Schollmaier Arena · at TCU · Conference game
Closing line
TCU -2.5✓ TCU covered by 7.5
Closing total140.5Under by 4.5
| This season | TCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-13 | Record | 20-10 |
| 14-16 | ATS | 17-13 |
| 12-18 | O/U | 13-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CIN 69–71 TCU · ✓ TCU (55%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 29 | 34 | 63 |
| TCU | 32 | 41 | 73 |
1st half: CIN 29, TCU 32 (TCU by 3). The model had TCU by 0.8 and a total of 65.5 (actual 61).
Team stats
| CIN | TCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-52 44% | Field goals | 26-59 44% |
| 13-31 42% | 3-pointers | 6-22 27% |
| 4-6 67% | Free throws | 15-21 71% |
| 37 11 off | Rebounds | 30 11 off |
| 19 | Assists | 21 |
| 3 | Steals | 8 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 10 |
| 14 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| CIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day Day Thomas G | 37 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 7-14 | 5-11 |
| Jizzle James G | 34 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4-9 | 3-7 |
| Baba Miller F | 34 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Jalen Celestine G | 29 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 4-9 | 4-8 |
| Moustapha Thiam C | 28 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Keyshuan Tillery G | 14 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Sencire Harris G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Halvine Dzellat C | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Shon Abaev F | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Kerr Kriisa, Jordi Rodriguez-Stegemeijer, Lucas Atauri, Bryson Buckingham, Jalen Haynes, Tyler McKinley, Grant Darbyshire
| TCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Punch F | 33 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Pierre G | 32 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 7-11 | 1-3 |
| Brock Harding G | 32 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Micah Robinson G | 30 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3-11 | 1-6 |
| Xavier Edmonds F | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Liutauras Lelevicius F | 26 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-6 |
| Tanner Toolson G | 21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Vianney Salatchoum C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Trey Stuart G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Ashton Simmons, Drew McElroy, Adam Stewart, RJ Jones, Malick Diallo, Jace Posey, Kayden Edwards
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTCU -2.5
no move
CloseTCU -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open140.5
no move
Close140.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
CIN +114 · TCU -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TCU -2.5 · unchangedmodel TCU -1.5
model TCU -1.5
Opened 140.5 · unchangedmodel 140
model 140
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TCU -2.5 | TCU -1.6 | CIN +0.9 | L TCU covered |
| Total | 140.5 | 139.9 | Under 0.6 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | CIN 69.2 · TCU 70.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TCU -0.8 | TCU -3.0 |
| 1H total | 65.5 | 61 |
| 1H projected score | CIN 32.3 · TCU 33.2 | CIN 29 · TCU 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | |
| 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CIN 2–1 TCUCIN leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · CIN 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | TCU 63 @ CIN 75 | CIN -6.5 | CIN W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | CIN 57 @ TCU 75 | TCU -5.5 | TCU W |
| Jan 16, 2023-24 | TCU 77 @ CIN 81 | CIN -3.5 | CIN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cincinnati
30 games played
Straight up
17-13
57% wins
Against the spread
14-16
47% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-18
