Viejas Arena · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
ARIZ -11.5✓ ARIZ covered by 0.5
ARIZ -11.5✓ ARIZ covered by 0.5Closing total153.5Under by 9.5
 USU | This season | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| 28-6 | Record | 33-2 |
| 16-18 | ATS | 20-15 |
| 19-15 | O/U | 18-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USU 73–85 ARIZ · ✓ ARIZ (84%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 24 | 42 | 66 |
| ARIZ | 33 | 45 | 78 |
1st half: USU 24, ARIZ 33 (ARIZ by 9). The model had ARIZ by 6.8 and a total of 73.6 (actual 57).
Team stats
| USU | ARIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-64 39% | Field goals | 22-56 39% |
| 8-32 25% | 3-pointers | 7-17 41% |
| 8-11 73% | Free throws | 27-39 69% |
| 26 8 off | Rebounds | 54 22 off |
| 14 | Assists | 8 |
| 9 | Steals | 0 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 25 | Fouls | 14 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| USU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Collins Jr. G | 38 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4-14 | 2-7 |
| Mason Falslev G | 33 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3-12 | 2-8 |
| Drake Allen G | 28 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Adlan Elamin F | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Zach Keller F | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Karson Templin F | 25 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-6 |
| Garry Clark F | 18 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Perryman G | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Kolby King G | 12 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: David Iweze, Jordy Barnes, Brayden Boe, Luke Kearney, Tucker Anderson, Kingston Tosi
| ARIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Bradley G | 39 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 6-16 | 1-4 |
| Ivan Kharchenkov F | 37 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3-11 | 1-4 |
| Motiejus Krivas C | 32 | 11 | 14 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Koa Peat F | 32 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Brayden Burries G | 26 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5-7 | 3-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Dell'Orso G | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Tobe Awaka F | 13 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Dwayne Aristode F | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Sven Djopmo, Sidi Gueye, Mabil Mawut, Jackson Cook, Jackson Francois, Bryce James, Addison Arnold, Evan Nelson
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARIZ -12.5
1 → USU
CloseARIZ -11.5
1 pt toward USU
Total
Open155.5
▼ 2
Close153.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
USU +550 · ARIZ -800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARIZ -12.5 · closed ARIZ -11.5 · moved 1 toward USUmodel ARIZ -11.5 matches the line
model ARIZ -11.5 = line ✓
Opened 155.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 2 downmodel 157.5
model 157.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ARIZ -11.5 | ARIZ -11.6 | ARIZ +0.1 | W ARIZ covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 157.6 | Over 4.1 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | USU 73 · ARIZ 84.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ARIZ -6.8 | ARIZ -9.0 |
| 1H total | 73.6 | 57 |
| 1H projected score | USU 33.4 · ARIZ 40.2 | USU 24 · ARIZ 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| ARIZ | 10-0 100% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Utah State
34 games played
Straight up
28-6
82% wins
Against the spread
16-18
47% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-15
56% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs VCU | W 80-77 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs WEB | W 83-73 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTEP | W 75-51 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 21 | vs TULN | W 96-75 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DAV | W 94-60 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 29 | vs MTST | W 84-81 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 4 | @ USF | L 61-74 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | @ CLT | W 79-53 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 13 | vs ILST | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vs CSU | W 100-58 | -10.5 | W +31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | @ FRES | W 72-63 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vs SJSU | W 96-78 | -22.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 6 | @ AF | W 99-62 | -22.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 10 | @ BOIS | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 14 | vs NEV | W 71-62 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @ GCU | L 74-84 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 20 | vs UNLV | L 76-86 | -15.5 | L −25.