Neville Arena · at Auburn · NIT
Closing line
AUB -14.5✓ SEA covered by 8.5
Closing total145.5Over by 30.5
| This season | AUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-13 | Record | 18-16 |
| 14-18 | ATS | 14-20 |
| 12-20 | O/U | 19-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SEA 64–81 AUB · ✓ AUB (93%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 31 | 54 | 85 |
| AUB | 42 | 49 | 91 |
1st half: SEA 31, AUB 42 (AUB by 11). The model had AUB by 9.9 and a total of 67.8 (actual 73).
Team stats
| SEA | AUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-60 52% | Field goals | 29-58 50% |
| 16-31 52% | 3-pointers | 9-26 35% |
| 7-11 64% | Free throws | 24-32 75% |
| 23 1 off | Rebounds | 41 10 off |
| 19 | Assists | 15 |
| 8 | Steals | 4 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| SEA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Maldonado G | 37 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 9-18 | 7-13 |
| Junseok Yeo F | 37 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Maleek Arington G | 33 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Will Heimbrodt F | 33 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 5-13 | 2-4 |
| Austin Maurer C | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| John Christofilis G | 23 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Jojo Murphy G | 12 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Houran Dan C | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Brock Felder F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Miles Amos, JT White, Jeremiah Harshman, Stratos Papastavrou, Yuto Kawashima, Eric Zheng, Ray Adams
| AUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elyjah Freeman G | 40 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 7-10 | 4-5 |
| Keyshawn Hall F | 38 | 9 | 15 | 5 | 4-14 | 1-5 |
| Kevin Overton G | 37 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 7-13 | 4-9 |
| Tahaad Pettiford G | 31 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1-7 | 0-6 |
| Filip Jovic C | 23 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sebastian Williams-Adams F | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Magwood G | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Emeka Opurum, Jeremiah Bowman, Bradley Pearson, Abdul Bashir, Drake Cardwell, Joah Shay, Simon Walker, Reed Trapp, Blake Muschalek, CJ Williams, KeShawn Murphy
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAUB -14.5
ModelAUB -16.9
Model edgeAUB +2.4
L SEA covered
Total
Market145.5
Model144.9
Model edgeUnder 0.6
L Over
Projected score
SEA 64 · AUB 80.9
SEA 85 · AUB 91
Win probability
AUB 93%
1st half
Spread
AUB -9.9
AUB -11.0
Total
67.8
73 points
Projected score
SEA 28.9 · AUB 38.9
SEA 31 · AUB 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAUB -13.5
1 → AUB
CloseAUB -14.5
1 pt toward AUB
Total
Open146.5
▼ 1
Close145.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
SEA +800 · AUB -1350
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AUB -13.5 · closed AUB -14.5 · moved 1 toward AUBmodel AUB -17
model AUB -17
Opened 146.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 1 downmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | |
| 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Seattle U
32 games played
Straight up
19-13
59% wins
Against the spread
14-18
44% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-20
38% overs · avg −6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 84-73 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs | L 71-73 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 94-67 | -8.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 83-74 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ | W 77-69 | +10.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 66-52 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 29 | vs | L 71-74 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 17 | @ | W 79-78 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 19 | vs | W 70-66 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | @ | W 71-68 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 28 | vs | L 59-67 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | vs | W 69-55 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 2 | @ | L 72-80 | +24.