Tucker Center · at Florida St · Conference game
Closing line
FSU -1.5✓ FSU covered by 11.5
FSU -1.5✓ FSU covered by 11.5Closing total158.5Over by 10.5
 SMU | This season | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| 19-11 | Record | 16-14 |
| 13-17 | ATS | 17-13 |
| 17-13 | O/U | 14-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SMU 83–81 FSU · ✗ SMU (56%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | 27 | 51 | 78 |
| FSU | 45 | 46 | 91 |
1st half: SMU 27, FSU 45 (FSU by 18). The model had SMU by 1.2 and a total of 76.9 (actual 72).
Team stats
| SMU | FSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-66 42% | Field goals | 30-58 52% |
| 12-31 39% | 3-pointers | 16-34 47% |
| 10-17 59% | Free throws | 15-24 63% |
| 37 15 off | Rebounds | 29 6 off |
| 11 | Assists | 19 |
| 7 | Steals | 10 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 22 | Fouls | 18 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| SMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boopie Miller G | 39 | 32 | 3 | 4 | 11-20 | 7-11 |
| Jaron Pierre Jr. G | 35 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 3-10 | 1-6 |
| Samet Yigitoglu C | 33 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Corey Washington F | 29 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 3-10 | 2-4 |
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. F | 25 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-10 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Toombs F | 19 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| B.J. Davis-Ray G | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Chance Puryear G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mitchell Holmes F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Niccolo Kalischer-Stork, Sam Walters, Billy White III, Trey Utter, B.J. Edwards, Nigel Walls
| FSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncey Wiggins F | 35 | 31 | 9 | 2 | 10-14 | 6-8 |
| Lajae Jones G | 34 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 4-11 | 1-6 |
| Robert McCray V G | 26 | 17 | 2 | 12 | 6-10 | 4-6 |
| Kobe MaGee G | 24 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Alex Steen F | 17 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Martin Somerville G | 23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Thomas Bassong F | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Cam Miles G | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Shah Muhammad F | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Alier Maluk F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Crawford G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Max Garcia-Plata, Xavier Osceola, AJ Swinton, Jasen Lopez
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFSU -1.5
no move
CloseFSU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open161.5
▼ 3
Close158.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
SMU +102 · FSU -122
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FSU -1.5 · unchangedmodel SMU -2
model SMU -2
Opened 161.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 3 downmodel 164.5
model 164.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | FSU -1.5 | SMU -1.8 | SMU +3.3 | L FSU covered |
| Total | 158.5 | 164.6 | Over 6.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | SMU 83.2 · FSU 81.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SMU -1.2 | FSU -18.0 |
| 1H total | 76.9 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | SMU 39 · FSU 37.8 | SMU 27 · FSU 45 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| FSU | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SMU 2–1 FSUSMU leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · SMU 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025-26 | FSU 80 @ SMU 83 | SMU -11.5 | FSU W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | SMU 69 @ FSU 76 | FSU +2.5 | FSU W |
| Dec 16, 2023-24 | SMU 68 @ FSU 57 | FSU -4.5 | SMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SMU
30 games played
Straight up
19-11
63% wins
Against the spread
13-17
43% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-13
