Viejas Arena · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
SJU -10.5✓ SJU covered by 15.5
SJU -10.5✓ SJU covered by 15.5Closing total133.5Under by 1.5
 UNI | This season | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| 22-12 | Record | 28-6 |
| 19-15 | ATS | 20-14 |
| 14-20 | O/U | 13-21 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNI 60–76 SJU · ✓ SJU (92%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNI | 28 | 25 | 53 |
| SJU | 47 | 32 | 79 |
1st half: UNI 28, SJU 47 (SJU by 19). The model had SJU by 9.3 and a total of 63.6 (actual 75).
Team stats
| UNI | SJU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-57 39% | Field goals | 27-57 47% |
| 3-14 21% | 3-pointers | 10-29 34% |
| 6-12 50% | Free throws | 15-22 68% |
| 29 6 off | Rebounds | 45 12 off |
| 8 | Assists | 13 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 1 |
Players
| UNI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Campbell G | 37 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 5-13 | 1-4 |
| Leon Bond III G | 34 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 6-13 | 0-1 |
| Tristan Smith F | 30 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 4-11 | 0-0 |
| Max Weisbrod G | 30 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-7 |
| Will Hornseth F | 25 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Schwieger F | 30 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| RJ Taylor G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Geon Hutchins G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chase Courbat F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Hunter Jacobson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ismael Diouf F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Pock F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Marino Dubravcic, Redek Born, Cade Courbat, Levi Valdo, Jalen Wilson
| SJU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Hopkins F | 34 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 5-9 | 2-3 |
| Dylan Darling G | 33 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 3-10 | 0-6 |
| Dillon Mitchell F | 32 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Zuby Ejiofor F | 28 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Oziyah Sellers G | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4-11 | 3-9 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Joson Sanon G | 18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Ruben Prey F | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Ian Jackson G | 9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Lefteris Liotopoulos G | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Sadiku Ibine Ayo F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Handje Tamba C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kelvin Odih, Casper Pohto, Fotis Konstantinidis, Imran Suljanovic
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSJU -8.5
2 → SJU
CloseSJU -10.5
2 pts toward SJU
Total
Open131.5
▲ 2
Close133.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UNI +440 · SJU -600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SJU -8.5 · closed SJU -10.5 · moved 2 toward SJUmodel SJU -16
model SJU -16
Opened 131.5 · closed 133.5 · moved 2 upmodel 135.5
model 135.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SJU -10.5 | SJU -15.8 | SJU +5.3 | W SJU covered |
| Total | 133.5 | 135.7 | Over 2.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | UNI 60 · SJU 75.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SJU -9.3 | SJU -19.0 |
| 1H total | 63.6 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | UNI 27.1 · SJU 36.4 | UNI 28 · SJU 47 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNI | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| SJU | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 1-9 10% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Northern Iowa
34 games played
Straight up
22-12
65% wins
Against the spread
19-15
56% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-20
41% overs · avg −4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs CSUN | W 86-57 | -9.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | vs SDST | W 65-58 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 14 | vs FUR | W 70-54 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 18 | vs NIU | W 70-57 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 22 | @ UCI | W 70-69 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 25 | vs LUC | W 72-51 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 26 | vs TLSA | L 60-63 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs WICH | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs OAK | W 75-63 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | @ UIC | W 60-54 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 133.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 22 | @ SMC | L 58-63 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 132.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 29 | vs VAL | W 58-48 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 131.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 1 | vs INST | W 75-66 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | @ EVAN | W 62-48 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 131.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 7 | vs BEL | L 65-78 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @ BRAD | L 69-75 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 13 | vsUIC | L 61-69 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 128.5 | O 130 |