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 4 | @ | L 76-93 | +11.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 8 | @ | L 55-68 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 15 | vs | W 75-64 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 50-71 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 21 | vs | W 69-59 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 54-56 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 28 | @ | L 58-70 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 4 | vs | W 83-81 | -12.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 53-54 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 107 |
| Feb 11 | @ | L 72-84 | +12.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 15 | vs | W 60-50 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | U 110 |
| Feb 18 | vs | L 70-72 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 133.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 71-59 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 25 | @ | W 87-80 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 28 | @ | W 71-66 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | O 137 |
| Mar 6 | vs | W 58-56 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | U 114 |
| Mar 7 | vs | L 58-61 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 129.5 | U 119 |
| Mar 17 | vs | W 67-52 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 119 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
DEN
W 84-73
−2.5
8
vs
CP
L 71-73
−12.5
12
vs
EWU
W 94-67
+18.5
15
vs
IDST
W 83-74
−2.5
21
@
STAN
W 77-69
+18.5
28
vs
TXST
W 66-52
+6.5
29
vs
UCSB
L 71-74
−5.5
7
vs
UTEP
W 75-68
−5.5
17
@
UCD
W 79-78
−1.5
19
vs
WASH
W 70-66
+11.5
22
@
UTSA
W 71-68
−7.5
28
vs
SF
L 59-67
−10.5
30
vs
WSU
W 69-55
+7.5
2
@
GONZ
L 72-80
+16.5
4
@
SMC
L 76-93
−5.5
8
@
ORST
L 55-68
−17.5
15
vs
USD
W 75-64
+1.5
17
vs
GONZ
L 50-71
−11.5
21
vs
LMU
W 69-59
+5.5
24
@
PAC
L 54-56
−0.5
28
@
WSU
L 58-70
−10.5
4
vs
PEPP
W 83-81
−10.5
7
@
PORT
L 53-54
−4.5
11
@
SCU
L 72-84
+0.5
15
vs
ORST
W 60-50
+3.5
18
vs
SMC
L 70-72
+7.5
21
vs
PORT
W 71-59
+4.5
25
@
PEPP
W 87-80
−0.5
28
@
LMU
W 71-66
+6.5
6
vs
USD
W 58-56
−6.5
7
vs
PAC
L 58-61
−1.5
17
vs
STMN
W 67-52
+12.5
covered 14didn’t cover 18avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
DEN
W 84-73
+20.5
8
vs
CP
L 71-73
−20.5
12
vs
EWU
W 94-67
+12.5
15
vs
IDST
W 83-74
+18.5
21
@
STAN
W 77-69
−6.5
28
vs
TXST
W 66-52
−18.5
29
vs
UCSB
L 71-74
+2.5
7
vs
UTEP
W 75-68
+6.5
17
@
UCD
W 79-78
+13.5
19
vs
WASH
W 70-66
−15.5
22
@
UTSA
W 71-68
−9.5
28
vs
SF
L 59-67
−20.5
30
vs
WSU
W 69-55
−20.5
2
@
GONZ
L 72-80
−3.5
4
@
SMC
L 76-93
+29.5
8
@
ORST
L 55-68
−16.5
15
vs
USD
W 75-64
−8.5
17
vs
GONZ
L 50-71
−29.5
21
vs
LMU
W 69-59
−13.5
24
@
PAC
L 54-56
−27.5
28
@
WSU
L 58-70
−14.5
4
vs
PEPP
W 83-81
+24.5
7
@
PORT
L 53-54
−36.5
11
@
SCU
L 72-84
+8.5
15
vs
ORST
W 60-50
−26.5
18
vs
SMC
L 70-72
+8.5
21
vs
PORT
W 71-59
−10.5
25
@
PEPP
W 87-80
+21.5
28
@
LMU
W 71-66
+0.5
6
vs
USD
W 58-56
−25.5
7
vs
PAC
L 58-61
−10.5
17
vs
STMN
W 67-52
−26.5
over 12under 20avg −6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Auburn
34 games played
Straight up
18-16
53% wins
Against the spread
14-20
41% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-15
56% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Against the spread
14-2041%