40% overs · avg −4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 94-63 | -22.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 74-64 | -29.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 74-62 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 16 | vs | W 72-55 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 64-74 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 94-67 | -34.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 56-64 | -22.5 | L −30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 1 | vs | W 76-58 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 5 | @ | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 65-84 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 17 | vs | W 88-51 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vs | L 65-68 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 89-62 | -13.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 60-67 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 6 | @ | L 60-62 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @ | L 72-73 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 77-68 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 79-70 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 21 | @ | L 51-77 | +13.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 68-82 | -3.5 | L −17.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 28 | vs | W 67-57 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | @ | L 54-76 | +13.5 | L −8.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 5 | vs | L 54-59 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 127.5 | U 113 |
| Feb 8 | vs | W 92-72 | -4.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 11 | @ | W 91-62 | -2.5 | W +26.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 15 | vs | W 69-65 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 21 | @ | W 84-68 | +8.5 | W +24.5 | 139.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 24 | @ | L 68-80 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 28 | vs | W 91-68 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 3 | vs | W 90-68 | -1.5 | W +20.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
WCU
W 94-63
+8.5
7
vs
GAST
W 74-64
−19.5
11
vs
DAY
W 74-62
+6.5
16
vs
MSM
W 72-55
−8.5
21
vs
LOU
L 64-74
−1.5
24
vs
NJIT
W 94-67
−7.5
26
vs
EMU
L 56-64
−30.5
1
vs
TAR
W 76-58
−6.5
5
@
XAV
L 74-79
−6.5
13
vs
UGA
L 65-84
−13.5
17
vs
ALST
W 88-51
+15.5
21
vs
CLEM
L 65-68
+0.5
29
vs
LIP
W 89-62
+13.5
3
vs
HOU
L 60-67
−2.5
6
@
WVU
L 60-62
−3.5
11
@
UCF
L 72-73
+1.5
14
vs
COLO
W 77-68
+0.5
17
vs
ISU
W 79-70
+14.5
21
@
ARIZ
L 51-77
−12.5
24
@
ASU
L 68-82
−17.5
28
vs
BAY
W 67-57
+6.5
31
@
HOU
L 54-76
−8.5
5
vs
WVU
L 54-59
−10.5
8
vs
UCF
W 92-72
+15.5
11
@
KSU
W 91-62
+26.5
15
vs
UTAH
W 69-65
−8.5
21
@
KU
W 84-68
+24.5
24
@
TTU
L 68-80
−5.5
28
vs
OKST
W 91-68
+13.5
3
vs
BYU
W 90-68
+20.5
covered 14didn’t cover 16avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
WCU
W 94-63
+13.5
7
vs
GAST
W 74-64
−13.5
11
vs
DAY
W 74-62
−11.5
16
vs
MSM
W 72-55
−18.5
21
vs
LOU
L 64-74
−25.5
24
vs
NJIT
W 94-67
+19.5
26
vs
EMU
L 56-64
−26.5
1
vs
TAR
W 76-58
−8.5
5
@
XAV
L 74-79
+5.5
13
vs
UGA
L 65-84
−8.5
17
vs
ALST
W 88-51
−6.5
21
vs
CLEM
L 65-68
−7.5
29
vs
LIP
W 89-62
+0.5
3
vs
HOU
L 60-67
−8.5
6
@
WVU
L 60-62
−10.5
11
@
UCF
L 72-73
−5.5
14
vs
COLO
W 77-68
−0.5
17
vs
ISU
W 79-70
+7.5
21
@
ARIZ
L 51-77
−24.5
24
@
ASU
L 68-82
+3.5
28
vs
BAY
W 67-57
−21.5
31
@
HOU
L 54-76
−5.5
5
vs
WVU
L 54-59
−14.5
8
vs
UCF
W 92-72
+17.5
11
@
KSU
W 91-62
+5.5
15
vs
UTAH
W 69-65
−5.5
21
@
KU
W 84-68
+12.5
24
@
TTU
L 68-80
+4.5
28
vs
OKST
W 91-68
+7.5
3
vs
BYU
W 90-68
+6.5
over 12under 18avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
TCU
30 games played
Straight up
20-10
67% wins
Against the spread
17-13
57% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-17
43% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | L 74-78 | -21.5 | L −25.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 6 | vs | W 104-63 | -27.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 10 | vs | W 78-65 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 14 | vs | L 63-67 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs | W 81-45 | -23.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 27 | vs | W 84-80 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 74-63 | +5.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 5 | vs | L 85-87 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 7 | @ | W 65-55 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 15 | vs | W 69-65 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 18 | vs | W 72-53 | -23.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 80-56 | -29.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 115-64 | -30.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 69-63 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 6 | @ | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 73-86 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 14 | @ | L 70-76 | +13.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 79-82 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 20 | vs | W 68-65 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 97-90 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 28 | vs | L 70-79 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 1 | @ | L 61-87 | -1.5 | L −27.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 84-82 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 10 | vs | W 62-55 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 14 | @ | W 95-92 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | O 187 |
| Feb 17 | @ | L 71-82 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 60-54 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 133.5 | U 114 |
| Feb 24 | vs | W 90-78 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 28 | @ | W 77-68 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 3 | @ | W 73-65 | +8.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
NOLA
L 74-78
−25.5
6
vs
SFPA
W 104-63
+13.5
10
vs
LAM
W 78-65
−5.5
14
vs
MICH
L 63-67
+3.5
19
vs
KC
W 81-45
+12.5
27
vs
FLA
W 84-80
+15.5
28
vs
WIS
W 74-63
+16.5
5
vs
ND
L 85-87
−8.5
7
@
UNT
W 65-55
+0.5
15
vs
UIW
W 69-65
−15.5
18
vs
ORU
W 72-53
−4.5
21
vs
FAMU
W 80-56
−5.5
29
vs
JKST
W 115-64
+20.5
3
vs
BAY
W 69-63
+3.5
6
@
KU
L 100-104
+2.5
10
vs
ARIZ
L 73-86
−5.5
14
@
BYU
L 70-76
+7.5
17
@
UTAH
L 79-82
−7.5
20
vs
OKST
W 68-65
−5.5
24
@
BAY
W 97-90
+11.5
28
vs
HOU
L 70-79
−0.5
1
@
COLO
L 61-87
−27.5
7
vs
KSU
W 84-82
−7.5
10
vs
ISU
W 62-55
+14.5
14
@
OKST
W 95-92
+1.5
17
@
UCF
L 71-82
−12.5
21
vs
WVU
W 60-54
+1.5
24
vs
ASU
W 90-78
+5.5
28
@
KSU
W 77-68
+5.5
3
@
TTU
W 73-65
+16.5
covered 17didn’t cover 13avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
NOLA
L 74-78
+2.5
6
vs
SFPA
W 104-63
+13.5
10
vs
LAM
W 78-65
−4.5
14
vs
MICH
L 63-67
−34.5
19
vs
KC
W 81-45
−24.5
27
vs
FLA
W 84-80
+8.5
28
vs
WIS
W 74-63
−20.5
5
vs
ND
L 85-87
+30.5
7
@
UNT
W 65-55
−15.5
15
vs
UIW
W 69-65
−9.5
18
vs
ORU
W 72-53
−22.5
21
vs
FAMU
W 80-56
−6.5
29
vs
JKST
W 115-64
+35.5
3
vs
BAY
W 69-63
−22.5
6
@
KU
L 100-104
+60.5
10
vs
ARIZ
L 73-86
+1.5
14
@
BYU
L 70-76
−16.5
17
@
UTAH
L 79-82
+6.5
20
vs
OKST
W 68-65
−28.5
24
@
BAY
W 97-90
+39.5
28
vs
HOU
L 70-79
+9.5
1
@
COLO
L 61-87
−5.5
7
vs
KSU
W 84-82
+10.5
10
vs
ISU
W 62-55
−30.5
14
@
OKST
W 95-92
+30.5
17
@
UCF
L 71-82
−1.5
21
vs
WVU
W 60-54
−19.5
24
vs
ASU
W 90-78
+18.5
28
@
KSU
W 77-68
−14.5
3
@
TTU
W 73-65
−9.5
over 13under 17avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cincinnati
17-13 overall · 9-8 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs BYU90–68
- Wvs Oklahoma St91–68
- L@ Texas Tech68–80
- W@ Kansas84–68
- Wvs Utah69–65
4 days since their last game.
TCU
20-10 overall · 10-7 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Texas Tech73–65
- W@ Kansas St77–68
- Wvs Arizona St90–78
- Wvs West Virginia60–54
- L@ UCF71–82
4 days since their last game.