| Jan 17 | @VAL | L 44-54 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 130.5 | U 98 |
| Jan 21 | @ ILST | L 54-59 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 132.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 24 | vs MUR | W 81-76 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 28 | @ SIU | L 50-65 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 130.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 31 | vsEVAN | W 71-55 | -11.5 | W +4.5 | 128.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 6 | vsBRAD | W 61-49 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 134.5 | U 110 |
| Feb 9 | @MUR | W 89-60 | +4.5 | W +33.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 12 | @BEL | L 86-91 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 15 | vs DRKE | W 86-62 | -8.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 18 | @INST | W 81-60 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 21 | vsSIU | L 57-59 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 134.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 25 | vsILST | L 69-71 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 132.5 | O 140 |
| Mar 1 | @DRKE | W 75-53 | -4.5 | W +17.5 | 137.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 5 | vsEVAN | W 68-59 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 127.5 | U 127 |
| Mar 6 | vsILST | W 74-52 | -1.5 | W +20.5 | 130.5 | U 126 |
| Mar 7 | vsBRAD | W 73-69 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 127.5 | O 142 |
| Mar 8 | vsUIC | W 84-69 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 125.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
+19.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTW 65-58
−3.5
14
vsFUR
FURW 70-54
+6.5
18
vsNIU
NIUW 70-57
−6.5
22
@UCI
UCIW 70-69
+3.5
25
vsLUC
LUCW 72-51
+12.5
26
vsTLSA
TLSAL 60-63
−5.5
6
vsWICH
WICHL 69-74
−6.5
13
vsOAK
OAKW 75-63
+3.5
17
@UIC
UICW 60-54
+0.5
22
@SMC
SMCL 58-63
+6.5
29
vsVAL
VALW 58-48
+1.5
1
vsINST
INSTW 75-66
−1.5
4
@EVAN
EVANW 62-48
+9.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 65-78
−15.5
10
@BRAD
BRADL 69-75
−1.5
13
vsUIC
UICL 61-69
−14.5
17
@VAL
VALL 44-54
−11.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 54-59
+1.5
24
vsMUR
MURW 81-76
+6.5
28
@SIU
SIUL 50-65
−16.5
31
vsEVAN
EVANW 71-55
+4.5
6
vsBRAD
BRADW 61-49
+8.5
9
@MUR
MURW 89-60
+33.5
12
@BEL
BELL 86-91
−0.5
15
vsDRKE
DRKEW 86-62
+15.5
18
@INST
INSTW 81-60
+15.5
21
vsSIU
SIUL 57-59
−8.5
25
vsILST
ILSTL 69-71
−6.5
1
@DRKE
DRKEW 75-53
+17.5
5
vsEVAN
EVANW 68-59
−4.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 74-52
+20.5
7
vsBRAD
BRADW 73-69
−0.5
8
vsUIC
UICW 84-69
+12.5
covered 19didn’t cover 15avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
−10.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTW 65-58
−27.5
14
vsFUR
FURW 70-54
−17.5
18
vsNIU
NIUW 70-57
−19.5
22
@UCI
UCIW 70-69
+0.5
25
vsLUC
LUCW 72-51
−11.5
26
vsTLSA
TLSAL 60-63
−14.5
6
vsWICH
WICHL 69-74
+7.5
13
vsOAK
OAKW 75-63
−11.5
17
@UIC
UICW 60-54
−19.5
22
@SMC
SMCL 58-63
−11.5
29
vsVAL
VALW 58-48
−25.5
1
vsINST
INSTW 75-66
+5.5
4
@EVAN
EVANW 62-48
−21.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 65-78
+5.5
10
@BRAD
BRADL 69-75
+12.5
13
vsUIC
UICL 61-69
+1.5
17
@VAL
VALL 44-54
−32.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 54-59
−19.5
24
vsMUR
MURW 81-76
+11.5
28
@SIU
SIUL 50-65
−15.5
31
vsEVAN
EVANW 71-55
−2.5
6
vsBRAD
BRADW 61-49
−24.5
9
@MUR
MURW 89-60
+3.5
12
@BEL
BELL 86-91
+38.5
15
vsDRKE
DRKEW 86-62
+9.5
18
@INST
INSTW 81-60
+4.5
21
vsSIU
SIUL 57-59
−18.5
25
vsILST
ILSTL 69-71
+7.5
1
@DRKE
DRKEW 75-53
−9.5
5
vsEVAN
EVANW 68-59
−0.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 74-52
−4.5
7
vsBRAD
BRADW 73-69
+14.5
8
vsUIC
UICW 84-69
+27.5
over 14under 20avg −4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
St John's
34 games played
Straight up
28-6
82% wins
Against the spread
20-14
59% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-21
38% overs · avg −3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs QUIN | W 108-74 | -26.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 8 | vs ALA | L 96-103 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 15 | vs W&M | W 93-60 | -28.5 | W +4.5 | 179.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 20 | vs BUCK | W 97-49 | -28.5 | W +19.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 24 | vs ISU | L 82-83 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs BAY | W 96-81 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs AUB | L 74-85 | -4.5 | L −15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs MISS | W 63-58 | -13.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs IONA | W 91-64 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 16 | vs DEP | W 79-66 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | vs UK | L 66-78 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 23 | vs HARV | W 85-59 | -26.