Viejas Arena · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
SJU -3.5✓ KU covered by 1.5
SJU -3.5✓ KU covered by 1.5Closing total144.5Under by 12.5
| SJU | This season | KU |
|---|---|---|
| 29-6 | Record | 24-10 |
| 21-14 | ATS | 20-14 |
| 13-22 | O/U | 11-23 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SJU 76–72 KU · ✓ SJU (64%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJU | 34 | 33 | 67 |
| KU | 26 | 39 | 65 |
1st half: SJU 34, KU 26 (SJU by 8). The model had SJU by 2.6 and a total of 69.3 (actual 60).
Team stats
| SJU | KU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-69 36% | Field goals | 24-54 44% |
| 11-35 31% | 3-pointers | 5-14 36% |
| 6-11 55% | Free throws | 12-17 71% |
| 36 11 off | Rebounds | 44 9 off |
| 12 | Assists | 9 |
| 7 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 9 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| SJU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Mitchell F | 35 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Bryce Hopkins F | 34 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 6-13 | 6-9 |
| Zuby Ejiofor F | 34 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 6-14 | 0-4 |
| Oziyah Sellers G | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Dylan Darling G | 18 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ian Jackson G | 20 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-12 | 2-7 |
| Joson Sanon G | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-8 | 1-5 |
| Ruben Prey F | 13 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Lefteris Liotopoulos G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Sadiku Ibine Ayo F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kelvin Odih, Handje Tamba, Casper Pohto, Fotis Konstantinidis, Imran Suljanovic
| KU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Council Jr. G | 39 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 6-15 | 1-3 |
| Darryn Peterson G | 36 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 5-15 | 3-8 |
| Flory Bidunga F | 31 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Tre White G | 28 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Bryson Tiller F | 27 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Paul Mbiya C | 13 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Elmarko Jackson G | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Kohl Rosario G | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Jamari McDowell G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Justin Cross, Will Thengvall, Wilder Evers, Samis Calderon, Jayden Dawson, Nginyu Ngala, Corbin Allen
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSJU -3.5
ModelSJU -4.2
Model edgeSJU +0.7
L KU covered
Total
Market144.5
Model148.1
Model edgeOver 3.6
L Under
Projected score
SJU 76.2 · KU 72
SJU 67 · KU 65
Win probability
SJU 64%
1st half
Spread
SJU -2.6
SJU -8.0
Total
69.3
60 points
Projected score
SJU 35.9 · KU 33.3
SJU 34 · KU 26
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSJU -2.5
1 → SJU
CloseSJU -3.5
1 pt toward SJU
Total
Open143.5
▲ 1
Close144.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
SJU -175 · KU +145
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SJU -2.5 · closed SJU -3.5 · moved 1 toward SJUmodel SJU -4
model SJU -4
Opened 143.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 1 upmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJU | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 1-9 10% |
| KU | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SJU 0–1 KUKU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SJU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2021-22 | KU 95 @ SJU 75 | SJU +7 | KU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
St John's
35 games played
Straight up
29-6
83% wins
Against the spread
21-14
60% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-22
37% overs · avg −3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs QUIN | W 108-74 | -26.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 8 | vs ALA | L 96-103 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 15 | vs W&M | W 93-60 | -28.5 | W +4.5 | 179.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 20 | vs BUCK | W 97-49 | -28.5 | W +19.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 24 | vs ISU | L 82-83 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs BAY | W 96-81 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs AUB | L 74-85 | -4.5 | L −15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs MISS | W 63-58 | -13.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs IONA | W 91-64 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 16 | vs DEP | W 79-66 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | vs UK | L 66-78 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 23 | vs HARV | W 85-59 | -26.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 31 | @ GTWN | W 95-83 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 3 | vs PROV | L 71-77 | -14.5 | L −20.