Benchmark International Arena · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
FLA -10.5✓ IOWA covered by 11.5
FLA -10.5✓ IOWA covered by 11.5Closing total145.5Under by 0.5
 IOWA | This season | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| 22-12 | Record | 27-7 |
| 19-15 | ATS | 19-15 |
| 19-15 | O/U | 15-19 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IOWA 69–80 FLA · ✗ FLA (82%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA | 33 | 40 | 73 |
| FLA | 31 | 41 | 72 |
1st half: IOWA 33, FLA 31 (IOWA by 2). The model had FLA by 6.2 and a total of 69.9 (actual 64).
Team stats
| IOWA | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-51 51% | Field goals | 23-46 50% |
| 7-24 29% | 3-pointers | 6-19 32% |
| 14-22 64% | Free throws | 20-27 74% |
| 27 10 off | Rebounds | 27 9 off |
| 14 | Assists | 18 |
| 4 | Steals | 7 |
| 0 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 19 | Fouls | 18 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| IOWA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz G | 40 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 5-16 | 0-9 |
| Kael Combs G | 33 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Tavion Banks G | 30 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 7-10 | 1-2 |
| Cooper Koch F | 28 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Cam Manyawu F | 21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alvaro Folgueiras F | 18 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Isaia Howard G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tate Sage G | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Trevin Jirak C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jacob Koch, Joey Matteoni, Peyton McCollum, Trey Thompson, Brendan Hausen
| FLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Haugh F | 39 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 3-11 | 2-8 |
| Boogie Fland G | 36 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| Alex Condon F | 35 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 8-13 | 0-0 |
| Xaivian Lee G | 29 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 7-11 | 3-6 |
| Rueben Chinyelu C | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Urban Klavzar G | 19 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Isaiah Brown G | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Micah Handlogten C | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: CJ Ingram, Olivier Rioux, Viktor Mikic, Alex Kovatchev, Cooper Josefsberg, AJ Brown, Alex Lloyd
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFLA -11.5
1 → IOWA
CloseFLA -10.5
1 pt toward IOWA
Total
Open146.5
▼ 1
Close145.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
IOWA +455 · FLA -625
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FLA -11.5 · closed FLA -10.5 · moved 1 toward IOWAmodel FLA -10.5 matches the line
model FLA -10.5 = line ✓
Opened 146.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 1 downmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | FLA -10.5 | FLA -10.6 | FLA +0.1 | L IOWA covered |
| Total | 145.5 | 149.4 | Over 3.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | IOWA 69.4 · FLA 80 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | FLA -6.2 | IOWA -2.0 |
| 1H total | 69.9 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | IOWA 31.9 · FLA 38 | IOWA 33 · FLA 31 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| FLA | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Iowa
34 games played
Straight up
22-12
65% wins
Against the spread
19-15
56% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-15
56% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs RMU | W 101-69 | -22.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIU | W 77-58 | -30.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 14 | vs XAV | W 81-62 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs SEMO | W 99-70 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 20 | vs CHST | W 93-54 | -31.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 25 | vs MISS | W 74-69 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs GCU | W 59-46 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 2 | @ MSU | L 52-71 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs MD | W 83-64 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 11 | @ ISU | L 62-66 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs WMU | W 91-51 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | vs BUCK | W 94-39 | -25.5 | W +29.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | vs UML | W 90-62 | -33.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 3 | vs UCLA | W 74-61 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @ MINN | L 67-70 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 11 | vs ILL | L 69-75 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 14 | @ PUR | L 72-79 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | @ IU | W 74-57 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 20 | vs RUTG | W 68-62 | -17.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 28 | vs USC | W 73-72 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 1 | @ ORE | W 84-66 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 133.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 4 | @ WASH | W 84-74 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 8 | vs NU | W 76-70 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 11 | @MD | L 70-77 | -10.5 | L −17.5 | 138.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 14 | vsPUR | L 57-78 | +2.5 | L −18.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 17 | vs NEB | W 57-52 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | U 109 |
