McKale Center at ALKEME Arena · at Arizona · Conference game
Closing line
ARIZ -7.5✓ ARIZ covered by 8.5
ARIZ -7.5✓ ARIZ covered by 8.5Closing total149.5Under by 19.5
 ISU | This season | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| 24-5 | Record | 27-2 |
| 16-13 | ATS | 16-13 |
| 12-17 | O/U | 14-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ISU 73–79 ARIZ · ✓ ARIZ (72%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISU | 25 | 32 | 57 |
| ARIZ | 37 | 36 | 73 |
1st half: ISU 25, ARIZ 37 (ARIZ by 12). The model had ARIZ by 3.9 and a total of 71.1 (actual 62).
Team stats
| ISU | ARIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-65 29% | Field goals | 22-48 46% |
| 7-30 23% | 3-pointers | 6-18 33% |
| 12-13 92% | Free throws | 23-26 88% |
| 33 15 off | Rebounds | 40 9 off |
| 10 | Assists | 14 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 20 | Fouls | 14 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| ISU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milan Momcilovic F | 33 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Tamin Lipsey G | 32 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 6-15 | 2-7 |
| Joshua Jefferson F | 28 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2-17 | 0-5 |
| Blake Buchanan F | 23 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Killyan Toure G | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamarion Batemon G | 27 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 5-14 | 4-10 |
| Nate Heise G | 24 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Dominykas Pleta F | 11 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Eric Mulder F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dominick Nelson G | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Cade Kelderman G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mason Williams, Xzavion Mitchell, Anthony Rise
| ARIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Bradley G | 36 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| Koa Peat F | 29 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Brayden Burries G | 24 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 4-9 | 1-5 |
| Motiejus Krivas C | 24 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Ivan Kharchenkov F | 20 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tobe Awaka F | 25 | 10 | 15 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Dell'Orso G | 21 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Dwayne Aristode F | 16 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Sven Djopmo G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sidi Gueye C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Evan Nelson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jackson Francois G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Addison Arnold G | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jackson Cook, Bryce James, Mabil Mawut
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketARIZ -7.5
ModelARIZ -6.7
Model edgeISU +0.8
L ARIZ covered
Total
Market149.5
Model151.9
Model edgeOver 2.4
L Under
Projected score
ISU 72.6 · ARIZ 79.3
ISU 57 · ARIZ 73
Win probability
ARIZ 72%
1st half
Spread
ARIZ -3.9
ARIZ -12.0
Total
71.1
62 points
Projected score
ISU 33.6 · ARIZ 37.5
ISU 25 · ARIZ 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARIZ -8.5
1 → ISU
CloseARIZ -7.5
1 pt toward ISU
Total
Open147.5
▲ 2
Close149.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
ISU +260 · ARIZ -325
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARIZ -8.5 · closed ARIZ -7.5 · moved 1 toward ISUmodel ARIZ -6.5
model ARIZ -6.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 2 upmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| ARIZ | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ISU 1–1 ARIZSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · ISU 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | ARIZ 67 @ ISU 84 | ISU -5.5 | ISU W |
| Jan 27, 2024-25 | ISU 75 @ ARIZ 86 | ARIZ -2.5 | ARIZ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Iowa State
29 games played
Straight up
24-5
83% wins
Against the spread
16-13
55% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-17
41% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FDU | W 88-50 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 6 | vs GRAM | W 102-62 | -33.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 10 | vs MSST | W 96-80 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 17 | vs STO | W 96-57 | -40.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 24 | vs SJU | W 83-82 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs CREI | W 78-60 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 26 | vs SYR | W 95-64 | -10.5 | W +20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs ALCN | W 132-68 | -42.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | O 200 |
| Dec 6 | @ PUR | W 81-58 | +4.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 11 | vs IOWA | W 66-62 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs EIU | W 78-53 | -43.5 | L −18.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 21 | vs LBSU | W 91-60 | -37.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 29 | vs HCU | W 89-61 | -35.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 2 | vs WVU | W 80-59 | -16.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 7 | @ BAY | W 70-60 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vs OKST | W 83-71 | -19.5 | L −7.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 13 | @ KU | L 63-84 | -3.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | @ CIN | L 70-79 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 20 | vs UCF | W 87-57 | -14.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @OKST | W 84-71 | -10.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 29 | vs COLO | W 97-67 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 1 | @ KSU | W 95-61 | -12.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 7 | vsBAY | W 72-69 | -14.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 10 | @ TCU | L 55-62 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 14 | vsKU | W 74-56 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 16 | vs HOU | W 70-67 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 137 |
| Feb 21 | @ BYU | L 69-79 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 24 | @ UTAH | W 75-59 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 28 | vs TTU | L 73-82 | -10.5 | L −19.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
+0.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+6.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+10.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
−1.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
−1.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
+8.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+20.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+21.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