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 31 | @ GTWN | W 95-83 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 3 | vs PROV | L 71-77 | -14.5 | L −20.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 6 | @ BTLR | W 84-70 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | @ CREI | W 90-73 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 13 | vs MARQ | W 92-68 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 17 | @ VILL | W 86-79 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 20 | vs HALL | W 65-60 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 24 | @ XAV | W 88-83 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 28 | vsBTLR | W 92-70 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 158.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 3 | @DEP | W 68-56 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 6 | vs CONN | W 81-72 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 143.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 9 | vsXAV | W 87-82 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | @PROV | W 79-69 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 167.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 18 | @MARQ | W 76-70 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 21 | vsCREI | W 81-52 | -12.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 25 | @CONN | L 40-72 | +5.5 | L −26.5 | 145.5 | U 112 |
| Feb 28 | vsVILL | W 89-57 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 3 | vsGTWN | W 72-69 | -15.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 6 | @HALL | W 72-65 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Mar 12 | vsPROV | W 85-72 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 157 |
| Mar 13 | vsHALL | W 78-68 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Mar 14 | vsCONN | W 72-52 | +2.5 | W +22.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+7.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
−11.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
+4.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
+19.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+1.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+9.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−15.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−8.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−1.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−6.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−0.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+3.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−20.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
+9.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+14.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 92-68
+8.5
17
@VILL
VILLW 86-79
+4.5
20
vsHALL
HALLW 65-60
−6.5
24
@XAV
XAVW 88-83
−3.5
28
vsBTLR
BTLRW 92-70
+9.5
3
@DEP
DEPW 68-56
+2.5
6
vsCONN
CONNW 81-72
+10.5
9
vsXAV
XAVW 87-82
−11.5
14
@PROV
PROVW 79-69
+3.5
18
@MARQ
MARQW 76-70
−2.5
21
vsCREI
CREIW 81-52
+16.5
25
@CONN
CONNL 40-72
−26.5
28
vsVILL
VILLW 89-57
+24.5
3
vsGTWN
GTWNW 72-69
−12.5
6
@HALL
HALLW 72-65
+1.5
12
vsPROV
PROVW 85-72
+1.5
13
vsHALL
HALLW 78-68
+1.5
14
vsCONN
CONNW 72-52
+22.5
covered 20didn’t cover 14avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+25.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
+26.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
−26.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
−12.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+6.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+17.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−7.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−30.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−4.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−2.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−1.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+25.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−18.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
−8.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+10.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 92-68
+4.5
17
@VILL
VILLW 86-79
+17.5
20
vsHALL
HALLW 65-60
−20.5
24
@XAV
XAVW 88-83
+11.5
28
vsBTLR
BTLRW 92-70
+3.5
3
@DEP
DEPW 68-56
−21.5
6
vsCONN
CONNW 81-72
+9.5
9
vsXAV
XAVW 87-82
+9.5
14
@PROV
PROVW 79-69
−19.5
18
@MARQ
MARQW 76-70
−11.5
21
vsCREI
CREIW 81-52
−23.5
25
@CONN
CONNL 40-72
−33.5
28
vsVILL
VILLW 89-57
−1.5
3
vsGTWN
GTWNW 72-69
−7.5
6
@HALL
HALLW 72-65
−1.5
12
vsPROV
PROVW 85-72
−1.5
13
vsHALL
HALLW 78-68
+10.5
14
vsCONN
CONNW 72-52
−15.5
over 13under 21avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Northern Iowa
22-12 overall · 15-9 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UIC84–69
- Wvs Bradley73–69
- Wvs Illinois St74–52
- Wvs Evansville68–59
- W@ Drake75–53
A week or more of rest.
St John's
28-6 overall · 21-2 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UConn72–52
- Wvs Seton Hall78–68
- Wvs Providence85–72
- W@ Seton Hall72–65
- Wvs Georgetown72–69
6 days since their last game.