LJVM Coliseum · at Wake Forest · NIT
Closing line
WAKE -8.5✓ ILST covered by 11.5
WAKE -8.5✓ ILST covered by 11.5Closing total152.5Over by 0.5
 ILST | This season | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| 20-12 | Record | 18-16 |
| 17-15 | ATS | 16-18 |
| 13-19 | O/U | 19-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ILST 70–78 WAKE · ✗ WAKE (74%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILST | 32 | 46 | 78 |
| WAKE | 32 | 43 | 75 |
1st half: ILST 32, WAKE 32 (tied). The model had WAKE by 4.3 and a total of 69.4 (actual 64).
Team stats
| ILST | WAKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-61 41% | Field goals | 28-56 50% |
| 10-33 30% | 3-pointers | 5-16 31% |
| 18-21 86% | Free throws | 14-21 67% |
| 31 10 off | Rebounds | 35 8 off |
| 12 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| ILST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger G | 40 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 6-14 | 5-10 |
| Landon Wolf G | 30 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-10 | 2-8 |
| Boden Skunberg G | 29 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 2-9 | 0-5 |
| Mason Klabo G | 22 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Chase Walker F | 17 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ty Pence G | 27 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 8-11 | 3-4 |
| Landon Moore G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman G | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Lieb F | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nick Allen, Isaac Ericksen, Jack Daugherty, Cameron Barnes, Ty Blake
| WAKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juke Harris G | 39 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 7-19 | 2-7 |
| Omaha Biliew F | 32 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Tre'Von Spillers F | 29 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 11-11 | 0-0 |
| Nate Calmese G | 21 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Mekhi Mason G | 18 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Myles Colvin G | 25 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Cooper Schwieger F | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Isaac Carr G | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Sebastian Akins G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Will Underwood, Owen Kmety, Dimitrije Kovacevic, Anson Beard Jr., Jaylen Cross, Marqus Marion, Vincent Ricchiuti
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWAKE -8.5
ModelWAKE -7.5
Model edgeILST +1.0
W ILST covered
Total
Market152.5
Model148.3
Model edgeUnder 4.2
L Over
Projected score
ILST 70.4 · WAKE 77.9
ILST 78 · WAKE 75
Win probability
WAKE 74%
1st half
Spread
WAKE -4.3
tied
Total
69.4
64 points
Projected score
ILST 32.5 · WAKE 36.9
ILST 32 · WAKE 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWAKE -7.5
1 → WAKE
CloseWAKE -8.5
1 pt toward WAKE
Total
Open148.5
▲ 4
Close152.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
ILST +280 · WAKE -355
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WAKE -7.5 · closed WAKE -8.5 · moved 1 toward WAKEmodel WAKE -7.5
model WAKE -7.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 4 upmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILST | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| WAKE | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Illinois St
32 games played
Straight up
20-12
63% wins
Against the spread
17-15
53% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-19
41% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ OHIO | L 68-72 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 9 | vs COR | W 76-65 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs USC | L 67-87 | +15.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ LBSU | W 82-80 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 23 | vs CCU | W 94-42 | -12.5 | W +39.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 27 | vs CLT | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs FUR | W 72-65 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs EKU | W 89-78 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | vs CHST | W 95-53 | -20.5 | W +21.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | vs USU | L 78-83 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 18 | @ SIU | W 75-68 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | vs INST | W 85-65 | -13.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | @ DRKE | W 73-56 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 1 | vs EVAN | W 73-47 | -12.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 7 | @ VAL | L 71-77 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | vs UIC | L 59-63 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @INST | L 89-94 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 17 | vs BRAD | W 88-62 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vs UNI | W 59-54 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 24 | @ BEL | L 69-80 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 28 | @ MUR | W 70-65 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 3 | vsSIU | L 50-54 | -8.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | U 104 |
