Viejas Arena · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
USU -1.5✓ USU covered by 8.5
USU -1.5✓ USU covered by 8.5Closing total146.5Over by 15.5
| USU | This season | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| 27-6 | Record | 24-8 |
| 15-18 | ATS | 19-13 |
| 18-15 | O/U | 19-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USU 75–75 VILL · ✗ VILL (50%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 37 | 49 | 86 |
| VILL | 39 | 37 | 76 |
1st half: USU 37, VILL 39 (VILL by 2). The model had USU by 0.1 and a total of 70.1 (actual 76).
Team stats
| USU | VILL | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-51 55% | Field goals | 28-63 44% |
| 2-16 13% | 3-pointers | 14-30 47% |
| 28-36 78% | Free throws | 6-13 46% |
| 37 9 off | Rebounds | 27 10 off |
| 19 | Assists | 16 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 0 | Blocks | 0 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 21 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| USU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Collins Jr. G | 36 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 7-12 | 1-4 |
| Mason Falslev G | 35 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 9-16 | 0-3 |
| Drake Allen G | 33 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Adlan Elamin F | 30 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-4 |
| Zach Keller F | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Karson Templin F | 24 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Garry Clark F | 15 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Kolby King G | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Perryman G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tucker Anderson, David Iweze, Jordy Barnes, Luke Kearney, Kingston Tosi, Brayden Boe
| VILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Perkins G | 38 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 5-13 | 3-7 |
| Bryce Lindsay G | 37 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 9-18 | 6-11 |
| Acaden Lewis G | 37 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 3-12 | 1-4 |
| Duke Brennan F | 34 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Malachi Palmer G | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devin Askew G | 25 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Braden Pierce C | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chris Jeffrey G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nico Onyekwere, Wade Chiddick, Matt Hodge, Zion Stanford, Malcolm Flaggs, Tafara Gapare
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSU -1.5
no move
CloseUSU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▼ 1
Close146.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
USU -125 · VILL +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USU -1.5 · unchangedmodel VILL -0
model VILL -0
Opened 147.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 downmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USU -1.5 | VILL -0.1 | VILL +1.6 | L USU covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 149.9 | Over 3.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | USU 74.9 · VILL 75 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USU -0.1 | VILL -2.0 |
| 1H total | 70.1 | 76 |
| 1H projected score | USU 35.1 · VILL 35 | USU 37 · VILL 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| VILL | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Utah State
33 games played
Straight up
27-6
82% wins
Against the spread
15-18
45% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-15
55% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs VCU | W 80-77 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs WEB | W 83-73 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTEP | W 75-51 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 21 | vs TULN | W 96-75 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DAV | W 94-60 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 29 | vs MTST | W 84-81 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 4 | @ USF | L 61-74 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | @ CLT | W 79-53 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 13 | vs ILST | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vs CSU | W 100-58 | -10.5 | W +31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | @ FRES | W 72-63 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vs SJSU | W 96-78 | -22.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 6 | @ AF | W 99-62 | -22.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 10 | @ BOIS | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 14 | vs NEV | W 71-62 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @ GCU | L 74-84 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 20 | vs UNLV | L 76-86 | -15.5 | L −25.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 23 | @CSU | W 65-61 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 28 | vs WYO | W 94-62 | -13.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vs SDSU | W 71-66 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 4 | @ UNM | W 86-66 | +1.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 7 | @WYO | W 85-83 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 10 | vsFRES | W 91-78 | -21.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | vs MEM | W 99-75 | -13.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 18 | vsBOIS | W 75-56 | -9.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 21 | @NEV | L 77-80 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 25 | @SDSU | L 72-89 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 28 | vsGCU | W 74-69 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 3 | @UNLV | L 65-92 | -7.5 | L −34.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Mar 7 | vsUNM | W 94-90 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | O 184 |
| Mar 12 | vsUNLV | W 80-60 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 156.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 13 | vsNEV | W 79-66 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 14 | vsSDSU | W 73-62 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
+0.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−12.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
+7.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+12.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+24.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
−14.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−10.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
+15.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
−3.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+31.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−5.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
−4.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+14.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+23.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−4.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
−15.5
20
vsUNLV
UNLVL 76-86
−25.5
23
@CSU
CSUW 65-61
−1.5
28
vsWYO
WYOW 94-62
+18.5
31
vsSDSU
SDSUW 71-66
−1.5
4
@UNM
UNMW 86-66
+21.5
7
@WYO
WYOW 85-83
−7.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 91-78
−8.5
14
vsMEM
MEMW 99-75
+10.5
18
vsBOIS
BOISW 75-56
+9.5
21
@NEV
NEVL 77-80
−8.5
25
@SDSU