57% overs · avg +3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TAR | W 96-76 | -21.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 6 | vs AMCC | W 69-58 | -23.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 11 | vs MUR | W 102-91 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 15 | vs BTLR | W 87-85 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | vs UAPB | W 106-60 | -35.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 21 | vs ARST | W 100-69 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Nov 24 | vs RAD | W 89-72 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 28 | @ MSST | W 87-81 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 3 | @ VAN | L 69-88 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 7 | vs TA&M | W 93-80 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 164.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 13 | vs LSU | L 77-89 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs CARK | W 99-82 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 28 | vs CSUF | W 110-63 | -21.5 | W +25.5 | 170.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 3 | vs UNC | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 7 | @ CLEM | L 70-74 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ DUKE | L 75-82 | +15.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 14 | vs VT | W 77-76 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 17 | vs UVA | L 68-72 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 20 | @ WAKE | W 91-79 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 24 | vsFSU | W 83-80 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 31 | @ LOU | L 74-88 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Feb 3 | vs NCSU | L 83-84 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 7 | @ PITT | W 86-67 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 10 | vs ND | W 89-81 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 14 | @ SYR | L 78-79 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 17 | vsLOU | W 95-85 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 168.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 21 | vs BC | W 94-70 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 25 | @ CAL | L 69-73 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 28 | @ STAN | L 75-95 | -1.5 | L −21.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Mar 4 | vs MIA | L 69-77 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 156.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
−1.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−12.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+0.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
−5.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
+10.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
+16.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−6.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 87-81
+7.5
3
@VAN
VANL 69-88
−8.5
7
vsTA&M
TA&MW 93-80
+14.5
13
vsLSU
LSUL 77-89
−10.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 99-82
−7.5
28
vsCSUF
CSUFW 110-63
+25.5
3
vsUNC
UNCW 97-83
+12.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 70-74
−0.5
10
@DUKE
DUKEL 75-82
+8.5
14
vsVT
VTW 77-76
−7.5
17
vsUVA
UVAL 68-72
−1.5
20
@WAKE
WAKEW 91-79
+13.5
24
vsFSU
FSUW 83-80
−8.5
31
@LOU
LOUL 74-88
−4.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUL 83-84
+0.5
7
@PITT
PITTW 86-67
+14.5
10
vsND
NDW 89-81
−2.5
14
@SYR
SYRL 78-79
−2.5
17
vsLOU
LOUW 95-85
+14.5
21
vsBC
BCW 94-70
+8.5
25
@CAL
CALL 69-73
−8.5
28
@STAN
STANL 75-95
−21.5
4
vsMIA
MIAL 69-77
−9.5
covered 13didn’t cover 17avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
+27.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−33.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+28.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
+8.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
−2.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
−3.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−4.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 87-81
+5.5
3
@VAN
VANL 69-88
−8.5
7
vsTA&M
TA&MW 93-80
+8.5
13
vsLSU
LSUL 77-89
+7.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 99-82
+24.5
28
vsCSUF
CSUFW 110-63
+2.5
3
vsUNC
UNCW 97-83
+24.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 70-74
−5.5
10
@DUKE
DUKEL 75-82
+1.5
14
vsVT
VTW 77-76
−2.5
17
vsUVA
UVAL 68-72
−13.5
20
@WAKE
WAKEW 91-79
+12.5
24
vsFSU
FSUW 83-80
−0.5
31
@LOU
LOUL 74-88
−1.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUL 83-84
+7.5
7
@PITT
PITTW 86-67
+5.5
10
vsND
NDW 89-81
+15.5
14
@SYR
SYRL 78-79
−0.5
17
vsLOU
LOUW 95-85
+11.5
21
vsBC
BCW 94-70
+13.5
25
@CAL
CALL 69-73
−21.5
28
@STAN
STANL 75-95
+14.5
4
vsMIA
MIAL 69-77
−10.5
over 17under 13avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Florida St
30 games played
Straight up
16-14
53% wins
Against the spread
17-13
57% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-16