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 23 | @CSU | W 65-61 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 28 | vs WYO | W 94-62 | -13.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vs SDSU | W 71-66 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 4 | @ UNM | W 86-66 | +1.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 7 | @WYO | W 85-83 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 10 | vsFRES | W 91-78 | -21.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | vs MEM | W 99-75 | -13.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 18 | vsBOIS | W 75-56 | -9.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 21 | @NEV | L 77-80 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 25 | @SDSU | L 72-89 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 28 | vsGCU | W 74-69 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 3 | @UNLV | L 65-92 | -7.5 | L −34.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Mar 7 | vsUNM | W 94-90 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | O 184 |
| Mar 12 | vsUNLV | W 80-60 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 156.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 13 | vsNEV | W 79-66 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 14 | vsSDSU | W 73-62 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Mar 20 | vs VILL | W 86-76 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
+0.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−12.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
+7.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+12.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+24.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
−14.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−10.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
+15.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
−3.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+31.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−5.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
−4.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+14.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+23.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−4.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
−15.5
20
vsUNLV
UNLVL 76-86
−25.5
23
@CSU
CSUW 65-61
−1.5
28
vsWYO
WYOW 94-62
+18.5
31
vsSDSU
SDSUW 71-66
−1.5
4
@UNM
UNMW 86-66
+21.5
7
@WYO
WYOW 85-83
−7.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 91-78
−8.5
14
vsMEM
MEMW 99-75
+10.5
18
vsBOIS
BOISW 75-56
+9.5
21
@NEV
NEVL 77-80
−8.5
25
@SDSU
SDSUL 72-89
−18.5
28
vsGCU
GCUW 74-69
−4.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 65-92
−34.5
7
vsUNM
UNMW 94-90
−3.5
12
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-60
+11.5
13
vsNEV
NEVW 79-66
+6.5
14
vsSDSU
SDSUW 73-62
+8.5
20
vsVILL
VILLW 86-76
+8.5
covered 16didn’t cover 18avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
−6.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−0.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
−23.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+19.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+6.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
+16.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−27.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
−7.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
+12.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+10.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−19.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
+22.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+21.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+11.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−14.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
+7.5
20
vsUNLV
UNLVL 76-86
+5.5
23
@CSU
CSUW 65-61
−23.5
28
vsWYO
WYOW 94-62
+7.5
31
vsSDSU
SDSUW 71-66
−10.5
4
@UNM
UNMW 86-66
−4.5
7
@WYO
WYOW 85-83
+18.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 91-78
+16.5
14
vsMEM
MEMW 99-75
+18.5
18
vsBOIS
BOISW 75-56
−20.5
21
@NEV
NEVL 77-80
+10.5
25
@SDSU
SDSUL 72-89
+14.5
28
vsGCU
GCUW 74-69
−4.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 65-92
+0.5
7
vsUNM
UNMW 94-90
+28.5
12
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-60
−16.5
13
vsNEV
NEVW 79-66
−0.5
14
vsSDSU
SDSUW 73-62
−10.5
20
vsVILL
VILLW 86-76
+15.5
over 19under 15avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arizona
35 games played
Straight up
33-2
94% wins
Against the spread
20-15
57% covers · avg +3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-17
51% overs · avg −2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FLA | W 93-87 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | vs UTU | W 93-67 | -33.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 11 | vs NAU | W 84-49 | -35.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 14 | vs UCLA | W 69-65 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ CONN | W 71-67 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs DEN | W 103-73 | -32.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs NORF | W 98-61 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs AUB | W 97-68 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs ALA | W 96-75 | -2.5 | W +18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
