LJVM Coliseum · at Wake Forest · NIT
Closing line
WAKE -8.5✓ ILST covered by 11.5
WAKE -8.5✓ ILST covered by 11.5Closing total152.5Over by 0.5
 ILST | This season | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| 20-12 | Record | 18-16 |
| 17-15 | ATS | 16-18 |
| 13-19 | O/U | 19-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ILST 70–78 WAKE · ✗ WAKE (74%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILST | 32 | 46 | 78 |
| WAKE | 32 | 43 | 75 |
1st half: ILST 32, WAKE 32 (tied). The model had WAKE by 4.3 and a total of 69.4 (actual 64).
Team stats
| ILST | WAKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-61 41% | Field goals | 28-56 50% |
| 10-33 30% | 3-pointers | 5-16 31% |
| 18-21 86% | Free throws | 14-21 67% |
| 31 10 off | Rebounds | 35 8 off |
| 12 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| ILST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger G | 40 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 6-14 | 5-10 |
| Landon Wolf G | 30 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-10 | 2-8 |
| Boden Skunberg G | 29 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 2-9 | 0-5 |
| Mason Klabo G | 22 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Chase Walker F | 17 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ty Pence G | 27 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 8-11 | 3-4 |
| Landon Moore G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman G | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Lieb F | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nick Allen, Isaac Ericksen, Jack Daugherty, Cameron Barnes, Ty Blake
| WAKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juke Harris G | 39 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 7-19 | 2-7 |
| Omaha Biliew F | 32 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Tre'Von Spillers F | 29 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 11-11 | 0-0 |
| Nate Calmese G | 21 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Mekhi Mason G | 18 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Myles Colvin G | 25 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Cooper Schwieger F | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Isaac Carr G | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Sebastian Akins G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Will Underwood, Owen Kmety, Dimitrije Kovacevic, Anson Beard Jr., Jaylen Cross, Marqus Marion, Vincent Ricchiuti
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWAKE -7.5
1 → WAKE
CloseWAKE -8.5
1 pt toward WAKE
Total
Open148.5
▲ 4
Close152.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
ILST +280 · WAKE -355
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WAKE -7.5 · closed WAKE -8.5 · moved 1 toward WAKEmodel WAKE -7.5
model WAKE -7.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 4 upmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | WAKE -8.5 | WAKE -7.5 | ILST +1.0 | W ILST covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 148.3 | Under 4.2 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | ILST 70.4 · WAKE 77.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | WAKE -4.3 | PK |
| 1H total | 69.4 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | ILST 32.5 · WAKE 36.9 | ILST 32 · WAKE 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILST | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| WAKE | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Illinois St
32 games played
Straight up
20-12
63% wins
Against the spread
17-15
53% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-19
41% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ OHIO | L 68-72 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 9 | vs COR | W 76-65 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs USC | L 67-87 | +15.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ LBSU | W 82-80 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 23 | vs CCU | W 94-42 | -12.5 | W +39.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 27 | vs CLT | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs FUR | W 72-65 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs EKU | W 89-78 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | vs CHST | W 95-53 | -20.5 | W +21.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | vs USU | L 78-83 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 18 | @ SIU | W 75-68 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | vs INST | W 85-65 | -13.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | @ DRKE | W 73-56 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 1 | vs EVAN | W 73-47 | -12.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 7 | @ VAL | L 71-77 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | vs UIC | L 59-63 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @INST | L 89-94 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 17 | vs BRAD | W 88-62 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vs UNI | W 59-54 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 24 | @ BEL | L 69-80 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 28 | @ MUR | W 70-65 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 3 | vsSIU | L 50-54 | -8.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | U 104 |
