Capital One Arena · at Georgetown · Conference game
Closing line
GTWN -1.5✓ PROV covered by 0.5
GTWN -1.5✓ PROV covered by 0.5Closing total158.5Over by 0.5
 PROV | This season | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| 14-16 | Record | 13-17 |
| 17-13 | ATS | 12-18 |
| 20-10 | O/U | 16-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PROV 83–83 GTWN · ✓ GTWN (52%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROV | 34 | 45 | 79 |
| GTWN | 43 | 37 | 80 |
1st half: PROV 34, GTWN 43 (GTWN by 9). The model had GTWN by 0.1 and a total of 77.5 (actual 77).
Team stats
| PROV | GTWN | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-56 48% | Field goals | 31-59 53% |
| 13-30 43% | 3-pointers | 5-15 33% |
| 12-18 67% | Free throws | 13-15 87% |
| 38 14 off | Rebounds | 25 5 off |
| 13 | Assists | 20 |
| 5 | Steals | 13 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 22 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| PROV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mela G | 37 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 6-10 | 3-5 |
| Stefan Vaaks G | 34 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4-10 | 3-7 |
| Jamier Jones G | 33 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-1 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse F | 32 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Jaylin Sellers G | 30 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 8-16 | 5-10 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nilavan Daniels G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jason Edwards G | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Cole Hargrove F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Duncan Powell F | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Peteris Pinnis F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaylen Harrell, Rich Barron, Daquan Davis, Corey Floyd Jr., Jack Williams
| GTWN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Mack G | 39 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 4-11 | 0-3 |
| Caleb Williams F | 31 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-9 | 3-6 |
| Jeremiah Williams G | 30 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 5-12 | 0-2 |
| Isaiah Abraham F | 21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Julius Halaifonua C | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kayvaun Mulready G | 33 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Vince Iwuchukwu C | 27 | 25 | 10 | 1 | 9-13 | 1-2 |
| Jayden Fort F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: KJ Lewis, Hashem Asadallah, Austin Montgomery, Mason Moses, DeShawn Harris-Smith, Michael Van Raaphorst, Seal Diouf, Langston Love, Gabriel Landeira
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGTWN -1.5
no move
CloseGTWN -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open158.5
no move
Close158.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
PROV +100 · GTWN -120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GTWN -1.5 · unchangedmodel GTWN -0.5
model GTWN -0.5
Opened 158.5 · unchangedmodel 166
model 166
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | GTWN -1.5 | GTWN -0.5 | PROV +1.1 | W PROV covered |
| Total | 158.5 | 165.9 | Over 7.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | PROV 82.7 · GTWN 83.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | GTWN -0.1 | GTWN -9.0 |
| 1H total | 77.5 | 77 |
| 1H projected score | PROV 38.7 · GTWN 38.8 | PROV 34 · GTWN 43 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROV | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| GTWN | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
PROV 8–2 GTWNPROV leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · GTWN has won the last 2 meetings · PROV 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025-26 | GTWN 81 @ PROV 78 | PROV -5.5 | GTWN W |
| Feb 19, 2024-25 | PROV 72 @ GTWN 93 | GTWN +0.5 | GTWN W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | GTWN 68 @ PROV 78 | PROV +1.5 | PROV W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | GTWN 56 vs PROV 74 | PROV -9.5 | PROV W |
| Mar 5, 2023-24 | PROV 71 @ GTWN 58 | GTWN +8.5 | PROV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Providence
30 games played
Straight up
14-16
47% wins
Against the spread
17-13
57% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
20-10
67% overs · avg +9.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HC | W 89-79 | -23.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs VT | L 101-107 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | O 208 |