SDSUL 72-89
−18.5
28
vsGCU
GCUW 74-69
−4.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 65-92
−34.5
7
vsUNM
UNMW 94-90
−3.5
12
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-60
+11.5
13
vsNEV
NEVW 79-66
+6.5
14
vsSDSU
SDSUW 73-62
+8.5
covered 15didn’t cover 18avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
−6.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−0.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
−23.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+19.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+6.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
+16.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−27.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
−7.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
+12.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+10.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−19.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
+22.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+21.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+11.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−14.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
+7.5
20
vsUNLV
UNLVL 76-86
+5.5
23
@CSU
CSUW 65-61
−23.5
28
vsWYO
WYOW 94-62
+7.5
31
vsSDSU
SDSUW 71-66
−10.5
4
@UNM
UNMW 86-66
−4.5
7
@WYO
WYOW 85-83
+18.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 91-78
+16.5
14
vsMEM
MEMW 99-75
+18.5
18
vsBOIS
BOISW 75-56
−20.5
21
@NEV
NEVL 77-80
+10.5
25
@SDSU
SDSUL 72-89
+14.5
28
vsGCU
GCUW 74-69
−4.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 65-92
+0.5
7
vsUNM
UNMW 94-90
+28.5
12
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-60
−16.5
13
vsNEV
NEVW 79-66
−0.5
14
vsSDSU
SDSUW 73-62
−10.5
over 18under 15avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Villanova
32 games played
Straight up
24-8
75% wins
Against the spread
19-13
59% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-13
59% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BYU | L 66-71 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs QUC | W 94-74 | -17.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs SHU | W 94-60 | -19.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs DUQ | W 87-77 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ LAS | W 70-55 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 25 | vs ODU | W 89-75 | -22.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 1 | vs TEM | W 74-56 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 6 | vs PENN | W 90-63 | -18.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 9 | @ MICH | L 61-89 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs PITT | W 79-61 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 19 | vs WIS | W 76-66 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 23 | @ HALL | W 64-56 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 31 | vs DEP | W 71-66 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @ BTLR | W 85-67 | +2.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 7 | vs CREI | L 72-76 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | @ MARQ | W 76-73 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 13 | @ PROV | W 88-82 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 17 | vs SJU | L 79-86 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 21 | vs GTWN | W 66-51 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 24 | @ CONN | L 67-75 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 30 | vsPROV | W 87-73 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 4 | vsHALL | W 72-60 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 134.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 7 | @GTWN | W 80-73 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 10 | vsMARQ | W 77-74 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 14 | @CREI | W 80-69 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 17 | @ XAV | W 92-89 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 181 |
| Feb 21 | vsCONN | L 63-73 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 25 | vsBTLR | W 82-73 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 28 | @SJU | L 57-89 | +7.5 | L −24.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 4 | @DEP | W 76-57 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 135.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 7 | vsXAV | W 91-78 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Mar 12 | vsGTWN | L 64-78 | -7.5 | L −21.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
+4.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+2.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
+14.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
−0.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
+2.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
−8.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
+3.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+8.5
9
@MICH
MICHL 61-89
−10.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 79-61
+7.5
19
vsWIS
WISW 76-66
+13.5
23
@HALL
HALLW 64-56
+9.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 71-66
−7.5
3
@BTLR
BTLRW 85-67
+20.5
7
vsCREI
CREIL 72-76
−8.5
10
@MARQ
MARQW 76-73
−0.5
13
@PROV
PROVW 88-82
+3.5
17
vsSJU
SJUL 79-86
−4.5
21
vsGTWN
GTWNW 66-51
+6.5
24
@CONN
CONNL 67-75
+3.5
30
vsPROV
PROVW 87-73
+5.5
4
vsHALL
HALLW 72-60
+6.5
7
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-73
+4.5
10
vsMARQ
MARQW 77-74
−6.5
14
@CREI
CREIW 80-69
+9.5
17
@XAV
XAVW 92-89
−1.5
21
vsCONN
CONNL 63-73
−6.5
25
vsBTLR
BTLRW 82-73
−1.5
28
@SJU
SJUL 57-89
−24.5
4
@DEP
DEPW 76-57
+17.5
7
vsXAV
XAVW 91-78
+1.5
12
vsGTWN
GTWNL 64-78
−21.5
covered 19didn’t cover 13avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
−16.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+17.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
−6.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
+12.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
−19.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
+16.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
−16.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+2.5
9
@MICH
MICHL 61-89
−6.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 79-61
+1.5
19
vsWIS
WISW 76-66
−10.5
23
@HALL
HALLW 64-56
−15.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 71-66
−2.5
3
@BTLR
BTLRW 85-67
+2.5
7
vsCREI
CREIL 72-76
+5.5
10
@MARQ
MARQW 76-73
+2.5
13
@PROV
PROVW 88-82
+13.5
17
vsSJU
SJUL 79-86
+17.5
21
vsGTWN
GTWNW 66-51
−25.5
24
@CONN
CONNL 67-75
+4.5
30
vsPROV
PROVW 87-73
+2.5
4
vsHALL
HALLW 72-60
−2.5
7
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-73
+12.5
10
vsMARQ
MARQW 77-74
+6.5
14
@CREI
CREIW 80-69
+3.5
17
@XAV
XAVW 92-89
+28.5
21
vsCONN
CONNL 63-73
−5.5
25
vsBTLR
BTLRW 82-73
+7.5
28
@SJU
SJUL 57-89
−1.5
4
@DEP
DEPW 76-57
−2.5
7
vsXAV
XAVW 91-78
+15.5
12
vsGTWN
GTWNL 64-78
+1.5
over 19under 13avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Utah State
27-6 overall · 18-5 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs San Diego St73–62
- Wvs Nevada79–66
- Wvs UNLV80–60
- Wvs New Mexico94–90
- L@ UNLV65–92
6 days since their last game.
Villanova
24-8 overall · 15-6 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Georgetown64–78
- Wvs Xavier91–78
- W@ DePaul76–57
- L@ St John's57–89
- Wvs Butler82–73
A week or more of rest.