T-Mobile Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
ARIZ -3.5✓ ISU covered by 1.5
Closing total144.5Over by 17.5
| This season | ARIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-6 | Record | 30-2 |
| 19-14 | ATS | 18-14 |
| 13-20 | O/U | 15-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ISU 73–76 ARIZ · ✓ ARIZ (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISU | 43 | 37 | 80 |
| ARIZ | 37 | 45 | 82 |
1st half: ISU 43, ARIZ 37 (ISU by 6). The model had ARIZ by 1.7 and a total of 69.9 (actual 80).
Team stats
| ISU | ARIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-66 47% | Field goals | 32-58 55% |
| 14-31 45% | 3-pointers | 8-16 50% |
| 4-8 50% | Free throws | 10-16 63% |
| 34 15 off | Rebounds | 33 11 off |
| 14 | Assists | 19 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| ISU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milan Momcilovic F | 36 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 10-18 | 8-14 |
| Joshua Jefferson F | 33 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 9-17 | 3-7 |
| Tamin Lipsey G | 31 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 2-11 | 1-5 |
| Killyan Toure G | 27 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5-9 | 2-3 |
| Blake Buchanan F | 25 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nate Heise G | 23 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Dominykas Pleta F | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jamarion Batemon G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Anthony Rise, Dominick Nelson, Mason Williams, Cade Kelderman, Eric Mulder, Xzavion Mitchell
| ARIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Kharchenkov F | 32 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 6-9 | 2-3 |
| Jaden Bradley G | 31 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6-11 | 0-0 |
| Motiejus Krivas C | 27 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Koa Peat F | 26 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Brayden Burries G | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0-7 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Dell'Orso G | 29 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 10-14 | 6-9 |
| Tobe Awaka F | 27 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Dwayne Aristode F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mabil Mawut, Sidi Gueye, Sven Djopmo, Jackson Cook, Jackson Francois, Bryce James, Addison Arnold, Evan Nelson
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARIZ -4.5
1 → ISU
CloseARIZ -3.5
1 pt toward ISU
Total
Open142.5
▲ 2
Close144.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
ISU +142 · ARIZ -170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARIZ -4.5 · closed ARIZ -3.5 · moved 1 toward ISUmodel ARIZ -3
model ARIZ -3
Opened 142.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 2 upmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ARIZ -3.5 | ARIZ -3.1 | ISU +0.4 | W ISU covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 149.4 | Over 4.9 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | ISU 73.1 · ARIZ 76.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ARIZ -1.7 | ISU -6.0 |
| 1H total | 69.9 | 80 |
| 1H projected score | ISU 34.1 · ARIZ 35.8 | ISU 43 · ARIZ 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | |
| 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ISU 1–2 ARIZARIZ leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · ISU 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025-26 | ISU 57 @ ARIZ 73 | ARIZ -7.5 | ARIZ W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | ARIZ 67 @ ISU 84 | ISU -5.5 | ISU W |
| Jan 27, 2024-25 | ISU 75 @ ARIZ 86 | ARIZ -2.5 | ARIZ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Iowa State
33 games played
Straight up
27-6
82% wins
Against the spread
19-14
58% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-20
