Enterprise Center · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
PUR -8.5✓ PUR covered by 1.5
PUR -8.5✓ PUR covered by 1.5Closing total146.5Over by 1.5
 MIA | This season | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| 26-8 | Record | 28-8 |
| 19-15 | ATS | 16-20 |
| 20-14 | O/U | 18-18 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MIA 72–81 PUR · ✓ PUR (79%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 40 | 29 | 69 |
| PUR | 38 | 41 | 79 |
1st half: MIA 40, PUR 38 (MIA by 2). The model had PUR by 5.3 and a total of 71.1 (actual 78).
Team stats
| MIA | PUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-63 44% | Field goals | 25-47 53% |
| 5-19 26% | 3-pointers | 8-14 57% |
| 8-10 80% | Free throws | 21-22 95% |
| 33 14 off | Rebounds | 25 4 off |
| 17 | Assists | 17 |
| 9 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MIA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shelton Henderson F | 40 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 9-11 | 0-1 |
| Tre Donaldson G | 36 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 4-15 | 2-6 |
| Malik Reneau F | 36 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 6-15 | 0-3 |
| Ernest Udeh Jr. C | 33 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Dante Allen G | 24 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tru Washington G | 28 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 5-13 | 1-5 |
| Timo Malovec F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Noam Dovrat, JJ Laboy, Salih Altuntas, Jordyn Kee, Marcus Allen, Treyvon Maddox
| PUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith G | 38 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 3-12 | 0-4 |
| Fletcher Loyer G | 35 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 6-7 | 4-4 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn F | 35 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8-16 | 0-0 |
| Oscar Cluff C | 32 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| C.J. Cox G | 18 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gicarri Harris G | 18 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Omer Mayer G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jack Benter G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Jacobsen C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jace Rayl, Jack Lusk, Aaron Fine, Antione West Jr, Liam Murphy, Sam King, Raleigh Burgess
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPUR -7.5
1 → PUR
ClosePUR -8.5
1 pt toward PUR
Total
Open149.5
▼ 3
Close146.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
MIA +300 · PUR -380
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PUR -7.5 · closed PUR -8.5 · moved 1 toward PURmodel PUR -9
model PUR -9
Opened 149.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 3 downmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | PUR -8.5 | PUR -9.1 | PUR +0.6 | W PUR covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 152.1 | Over 5.6 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MIA 71.5 · PUR 80.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PUR -5.3 | MIA -2.0 |
| 1H total | 71.1 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | MIA 32.9 · PUR 38.2 | MIA 40 · PUR 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| PUR | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Miami
34 games played
Straight up
26-8
76% wins
Against the spread
19-15
56% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
20-14
59% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JAX | W 86-69 | -18.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 6 | vs BCU | W 101-61 | -16.5 | W +23.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 10 | vs STET | W 102-61 | -34.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 16 | vs FLA | L 68-82 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 171.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 20 | vs ELON | W 99-72 | -19.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DSU | W 97-41 | -34.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 27 | vs BYU | L 62-72 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 28 | vs GTWN | W 78-65 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 2 | @ MISS | W 75-66 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | vs USM | W 88-64 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 13 | vs ULM | W 104-79 | -35.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 16 | vs FIU | W 98-81 | -22.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 21 | vs UNF | W 105-67 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 171.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 30 | vs PITT | W 76-69 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 7 | @ WAKE | W 81-77 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | vs GT | W 91-81 | -15.