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 6 | @ BTLR | W 84-70 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | @ CREI | W 90-73 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 13 | vs MARQ | W 92-68 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 17 | @ VILL | W 86-79 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 20 | vs HALL | W 65-60 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 24 | @ XAV | W 88-83 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 28 | vsBTLR | W 92-70 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 158.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 3 | @DEP | W 68-56 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 6 | vs CONN | W 81-72 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 143.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 9 | vsXAV | W 87-82 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | @PROV | W 79-69 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 167.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 18 | @MARQ | W 76-70 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 21 | vsCREI | W 81-52 | -12.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 25 | @CONN | L 40-72 | +5.5 | L −26.5 | 145.5 | U 112 |
| Feb 28 | vsVILL | W 89-57 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 3 | vsGTWN | W 72-69 | -15.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 6 | @HALL | W 72-65 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Mar 12 | vsPROV | W 85-72 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 157 |
| Mar 13 | vsHALL | W 78-68 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Mar 14 | vsCONN | W 72-52 | +2.5 | W +22.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Mar 20 | vs UNI | W 79-53 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 133.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+7.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
−11.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
+4.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
+19.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+1.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+9.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−15.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−8.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−1.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−6.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−0.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+3.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−20.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
+9.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+14.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 92-68
+8.5
17
@VILL
VILLW 86-79
+4.5
20
vsHALL
HALLW 65-60
−6.5
24
@XAV
XAVW 88-83
−3.5
28
vsBTLR
BTLRW 92-70
+9.5
3
@DEP
DEPW 68-56
+2.5
6
vsCONN
CONNW 81-72
+10.5
9
vsXAV
XAVW 87-82
−11.5
14
@PROV
PROVW 79-69
+3.5
18
@MARQ
MARQW 76-70
−2.5
21
vsCREI
CREIW 81-52
+16.5
25
@CONN
CONNL 40-72
−26.5
28
vsVILL
VILLW 89-57
+24.5
3
vsGTWN
GTWNW 72-69
−12.5
6
@HALL
HALLW 72-65
+1.5
12
vsPROV
PROVW 85-72
+1.5
13
vsHALL
HALLW 78-68
+1.5
14
vsCONN
CONNW 72-52
+22.5
20
vsUNI
UNIW 79-53
+15.5
covered 21didn’t cover 14avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+25.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
+26.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
−26.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
−12.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+6.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+17.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−7.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−30.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−4.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−2.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−1.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+25.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−18.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
−8.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+10.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 92-68
+4.5
17
@VILL
VILLW 86-79
+17.5
20
vsHALL
HALLW 65-60
−20.5
24
@XAV
XAVW 88-83
+11.5
28
vsBTLR
BTLRW 92-70
+3.5
3
@DEP
DEPW 68-56
−21.5
6
vsCONN
CONNW 81-72
+9.5
9
vsXAV
XAVW 87-82
+9.5
14
@PROV
PROVW 79-69
−19.5
18
@MARQ
MARQW 76-70
−11.5
21
vsCREI
CREIW 81-52
−23.5
25
@CONN
CONNL 40-72
−33.5
28
vsVILL
VILLW 89-57
−1.5
3
vsGTWN
GTWNW 72-69
−7.5
6
@HALL
HALLW 72-65
−1.5
12
vsPROV
PROVW 85-72
−1.5
13
vsHALL
HALLW 78-68
+10.5
14
vsCONN
CONNW 72-52
−15.5
20
vsUNI
UNIW 79-53
−1.5
over 13under 22avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas
34 games played
Straight up
24-10
71% wins
Against the spread
20-14
59% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-23
32% overs · avg −4.1 pts vs the total
Against the spread
20-1459%