39% overs · avg −3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 88-50 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 6 | vs | W 102-62 | -33.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 10 | vs | W 96-80 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 96-57 | -40.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 83-82 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 78-60 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 95-64 | -10.5 | W +20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 132-68 | -42.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | O 200 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 81-58 | +4.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 11 | vs | W 66-62 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs | W 78-53 | -43.5 | L −18.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 91-60 | -37.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 89-61 | -35.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 2 | vs | W 80-59 | -16.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 7 | @ | W 70-60 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 83-71 | -19.5 | L −7.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 13 | @ | L 63-84 | -3.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 70-79 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 20 | vs | W 87-57 | -14.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 84-71 | -10.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 29 | vs | W 97-67 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 1 | @ | W 95-61 | -12.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 72-69 | -14.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 10 | @ | L 55-62 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 74-56 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 16 | vs | W 70-67 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 137 |
| Feb 21 | @ | L 69-79 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 24 | @ | W 75-59 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 28 | vs | L 73-82 | -10.5 | L −19.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 2 | @ | L 57-73 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 7 | vs | W 86-65 | -16.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Mar 11 | vs | W 91-42 | -13.5 | W +35.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 12 | vs | W 75-53 | -7.5 | W +14.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
FDU
W 88-50
+0.5
6
vs
GRAM
W 102-62
+6.5
10
vs
MSST
W 96-80
+10.5
17
vs
STO
W 96-57
−1.5
24
vs
SJU
W 83-82
−1.5
25
vs
CREI
W 78-60
+8.5
26
vs
SYR
W 95-64
+20.5
3
vs
ALCN
W 132-68
+21.5
6
@
PUR
W 81-58
+27.5
11
vs
IOWA
W 66-62
−7.5
14
vs
EIU
W 78-53
−18.5
21
vs
LBSU
W 91-60
−6.5
29
vs
HCU
W 89-61
−7.5
2
vs
WVU
W 80-59
+4.5
7
@
BAY
W 70-60
+6.5
10
vs
OKST
W 83-71
−7.5
13
@
KU
L 63-84
−24.5
17
@
CIN
L 70-79
−14.5
20
vs
UCF
W 87-57
+15.5
24
@
OKST
W 84-71
+2.5
29
vs
COLO
W 97-67
+12.5
1
@
KSU
W 95-61
+21.5
7
vs
BAY
W 72-69
−11.5
10
@
TCU
L 55-62
−14.5
14
vs
KU
W 74-56
+10.5
16
vs
HOU
W 70-67
+0.5
21
@
BYU
L 69-79
−12.5
24
@
UTAH
W 75-59
+1.5
28
vs
TTU
L 73-82
−19.5
2
@
ARIZ
L 57-73
−8.5
7
vs
ASU
W 86-65
+4.5
11
vs
ASU
W 91-42
+35.5
12
vs
TTU
W 75-53
+14.5
covered 19didn’t cover 14avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
FDU
W 88-50
−9.5
6
vs
GRAM
W 102-62
+19.5
10
vs
MSST
W 96-80
+25.5
17
vs
STO
W 96-57
+6.5
24
vs
SJU
W 83-82
+6.5
25
vs
CREI
W 78-60
−14.5
26
vs
SYR
W 95-64
+13.5
3
vs
ALCN
W 132-68
+48.5
6
@
PUR
W 81-58
−15.5
11
vs
IOWA
W 66-62
−13.5
14
vs
EIU
W 78-53
−13.5
21
vs
LBSU
W 91-60
+1.5
29
vs
HCU
W 89-61
+4.5
2
vs
WVU
W 80-59
−3.5
7
@
BAY
W 70-60
−25.5
10
vs
OKST
W 83-71
−11.5
13
@
KU
L 63-84
−5.5
17
@
CIN
L 70-79
+7.5
20
vs
UCF
W 87-57
−12.5
24
@
OKST
W 84-71
−7.5
29
vs
COLO
W 97-67
+11.5
1
@
KSU
W 95-61
−0.5
7
vs
BAY
W 72-69
−10.5
10
@
TCU
L 55-62
−30.5
14
vs
KU
W 74-56
−17.5
16
vs
HOU
W 70-67
+2.5
21
@
BYU
L 69-79
−6.5
24
@
UTAH
W 75-59
−10.5
28
vs
TTU
L 73-82
+9.5
2
@
ARIZ
L 57-73
−19.5
7
vs
ASU
W 86-65
+2.5
11
vs
ASU
W 91-42
−15.5
12
vs
TTU
W 75-53
−15.5
over 13under 20avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arizona
32 games played
Straight up
30-2
94% wins
Against the spread
18-14
56% covers · avg +3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-17
47% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 93-87 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 93-67 | -33.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 84-49 | -35.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 69-65 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ | W 71-67 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 103-73 | -32.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 98-61 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 97-68 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 96-75 | -2.5 | W +18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
| Dec 16 | vs | W 96-62 | -34.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 68-45 | -13.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 107-71 | -39.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 99-71 | -31.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 97-78 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 7 | vs | W 101-76 | -17.5 | W +7.5 | 171.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 86-73 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 89-82 | -21.5 | L −14.5 | 167.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 84-77 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 21 | vs | W 77-51 | -13.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 88-53 | -17.5 | W +17.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 26 | @ | W 86-83 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 31 | @ | W 87-74 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 161 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 84-47 | -20.5 | W +16.5 | 168.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 9 | @ | L 78-82 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | vs | L 75-78 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 18 | vs | W 75-68 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 21 | @ | W 73-66 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 24 | @ | W 87-80 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 28 | vs | W 84-61 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 2 | vs | W 73-57 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 7 | @ | W 89-79 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 12 | vs | W 81-59 | -15.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
FLA
W 93-87
+9.5
7
vs
UTU
W 93-67
−7.5
11
vs
NAU
W 84-49
−0.5
14
vs
UCLA
W 69-65
+2.5
19
@
CONN
W 71-67
+8.5
24
vs
DEN
W 103-73
−2.5
29
vs
NORF
W 98-61
+1.5
6
vs
AUB
W 97-68
+17.5
13
vs
ALA
W 96-75
+18.5
16
vs
ACU
W 96-62
−0.5
20
vs
SDSU
W 68-45
+9.5
22
vs
BCU
W 107-71
−3.5
29
vs
SDST
W 99-71
−3.5
3
@
UTAH
W 97-78
+1.5
7
vs
KSU
W 101-76
+7.5
10
@
TCU
W 86-73
+5.5
14
vs
ASU
W 89-82
−14.5
17
@
UCF
W 84-77
−2.5
21
vs
CIN
W 77-51
+12.5
24
vs
WVU
W 88-53
+17.5
26
@
BYU
W 86-83
+1.5
31
@
ASU
W 87-74
−1.5
7
vs
OKST
W 84-47
+16.5
9
@
KU
L 78-82
−9.5
14
vs
TTU
L 75-78
−11.5
18
vs
BYU
W 75-68
−4.5
21
@
HOU
W 73-66
+13.5
24
@
BAY
W 87-80
−0.5
28
vs
KU
W 84-61
+13.5
2
vs
ISU
W 73-57
+8.5
7
@
COLO
W 89-79
−3.5
12
vs
UCF
W 81-59
+6.5
covered 18didn’t cover 14avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
FLA
W 93-87
+15.5
7
vs
UTU
W 93-67
−2.5
11
vs
NAU
W 84-49
−30.5
14
vs
UCLA
W 69-65
−19.5
19
@
CONN
W 71-67
−18.5
24
vs
DEN
W 103-73
+21.5
29
vs
NORF
W 98-61
+12.5
6
vs
AUB
W 97-68
+2.5
13
vs
ALA
W 96-75
−7.5
16
vs
ACU
W 96-62
+12.5
20
vs
SDSU
W 68-45
−40.5
22
vs
BCU
W 107-71
+23.5
29
vs
SDST
W 99-71
+10.5
3
@
UTAH
W 97-78
+12.5
7
vs
KSU
W 101-76
+5.5
10
@
TCU
W 86-73
+1.5
14
vs
ASU
W 89-82
+3.5
17
@
UCF
W 84-77
−4.5
21
vs
CIN
W 77-51
−24.5
24
vs
WVU
W 88-53
−2.5
26
@
BYU
W 86-83
+2.5
31
@
ASU
W 87-74
−2.5
7
vs
OKST
W 84-47
−37.5
9
@
KU
L 78-82
+7.5
14
vs
TTU
L 75-78
−3.5
18
vs
BYU
W 75-68
−22.5
21
@
HOU
W 73-66
−3.5
24
@
BAY
W 87-80
+11.5
28
vs
KU
W 84-61
−6.5
2
vs
ISU
W 73-57
−19.5
7
@
COLO
W 89-79
+11.5
12
vs
UCF
W 81-59
−19.5
over 15under 17avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Iowa State
27-6 overall · 14-6 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Texas Tech75–53
- Wvs Arizona St91–42
- Wvs Arizona St86–65
- L@ Arizona57–73
- Lvs Texas Tech73–82
1 day since their last game.
Arizona
30-2 overall · 17-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UCF81–59
- W@ Colorado89–79
- Wvs Iowa State73–57
- Wvs Kansas84–61
- W@ Baylor87–80
1 day since their last game.