T-Mobile Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
KU -4.5✓ KU covered by 0.5
KU -4.5✓ KU covered by 0.5Closing total146.5Over by 4.5
 TCU | This season | KU |
|---|---|---|
| 22-10 | Record | 22-9 |
| 18-14 | ATS | 19-12 |
| 14-18 | O/U | 10-21 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TCU 71–75 KU · ✓ KU (64%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 34 | 39 | 73 |
| KU | 31 | 47 | 78 |
1st half: TCU 34, KU 31 (TCU by 3). The model had KU by 2.3 and a total of 68.2 (actual 65).
Team stats
| TCU | KU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-64 39% | Field goals | 22-58 38% |
| 9-25 36% | 3-pointers | 4-17 24% |
| 14-18 78% | Free throws | 30-37 81% |
| 40 12 off | Rebounds | 41 11 off |
| 10 | Assists | 8 |
| 4 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 23 | Fouls | 13 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| TCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Punch F | 34 | 24 | 10 | 1 | 8-15 | 1-2 |
| Jayden Pierre G | 34 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4-13 | 3-7 |
| Brock Harding G | 31 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Micah Robinson G | 24 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-4 |
| Xavier Edmonds F | 22 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Liutauras Lelevicius F | 30 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Tanner Toolson G | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Vianney Salatchoum C | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ashton Simmons, Drew McElroy, Adam Stewart, RJ Jones, Trey Stuart, Malick Diallo, Jace Posey, Kayden Edwards
| KU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Council Jr. G | 40 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 3-12 | 1-4 |
| Tre White G | 38 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Darryn Peterson G | 37 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 5-17 | 1-4 |
| Flory Bidunga F | 27 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Bryson Tiller F | 24 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elmarko Jackson G | 25 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Jamari McDowell G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Paul Mbiya C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Corbin Allen, Nginyu Ngala, Kohl Rosario, Samis Calderon, Will Thengvall, Justin Cross, Wilder Evers, Jayden Dawson
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketKU -4.5
ModelKU -4.1
Model edgeTCU +0.4
L KU covered
Total
Market146.5
Model145.7
Model edgeUnder 0.8
L Over
Projected score
TCU 70.8 · KU 74.9
TCU 73 · KU 78
Win probability
KU 64%
1st half
Spread
KU -2.3
TCU -3.0
Total
68.2
65 points
Projected score
TCU 32.9 · KU 35.2
TCU 34 · KU 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenKU -5.5
1 → TCU
CloseKU -4.5
1 pt toward TCU
Total
Open141.5
▲ 5
Close146.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
TCU +170 · KU -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened KU -5.5 · closed KU -4.5 · moved 1 toward TCUmodel KU -4
model KU -4
Opened 141.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 5 upmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| KU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
TCU 2–6 KUKU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · KU has won the last 4 meetings · TCU 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2025-26 | TCU 100 @ KU 104 | KU -6.5 | TCU W |
| Jan 22, 2024-25 | KU 74 @ TCU 61 | TCU +5.5 | KU W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | TCU 81 @ KU 83 | KU -8.5 | TCU W |
| Feb 20, 2022-23 | KU 63 @ TCU 58 | TCU -2.5 | KU W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | TCU 83 @ KU 60 | KU -6.5 | TCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
TCU
32 games played
Straight up
22-10
69% wins
Against the spread
18-14
56% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-18
44% overs · avg +0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NOLA | L 74-78 | -21.5 | L −25.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 6 | vs SFPA | W 104-63 | -27.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 10 | vs LAM | W 78-65 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 14 | vs MICH | L 63-67 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs KC | W 81-45 | -23.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 27 | vs FLA | W 84-80 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs WIS | W 74-63 | +5.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 5 | vs ND | L 85-87 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 7 | @ UNT | W 65-55 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 15 | vs UIW | W 69-65 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 18 | vs ORU | W 72-53 | -23.