Addition Financial Arena · at UCF · Conference game
Closing line
TCU -1.5✓ UCF covered by 12.5
TCU -1.5✓ UCF covered by 12.5Closing total154.5Under by 1.5
| TCU | This season | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| 16-9 | Record | 17-7 |
| 13-12 | ATS | 11-13 |
| 12-13 | O/U | 10-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TCU 78–79 UCF · ✓ UCF (51%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 28 | 43 | 71 |
| UCF | 42 | 40 | 82 |
1st half: TCU 28, UCF 42 (UCF by 14). The model had UCF by 0.1 and a total of 73.2 (actual 70).
Team stats
| TCU | UCF | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-60 42% | Field goals | 28-57 49% |
| 4-21 19% | 3-pointers | 8-20 40% |
| 17-27 63% | Free throws | 18-20 90% |
| 36 13 off | Rebounds | 34 8 off |
| 9 | Assists | 17 |
| 9 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 20 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| TCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Robinson G | 34 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 6-12 | 2-3 |
| Jayden Pierre G | 34 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-3 |
| David Punch F | 25 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 7-12 | 0-2 |
| Brock Harding G | 25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Xavier Edmonds F | 25 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tanner Toolson G | 32 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3-10 | 1-4 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius F | 17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Vianney Salatchoum C | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Drew McElroy, Adam Stewart, Ashton Simmons, RJ Jones, Trey Stuart, Kayden Edwards, Jace Posey, Malick Diallo
| UCF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Themus Fulks G | 37 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Burks F | 32 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 8-19 | 5-12 |
| Jamichael Stillwell F | 28 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Riley Kugel G | 25 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| John Bol C | 18 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devan Cambridge F | 17 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Chris Johnson G | 17 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jeremy Foumena C | 14 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| George Beale Jr. G | 12 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 3-4 |
Did not play: Zachary Johnson, Tanner Jones, Carmelo Pacheco, Elijah Hulsewe, Poohpha Warakulnukroh, Kris Parker
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCF -2.5
4 → TCU
CloseTCU -1.5
4 pts toward TCU
Total
Open153.5
▲ 1
Close154.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
TCU -115 · UCF -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCF -2.5 · closed TCU -1.5 · moved 4 toward TCUmodel UCF -0.5
model UCF -0.5
Opened 153.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 1 upmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TCU -1.5 | UCF -0.4 | UCF +1.9 | W UCF covered |
| Total | 154.5 | 156.6 | Over 2.1 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | TCU 78.1 · UCF 78.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCF -0.1 | UCF -14.0 |
| 1H total | 73.2 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | TCU 36.5 · UCF 36.7 | TCU 28 · UCF 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| UCF | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TCU 1–2 UCFUCF leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · TCU 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | UCF 78 @ TCU 89 | TCU -3.5 | TCU W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | TCU 58 @ UCF 85 | UCF -3.5 | UCF W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | UCF 79 @ TCU 77 | TCU -8.5 | UCF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
TCU
25 games played
Straight up
16-9
64% wins
Against the spread
13-12
52% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-13
48% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NOLA | L 74-78 | -21.5 | L −25.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 6 | vs SFPA | W 104-63 | -27.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 10 | vs LAM | W 78-65 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 14 | vs MICH | L 63-67 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs KC | W 81-45 | -23.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 27 | vs FLA | W 84-80 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs WIS | W 74-63 | +5.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 5 | vs ND | L 85-87 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 7 | @ UNT | W 65-55 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 15 | vs UIW | W 69-65 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 18 | vs ORU | W 72-53 | -23.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 21 | vs FAMU | W 80-56 | -29.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 29 | vs JKST | W 115-64 | -30.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vs BAY | W 69-63 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 6 | @ KU | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 10 | vs ARIZ | L 73-86 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 14 | @ BYU | L 70-76 | +13.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 17 | @ UTAH | L 79-82 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 20 | vs OKST | W 68-65 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @BAY | W 97-90 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 28 | vs HOU | L 70-79 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 1 | @ COLO | L 61-87 | -1.5 | L −27.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 7 | vs KSU | W 84-82 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 10 | vs ISU | W 62-55 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 14 | @OKST | W 95-92 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | O 187 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNOLA
NOLAL 74-78
−25.5
6
vsSFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 78-65
