UD Arena · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
SMU -6.5✓ M-OH covered by 16.5
SMU -6.5✓ M-OH covered by 16.5Closing total162.5Over by 5.5
 M-OH | This season | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| 28-1 | Record | 20-13 |
| 18-11 | ATS | 15-18 |
| 19-10 | O/U | 19-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: M-OH 78–89 SMU · ✗ SMU (81%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 43 | 46 | 89 |
| SMU | 34 | 45 | 79 |
1st half: M-OH 43, SMU 34 (M-OH by 9). The model had SMU by 5.9 and a total of 77.9 (actual 77).
Team stats
| M-OH | SMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-64 45% | Field goals | 31-65 48% |
| 16-41 39% | 3-pointers | 5-21 24% |
| 15-22 68% | Free throws | 12-15 80% |
| 35 12 off | Rebounds | 35 12 off |
| 20 | Assists | 15 |
| 4 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 0 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| M-OH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brant Byers F | 36 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 5-11 | 4-9 |
| Peter Suder G | 36 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 2-9 | 0-4 |
| Luke Skaljac G | 30 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 7-12 | 3-5 |
| Eian Elmer G | 24 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 8-11 | 6-9 |
| Antwone Woolfolk F | 19 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Almar Atlason F | 24 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4-10 | 2-7 |
| Justin Kirby G | 21 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Trey Perry G | 10 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Brady Ganley, Tyler Robbins, Leshawn Stowers, Kyle Waltz, Ethan Wright, Blake Anderson, Jackson Kotecki, Evan Ipsaro, Eli Yofan
| SMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron Pierre Jr. G | 39 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 8-16 | 1-7 |
| Boopie Miller G | 39 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 6-17 | 3-6 |
| Corey Washington F | 36 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| Jaden Toombs F | 35 | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8-10 | 0-0 |
| Samet Yigitoglu C | 27 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sam Walters F | 17 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| B.J. Davis-Ray G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mitchell Holmes F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chance Puryear, Billy White III, Niccolo Kalischer-Stork, Trey Utter, B.J. Edwards, Nigel Walls
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSMU -6.5
ModelSMU -10.1
Model edgeSMU +3.6
L M-OH covered
Total
Market162.5
Model166.9
Model edgeOver 4.4
W Over
Projected score
M-OH 78.4 · SMU 88.5
M-OH 89 · SMU 79
Win probability
SMU 81%
1st half
Spread
SMU -5.9
M-OH -9.0
Total
77.9
77 points
Projected score
M-OH 36 · SMU 41.9
M-OH 43 · SMU 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenM-OH -7.5
14 → SMU
CloseSMU -6.5
14 pts toward SMU
Total
Open167.5
▼ 5
Close162.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
M-OH +250 · SMU -310
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened M-OH -7.5 · closed SMU -6.5 · moved 14 toward SMUmodel SMU -10
model SMU -10
Opened 167.5 · closed 162.5 · moved 5 downmodel 167
model 167
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| SMU | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Miami OH
29 games played
Straight up
28-1
97% wins
Against the spread
18-11
62% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-10
66% overs · avg +6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ODU | W 87-72 | -16.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 15 | @ AF | W 76-61 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | vs MERC | W 76-71 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs UAPB | W 111-84 | -21.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCG | W 82-71 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs ME | W 93-61 | -17.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 10 | @ UNCA | W 90-87 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | @ EKU | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 16 | @ WRST | W 83-76 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | @ BALL | W 86-77 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 30 | @ BGSU | W 93-83 | +6.5 | W +16.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 3 | vs AKR | W 76-73 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 177.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 6 | vs WMU | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 9 | @ TOL | W 87-73 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 13 | vs CMU | W 100-61 | -15.5 | W +23.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 17 | vs BUF | W 105-102 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | O 207 |
| Jan 20 | @ KENT | W 107-101 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 167.5 | O 208 |
| Jan 27 | vs MASS | W 86-84 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | vs NIU | W 85-61 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 3 | @BUF | W 73-71 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 7 | @ MRSH | W 90-74 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 162.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 13 | vs OHIO | W 90-74 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 17 | @MASS | W 86-77 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 20 | vsBGSU | W 91-77 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 24 | @ EMU | W 74-64 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 27 | @WMU | W 69-67 | -12.5 | L −10.5 | 161.5 | U 136 |
| Mar 3 | vsTOL | W 74-72 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 6 | @OHIO | W 110-108 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | O 218 |
| Mar 12 | vsMASS | L 83-87 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 161.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
−1.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
+4.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
−10.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+5.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+0.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
−3.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
+4.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+5.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+1.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+16.5
3
vsAKR
AKRW 76-73
+7.5
6
vsWMU
WMUW 87-76
−3.5
9
@TOL
TOLW 87-73
+15.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 100-61
+23.5
17
vsBUF
BUFW 105-102
−7.5
20
@KENT
KENTW 107-101
+7.5
27
vsMASS
MASSW 86-84
−7.5
31
vsNIU
NIUW 85-61
+7.5
3
@BUF
BUFW 73-71
−2.5
7
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-74
+14.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-74
+8.5
17
@MASS
MASSW 86-77
+5.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-77
+5.5
24
@EMU
EMUW 74-64
+1.5
27
@WMU
WMUW 69-67
−10.5
3
vsTOL
TOLW 74-72
−5.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOW 110-108
−1.5
12
