Madison Square Garden · at St John's · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
SJU -11.5✓ SJU covered by 1.5
SJU -11.5✓ SJU covered by 1.5Closing total158.5Under by 1.5
 PROV | This season | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| 15-17 | Record | 25-6 |
| 19-13 | ATS | 17-14 |
| 22-10 | O/U | 12-19 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PROV 77–91 SJU · ✓ SJU (88%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROV | 27 | 45 | 72 |
| SJU | 48 | 37 | 85 |
1st half: PROV 27, SJU 48 (SJU by 21). The model had SJU by 8.0 and a total of 78.3 (actual 75).
Team stats
| PROV | SJU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-56 45% | Field goals | 33-77 43% |
| 5-14 36% | 3-pointers | 7-27 26% |
| 17-25 68% | Free throws | 12-17 71% |
| 30 4 off | Rebounds | 51 18 off |
| 4 | Assists | 18 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 19 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 23 |
Players
| PROV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Vaaks G | 36 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 7-12 | 5-9 |
| Ryan Mela G | 36 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 7-14 | 0-1 |
| Jaylin Sellers G | 36 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 6-17 | 0-4 |
| Jamier Jones G | 30 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse F | 19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cole Hargrove F | 22 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Corey Floyd Jr. G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Nilavan Daniels G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Peteris Pinnis F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jack Williams G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jason Edwards, Jaylen Harrell, Duncan Powell, Rich Barron, Daquan Davis
| SJU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oziyah Sellers G | 32 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 6-12 | 2-6 |
| Bryce Hopkins F | 28 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 6-10 | 1-4 |
| Dylan Darling G | 26 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-8 | 0-3 |
| Zuby Ejiofor F | 23 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 9-14 | 0-2 |
| Dillon Mitchell F | 14 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Joson Sanon G | 26 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2-9 | 2-7 |
| Ian Jackson G | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-4 |
| Ruben Prey F | 19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Sadiku Ibine Ayo F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Lefteris Liotopoulos G | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Imran Suljanovic, Fotis Konstantinidis, Casper Pohto, Kelvin Odih, Handje Tamba
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSJU -10.5
1 → SJU
CloseSJU -11.5
1 pt toward SJU
Total
Open160.5
▼ 2
Close158.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
PROV +625 · SJU -950
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SJU -10.5 · closed SJU -11.5 · moved 1 toward SJUmodel SJU -13.5
model SJU -13.5
Opened 160.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 2 downmodel 167.5
model 167.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SJU -11.5 | SJU -13.6 | SJU +2.1 | W SJU covered |
| Total | 158.5 | 167.7 | Over 9.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | PROV 77 · SJU 90.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SJU -8.0 | SJU -21.0 |
| 1H total | 78.3 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | PROV 35.2 · SJU 43.1 | PROV 27 · SJU 48 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROV | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| SJU | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
PROV 5–5 SJUSeries tied · 10 games since 2021-22 · PROV 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2025-26 | SJU 79 @ PROV 69 | PROV +6.5 | SJU W |
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | PROV 77 @ SJU 71 | SJU -14.5 | PROV W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | PROV 66 @ SJU 68 | SJU -13.5 | PROV W |
| Dec 20, 2024-25 | SJU 72 @ PROV 70 | PROV +5.5 | PROV W |
| Feb 13, 2023-24 | SJU 72 @ PROV 75 | PROV -1.5 | PROV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Providence
32 games played
Straight up
15-17
47% wins
Against the spread
19-13
59% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
22-10
69% overs · avg +8.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HC | W 89-79 | -23.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs VT | L 101-107 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | O 208 |