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 13 | @ ND | W 81-69 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 17 | @ CLEM | L 59-69 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 20 | vs FSU | L 63-65 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | @ SYR | W 85-76 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 28 | vs STAN | W 79-70 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | vs CAL | L 85-86 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 7 | @ BC | W 74-68 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 10 | vs UNC | W 75-66 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 14 | @ NCSU | W 77-76 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 17 | vs VT | W 67-66 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 21 | @ UVA | L 83-86 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 24 | @FSU | W 83-73 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | vsBC | W 76-54 | -15.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 4 | @ SMU | W 77-69 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 156.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 7 | vs LOU | L 89-92 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 181 |
| Mar 12 | vsLOU | W 78-73 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Mar 13 | vsUVA | L 62-84 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 20 | vs MIZ | W 80-66 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJAX
JAXW 86-69
−1.5
6
vsBCU
BCUW 101-61
+23.5
10
vsSTET
STETW 102-61
+6.5
16
vsFLA
FLAL 68-82
−3.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 99-72
+7.5
23
vsDSU
DSUW 97-41
+21.5
27
vsBYU
BYUL 62-72
−2.5
28
vsGTWN
GTWNW 78-65
+7.5
2
@MISS
MISSW 75-66
+10.5
6
vsUSM
USMW 88-64
+4.5
13
vsULM
ULMW 104-79
−10.5
16
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
−5.5
21
vsUNF
UNFW 105-67
+0.5
30
vsPITT
PITTW 76-69
−2.5
7
@WAKE
WAKEW 81-77
+5.5
10
vsGT
GTW 91-81
−5.5
13
@ND
NDW 81-69
+6.5
17
@CLEM
CLEML 59-69
−5.5
20
vsFSU
FSUL 63-65
−12.5
24
@SYR
SYRW 85-76
+7.5
28
vsSTAN
STANW 79-70
−0.5
31
vsCAL
CALL 85-86
−12.5
7
@BC
BCW 74-68
−2.5
10
vsUNC
UNCW 75-66
+7.5
14
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
+6.5
17
vsVT
VTW 67-66
−7.5
21
@UVA
UVAL 83-86
+4.5
24
@FSU
FSUW 83-73
+7.5
28
vsBC
BCW 76-54
+6.5
4
@SMU
SMUW 77-69
+9.5
7
vsLOU
LOUL 89-92
−4.5
12
vsLOU
LOUW 78-73
+6.5
13
vsUVA
UVAL 62-84
−18.5
20
vsMIZ
MIZW 80-66
+12.5
covered 19didn’t cover 15avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJAX
JAXW 86-69
+12.5
6
vsBCU
BCUW 101-61
+7.5
10
vsSTET
STETW 102-61
+1.5
16
vsFLA
FLAL 68-82
−21.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 99-72
+6.5
23
vsDSU
DSUW 97-41
−13.5
27
vsBYU
BYUL 62-72
−31.5
28
vsGTWN
GTWNW 78-65
−8.5
2
@MISS
MISSW 75-66
−4.5
6
vsUSM
USMW 88-64
+6.5
13
vsULM
ULMW 104-79
+29.5
16
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
+17.5
21
vsUNF
UNFW 105-67
+0.5
30
vsPITT
PITTW 76-69
+0.5
7
@WAKE
WAKEW 81-77
+0.5
10
vsGT
GTW 91-81
+15.5
13
@ND
NDW 81-69
+6.5
17
@CLEM
CLEML 59-69
−15.5
20
vsFSU
FSUL 63-65
−35.5
24
@SYR
SYRW 85-76
+11.5
28
vsSTAN
STANW 79-70
+1.5
31
vsCAL
CALL 85-86
+22.5
7
@BC
BCW 74-68
+0.5
10
vsUNC
UNCW 75-66
−15.5
14
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
−4.5
17
vsVT
VTW 67-66
−15.5
21
@UVA
UVAL 83-86
+23.5
24
@FSU
FSUW 83-73
+3.5
28
vsBC
BCW 76-54
−13.5
4
@SMU
SMUW 77-69
−10.5
7
vsLOU
LOUL 89-92
+25.5
12
vsLOU
LOUW 78-73
−2.5
13
vsUVA
UVAL 62-84
−0.5
20
vsMIZ
MIZW 80-66
+1.5
over 20under 14avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Purdue
36 games played
Straight up
28-8
78% wins
Against the spread
16-20
44% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-18
50% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EVAN | W 82-51 | -33.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs OAK | W 87-77 | -31.5 | L −21.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 13 | @ ALA | W 87-80 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 16 | vs AKR | W 97-79 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 20 | vs MEM | W 80-71 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs TTU | W 86-56 | -3.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs EIU | W 109-62 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 2 | @ RUTG | W 81-65 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | vs ISU | L 58-81 | -4.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 10 | vs MINN | W 85-57 | -19.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs MARQ | W 79-59 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs AUB | W 88-60 | -7.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs KENT | W 101-60 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 3 | @ WIS | W 89-73 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 7 | vs WASH | W 81-73 | -16.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | vs PSU | W 93-85 | -22.