+27.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 66-62
−7.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 78-53
−18.5
21
vsLBSU
LBSUW 91-60
−6.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 89-61
−7.5
2
vsWVU
WVUW 80-59
+4.5
7
@BAY
BAYW 70-60
+6.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-71
−7.5
13
@KU
KUL 63-84
−24.5
17
@CIN
CINL 70-79
−14.5
20
vsUCF
UCFW 87-57
+15.5
24
@OKST
OKSTW 84-71
+2.5
29
vsCOLO
COLOW 97-67
+12.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 95-61
+21.5
7
vsBAY
BAYW 72-69
−11.5
10
@TCU
TCUL 55-62
−14.5
14
vsKU
KUW 74-56
+10.5
16
vsHOU
HOUW 70-67
+0.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 69-79
−12.5
24
@UTAH
UTAHW 75-59
+1.5
28
vsTTU
TTUL 73-82
−19.5
covered 16didn’t cover 13avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
−9.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+19.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+25.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
+6.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
+6.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
−14.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+13.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+48.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
−15.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 66-62
−13.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 78-53
−13.5
21
vsLBSU
LBSUW 91-60
+1.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 89-61
+4.5
2
vsWVU
WVUW 80-59
−3.5
7
@BAY
BAYW 70-60
−25.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-71
−11.5
13
@KU
KUL 63-84
−5.5
17
@CIN
CINL 70-79
+7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFW 87-57
−12.5
24
@OKST
OKSTW 84-71
−7.5
29
vsCOLO
COLOW 97-67
+11.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 95-61
−0.5
7
vsBAY
BAYW 72-69
−10.5
10
@TCU
TCUL 55-62
−30.5
14
vsKU
KUW 74-56
−17.5
16
vsHOU
HOUW 70-67
+2.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 69-79
−6.5
24
@UTAH
UTAHW 75-59
−10.5
28
vsTTU
TTUL 73-82
+9.5
over 12under 17avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arizona
29 games played
Straight up
27-2
93% wins
Against the spread
16-13
55% covers · avg +3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-15
48% overs · avg −2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FLA | W 93-87 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | vs UTU | W 93-67 | -33.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 11 | vs NAU | W 84-49 | -35.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 14 | vs UCLA | W 69-65 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ CONN | W 71-67 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs DEN | W 103-73 | -32.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs NORF | W 98-61 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs AUB | W 97-68 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs ALA | W 96-75 | -2.5 | W +18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
| Dec 16 | vs ACU | W 96-62 | -34.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 20 | vs SDSU | W 68-45 | -13.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 22 | vs BCU | W 107-71 | -39.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 29 | vs SDST | W 99-71 | -31.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 3 | @UTAH | W 97-78 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 7 | vsKSU | W 101-76 | -17.5 | W +7.5 | 171.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @TCU | W 86-73 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 14 | vs ASU | W 89-82 | -21.5 | L −14.5 | 167.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | @UCF | W 84-77 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 21 | vsCIN | W 77-51 | -13.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | vsWVU | W 88-53 | -17.5 | W +17.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 26 | @BYU | W 86-83 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 31 | @ASU | W 87-74 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 161 |
| Feb 7 | vsOKST | W 84-47 | -20.5 | W +16.5 | 168.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 9 | @KU | L 78-82 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | vsTTU | L 75-78 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 18 | vsBYU | W 75-68 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 21 | @HOU | W 73-66 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 24 | @BAY | W 87-80 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 28 | vsKU | W 84-61 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+9.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−7.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−0.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
+2.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
+8.5
24
vsDEN
DENW 103-73
−2.5
29
vsNORF
NORFW 98-61
+1.5
6
vsAUB
AUBW 97-68
+17.5
13
vsALA
ALAW 96-75
+18.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 96-62
−0.5
20
vsSDSU
SDSUW 68-45
+9.5
22
vsBCU
BCUW 107-71
−3.5
29
vsSDST
SDSTW 99-71
−3.5
3
@UTAH
UTAHW 97-78
+1.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 101-76
+7.5
10
@TCU
TCUW 86-73
+5.5
14
vsASU
ASUW 89-82
−14.5
17
@UCF
UCFW 84-77
−2.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 77-51
+12.5
24
vsWVU
WVUW 88-53
+17.5
26
@BYU
BYUW 86-83
+1.5
31
@ASU
ASUW 87-74
−1.5
7
vsOKST
OKSTW 84-47
+16.5
9
@KU
KUL 78-82
−9.5
14
vsTTU
TTUL 75-78
−11.5
18
vsBYU
BYUW 75-68
−4.5
21
@HOU
HOUW 73-66
+13.5
24
@BAY
BAYW 87-80
−0.5
28
vsKU
KUW 84-61
+13.5
covered 16didn’t cover 13avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+15.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−2.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−30.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
−19.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
−18.5
24
vsDEN
DENW 103-73
+21.5
29
vsNORF
NORFW 98-61
+12.5
6
vsAUB
AUBW 97-68
+2.5
13
vsALA
ALAW 96-75
−7.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 96-62
+12.5
20
vsSDSU
SDSUW 68-45
−40.5
22
vsBCU
BCUW 107-71
+23.5
29
vsSDST
SDSTW 99-71
+10.5
3
@UTAH
UTAHW 97-78
+12.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 101-76
+5.5
10
@TCU
TCUW 86-73
+1.5
14
vsASU
ASUW 89-82
+3.5
17
@UCF
UCFW 84-77
−4.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 77-51
−24.5
24
vsWVU
WVUW 88-53
−2.5
26
@BYU
BYUW 86-83
+2.5
31
@ASU
ASUW 87-74
−2.5
7
vsOKST
OKSTW 84-47
−37.5
9
@KU
KUL 78-82
+7.5
14
vsTTU
TTUL 75-78
−3.5
18
vsBYU
BYUW 75-68
−22.5
21
@HOU
HOUW 73-66
−3.5
24
@BAY
BAYW 87-80
+11.5
28
vsKU
KUW 84-61
−6.5
over 14under 15avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Iowa State
24-5 overall · 11-5 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Texas Tech73–82
- W@ Utah75–59
- L@ BYU69–79
- Wvs Houston70–67
- Wvs Kansas74–56
2 days since their last game.
Arizona
27-2 overall · 14-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kansas84–61
- W@ Baylor87–80
- W@ Houston73–66
- Wvs BYU75–68
- Lvs Texas Tech75–78
2 days since their last game.