J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome · at N Arizona · Conference game
Closing line
MTST -5.5✓ MTST covered by 5.5
MTST -5.5✓ MTST covered by 5.5Closing total142.5Under by 1.5
| MTST | This season | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| 14-13 | Record | 7-20 |
| 16-11 | ATS | 14-13 |
| 15-12 | O/U | 11-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MTST 74–67 NAU · ✓ MTST (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTST | 36 | 40 | 76 |
| NAU | 25 | 40 | 65 |
1st half: MTST 36, NAU 25 (MTST by 11). The model had MTST by 4.2 and a total of 65.6 (actual 61).
Team stats
| MTST | NAU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-55 51% | Field goals | 26-58 45% |
| 12-31 39% | 3-pointers | 7-21 33% |
| 8-13 62% | Free throws | 6-8 75% |
| 33 8 off | Rebounds | 31 9 off |
| 10 | Assists | 13 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MTST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Miller G | 36 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 4-4 | 3-3 |
| Christian King F | 34 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 7-13 | 4-9 |
| Seth Amunrud G | 31 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3-10 | 2-8 |
| Jeremiah Davis G | 28 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Chris Hodges F | 13 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Howie Keene G | 31 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-7 | 1-7 |
| Jaden Steppe F | 27 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 6-10 | 2-3 |
Did not play: CJ Purdie, Patrick McMahon, James Steward, Cavin Holden, Davian Brown, Grayson Gaddis, Waka Mbatch, Calum Rutherfurd
| NAU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Komin G | 38 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Diego Campisano F | 36 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6-16 | 2-8 |
| Ryan Abelman G | 35 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Traivar Jackson F | 26 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Brennan Peterson G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Oakland Fort G | 34 | 26 | 3 | 4 | 10-12 | 4-5 |
| Isaiah Shaw F | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Karl Poom F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Arne Osojnik F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kavon Bradford, Erez Poran, JT Amundsen, Walker Timme, Zack Davidson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMTST -5.5
ModelMTST -6.9
Model edgeMTST +1.4
W MTST covered
Total
Market142.5
Model140.1
Model edgeUnder 2.4
W Under
Projected score
MTST 73.5 · NAU 66.6
MTST 76 · NAU 65
Win probability
MTST 73%
1st half
Spread
MTST -4.2
MTST -11.0
Total
65.6
61 points
Projected score
MTST 34.9 · NAU 30.7
MTST 36 · NAU 25
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMTST -5.5
no move
CloseMTST -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open142.5
no move
Close142.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MTST -250 · NAU +205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MTST -5.5 · unchangedmodel MTST -7
model MTST -7
Opened 142.5 · unchangedmodel 140
model 140
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTST | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| NAU | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
MTST 8–2 NAUMTST leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · MTST 3-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | NAU 68 @ MTST 77 | MTST -10.5 | NAU W |
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | MTST 64 @ NAU 69 | NAU -0.5 | NAU W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | NAU 53 @ MTST 58 | MTST -6.5 | NAU W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | MTST 71 @ NAU 76 | NAU +2.5 | NAU W |
| Jan 11, 2023-24 | NAU 50 @ MTST 79 | MTST -4.5 | MTST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Montana St
27 games played
Straight up
14-13
52% wins
Against the spread
16-11
59% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-12
56% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ COLO | L 78-84 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs DEN | L 73-75 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 12 | @ STAN | L 68-77 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 15 | @ BOIS | L 58-62 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 21 | @ LBSU | W 78-72 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 29 | @ USU | L 81-84 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | vs STMN | W 82-74 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ ORU | L 68-72 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | @ ORST | L 57-67 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 16 | @ CP | W 83-80 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 1 | vs UNCO | W 89-75 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | vsNAU | W 77-68 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 8 | @ EWU | W 68-64 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 10 | @ IDHO | L 89-92 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 17 | vs MONT | W 76-67 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 19 | @UNCO | W 73-68 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 22 | vs IDST | W 74-62 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vs WEB | W 91-88 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 29 | @ SAC | L 80-83 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 31 | @ PRST | L 54-63 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 5 | vsIDHO | W 73-66 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 7 | vsEWU | L 71-72 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 14 | @MONT | W 82-71 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 19 | @WEB | L 79-82 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 21 | @IDST | L 76-91 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 26 | vsPRST | W 84-69 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 28 | vsSAC | W 82-61 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@COLO
COLOL 78-84
+5.5
9
vsDEN
DENL 73-75
−9.5
12
@STAN
STANL 68-77
+5.5
15
@BOIS
BOISL 58-62
+12.5
21
@LBSU
LBSUW 78-72
+2.5
29
@USU
USUL 81-84
+14.5
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 82-74
+5.5
6
@ORU
ORUL 68-72
−10.5
13
@ORST
ORSTL 57-67
−8.5
16
@CP
CPW 83-80
+0.5
1
vsUNCO
UNCOW 89-75
+11.5
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-68
−1.5
8
@EWU
EWUW 68-64
+1.5
10
@IDHO
IDHOL 89-92
−1.5
17
vsMONT
MONTW 76-67
+3.5
19
@UNCO
UNCOW 73-68
+7.5
22
vsIDST
IDSTW 74-62
+6.5
24
vsWEB
WEBW 91-88
−3.5
29
@SAC
SACL 80-83
−7.5
31
@PRST
PRSTL 54-63
−4.5
5
vsIDHO
IDHOW 73-66
+4.5
7
vsEWU
EWUL 71-72
−6.5
14
@MONT
MONTW 82-71
+13.5
19
@WEB
WEBL 79-82
−1.5
21
@IDST
IDSTL 76-91
−16.5
26
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-69
+12.5
28
vsSAC
SACW 82-61
+14.5
covered 16didn’t cover 11avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@COLO
COLOL 78-84
+13.5
9
vsDEN
DENL 73-75
+1.5
12
@STAN
STANL 68-77
−3.5
15
@BOIS
BOISL 58-62
−27.5
21
@LBSU
LBSUW 78-72
+9.5
29
@USU
USUL 81-84
+16.5
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 82-74
+8.5
6
@ORU
ORUL 68-72
−10.5
13
@ORST
ORSTL 57-67
−16.5
16
@CP
CPW 83-80
+3.5
1
vsUNCO
UNCOW 89-75
+9.5
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-68
+1.5
8
@EWU
EWUW 68-64
−24.5
10
@IDHO
IDHOL 89-92
+36.5
17
vsMONT
MONTW 76-67
−7.5
19
@UNCO
UNCOW 73-68
−12.5
22
vsIDST
IDSTW 74-62
−8.5
24
vsWEB
WEBW 91-88
+31.5
29
@SAC
SACL 80-83
+9.5
31
@PRST
PRSTL 54-63
−21.5
5
vsIDHO
IDHOW 73-66
−8.5
7
vsEWU
EWUL 71-72
−5.5
14
@MONT
MONTW 82-71
+7.5
19
@WEB
WEBL 79-82
+12.5
21
@IDST
IDSTL 76-91
+22.5
26
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-69
+12.5
28
vsSAC
SACW 82-61
−15.5
over 15under 12avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Arizona
27 games played
Straight up
7-20
26% wins
Against the spread
14-13
52% covers · avg −2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-16
41% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs DRKE | L 71-77 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ ARIZ | L 49-84 | +35.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 24 | vsCP | W 93-87 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 26 | vs SEMO | W 79-72 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs SDST | L 62-75 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ NDSU | L 68-69 | +12.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 9 | @ ASU | L 48-73 | +16.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | @ USD | L 69-78 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 18 | vs SUU | W 65-57 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 21 | @ UIW | L 66-90 | +6.5 | L −17.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 1 | @MONT | L 64-78 | +5.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 3 | @MTST | L 68-77 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 8 | vsWEB | L 65-78 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 10 | vsIDST | L 79-81 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 15 | @SAC | L 69-83 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 17 | @PRST | L 52-63 | +11.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 19 | vsMONT | L 72-98 | +3.5 | L −22.5 | 146.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 24 | vsUNCO | W 81-77 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 29 | vsEWU | W 92-86 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 31 | vsIDHO | L 62-79 | +5.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 5 | @IDST | W 79-73 | +8.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 7 | @WEB | L 53-72 | +7.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 12 | vsPRST | L 68-77 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 136.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 14 | vsSAC | W 79-74 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 21 | @UNCO | L 77-78 | +13.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 26 | @IDHO | L 58-78 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 28 | @EWU | L 57-88 | +9.5 | L −21.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsDRKE
DRKEL 71-77
+2.5
11
@ARIZ
ARIZL 49-84
+0.5
24
vsCP
CPW 93-87
+7.5
26
vsSEMO
SEMOW 79-72
+4.5
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 62-75
−10.5
6
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-69
+11.5
9
@ASU
ASUL 48-73
−8.5
13
@USD
USDL 69-78
−4.5
18
vsSUU
SUUW 65-57
+2.5
21
@UIW
UIWL 66-90
−17.5
1
@MONT
MONTL 64-78
−8.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 68-77
+1.5
8
vsWEB
WEBL 65-78
−10.5
10
vsIDST
IDSTL 79-81
+2.5
15
@SAC
SACL 69-83
−12.5
17
@PRST
PRSTL 52-63
+0.5
19
vsMONT
MONTL 72-98
−22.5
24
vsUNCO
UNCOW 81-77
+10.5
29
vsEWU
EWUW 92-86
+8.5
31
vsIDHO
IDHOL 62-79
−11.5
5
@IDST
IDSTW 79-73
+14.5
7
@WEB
WEBL 53-72
−11.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTL 68-77
−2.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 79-74
+2.5
21
@UNCO
UNCOL 77-78
+12.5
26
@IDHO
IDHOL 58-78
−9.5
28
@EWU
EWUL 57-88
−21.5
covered 14didn’t cover 13avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsDRKE
DRKEL 71-77
+3.5
11
@ARIZ
ARIZL 49-84
−30.5
24
vsCP
CPW 93-87
+15.5
26
vsSEMO
SEMOW 79-72
−2.5
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 62-75
−11.5
6
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-69
−10.5
9
@ASU
ASUL 48-73
−33.5
13
@USD
USDL 69-78
−2.5
18
vsSUU
SUUW 65-57
−28.5
21
@UIW
UIWL 66-90
+15.5
1
@MONT
MONTL 64-78
−7.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 68-77
+1.5
8
vsWEB
WEBL 65-78
−6.5
10
vsIDST
IDSTL 79-81
+20.5
15
@SAC
SACL 69-83
−1.5
17
@PRST
PRSTL 52-63
−25.5
19
vsMONT
MONTL 72-98
+23.5
24
vsUNCO
UNCOW 81-77
+7.5
29
vsEWU
EWUW 92-86
+32.5
31
vsIDHO
IDHOL 62-79
−5.5
5
@IDST
IDSTW 79-73
+10.5
7
@WEB
WEBL 53-72
−25.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTL 68-77
+8.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 79-74
−1.5
21
@UNCO
UNCOL 77-78
+3.5
26
@IDHO
IDHOL 58-78
−9.5
28
@EWU
EWUL 57-88
−1.5
over 11under 16avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Montana St
14-13 overall · 11-6 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Sacramento St82–61
- Wvs Portland St84–69
- L@ Idaho St76–91
- L@ Weber St79–82
- W@ Montana82–71
2 days since their last game.
N Arizona
7-20 overall · 4-13 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ E Washington57–88
- L@ Idaho58–78
- L@ N Colorado77–78
- Wvs Sacramento St79–74
- Lvs Portland St68–77
2 days since their last game.