2 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 95-90 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 6 | vs | W 95-57 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 93-62 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 16 | vs | L 72-73 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 19 | vs | W 112-66 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 84-73 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 72-102 | +4.5 | L −25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 85-74 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 83-73 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 68-97 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 92-78 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs | L 60-88 | +7.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 106-65 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 173.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 6 | vs | L 88-90 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 168.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 95-73 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | @ | L 74-84 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 71-67 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @ | W 78-66 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 76-67 | +11.5 | W +20.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 28 | vs | W 88-82 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | @ | L 69-77 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 7 | vs | L 92-96 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 175.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 10 | vs | L 76-84 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 161.5 | U 160 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 75-88 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 18 | @ | L 85-91 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 75-74 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 24 | @ | L 79-91 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 28 | vs | L 79-85 | -10.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Mar 3 | vs | W 88-74 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Mar 7 | @ | L 84-96 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 175.5 | O 180 |
| Mar 11 | vs | W 79-61 | -8.5 | W +9.5 | 160.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 12 | vs | L 62-72 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 17 | vs | W 78-67 | -18.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
BCU
W 95-90
−19.5
6
vs
MRMK
W 95-57
+14.5
11
vs
WOF
W 93-62
+3.5
16
vs
HOU
L 72-73
+6.5
19
vs
JKST
W 112-66
+15.5
24
vs
ORE
W 84-73
+6.5
25
vs
MICH
L 72-102
−25.5
26
vs
SJU
W 85-74
+15.5
3
vs
NCSU
W 83-73
+4.5
6
@
ARIZ
L 68-97
−17.5
13
vs
UTC
W 92-78
−5.5
20
vs
PUR
L 60-88
−20.5
29
vs
QUC
W 106-65
+15.5
3
@
UGA
L 100-104
+2.5
6
vs
TA&M
L 88-90
−8.5
10
vs
ARK
W 95-73
+19.5
14
@
MIZ
L 74-84
−11.5
17
vs
SC
W 71-67
−9.5
20
@
MISS
W 78-66
+8.5
24
@
FLA
W 76-67
+20.5
28
vs
TEX
W 88-82
−0.5
31
@
TENN
L 69-77
−2.5
7
vs
ALA
L 92-96
−6.5
10
vs
VAN
L 76-84
−11.5
14
@
ARK
L 75-88
−5.5
18
@
MSST
L 85-91
−11.5
21
vs
UK
W 75-74
−2.5
24
@
OU
L 79-91
−15.5
28
vs
MISS
L 79-85
−16.5
3
vs
LSU
W 88-74
+3.5
7
@
ALA
L 84-96
−6.5
11
vs
MSST
W 79-61
+9.5
12
vs
TENN
L 62-72
−4.5
17
vs
USA
W 78-67
−7.5
covered 14didn’t cover 20avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
BCU
W 95-90
+31.5
6
vs
MRMK
W 95-57
+3.5
11
vs
WOF
W 93-62
+2.5
16
vs
HOU
L 72-73
+4.5
19
vs
JKST
W 112-66
+21.5
24
vs
ORE
W 84-73
+1.5
25
vs
MICH
L 72-102
+10.5
26
vs
SJU
W 85-74
−7.5
3
vs
NCSU
W 83-73
−6.5
6
@
ARIZ
L 68-97
+2.5
13
vs
UTC
W 92-78
+19.5
20
vs
PUR
L 60-88
−4.5
29
vs
QUC
W 106-65
−0.5
3
@
UGA
L 100-104
+30.5
6
vs
TA&M
L 88-90
+9.5
10
vs
ARK
W 95-73
−1.5
14
@
MIZ
L 74-84
+4.5
17
vs
SC
W 71-67
−14.5
20
@
MISS
W 78-66
−7.5
24
@
FLA
W 76-67
−16.5
28
vs
TEX
W 88-82
+15.5
31
@
TENN
L 69-77
−1.5
7
vs
ALA
L 92-96
+12.5
10
vs
VAN
L 76-84
−1.5
14
@
ARK
L 75-88
−2.5
18
@
MSST
L 85-91
+20.5
21
vs
UK
W 75-74
−4.5
24
@
OU
L 79-91
+12.5
28
vs
MISS
L 79-85
+10.5
3
vs
LSU
W 88-74
+6.5
7
@
ALA
L 84-96
+4.5
11
vs
MSST
W 79-61
−20.5
12
vs
TENN
L 62-72
−10.5
17
vs
USA
W 78-67
−6.5
over 19under 15avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Seattle U
19-13 overall · 9-11 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs St Thomas67–52
- Lvs Pacific58–61
- Wvs San Diego58–56
- W@ LMU71–66
- W@ Pepperdine87–80
5 days since their last game.
Auburn
18-16 overall · 8-12 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs South Alabama78–67
- Lvs Tennessee62–72
- Wvs Mississippi St79–61
- L@ Alabama84–96
- Wvs LSU88–74
5 days since their last game.