2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GB | W 94-51 | -30.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 7 | @ UNC | L 74-87 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs AMCC | W 77-46 | -25.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 15 | vs PRIN | W 76-57 | -22.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | vs DUKE | L 66-78 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 24 | vs ND | W 71-61 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs SYR | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs TENN | W 81-76 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 2 | vsCONN | L 56-61 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 7 | vs MIZ | W 80-60 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | @ NCSU | W 77-76 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 16 | vs TOW | W 73-49 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 22 | vs DAV | W 90-61 | -14.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 3 | @ UCF | L 75-81 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 6 | vs TCU | W 104-100 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 10 | @ WVU | L 75-86 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 13 | vsISU | W 84-63 | +3.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 16 | vsBAY | W 80-62 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 20 | @ COLO | W 75-69 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ KSU | W 86-62 | -4.5 | W +19.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 31 | vs BYU | W 90-82 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 2 | @ TTU | W 64-61 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 7 | vs UTAH | W 71-59 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 9 | vs ARIZ | W 82-78 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | @ISU | L 56-74 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 18 | @ OKST | W 81-69 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 21 | vs CIN | L 68-84 | -8.5 | L −24.5 | 139.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 23 | vs HOU | W 69-56 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 28 | @ARIZ | L 61-84 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 3 | @ ASU | L 60-70 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 7 | vsKSU | W 104-85 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 189 |
| Mar 12 | vsTCU | W 78-73 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Mar 13 | vsHOU | L 47-69 | +5.5 | L −16.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Mar 20 | vs CBU | W 68-60 | -14.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
+12.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 74-87
−10.5
11
vsAMCC
AMCCW 77-46
+5.5
15
vsPRIN
PRINW 76-57
−3.5
18
vsDUKE
DUKEL 66-78
−1.5
24
vsND
NDW 71-61
+4.5
25
vsSYR
SYRW 71-60
+6.5
26
vsTENN
TENNW 81-76
+12.5
2
vsCONN
CONNL 56-61
−1.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZW 80-60
+14.5
13
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
+2.5
16
vsTOW
TOWW 73-49
+9.5
22
vsDAV
DAVW 90-61
+14.5
3
@UCF
UCFL 75-81
−10.5
6
vsTCU
TCUW 104-100
−2.5
10
@WVU
WVUL 75-86
−13.5
13
vsISU
ISUW 84-63
+24.5
16
vsBAY
BAYW 80-62
+10.5
20
@COLO
COLOW 75-69
+1.5
24
@KSU
KSUW 86-62
+19.5
31
vsBYU
BYUW 90-82
+5.5
2
@TTU
TTUW 64-61
+6.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 71-59
−6.5
9
vsARIZ
ARIZW 82-78
+9.5
14
@ISU
ISUL 56-74
−10.5
18
@OKST
OKSTW 81-69
+4.5
21
vsCIN
CINL 68-84
−24.5
23
vsHOU
HOUW 69-56
+15.5
28
@ARIZ
ARIZL 61-84
−13.5
3
@ASU
ASUL 60-70
−15.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 104-85
+1.5
12
vsTCU
TCUW 78-73
+0.5
13
vsHOU
HOUL 47-69
−16.5
20
vsCBU
CBUW 68-60
−6.5
covered 20didn’t cover 14avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
−7.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 74-87
+1.5
11
vsAMCC
AMCCW 77-46
−22.5
15
vsPRIN
PRINW 76-57
−11.5
18
vsDUKE
DUKEL 66-78
−5.5
24
vsND
NDW 71-61
−11.5
25
vsSYR
SYRW 71-60
−13.5
26
vsTENN
TENNW 81-76
+16.5
2
vsCONN
CONNL 56-61
−24.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZW 80-60
−10.5
13
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
+4.5
16
vsTOW
TOWW 73-49
−15.5
22
vsDAV
DAVW 90-61
+11.5
3
@UCF
UCFL 75-81
−1.5
6
vsTCU
TCUW 104-100
+60.5
10
@WVU
WVUL 75-86
+21.5
13
vsISU
ISUW 84-63
−5.5
16
vsBAY
BAYW 80-62
−14.5
20
@COLO
COLOW 75-69
−11.5
24
@KSU
KSUW 86-62
−10.5
31
vsBYU
BYUW 90-82
+12.5
2
@TTU
TTUW 64-61
−30.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 71-59
−20.5
9
vsARIZ
ARIZW 82-78
+7.5
14
@ISU
ISUL 56-74
−17.5
18
@OKST
OKSTW 81-69
−8.5
21
vsCIN
CINL 68-84
+12.5
23
vsHOU
HOUW 69-56
−13.5
28
@ARIZ
ARIZL 61-84
−6.5
3
@ASU
ASUL 60-70
−21.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 104-85
+31.5
12
vsTCU
TCUW 78-73
+4.5
13
vsHOU
HOUL 47-69
−23.5
20
vsCBU
CBUW 68-60
−14.5
over 11under 23avg −4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
St John's
29-6 overall · 21-2 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Northern Iowa79–53
- Wvs UConn72–52
- Wvs Seton Hall78–68
- Wvs Providence85–72
- W@ Seton Hall72–65
2 days since their last game.
Kansas
24-10 overall · 13-7 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs CA Baptist68–60
- Lvs Houston47–69
- Wvs TCU78–73
- Wvs Kansas St104–85
- L@ Arizona St60–70
2 days since their last game.