| Dec 16 | vs ACU | W 96-62 | -34.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 20 | vsSDSU | W 68-45 | -13.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 22 | vs BCU | W 107-71 | -39.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 29 | vs SDST | W 99-71 | -31.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 3 | @ UTAH | W 97-78 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 7 | vs KSU | W 101-76 | -17.5 | W +7.5 | 171.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @ TCU | W 86-73 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 14 | vs ASU | W 89-82 | -21.5 | L −14.5 | 167.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | @ UCF | W 84-77 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 21 | vs CIN | W 77-51 | -13.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | vs WVU | W 88-53 | -17.5 | W +17.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 26 | @ BYU | W 86-83 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 31 | @ASU | W 87-74 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 161 |
| Feb 7 | vs OKST | W 84-47 | -20.5 | W +16.5 | 168.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 9 | @ KU | L 78-82 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | vs TTU | L 75-78 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 18 | vsBYU | W 75-68 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 21 | @ HOU | W 73-66 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 24 | @ BAY | W 87-80 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 28 | vsKU | W 84-61 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 2 | vs ISU | W 73-57 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 7 | @ COLO | W 89-79 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 12 | vsUCF | W 81-59 | -15.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 13 | vsISU | W 82-80 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Mar 14 | vsHOU | W 79-74 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 153 |
| Mar 20 | vs LIU | W 92-58 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+9.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−7.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−0.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
+2.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
+8.5
24
vsDEN
DENW 103-73
−2.5
29
vsNORF
NORFW 98-61
+1.5
6
vsAUB
AUBW 97-68
+17.5
13
vsALA
ALAW 96-75
+18.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 96-62
−0.5
20
vsSDSU
SDSUW 68-45
+9.5
22
vsBCU
BCUW 107-71
−3.5
29
vsSDST
SDSTW 99-71
−3.5
3
@UTAH
UTAHW 97-78
+1.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 101-76
+7.5
10
@TCU
TCUW 86-73
+5.5
14
vsASU
ASUW 89-82
−14.5
17
@UCF
UCFW 84-77
−2.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 77-51
+12.5
24
vsWVU
WVUW 88-53
+17.5
26
@BYU
BYUW 86-83
+1.5
31
@ASU
ASUW 87-74
−1.5
7
vsOKST
OKSTW 84-47
+16.5
9
@KU
KUL 78-82
−9.5
14
vsTTU
TTUL 75-78
−11.5
18
vsBYU
BYUW 75-68
−4.5
21
@HOU
HOUW 73-66
+13.5
24
@BAY
BAYW 87-80
−0.5
28
vsKU
KUW 84-61
+13.5
2
vsISU
ISUW 73-57
+8.5
7
@COLO
COLOW 89-79
−3.5
12
vsUCF
UCFW 81-59
+6.5
13
vsISU
ISUW 82-80
−1.5
14
vsHOU
HOUW 79-74
+3.5
20
vsLIU
LIUW 92-58
+3.5
covered 20didn’t cover 15avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+15.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−2.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−30.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
−19.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
−18.5
24
vsDEN
DENW 103-73
+21.5
29
vsNORF
NORFW 98-61
+12.5
6
vsAUB
AUBW 97-68
+2.5
13
vsALA
ALAW 96-75
−7.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 96-62
+12.5
20
vsSDSU
SDSUW 68-45
−40.5
22
vsBCU
BCUW 107-71
+23.5
29
vsSDST
SDSTW 99-71
+10.5
3
@UTAH
UTAHW 97-78
+12.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 101-76
+5.5
10
@TCU
TCUW 86-73
+1.5
14
vsASU
ASUW 89-82
+3.5
17
@UCF
UCFW 84-77
−4.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 77-51
−24.5
24
vsWVU
WVUW 88-53
−2.5
26
@BYU
BYUW 86-83
+2.5
31
@ASU
ASUW 87-74
−2.5
7
vsOKST
OKSTW 84-47
−37.5
9
@KU
KUL 78-82
+7.5
14
vsTTU
TTUL 75-78
−3.5
18
vsBYU
BYUW 75-68
−22.5
21
@HOU
HOUW 73-66
−3.5
24
@BAY
BAYW 87-80
+11.5
28
vsKU
KUW 84-61
−6.5
2
vsISU
ISUW 73-57
−19.5
7
@COLO
COLOW 89-79
+11.5
12
vsUCF
UCFW 81-59
−19.5
13
vsISU
ISUW 82-80
+17.5
14
vsHOU
HOUW 79-74
+14.5
20
vsLIU
LIUW 92-58
+2.5
over 18under 17avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Utah State
28-6 overall · 18-5 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Villanova86–76
- Wvs San Diego St73–62
- Wvs Nevada79–66
- Wvs UNLV80–60
- Wvs New Mexico94–90
2 days since their last game.
Arizona
33-2 overall · 19-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Long Island92–58
- Wvs Houston79–74
- Wvs Iowa State82–80
- Wvs UCF81–59
- W@ Colorado89–79
2 days since their last game.