47% overs · avg −3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs ALCN | W 108-76 | -27.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | vs ALST | W 101-64 | -24.5 | W +12.5 | 166.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ FLA | L 76-78 | +17.5 | W +15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs UTM | W 87-73 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs GASO | W 98-72 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 175.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs CSUB | W 89-59 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vsTA&M | L 59-95 | -1.5 | L −37.5 | 174.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 2 | vs UGA | L 73-107 | -1.5 | L −35.5 | 176.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | vs HOU | L 67-82 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs MASS | L 95-103 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 165.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 16 | @ DAY | L 69-97 | +6.5 | L −21.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 19 | vs MVSU | W 96-49 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 22 | vs JAX | W 87-63 | -23.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 30 | @UNC | L 66-79 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | vsDUKE | L 87-91 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vsNCSU | L 69-113 | +4.5 | L −39.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 13 | @SYR | L 86-94 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 17 | vsWAKE | L 68-69 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 20 | @MIA | W 65-63 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | @SMU | L 80-83 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 28 | vsCAL | W 63-61 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | vsSTAN | W 88-80 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 7 | @ND | W 82-79 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 10 | vsUVA | L 58-61 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 14 | @VT | W 92-69 | +4.5 | W +27.5 | 156.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 17 | vsBC | W 80-72 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 21 | @CLEM | W 70-65 | +8.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 24 | vsMIA | L 73-83 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | @ GT | W 80-71 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Mar 4 | @PITT | W 75-74 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+4.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 101-64
+12.5
11
@FLA
FLAL 76-78
+15.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 98-72
+7.5
25
vsCSUB
CSUBW 89-59
+3.5
28
vsTA&M
TA&ML 59-95
−37.5
2
vsUGA
UGAL 73-107
−35.5
6
vsHOU
HOUL 67-82
−2.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 95-103
−20.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 69-97
−21.5
19
vsMVSU
MVSUW 96-49
+6.5
22
vsJAX
JAXW 87-63
+0.5
30
@UNC
UNCL 66-79
−0.5
3
vsDUKE
DUKEL 87-91
+12.5
10
vsNCSU
NCSUL 69-113
−39.5
13
@SYR
SYRL 86-94
−3.5
17
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
+0.5
20
@MIA
MIAW 65-63
+12.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 80-83
+8.5
28
vsCAL
CALW 63-61
−1.5
31
vsSTAN
STANW 88-80
+4.5
7
@ND
NDW 82-79
+4.5
10
vsUVA
UVAL 58-61
+5.5
14
@VT
VTW 92-69
+27.5
17
vsBC
BCW 80-72
−3.5
21
@CLEM
CLEMW 70-65
+13.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 73-83
−7.5
28
@GT
GTW 80-71
+3.5
4
@PITT
PITTW 75-74
−0.5
covered 17didn’t cover 13avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+27.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 101-64
−1.5
11
@FLA
FLAL 76-78
−26.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 98-72
−5.5
25
vsCSUB
CSUBW 89-59
−11.5
28
vsTA&M
TA&ML 59-95
−20.5
2
vsUGA
UGAL 73-107
+3.5
6
vsHOU
HOUL 67-82
+0.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 95-103
+32.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 69-97
+3.5
19
vsMVSU
MVSUW 96-49
−19.5
22
vsJAX
JAXW 87-63
−9.5
30
@UNC
UNCL 66-79
−21.5
3
vsDUKE
DUKEL 87-91
+14.5
10
vsNCSU
NCSUL 69-113
+21.5
13
@SYR
SYRL 86-94
+19.5
17
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
−31.5
20
@MIA
MIAW 65-63
−35.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 80-83
−0.5
28
vsCAL
CALW 63-61
−33.5
31
vsSTAN
STANW 88-80
+15.5
7
@ND
NDW 82-79
+6.5
10
vsUVA
UVAL 58-61
−36.5
14
@VT
VTW 92-69
+4.5
17
vsBC
BCW 80-72
+3.5
21
@CLEM
CLEMW 70-65
−10.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 73-83
+3.5
28
@GT
GTW 80-71
−7.5
4
@PITT
PITTW 75-74
+4.5
over 14under 16avg −3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SMU
19-11 overall · 8-9 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Miami69–77
- L@ Stanford75–95
- L@ California69–73
- Wvs Boston College94–70
- Wvs Louisville95–85
3 days since their last game.
Florida St
16-14 overall · 9-8 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Pitt75–74
- W@ Georgia Tech80–71
- Lvs Miami73–83
- W@ Clemson70–65
- Wvs Boston College80–72
3 days since their last game.