| Nov 11 | vs PENN | W 106-81 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 172.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 14 | @ COLO | L 88-97 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 18 | vs UNH | W 98-66 | -29.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs PSU | W 77-65 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs WIS | L 83-104 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs FLA | L 78-90 | +12.5 | W +0.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Dec 2 | vs FDU | W 94-64 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs URI | W 90-71 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vs BRWN | W 86-79 | -19.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | @ BTLR | L 110-113 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 223 |
| Dec 19 | vs HALL | L 67-72 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | @SJU | W 77-71 | +14.5 | W +20.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vs CONN | L 98-103 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 10 | @ XAV | L 84-97 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 165.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 13 | vs VILL | L 82-88 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 16 | vs CREI | W 93-88 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 19 | @ MARQ | L 104-105 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 167.5 | O 209 |
| Jan 24 | vs GTWN | L 78-81 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 27 | @CONN | L 81-87 | +15.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 30 | @VILL | L 73-87 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 4 | vsBTLR | W 97-87 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 168.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 7 | vs DEP | W 90-72 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 11 | @HALL | L 80-87 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 14 | vsSJU | L 69-79 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 167.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 21 | @DEP | W 71-68 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 25 | vsXAV | W 94-84 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 170.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 28 | @CREI | W 79-76 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 166.5 | U 155 |
| Mar 4 | vsMARQ | L 56-78 | -3.5 | L −25.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 7 | @GTWN | L 79-80 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 11 | vsBTLR | W 91-81 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHC
HCW 89-79
−13.5
8
vsVT
VTL 101-107
−8.5
11
vsPENN
PENNW 106-81
+5.5
14
@COLO
COLOL 88-97
−7.5
18
vsUNH
UNHW 98-66
+2.5
22
vsPSU
PSUW 77-65
+8.5
27
vsWIS
WISL 83-104
−14.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 78-90
+0.5
2
vsFDU
FDUW 94-64
+3.5
6
vsURI
URIW 90-71
+11.5
9
vsBRWN
BRWNW 86-79
−12.5
13
@BTLR
BTLRL 110-113
+0.5
19
vsHALL
HALLL 67-72
−6.5
3
@SJU
SJUW 77-71
+20.5
7
vsCONN
CONNL 98-103
+4.5
10
@XAV
XAVL 84-97
−14.5
13
vsVILL
VILLL 82-88
−3.5
16
vsCREI
CREIW 93-88
+7.5
19
@MARQ
MARQL 104-105
+1.5
24
vsGTWN
GTWNL 78-81
−8.5
27
@CONN
CONNL 81-87
+9.5
30
@VILL
VILLL 73-87
−5.5
4
vsBTLR
BTLRW 97-87
+7.5
7
vsDEP
DEPW 90-72
+13.5
11
@HALL
HALLL 80-87
−2.5
14
vsSJU
SJUL 69-79
−3.5
21
@DEP
DEPW 71-68
+5.5
25
vsXAV
XAVW 94-84
+4.5
28
@CREI
CREIW 79-76
+6.5
4
vsMARQ
MARQL 56-78
−25.5
7
@GTWN
GTWNL 79-80
+0.5
11
vsBTLR
BTLRW 91-81
+8.5
covered 19didn’t cover 13avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHC
HCW 89-79
+15.5
8
vsVT
VTL 101-107
+50.5
11
vsPENN
PENNW 106-81
+14.5
14
@COLO
COLOL 88-97
+21.5
18
vsUNH
UNHW 98-66
+2.5
22
vsPSU
PSUW 77-65
−23.5
27
vsWIS
WISL 83-104
+20.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 78-90
−1.5
2
vsFDU
FDUW 94-64
−4.5
6
vsURI
URIW 90-71
+1.5
9
vsBRWN
BRWNW 86-79
+19.5
13
@BTLR
BTLRL 110-113
+58.5
19
vsHALL
HALLL 67-72
−13.5
3
@SJU
SJUW 77-71
−18.5
7
vsCONN
CONNL 98-103
+48.5
10
@XAV
XAVL 84-97
+15.5
13
vsVILL
VILLL 82-88
+13.5
16
vsCREI
CREIW 93-88
+19.5
19
@MARQ
MARQL 104-105
+41.5
24
vsGTWN
GTWNL 78-81
−0.5
27
@CONN
CONNL 81-87
+15.5
30
@VILL
VILLL 73-87
+2.5
4
vsBTLR
BTLRW 97-87
+15.5
7
vsDEP
DEPW 90-72
+8.5
11
@HALL
HALLL 80-87
+16.5
14
vsSJU
SJUL 69-79
−19.5
21
@DEP
DEPW 71-68
−13.5
25
vsXAV
XAVW 94-84
+7.5
28
@CREI
CREIW 79-76
−11.5
4
vsMARQ
MARQL 56-78
−27.5
7
@GTWN
GTWNL 79-80
+0.5
11
vsBTLR
BTLRW 91-81
+9.5
over 22under 10avg +8.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
St John's
31 games played
Straight up
25-6
81% wins
Against the spread
17-14
55% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-19
39% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs QUIN | W 108-74 | -26.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 8 | vs ALA | L 96-103 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 15 | vs W&M | W 93-60 | -28.5 | W +4.5 | 179.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 20 | vs BUCK | W 97-49 | -28.5 | W +19.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 24 | vs ISU | L 82-83 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs BAY | W 96-81 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs AUB | L 74-85 | -4.5 | L −15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs MISS | W 63-58 | -13.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs IONA | W 91-64 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 16 | vsDEP | W 79-66 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | vs UK | L 66-78 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 23 | vs HARV | W 85-59 | -26.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 31 | @GTWN | W 95-83 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 3 | vsPROV | L 71-77 | -14.5 | L −20.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 6 | @BTLR | W 84-70 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | @CREI | W 90-73 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 13 | vsMARQ | W 92-68 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 17 | @VILL | W 86-79 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 20 | vsHALL | W 65-60 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 24 | @XAV | W 88-83 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 28 | vsBTLR | W 92-70 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 158.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 3 | @DEP | W 68-56 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 6 | vsCONN | W 81-72 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 143.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 9 | vsXAV | W 87-82 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | @PROV | W 79-69 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 167.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 18 | @MARQ | W 76-70 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 21 | vsCREI | W 81-52 | -12.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 25 | @CONN | L 40-72 | +5.5 | L −26.5 | 145.5 | U 112 |
| Feb 28 | vsVILL | W 89-57 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 3 | vsGTWN | W 72-69 | -15.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 6 | @HALL | W 72-65 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+7.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
−11.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
+4.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
+19.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+1.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+9.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−15.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−8.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−1.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−6.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−0.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+3.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−20.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
+9.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+14.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 92-68
+8.5
17
@VILL
VILLW 86-79
+4.5
20
vsHALL
HALLW 65-60
−6.5
24
@XAV
XAVW 88-83
−3.5
28
vsBTLR
BTLRW 92-70
+9.5
3
@DEP
DEPW 68-56
+2.5
6
vsCONN
CONNW 81-72
+10.5
9
vsXAV
XAVW 87-82
−11.5
14
@PROV
PROVW 79-69
+3.5
18
@MARQ
MARQW 76-70
−2.5
21
vsCREI
CREIW 81-52
+16.5
25
@CONN
CONNL 40-72
−26.5
28
vsVILL
VILLW 89-57
+24.5
3
vsGTWN
GTWNW 72-69
−12.5
6
@HALL
HALLW 72-65
+1.5
covered 17didn’t cover 14avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+25.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
+26.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
−26.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
−12.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+6.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+17.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−7.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−30.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−4.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−2.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−1.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+25.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−18.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
−8.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+10.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 92-68
+4.5
17
@VILL
VILLW 86-79
+17.5
20
vsHALL
HALLW 65-60
−20.5
24
@XAV
XAVW 88-83
+11.5
28
vsBTLR
BTLRW 92-70
+3.5
3
@DEP
DEPW 68-56
−21.5
6
vsCONN
CONNW 81-72
+9.5
9
vsXAV
XAVW 87-82
+9.5
14
@PROV
PROVW 79-69
−19.5
18
@MARQ
MARQW 76-70
−11.5
21
vsCREI
CREIW 81-52
−23.5
25
@CONN
CONNL 40-72
−33.5
28
vsVILL
VILLW 89-57
−1.5
3
vsGTWN
GTWNW 72-69
−7.5
6
@HALL
HALLW 72-65
−1.5
over 12under 19avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Providence
15-17 overall · 8-13 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Butler91–81
- L@ Georgetown79–80
- Lvs Marquette56–78
- W@ Creighton79–76
- Wvs Xavier94–84
1 day since their last game.
St John's
25-6 overall · 18-2 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Seton Hall72–65
- Wvs Georgetown72–69
- Wvs Villanova89–57
- L@ UConn40–72
- Wvs Creighton81–52
6 days since their last game.