vsMASS
MASSL 83-87
−10.5
covered 18didn’t cover 11avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
+5.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
−6.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
+7.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+34.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+2.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
+24.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
−10.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+9.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+15.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+25.5
3
vsAKR
AKRW 76-73
−28.5
6
vsWMU
WMUW 87-76
+2.5
9
@TOL
TOLW 87-73
−6.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 100-61
+2.5
17
vsBUF
BUFW 105-102
+44.5
20
@KENT
KENTW 107-101
+40.5
27
vsMASS
MASSW 86-84
+5.5
31
vsNIU
NIUW 85-61
−12.5
3
@BUF
BUFW 73-71
−21.5
7
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-74
+1.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-74
+0.5
17
@MASS
MASSW 86-77
−0.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-77
+13.5
24
@EMU
EMUW 74-64
−13.5
27
@WMU
WMUW 69-67
−25.5
3
vsTOL
TOLW 74-72
−16.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOW 110-108
+58.5
12
vsMASS
MASSL 83-87
+8.5
over 19under 10avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
SMU
33 games played
Straight up
20-13
61% wins
Against the spread
15-18
45% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-14
58% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TAR | W 96-76 | -21.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 6 | vs AMCC | W 69-58 | -23.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 11 | vs MUR | W 102-91 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 15 | vs BTLR | W 87-85 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | vsUAPB | W 106-60 | -35.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 21 | vs ARST | W 100-69 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Nov 24 | vs RAD | W 89-72 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 28 | @ MSST | W 87-81 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 3 | @ VAN | L 69-88 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 7 | vs TA&M | W 93-80 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 164.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 13 | vs LSU | L 77-89 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs CARK | W 99-82 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 28 | vs CSUF | W 110-63 | -21.5 | W +25.5 | 170.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 3 | vs UNC | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 7 | @ CLEM | L 70-74 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ DUKE | L 75-82 | +15.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 14 | vs VT | W 77-76 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 17 | vs UVA | L 68-72 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 20 | @ WAKE | W 91-79 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 24 | vs FSU | W 83-80 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 31 | @ LOU | L 74-88 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Feb 3 | vs NCSU | L 83-84 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 7 | @ PITT | W 86-67 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 10 | vs ND | W 89-81 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 14 | @ SYR | L 78-79 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 17 | vsLOU | W 95-85 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 168.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 21 | vs BC | W 94-70 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 25 | @ CAL | L 69-73 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 28 | @ STAN | L 75-95 | -1.5 | L −21.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Mar 4 | vs MIA | L 69-77 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 156.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 7 | @FSU | L 78-91 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 158.5 | O 169 |
| Mar 10 | vsSYR | W 86-69 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 11 | vsLOU | L 58-62 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | U 120 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
−1.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−12.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+0.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
−5.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
+10.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
+16.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−6.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 87-81
+7.5
3
@VAN
VANL 69-88
−8.5
7
vsTA&M
TA&MW 93-80
+14.5
13
vsLSU
LSUL 77-89
−10.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 99-82
−7.5
28
vsCSUF
CSUFW 110-63
+25.5
3
vsUNC
UNCW 97-83
+12.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 70-74
−0.5
10
@DUKE
DUKEL 75-82
+8.5
14
vsVT
VTW 77-76
−7.5
17
vsUVA
UVAL 68-72
−1.5
20
@WAKE
WAKEW 91-79
+13.5
24
vsFSU
FSUW 83-80
−8.5
31
@LOU
LOUL 74-88
−4.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUL 83-84
+0.5
7
@PITT
PITTW 86-67
+14.5
10
vsND
NDW 89-81
−2.5
14
@SYR
SYRL 78-79
−2.5
17
vsLOU
LOUW 95-85
+14.5
21
vsBC
BCW 94-70
+8.5
25
@CAL
CALL 69-73
−8.5
28
@STAN
STANL 75-95
−21.5
4
vsMIA
MIAL 69-77
−9.5
7
@FSU
FSUL 78-91
−11.5
10
vsSYR
SYRW 86-69
+13.5
11
vsLOU
LOUL 58-62
+3.5
covered 15didn’t cover 18avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
+27.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−33.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+28.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
+8.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
−2.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
−3.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−4.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 87-81
+5.5
3
@VAN
VANL 69-88
−8.5
7
vsTA&M
TA&MW 93-80
+8.5
13
vsLSU
LSUL 77-89
+7.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 99-82
+24.5
28
vsCSUF
CSUFW 110-63
+2.5
3
vsUNC
UNCW 97-83
+24.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 70-74
−5.5
10
@DUKE
DUKEL 75-82
+1.5
14
vsVT
VTW 77-76
−2.5
17
vsUVA
UVAL 68-72
−13.5
20
@WAKE
WAKEW 91-79
+12.5
24
vsFSU
FSUW 83-80
−0.5
31
@LOU
LOUL 74-88
−1.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUL 83-84
+7.5
7
@PITT
PITTW 86-67
+5.5
10
vsND
NDW 89-81
+15.5
14
@SYR
SYRL 78-79
−0.5
17
vsLOU
LOUW 95-85
+11.5
21
vsBC
BCW 94-70
+13.5
25
@CAL
CALL 69-73
−21.5
28
@STAN
STANL 75-95
+14.5
4
vsMIA
MIAL 69-77
−10.5
7
@FSU
FSUL 78-91
+10.5
10
vsSYR
SYRW 86-69
+0.5
11
vsLOU
LOUL 58-62
−44.5
over 19under 14avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Miami OH
28-1 overall · 18-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UMass83–87
- W@ Ohio110–108
- Wvs Toledo74–72
- W@ W Michigan69–67
- W@ E Michigan74–64
6 days since their last game.
SMU
20-13 overall · 9-11 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Louisville58–62
- Wvs Syracuse86–69
- L@ Florida St78–91
- Lvs Miami69–77
- L@ Stanford75–95
A week or more of rest.