| Nov 11 | vs PENN | W 106-81 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 172.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 14 | @ COLO | L 88-97 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 18 | vs UNH | W 98-66 | -29.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs PSU | W 77-65 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs WIS | L 83-104 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs FLA | L 78-90 | +12.5 | W +0.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Dec 2 | vs FDU | W 94-64 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs URI | W 90-71 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vs BRWN | W 86-79 | -19.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | @ BTLR | L 110-113 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 223 |
| Dec 19 | vs HALL | L 67-72 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | @ SJU | W 77-71 | +14.5 | W +20.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vs CONN | L 98-103 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 10 | @ XAV | L 84-97 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 165.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 13 | vs VILL | L 82-88 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 16 | vs CREI | W 93-88 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 19 | @ MARQ | L 104-105 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 167.5 | O 209 |
| Jan 24 | vsGTWN | L 78-81 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 27 | @CONN | L 81-87 | +15.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 30 | @VILL | L 73-87 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 4 | vsBTLR | W 97-87 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 168.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 7 | vs DEP | W 90-72 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 11 | @HALL | L 80-87 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 14 | vsSJU | L 69-79 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 167.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 21 | @DEP | W 71-68 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 25 | vsXAV | W 94-84 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 170.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 28 | @CREI | W 79-76 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 166.5 | U 155 |
| Mar 4 | vsMARQ | L 56-78 | -3.5 | L −25.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHC
HCW 89-79
−13.5
8
vsVT
VTL 101-107
−8.5
11
vsPENN
PENNW 106-81
+5.5
14
@COLO
COLOL 88-97
−7.5
18
vsUNH
UNHW 98-66
+2.5
22
vsPSU
PSUW 77-65
+8.5
27
vsWIS
WISL 83-104
−14.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 78-90
+0.5
2
vsFDU
FDUW 94-64
+3.5
6
vsURI
URIW 90-71
+11.5
9
vsBRWN
BRWNW 86-79
−12.5
13
@BTLR
BTLRL 110-113
+0.5
19
vsHALL
HALLL 67-72
−6.5
3
@SJU
SJUW 77-71
+20.5
7
vsCONN
CONNL 98-103
+4.5
10
@XAV
XAVL 84-97
−14.5
13
vsVILL
VILLL 82-88
−3.5
16
vsCREI
CREIW 93-88
+7.5
19
@MARQ
MARQL 104-105
+1.5
24
vsGTWN
GTWNL 78-81
−8.5
27
@CONN
CONNL 81-87
+9.5
30
@VILL
VILLL 73-87
−5.5
4
vsBTLR
BTLRW 97-87
+7.5
7
vsDEP
DEPW 90-72
+13.5
11
@HALL
HALLL 80-87
−2.5
14
vsSJU
SJUL 69-79
−3.5
21
@DEP
DEPW 71-68
+5.5
25
vsXAV
XAVW 94-84
+4.5
28
@CREI
CREIW 79-76
+6.5
4
vsMARQ
MARQL 56-78
−25.5
covered 17didn’t cover 13avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHC
HCW 89-79
+15.5
8
vsVT
VTL 101-107
+50.5
11
vsPENN
PENNW 106-81
+14.5
14
@COLO
COLOL 88-97
+21.5
18
vsUNH
UNHW 98-66
+2.5
22
vsPSU
PSUW 77-65
−23.5
27
vsWIS
WISL 83-104
+20.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 78-90
−1.5
2
vsFDU
FDUW 94-64
−4.5
6
vsURI
URIW 90-71
+1.5
9
vsBRWN
BRWNW 86-79
+19.5
13
@BTLR
BTLRL 110-113
+58.5
19
vsHALL
HALLL 67-72
−13.5
3
@SJU
SJUW 77-71
−18.5
7
vsCONN
CONNL 98-103
+48.5
10
@XAV
XAVL 84-97
+15.5
13
vsVILL
VILLL 82-88
+13.5
16
vsCREI
CREIW 93-88
+19.5
19
@MARQ
MARQL 104-105
+41.5
24
vsGTWN
GTWNL 78-81
−0.5
27
@CONN
CONNL 81-87
+15.5
30
@VILL
VILLL 73-87
+2.5
4
vsBTLR
BTLRW 97-87
+15.5
7
vsDEP
DEPW 90-72
+8.5
11
@HALL
HALLL 80-87
+16.5
14
vsSJU
SJUL 69-79
−19.5
21
@DEP
DEPW 71-68
−13.5
25
vsXAV
XAVW 94-84
+7.5
28
@CREI
CREIW 79-76
−11.5
4
vsMARQ
MARQL 56-78
−27.5
over 20under 10avg +9.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Georgetown
30 games played
Straight up
13-17
43% wins
Against the spread
12-18
40% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-14
53% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MORG | W 87-70 | -27.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | @ MD | W 70-60 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 12 | vs BING | W 83-70 | -27.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 15 | vs CLEM | W 79-74 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 22 | vs WAG | W 92-75 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 27 | vs DAY | L 79-84 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs MIA | L 65-78 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs UMBC | W 90-81 | -19.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 7 | @ UNC | L 61-81 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs SPU | W 76-68 | -20.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 17 | @MARQ | W 78-69 | +6.5 | W +15.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 20 | vsXAV | L 77-80 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 22 | vs COPP | W 97-67 | -33.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 31 | vsSJU | L 83-95 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 6 | @DEP | L 50-56 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 10 | vsHALL | L 67-76 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 13 | @CREI | L 83-86 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 17 | vsCONN | L 62-64 | +11.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 21 | @VILL | L 51-66 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 24 | @PROV | W 81-78 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 28 | vsDEP | W 70-61 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 31 | @BTLR | W 77-64 | +5.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 4 | vsCREI | W 76-68 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 7 | vsVILL | L 73-80 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 14 | @CONN | L 75-79 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 18 | vsBTLR | L 89-93 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 182 |
| Feb 21 | @HALL | L 47-51 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 136.5 | U 98 |
| Feb 24 | vsMARQ | L 60-76 | -2.5 | L −18.5 | 150.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 28 | @XAV | L 84-91 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 175 |
| Mar 3 | @SJU | L 69-72 | +15.5 | W +12.5 | 148.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMORG
MORGW 87-70
−10.5
7
@MD
MDW 70-60
+14.5
12
vsBING
BINGW 83-70
−14.5
15
vsCLEM
CLEMW 79-74
+6.5
22
vsWAG
WAGW 92-75
−8.5
27
vsDAY
DAYL 79-84
−3.5
28
vsMIA
MIAL 65-78
−7.5
3
vsUMBC
UMBCW 90-81
−10.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 61-81
−9.5
13
vsSPU
SPUW 76-68
−12.5
17
@MARQ
MARQW 78-69
+15.5
20
vsXAV
XAVL 77-80
−7.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 97-67
−3.5
31
vsSJU
SJUL 83-95
−3.5
6
@DEP
DEPL 50-56
−3.5
10
vsHALL
HALLL 67-76
−7.5
13
@CREI
CREIL 83-86
+5.5
17
vsCONN
CONNL 62-64
+9.5
21
@VILL
VILLL 51-66
−6.5
24
@PROV
PROVW 81-78
+8.5
28
vsDEP
DEPW 70-61
+5.5
31
@BTLR
BTLRW 77-64
+18.5
4
vsCREI
CREIW 76-68
+6.5
7
vsVILL
VILLL 73-80
−4.5
14
@CONN
CONNL 75-79
+12.5
18
vsBTLR
BTLRL 89-93
−10.5
21
@HALL
HALLL 47-51
+2.5
24
vsMARQ
MARQL 60-76
−18.5
28
@XAV
XAVL 84-91
−2.5
3
@SJU
SJUL 69-72
+12.5
covered 12didn’t cover 18avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMORG
MORGW 87-70
+2.5
7
@MD
MDW 70-60
−14.5
12
vsBING
BINGW 83-70
+11.5
15
vsCLEM
CLEMW 79-74
+10.5
22
vsWAG
WAGW 92-75
+26.5
27
vsDAY
DAYL 79-84
+17.5
28
vsMIA
MIAL 65-78
−8.5
3
vsUMBC
UMBCW 90-81
+21.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 61-81
−7.5
13
vsSPU
SPUW 76-68
+3.5
17
@MARQ
MARQW 78-69
−2.5
20
vsXAV
XAVL 77-80
+7.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 97-67
+13.5
31
vsSJU
SJUL 83-95
+25.5
6
@DEP
DEPL 50-56
−38.5
10
vsHALL
HALLL 67-76
+5.5
13
@CREI
CREIL 83-86
+21.5
17
vsCONN
CONNL 62-64
−15.5
21
@VILL
VILLL 51-66
−25.5
24
@PROV
PROVW 81-78
−0.5
28
vsDEP
DEPW 70-61
−8.5
31
@BTLR
BTLRW 77-64
−8.5
4
vsCREI
CREIW 76-68
−2.5
7
vsVILL
VILLL 73-80
+12.5
14
@CONN
CONNL 75-79
+15.5
18
vsBTLR
BTLRL 89-93
+34.5
21
@HALL
HALLL 47-51
−38.5
24
vsMARQ
MARQL 60-76
−14.5
28
@XAV
XAVL 84-91
+19.5
3
@SJU
SJUL 69-72
−7.5
over 16under 14avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Providence
14-16 overall · 7-12 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Marquette56–78
- W@ Creighton79–76
- Wvs Xavier94–84
- W@ DePaul71–68
- Lvs St John's69–79
3 days since their last game.
Georgetown
13-17 overall · 5-14 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ St John's69–72
- L@ Xavier84–91
- Lvs Marquette60–76
- L@ Seton Hall47–51
- Lvs Butler89–93
4 days since their last game.