| Feb 6 | vsDRKE | W 86-76 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 9 | @EVAN | L 80-88 | -10.5 | L −18.5 | 137.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 12 | vsVAL | W 86-64 | -8.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 15 | @UIC | L 56-83 | -1.5 | L −28.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 18 | vsMUR | W 78-61 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 158.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 21 | @BRAD | L 60-74 | +3.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 25 | @UNI | W 71-69 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 132.5 | O 140 |
| Mar 1 | vsBEL | W 81-74 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 6 | vsUNI | L 52-74 | +1.5 | L −20.5 | 130.5 | U 126 |
| Mar 18 | vs KENT | W 79-58 | -4.5 | W +16.5 | 154.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−2.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
+4.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−4.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
−6.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
+39.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+4.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
+3.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
−1.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+21.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+3.5
18
@SIU
SIUW 75-68
+8.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 85-65
+6.5
29
@DRKE
DRKEW 73-56
+12.5
1
vsEVAN
EVANW 73-47
+13.5
7
@VAL
VALL 71-77
−12.5
10
vsUIC
UICL 59-63
−14.5
14
@INST
INSTL 89-94
−11.5
17
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-62
+20.5
21
vsUNI
UNIW 59-54
−1.5
24
@BEL
BELL 69-80
−5.5
28
@MUR
MURW 70-65
+8.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 50-54
−12.5
6
vsDRKE
DRKEW 86-76
−0.5
9
@EVAN
EVANL 80-88
−18.5
12
vsVAL
VALW 86-64
+13.5
15
@UIC
UICL 56-83
−28.5
18
vsMUR
MURW 78-61
+14.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 60-74
−10.5
25
@UNI
UNIW 71-69
+6.5
1
vsBEL
BELW 81-74
+8.5
6
vsUNI
UNIL 52-74
−20.5
18
vsKENT
KENTW 79-58
+16.5
covered 17didn’t cover 15avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−21.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
−23.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−1.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
+20.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
−10.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+8.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
−8.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
+12.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+3.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+12.5
18
@SIU
SIUW 75-68
−10.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 85-65
−2.5
29
@DRKE
DRKEW 73-56
−16.5
1
vsEVAN
EVANW 73-47
−24.5
7
@VAL
VALL 71-77
+9.5
10
vsUIC
UICL 59-63
−19.5
14
@INST
INSTL 89-94
+34.5
17
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-62
+2.5
21
vsUNI
UNIW 59-54
−19.5
24
@BEL
BELL 69-80
−1.5
28
@MUR
MURW 70-65
−24.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 50-54
−36.5
6
vsDRKE
DRKEW 86-76
+17.5
9
@EVAN
EVANL 80-88
+30.5
12
vsVAL
VALW 86-64
+11.5
15
@UIC
UICL 56-83
−1.5
18
vsMUR
MURW 78-61
−19.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 60-74
−11.5
25
@UNI
UNIW 71-69
+7.5
1
vsBEL
BELW 81-74
+4.5
6
vsUNI
UNIL 52-74
−4.5
18
vsKENT
KENTW 79-58
−17.5
over 13under 19avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wake Forest
34 games played
Straight up
18-16
53% wins
Against the spread
16-18
47% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-15
56% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs AMER | W 88-74 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | vs MORE | W 81-65 | -22.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 11 | vs MICH | L 84-85 | +15.5 | W +14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 16 | vs UML | W 109-75 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 20 | vs TTU | L 83-84 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs MEM | W 69-68 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs CAM | W 99-51 | -17.5 | W +30.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 28 | vs NE | W 86-73 | -17.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 2 | vs OU | L 68-86 | -4.5 | L −22.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vs WVU | W 75-66 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 14 | vs QUC | W 111-73 | -18.5 | W +19.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 17 | vs LONG | W 71-68 | -24.5 | L −21.5 | 163.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vs VAN | L 67-98 | +5.5 | L −25.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | @ NCSU | L 57-70 | +10.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vs VT | W 81-78 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 7 | vs MIA | L 77-81 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | @ UNC | L 84-87 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | @ FSU | W 69-68 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 20 | vs SMU | L 79-91 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 24 | @ DUKE | L 69-90 | +19.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 27 | @ PITT | L 76-80 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vsNCSU | L 78-96 | +5.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 7 | vs LOU | L 80-88 | +9.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 11 | @ GT | W 83-67 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 14 | vs STAN | W 68-63 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 18 | vs CLEM | W 85-77 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 21 | @VT | L 63-82 | +3.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 25 | @ BC | L 67-68 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 28 | vs SYR | W 88-83 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Mar 3 | @ UVA | L 70-75 | +14.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 7 | vs CAL | W 80-73 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Mar 10 | vsVT | W 95-89 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | O 184 |
| Mar 11 | vsCLEM | L 62-71 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 18 | vs NAVY | W 82-72 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAMER
AMERW 88-74
−5.5
7
vsMORE
MOREW 81-65
−6.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 84-85
+14.5
16
vsUML
UMLW 109-75
+3.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 83-84
+8.5
21
vsMEM
MEMW 69-68
−1.5
25
vsCAM
CAMW 99-51
+30.5
28
vsNE
NEW 86-73
−4.5
2
vsOU
OUL 68-86
−22.5
6
vsWVU
WVUW 75-66
+11.5
14
vsQUC
QUCW 111-73
+19.5
17
vsLONG
LONGW 71-68
−21.5
21
vsVAN
VANL 67-98
−25.5
31
@NCSU
NCSUL 57-70
−2.5
3
vsVT
VTW 81-78
−2.5
7
vsMIA
MIAL 77-81
−5.5
10
@UNC
UNCL 84-87
+7.5
17
@FSU
FSUW 69-68
−0.5
20
vsSMU
SMUL 79-91
−13.5
24
@DUKE
DUKEL 69-90
−1.5
27
@PITT
PITTL 76-80
−2.5
31
vsNCSU
NCSUL 78-96
−12.5
7
vsLOU
LOUL 80-88
+1.5
11
@GT
GTW 83-67
+12.5
14
vsSTAN
STANW 68-63
+0.5
18
vsCLEM
CLEMW 85-77
+12.5
21
@VT
VTL 63-82
−15.5
25
@BC
BCL 67-68
−4.5
28
vsSYR
SYRW 88-83
+1.5
3
@UVA
UVAL 70-75
+9.5
7
vsCAL
CALW 80-73
+1.5
10
vsVT
VTW 95-89
+4.5
11
vsCLEM
CLEML 62-71
−3.5
18
vsNAVY
NAVYW 82-72
+0.5
covered 16didn’t cover 18avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAMER
AMERW 88-74
+22.5
7
vsMORE
MOREW 81-65
−6.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 84-85
+0.5
16
vsUML
UMLW 109-75
+18.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 83-84
+6.5
21
vsMEM
MEMW 69-68
−23.5
25
vsCAM
CAMW 99-51
−9.5
28
vsNE
NEW 86-73
+4.5
2
vsOU
OUL 68-86
−5.5
6
vsWVU
WVUW 75-66
−2.5
14
vsQUC
QUCW 111-73
+18.5
17
vsLONG
LONGW 71-68
−24.5
21
vsVAN
VANL 67-98
+0.5
31
@NCSU
NCSUL 57-70
−32.5
3
vsVT
VTW 81-78
+5.5
7
vsMIA
MIAL 77-81
+0.5
10
@UNC
UNCL 84-87
+16.5
17
@FSU
FSUW 69-68
−31.5
20
vsSMU
SMUL 79-91
+12.5
24
@DUKE
DUKEL 69-90
+5.5
27
@PITT
PITTL 76-80
+5.5
31
vsNCSU
NCSUL 78-96
+17.5
7
vsLOU
LOUL 80-88
+5.5
11
@GT
GTW 83-67
−8.5
14
vsSTAN
STANW 68-63
−19.5
18
vsCLEM
CLEMW 85-77
+21.5
21
@VT
VTL 63-82
−5.5
25
@BC
BCL 67-68
−10.5
28
vsSYR
SYRW 88-83
+18.5
3
@UVA
UVAL 70-75
−5.5
7
vsCAL
CALW 80-73
−1.5
10
vsVT
VTW 95-89
+33.5
11
vsCLEM
CLEML 62-71
−10.5
18
vsNAVY
NAVYW 82-72
+5.5
over 19under 15avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Illinois St
20-12 overall · 12-9 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kent State79–58
- Lvs Northern Iowa52–74
- Wvs Belmont81–74
- W@ Northern Iowa71–69
- L@ Bradley60–74
4 days since their last game.
Wake Forest
18-16 overall · 8-12 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Navy82–72
- Lvs Clemson62–71
- Wvs Virginia Tech95–89
- Wvs California80–73
- L@ Virginia70–75
4 days since their last game.