| Feb 6 | vsDRKE | W 86-76 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 9 | @EVAN | L 80-88 | -10.5 | L −18.5 | 137.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 12 | vsVAL | W 86-64 | -8.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 15 | @UIC | L 56-83 | -1.5 | L −28.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 18 | vsMUR | W 78-61 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 158.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 21 | @BRAD | L 60-74 | +3.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 25 | @UNI | W 71-69 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 132.5 | O 140 |
| Mar 1 | vsBEL | W 81-74 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 6 | vsUNI | L 52-74 | +1.5 | L −20.5 | 130.5 | U 126 |
| Mar 18 | vs KENT | W 79-58 | -4.5 | W +16.5 | 154.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−2.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
+4.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−4.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
−6.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
+39.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+4.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
+3.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
−1.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+21.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+3.5
18
@SIU
SIUW 75-68
+8.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 85-65
+6.5
29
@DRKE
DRKEW 73-56
+12.5
1
vsEVAN
EVANW 73-47
+13.5
7
@VAL
VALL 71-77
−12.5
10
vsUIC
UICL 59-63
−14.5
14
@INST
INSTL 89-94
−11.5
17
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-62
+20.5
21
vsUNI
UNIW 59-54
−1.5
24
@BEL
BELL 69-80
−5.5
28
@MUR
MURW 70-65
+8.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 50-54
−12.5
6
vsDRKE
DRKEW 86-76
−0.5
9
@EVAN
EVANL 80-88
−18.5
12
vsVAL
VALW 86-64
+13.5
15
@UIC
UICL 56-83
−28.5
18
vsMUR
MURW 78-61
+14.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 60-74
−10.5
25
@UNI
UNIW 71-69
+6.5
1
vsBEL
BELW 81-74
+8.5
6
vsUNI
UNIL 52-74
−20.5
18
vsKENT
KENTW 79-58
+16.5
covered 17didn’t cover 15avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−21.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
−23.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−1.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
+20.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
−10.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+8.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
−8.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
+12.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+3.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+12.5
18
@SIU
SIUW 75-68
−10.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 85-65
−2.5
29
@DRKE
DRKEW 73-56
−16.5
1
vsEVAN
EVANW 73-47
−24.5
7
@VAL
VALL 71-77
+9.5
10
vsUIC
UICL 59-63
−19.5
14
@INST
INSTL 89-94
+34.5
17
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-62
+2.5
21
vsUNI
UNIW 59-54
−19.5
24
@BEL
BELL 69-80
−1.5
28
@MUR
MURW 70-65
−24.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 50-54
−36.5
6
vsDRKE
DRKEW 86-76
+17.5
9
@EVAN
EVANL 80-88
+30.5
12
vsVAL
VALW 86-64
+11.5
15
@UIC
UICL 56-83
−1.5
18
vsMUR
MURW 78-61
−19.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 60-74
−11.5
25
@UNI
UNIW 71-69
+7.5
1
vsBEL
BELW 81-74
+4.5
6
vsUNI
UNIL 52-74
−4.5
18
vsKENT
KENTW 79-58
−17.5
over 13under 19avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wake Forest
34 games played
Straight up
18-16
53% wins
Against the spread
16-18
47% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-15
56% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs AMER | W 88-74 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | vs MORE | W 81-65 | -22.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 11 | vs MICH | L 84-85 | +15.5 | W +14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 16 | vs UML | W 109-75 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 20 | vs TTU | L 83-84 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs MEM | W 69-68 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs CAM | W 99-51 | -17.5 | W +30.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 28 | vs NE | W 86-73 | -17.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 2 | vs OU | L 68-86 | -4.5 | L −22.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vs WVU | W 75-66 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 14 | vs QUC | W 111-73 | -18.5 | W +19.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 17 | vs LONG | W 71-68 | -24.5 | L −21.5 | 163.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vs VAN | L 67-98 | +5.5 | L −25.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | @ NCSU | L 57-70 | +10.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vs VT | W 81-78 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 7 | vs MIA | L 77-81 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | @ UNC | L 84-87 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | @ FSU | W 69-68 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 20 | vs SMU | L 79-91 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 24 | @ DUKE | L 69-90 | +19.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 27 | @ PITT | L 76-80 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vsNCSU | L 78-96 | +5.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 7 | vs LOU | L 80-88 | +9.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 11 | @ GT | W 83-67 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 14 | vs STAN | W 68-63 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 18 | vs CLEM | W 85-77 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 21 | @VT | L 63-82 | +3.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 25 | @ BC | L 67-68 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 28 | vs SYR | W 88-83 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Mar 3 | @ UVA | L 70-75 | +14.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 7 | vs CAL | W 80-73 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Mar 10 | vsVT | W 95-89 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | O 184 |
| Mar 11 | vsCLEM | L 62-71 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 18 | vs NAVY | W 82-72 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAMER
AMERW 88-74
−5.5
7
vsMORE
MOREW 81-65
−6.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 84-85
+14.5
16
vsUML
UMLW 109-75
+3.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 83-84
+8.5
21
vsMEM
MEMW 69-68
−1.5
25
vsCAM
CAMW 99-51
+30.5
28
vsNE
NEW 86-73
−4.5
2
vsOU
OUL 68-86
−22.5
6
vsWVU
WVUW 75-66
+11.5
14
vsQUC
QUCW 111-73
+19.5
17
vsLONG
LONGW 71-68
−21.5
21
vsVAN
VANL 67-98
−25.5
31
@NCSU
NCSUL 57-70
−2.5
3
vsVT
VTW 81-78
−2.5
7
vsMIA
MIAL 77-81
−5.5
10
@UNC
UNCL 84-87
+7.5
17
@FSU
FSUW 69-68
−0.5
20
vsSMU
SMUL 79-91
−13.5
24
@DUKE
DUKEL 69-90
−1.5
27
@PITT
PITTL 76-80
−2.5
31
vsNCSU
NCSUL 78-96
−12.5
7
vsLOU
LOUL 80-88
+1.5
11
@GT
GTW 83-67
+12.5
14
vsSTAN
STANW 68-63
+0.5
18
vsCLEM
CLEMW 85-77
+12.5
21
@VT
VTL 63-82
−15.5
25
@BC
BCL 67-68
−4.5
28
vsSYR
SYRW 88-83
+1.5
3
@UVA
UVAL 70-75
+9.5
7
vsCAL
CALW 80-73
+1.5
10
vsVT
VTW 95-89
+4.5
11
vsCLEM
CLEML 62-71
−3.5
18
vsNAVY
NAVYW 82-72
+0.5
covered 16didn’t cover 18avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAMER
AMERW 88-74
+22.5
7
vsMORE
MOREW 81-65
−6.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 84-85
+0.5
16
vsUML
UMLW 109-75
+18.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 83-84
+6.5
21
vsMEM
MEMW 69-68
−23.5
25
vsCAM
CAMW 99-51
−9.5
28
vsNE
NEW 86-73
+4.5
2
vsOU
OUL 68-86
−5.5
6
vsWVU
WVUW 75-66
−2.5
14
vsQUC
QUCW 111-73
+18.5
17
vsLONG
LONGW 71-68
−24.5
21
vsVAN
VANL 67-98
+0.5
31
@NCSU
NCSUL 57-70
−32.5
3
vsVT
VTW 81-78
+5.5
7
vsMIA
MIAL 77-81
+0.5
10
@UNC
UNCL 84-87
+16.5
17
@FSU
FSUW 69-68
−31.5
20
vsSMU
SMUL 79-91
+12.5
24
@DUKE
DUKEL 69-90
+5.5
27
@PITT
PITTL 76-80
+5.5
31
vsNCSU
NCSUL 78-96
+17.5
7
vsLOU
LOUL 80-88
+5.5
11
@GT
GTW 83-67
−8.5
14
vsSTAN
STANW 68-63
−19.5
18
vsCLEM
CLEMW 85-77
+21.5
21
@VT
VTL 63-82
−5.5
25
@BC
BCL 67-68
−10.5
28
vsSYR
SYRW 88-83
+18.5
3
@UVA
UVAL 70-75
−5.5
7
vsCAL
CALW 80-73
−1.5
10
vsVT
VTW 95-89
+33.5
11
vsCLEM
CLEML 62-71
−10.5
18
vsNAVY
NAVYW 82-72
+5.5
over 19under 15avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Illinois St
20-12 overall · 12-9 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kent State79–58
- Lvs Northern Iowa52–74
- Wvs Belmont81–74
- W@ Northern Iowa71–69
- L@ Bradley60–74
4 days since their last game.
Wake Forest
18-16 overall · 8-12 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Navy82–72
- Lvs Clemson62–71
- Wvs Virginia Tech95–89
- Wvs California80–73
- L@ Virginia70–75
4 days since their last game.