−5.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 63-67
+3.5
19
vsKC
KCW 81-45
+12.5
27
vsFLA
FLAW 84-80
+15.5
28
vsWIS
WISW 74-63
+16.5
5
vsND
NDL 85-87
−8.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 65-55
+0.5
15
vsUIW
UIWW 69-65
−15.5
18
vsORU
ORUW 72-53
−4.5
21
vsFAMU
FAMUW 80-56
−5.5
29
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-64
+20.5
3
vsBAY
BAYW 69-63
+3.5
6
@KU
KUL 100-104
+2.5
10
vsARIZ
ARIZL 73-86
−5.5
14
@BYU
BYUL 70-76
+7.5
17
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-82
−7.5
20
vsOKST
OKSTW 68-65
−5.5
24
@BAY
BAYW 97-90
+11.5
28
vsHOU
HOUL 70-79
−0.5
1
@COLO
COLOL 61-87
−27.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 84-82
−7.5
10
vsISU
ISUW 62-55
+14.5
14
@OKST
OKSTW 95-92
+1.5
covered 13didn’t cover 12avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNOLA
NOLAL 74-78
+2.5
6
vsSFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 78-65
−4.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 63-67
−34.5
19
vsKC
KCW 81-45
−24.5
27
vsFLA
FLAW 84-80
+8.5
28
vsWIS
WISW 74-63
−20.5
5
vsND
NDL 85-87
+30.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 65-55
−15.5
15
vsUIW
UIWW 69-65
−9.5
18
vsORU
ORUW 72-53
−22.5
21
vsFAMU
FAMUW 80-56
−6.5
29
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-64
+35.5
3
vsBAY
BAYW 69-63
−22.5
6
@KU
KUL 100-104
+60.5
10
vsARIZ
ARIZL 73-86
+1.5
14
@BYU
BYUL 70-76
−16.5
17
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-82
+6.5
20
vsOKST
OKSTW 68-65
−28.5
24
@BAY
BAYW 97-90
+39.5
28
vsHOU
HOUL 70-79
+9.5
1
@COLO
COLOL 61-87
−5.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 84-82
+10.5
10
vsISU
ISUW 62-55
−30.5
14
@OKST
OKSTW 95-92
+30.5
over 12under 13avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
UCF
24 games played
Straight up
17-7
71% wins
Against the spread
11-13
46% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-14
42% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HOF | W 82-78 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 8 | vs VAN | L 93-105 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 11 | vsFAMU | W 97-60 | -23.5 | W +13.5 | 169.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 14 | @ TA&M | W 86-74 | +10.5 | W +22.5 | 172.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 17 | vs OAK | W 87-83 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs PITT | W 77-67 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs QUIN | W 102-91 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 29 | vs VMI | W 82-57 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 7 | vs TOW | W 86-61 | -9.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 17 | vs MER | W 81-63 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 20 | vs FGCU | W 102-80 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 23 | vs FAU | W 85-80 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vsKU | W 81-75 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 6 | @OKST | L 76-87 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 175.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 11 | vs CIN | W 73-72 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | @KSU | W 82-73 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 170.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | vsARIZ | L 77-84 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 20 | @ISU | L 57-87 | +14.5 | L −15.5 | 156.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @COLO | W 95-86 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 27 | vs ASU | W 79-76 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 31 | vs TTU | W 88-80 | +5.5 | W +13.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 4 | @HOU | L 55-79 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 8 | @CIN | L 72-92 | +4.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 14 | vs WVU | L 67-74 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
−4.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
−1.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
+13.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
+22.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
−9.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
+11.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
−2.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−0.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
+15.5
17
vsMER
MERW 81-63
+1.5
20
vsFGCU
FGCUW 102-80
+4.5
23
vsFAU
FAUW 85-80
−3.5
3
vsKU
KUW 81-75
+10.5
6
@OKST
OKSTL 76-87
−9.5
11
vsCIN
CINW 73-72
−1.5
14
@KSU
KSUW 82-73
+11.5
17
vsARIZ
ARIZL 77-84
+2.5
20
@ISU
ISUL 57-87
−15.5
24
@COLO
COLOW 95-86
+12.5
27
vsASU
ASUW 79-76
−3.5
31
vsTTU
TTUW 88-80
+13.5
4
@HOU
HOUL 55-79
−8.5
8
@CIN
CINL 72-92
−15.5
14
vsWVU
WVUL 67-74
−10.5
covered 11didn’t cover 13avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
+19.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
+31.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
−12.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
−12.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
+6.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
−5.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
+30.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−20.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
−1.5
17
vsMER
MERW 81-63
−16.5
20
vsFGCU
FGCUW 102-80
+20.5
23
vsFAU
FAUW 85-80
+2.5
3
vsKU
KUW 81-75
−1.5
6
@OKST
OKSTL 76-87
−12.5
11
vsCIN
CINW 73-72
−5.5
14
@KSU
KSUW 82-73
−15.5
17
vsARIZ
ARIZL 77-84
−4.5
20
@ISU
ISUL 57-87
−12.5
24
@COLO
COLOW 95-86
+21.5
27
vsASU
ASUW 79-76
−6.5
31
vsTTU
TTUW 88-80
+8.5
4
@HOU
HOUL 55-79
−12.5
8
@CIN
CINL 72-92
+17.5
14
vsWVU
WVUL 67-74
+0.5
over 10under 14avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
TCU
16-9 overall · 6-6 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Oklahoma St95–92
- Wvs Iowa State62–55
- Wvs Kansas St84–82
- L@ Colorado61–87
- Lvs Houston70–79
3 days since their last game.
UCF
17-7 overall · 6-6 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs West Virginia67–74
- L@ Cincinnati72–92
- L@ Houston55–79
- Wvs Texas Tech88–80
- Wvs Arizona St79–76
3 days since their last game.