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 21 | vs FAMU | W 80-56 | -29.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 29 | vs JKST | W 115-64 | -30.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vs BAY | W 69-63 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 6 | @KU | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 10 | vs ARIZ | L 73-86 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 14 | @ BYU | L 70-76 | +13.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 17 | @ UTAH | L 79-82 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 20 | vs OKST | W 68-65 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @BAY | W 97-90 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 28 | vs HOU | L 70-79 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 1 | @ COLO | L 61-87 | -1.5 | L −27.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 7 | vs KSU | W 84-82 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 10 | vs ISU | W 62-55 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 14 | @OKST | W 95-92 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | O 187 |
| Feb 17 | @ UCF | L 71-82 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 21 | vs WVU | W 60-54 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 133.5 | U 114 |
| Feb 24 | vs ASU | W 90-78 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 28 | @KSU | W 77-68 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 3 | @ TTU | W 73-65 | +8.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Mar 7 | vs CIN | W 73-63 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Mar 11 | vsOKST | W 95-88 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | O 183 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNOLA
NOLAL 74-78
−25.5
6
vsSFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 78-65
−5.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 63-67
+3.5
19
vsKC
KCW 81-45
+12.5
27
vsFLA
FLAW 84-80
+15.5
28
vsWIS
WISW 74-63
+16.5
5
vsND
NDL 85-87
−8.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 65-55
+0.5
15
vsUIW
UIWW 69-65
−15.5
18
vsORU
ORUW 72-53
−4.5
21
vsFAMU
FAMUW 80-56
−5.5
29
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-64
+20.5
3
vsBAY
BAYW 69-63
+3.5
6
@KU
KUL 100-104
+2.5
10
vsARIZ
ARIZL 73-86
−5.5
14
@BYU
BYUL 70-76
+7.5
17
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-82
−7.5
20
vsOKST
OKSTW 68-65
−5.5
24
@BAY
BAYW 97-90
+11.5
28
vsHOU
HOUL 70-79
−0.5
1
@COLO
COLOL 61-87
−27.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 84-82
−7.5
10
vsISU
ISUW 62-55
+14.5
14
@OKST
OKSTW 95-92
+1.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 71-82
−12.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 60-54
+1.5
24
vsASU
ASUW 90-78
+5.5
28
@KSU
KSUW 77-68
+5.5
3
@TTU
TTUW 73-65
+16.5
7
vsCIN
CINW 73-63
+7.5
11
vsOKST
OKSTW 95-88
−0.5
covered 18didn’t cover 14avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNOLA
NOLAL 74-78
+2.5
6
vsSFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 78-65
−4.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 63-67
−34.5
19
vsKC
KCW 81-45
−24.5
27
vsFLA
FLAW 84-80
+8.5
28
vsWIS
WISW 74-63
−20.5
5
vsND
NDL 85-87
+30.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 65-55
−15.5
15
vsUIW
UIWW 69-65
−9.5
18
vsORU
ORUW 72-53
−22.5
21
vsFAMU
FAMUW 80-56
−6.5
29
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-64
+35.5
3
vsBAY
BAYW 69-63
−22.5
6
@KU
KUL 100-104
+60.5
10
vsARIZ
ARIZL 73-86
+1.5
14
@BYU
BYUL 70-76
−16.5
17
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-82
+6.5
20
vsOKST
OKSTW 68-65
−28.5
24
@BAY
BAYW 97-90
+39.5
28
vsHOU
HOUL 70-79
+9.5
1
@COLO
COLOL 61-87
−5.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 84-82
+10.5
10
vsISU
ISUW 62-55
−30.5
14
@OKST
OKSTW 95-92
+30.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 71-82
−1.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 60-54
−19.5
24
vsASU
ASUW 90-78
+18.5
28
@KSU
KSUW 77-68
−14.5
3
@TTU
TTUW 73-65
−9.5
7
vsCIN
CINW 73-63
−4.5
11
vsOKST
OKSTW 95-88
+24.5
over 14under 18avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas
31 games played
Straight up
22-9
71% wins
Against the spread
19-12
61% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-21
32% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GB | W 94-51 | -30.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 7 | @ UNC | L 74-87 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs AMCC | W 77-46 | -25.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 15 | vs PRIN | W 76-57 | -22.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | vs DUKE | L 66-78 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 24 | vsND | W 71-61 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs SYR | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs TENN | W 81-76 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 2 | vs CONN | L 56-61 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 7 | vs MIZ | W 80-60 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | @ NCSU | W 77-76 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 16 | vs TOW | W 73-49 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 22 | vs DAV | W 90-61 | -14.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 3 | @UCF | L 75-81 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 6 | vsTCU | W 104-100 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 10 | @WVU | L 75-86 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 13 | vsISU | W 84-63 | +3.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 16 | vsBAY | W 80-62 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 20 | @COLO | W 75-69 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @KSU | W 86-62 | -4.5 | W +19.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 31 | vsBYU | W 90-82 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 2 | @TTU | W 64-61 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 7 | vsUTAH | W 71-59 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 9 | vsARIZ | W 82-78 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | @ISU | L 56-74 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 18 | @OKST | W 81-69 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 21 | vsCIN | L 68-84 | -8.5 | L −24.5 | 139.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 23 | vsHOU | W 69-56 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 28 | @ARIZ | L 61-84 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 3 | @ASU | L 60-70 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 7 | vsKSU | W 104-85 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 189 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
+12.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 74-87
−10.5
11
vsAMCC
AMCCW 77-46
+5.5
15
vsPRIN
PRINW 76-57
−3.5
18
vsDUKE
DUKEL 66-78
−1.5
24
vsND
NDW 71-61
+4.5
25
vsSYR
SYRW 71-60
+6.5
26
vsTENN
TENNW 81-76
+12.5
2
vsCONN
CONNL 56-61
−1.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZW 80-60
+14.5
13
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
+2.5
16
vsTOW
TOWW 73-49
+9.5
22
vsDAV
DAVW 90-61
+14.5
3
@UCF
UCFL 75-81
−10.5
6
vsTCU
TCUW 104-100
−2.5
10
@WVU
WVUL 75-86
−13.5
13
vsISU
ISUW 84-63
+24.5
16
vsBAY
BAYW 80-62
+10.5
20
@COLO
COLOW 75-69
+1.5
24
@KSU
KSUW 86-62
+19.5
31
vsBYU
BYUW 90-82
+5.5
2
@TTU
TTUW 64-61
+6.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 71-59
−6.5
9
vsARIZ
ARIZW 82-78
+9.5
14
@ISU
ISUL 56-74
−10.5
18
@OKST
OKSTW 81-69
+4.5
21
vsCIN
CINL 68-84
−24.5
23
vsHOU
HOUW 69-56
+15.5
28
@ARIZ
ARIZL 61-84
−13.5
3
@ASU
ASUL 60-70
−15.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 104-85
+1.5
covered 19didn’t cover 12avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
−7.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 74-87
+1.5
11
vsAMCC
AMCCW 77-46
−22.5
15
vsPRIN
PRINW 76-57
−11.5
18
vsDUKE
DUKEL 66-78
−5.5
24
vsND
NDW 71-61
−11.5
25
vsSYR
SYRW 71-60
−13.5
26
vsTENN
TENNW 81-76
+16.5
2
vsCONN
CONNL 56-61
−24.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZW 80-60
−10.5
13
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
+4.5
16
vsTOW
TOWW 73-49
−15.5
22
vsDAV
DAVW 90-61
+11.5
3
@UCF
UCFL 75-81
−1.5
6
vsTCU
TCUW 104-100
+60.5
10
@WVU
WVUL 75-86
+21.5
13
vsISU
ISUW 84-63
−5.5
16
vsBAY
BAYW 80-62
−14.5
20
@COLO
COLOW 75-69
−11.5
24
@KSU
KSUW 86-62
−10.5
31
vsBYU
BYUW 90-82
+12.5
2
@TTU
TTUW 64-61
−30.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 71-59
−20.5
9
vsARIZ
ARIZW 82-78
+7.5
14
@ISU
ISUL 56-74
−17.5
18
@OKST
OKSTW 81-69
−8.5
21
vsCIN
CINL 68-84
+12.5
23
vsHOU
HOUW 69-56
−13.5
28
@ARIZ
ARIZL 61-84
−6.5
3
@ASU
ASUL 60-70
−21.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 104-85
+31.5
over 10under 21avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
TCU
22-10 overall · 12-7 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oklahoma St95–88
- Wvs Cincinnati73–63
- W@ Texas Tech73–65
- W@ Kansas St77–68
- Wvs Arizona St90–78
1 day since their last game.
Kansas
22-9 overall · 12-6 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kansas St104–85
- L@ Arizona St60–70
- L@ Arizona61–84
- Wvs Houston69–56
- Lvs Cincinnati68–84
5 days since their last game.