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 14 | vs IOWA | W 79-72 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | @ USC | W 69-64 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 20 | @ UCLA | L 67-69 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vs ILL | L 82-88 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 27 | @ IU | L 67-72 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 1 | @ MD | W 93-63 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 7 | vs ORE | W 68-64 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 10 | @ NEB | W 80-77 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | @IOWA | W 78-57 | -2.5 | W +18.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 17 | vs MICH | L 80-91 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 20 | vsIU | W 93-64 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 26 | vs MSU | L 74-76 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Mar 1 | @ OSU | L 74-82 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Mar 4 | @ NU | W 70-66 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Mar 7 | vsWIS | L 93-97 | -9.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | O 190 |
| Mar 12 | vsNU | W 81-68 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Mar 13 | vsNEB | W 74-58 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Mar 14 | vsUCLA | W 73-66 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 15 | vsMICH | W 80-72 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Mar 20 | vs QUC | W 104-71 | -25.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | O 175 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−2.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
−21.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
+10.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
−0.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
+26.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+6.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
+2.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−27.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
+8.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
+3.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
+20.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+16.5
3
@WIS
WISW 89-73
+10.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 81-73
−8.5
10
vsPSU
PSUW 93-85
−14.5
14
vsIOWA
IOWAW 79-72
−3.5
17
@USC
USCW 69-64
−4.5
20
@UCLA
UCLAL 67-69
−7.5
24
vsILL
ILLL 82-88
−11.5
27
@IU
IUL 67-72
−9.5
1
@MD
MDW 93-63
+14.5
7
vsORE
OREW 68-64
−15.5
10
@NEB
NEBW 80-77
+5.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAW 78-57
+18.5
17
vsMICH
MICHL 80-91
−8.5
20
vsIU
IUW 93-64
+17.5
26
vsMSU
MSUL 74-76
−7.5
1
@OSU
OSUL 74-82
−14.5
4
@NU
NUW 70-66
−8.5
7
vsWIS
WISL 93-97
−13.5
12
vsNU
NUW 81-68
−0.5
13
vsNEB
NEBW 74-58
+11.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 73-66
−0.5
15
vsMICH
MICHW 80-72
+12.5
20
vsQUC
QUCW 104-71
+7.5
covered 16didn’t cover 20avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−17.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
+5.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
−5.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
+12.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
−11.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+29.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
−0.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−15.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
−1.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
−16.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
−4.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+5.5
3
@WIS
WISW 89-73
+8.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 81-73
−0.5
10
vsPSU
PSUW 93-85
+25.5
14
vsIOWA
IOWAW 79-72
+5.5
17
@USC
USCW 69-64
−22.5
20
@UCLA
UCLAL 67-69
−11.5
24
vsILL
ILLL 82-88
+17.5
27
@IU
IUL 67-72
−11.5
1
@MD
MDW 93-63
+7.5
7
vsORE
OREW 68-64
−12.5
10
@NEB
NEBW 80-77
+10.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAW 78-57
−7.5
17
vsMICH
MICHL 80-91
+14.5
20
vsIU
IUW 93-64
+6.5
26
vsMSU
MSUL 74-76
+6.5
1
@OSU
OSUL 74-82
+6.5
4
@NU
NUW 70-66
−9.5
7
vsWIS
WISL 93-97
+35.5
12
vsNU
NUW 81-68
+9.5
13
vsNEB
NEBW 74-58
−13.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 73-66
−4.5
15
vsMICH
MICHW 80-72
+2.5
20
vsQUC
QUCW 104-71
+15.5
over 18under 18avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Miami
26-8 overall · 14-6 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Missouri80–66
- Lvs Virginia62–84
- Wvs Louisville78–73
- Lvs Louisville89–92
- W@ SMU77–69
2 days since their last game.
Purdue
28-8 overall · 17-7 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Queens University Royals104–71
- Wvs Michigan80–72
- Wvs UCLA73–66
- Wvs Nebraska74–58
- Wvs Northwestern81–68
2 days since their last game.