | 4-5 44% | 6-3 67% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Montana St
9 games played
Straight up
2-7
22% wins
Against the spread
6-3
67% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ COLO | L 78-84 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs DEN | L 73-75 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 12 | @ STAN | L 68-77 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 15 | @ BOIS | L 58-62 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 21 | @ LBSU | W 78-72 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 29 | @ USU | L 81-84 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | vs STMN | W 82-74 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ ORU | L 68-72 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | @ ORST | L 57-67 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@COLO
COLOL 78-84
+5.5
9
vsDEN
DENL 73-75
−9.5
12
@STAN
STANL 68-77
+5.5
15
@BOIS
BOISL 58-62
+12.5
21
@LBSU
LBSUW 78-72
+2.5
29
@USU
USUL 81-84
+14.5
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 82-74
+5.5
6
@ORU
ORUL 68-72
−10.5
13
@ORST
ORSTL 57-67
−8.5
covered 6didn’t cover 3avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@COLO
COLOL 78-84
+13.5
9
vsDEN
DENL 73-75
+1.5
12
@STAN
STANL 68-77
−3.5
15
@BOIS
BOISL 58-62
−27.5
21
@LBSU
LBSUW 78-72
+9.5
29
@USU
USUL 81-84
+16.5
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 82-74
+8.5
6
@ORU
ORUL 68-72
−10.5
13
@ORST
ORSTL 57-67
−16.5
over 5under 4avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Cal Poly
9 games played
Straight up
3-6
33% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-3
67% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ USC | L 64-94 | +24.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 8 | @ SEA | W 73-71 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 12 | @ CSU | L 79-93 | +18.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 14 | @ MONT | L 82-90 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 20 | @ UTAH | W 92-85 | +14.5 | W +21.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | @ NAU | L 87-93 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs SEMO | L 68-84 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 170.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 4 | @ CSUF | W 94-91 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 177.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | vs UCR | L 84-88 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
+12.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+4.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
−0.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+21.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
−7.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−14.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+4.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
−9.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
−20.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+6.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
+3.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+9.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
+15.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−18.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+7.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
+9.5
over 6under 3avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Montana St
2-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Oregon St57–67
- L@ Oral Roberts68–72
- Wvs St Thomas82–74
- L@ Utah State81–84
- W@ Long Beach St78–72
3 days since their last game.
Cal Poly
3-6 overall · 1-1 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UC Riverside84–88
- W@ Fullerton94–91
- Lvs SE Missouri68–84
- L@ N Arizona87–93
- W@ Utah92–85
A week or more of rest.