| Feb 22 | @ WIS | L 71-84 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 25 | vs OSU | W 74-57 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 28 | @ PSU | L 69-71 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 143.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 5 | vs MICH | L 68-71 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 8 | @NEB | L 75-84 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 11 | vsMD | W 75-64 | -11.5 | L −0.5 | 133.5 | O 139 |
| Mar 12 | vsOSU | L 69-72 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Mar 20 | vs CLEM | W 67-61 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 130.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+9.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−11.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
+3.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+5.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+7.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+0.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
+4.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−13.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+8.5
11
@ISU
ISUL 62-66
+7.5
14
vsWMU
WMUW 91-51
+14.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 94-39
+29.5
29
vsUML
UMLW 90-62
−5.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAW 74-61
+6.5
6
@MINN
MINNL 67-70
−7.5
11
vsILL
ILLL 69-75
−4.5
14
@PUR
PURL 72-79
+3.5
17
@IU
IUW 74-57
+20.5
20
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-62
−11.5
28
vsUSC
USCW 73-72
−8.5
1
@ORE
OREW 84-66
+8.5
4
@WASH
WASHW 84-74
+7.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-70
−4.5
11
@MD
MDL 70-77
−17.5
14
vsPUR
PURL 57-78
−18.5
17
vsNEB
NEBW 57-52
+3.5
22
@WIS
WISL 71-84
−10.5
25
vsOSU
OSUW 74-57
+10.5
28
@PSU
PSUL 69-71
−11.5
5
vsMICH
MICHL 68-71
+6.5
8
@NEB
NEBL 75-84
−4.5
11
vsMD
MDW 75-64
−0.5
12
vsOSU
OSUL 69-72
−4.5
20
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-61
+4.5
covered 19didn’t cover 15avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+33.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−10.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
−0.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+21.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+4.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+2.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
−38.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−10.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+9.5
11
@ISU
ISUL 62-66
−13.5
14
vsWMU
WMUW 91-51
+4.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 94-39
−0.5
29
vsUML
UMLW 90-62
+6.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAW 74-61
−5.5
6
@MINN
MINNL 67-70
+6.5
11
vsILL
ILLL 69-75
+1.5
14
@PUR
PURL 72-79
+5.5
17
@IU
IUW 74-57
−15.5
20
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-62
−10.5
28
vsUSC
USCW 73-72
+3.5
1
@ORE
OREW 84-66
+16.5
4
@WASH
WASHW 84-74
+16.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-70
+6.5
11
@MD
MDL 70-77
+8.5
14
vsPUR
PURL 57-78
−7.5
17
vsNEB
NEBW 57-52
−30.5
22
@WIS
WISL 71-84
+7.5
25
vsOSU
OSUW 74-57
−10.5
28
@PSU
PSUL 69-71
−3.5
5
vsMICH
MICHL 68-71
−7.5
8
@NEB
NEBL 75-84
+22.5
11
vsMD
MDW 75-64
+5.5
12
vsOSU
OSUL 69-72
+0.5
20
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-61
−2.5
over 19under 15avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Florida
34 games played
Straight up
27-7
79% wins
Against the spread
19-15
56% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-19
44% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ARIZ | L 87-93 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 6 | vs UNF | W 104-64 | -43.5 | L −3.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs FSU | W 78-76 | -17.5 | L −15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | vs MIA | W 82-68 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 171.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 21 | vs MRMK | W 80-45 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 27 | vs TCU | L 80-84 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs PROV | W 90-78 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Dec 2 | @ DUKE | L 66-67 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 9 | vs CONN | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs GW | W 80-70 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 17 | vs SFPA | W 102-61 | -44.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs COLG | W 90-60 | -27.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | vs DART | W 94-72 | -35.5 | L −13.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 3 | @ MIZ | L 74-76 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vs UGA | W 92-77 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs TENN | W 91-67 | -4.5 | W +19.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 13 | @ OU | W 96-79 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 17 | @ VAN | W 98-94 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 164.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 20 | vs LSU | W 79-61 | -15.5 | W +2.5 | 158.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | vs AUB | L 67-76 | -11.5 | L −20.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 28 | @ SC | W 95-48 | -13.5 | W +33.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 1 | vs ALA | W 100-77 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 176.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 7 | @ TA&M | W 86-67 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 167.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 11 | @UGA | W 86-66 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 14 | vs UK | W 92-83 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 17 | vsSC | W 76-62 | -23.5 | L −9.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 21 | @MISS | W 94-75 | -13.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 25 | @ TEX | W 84-71 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 28 | vs ARK | W 111-77 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Mar 3 | vs MSST | W 108-74 | -20.5 | W +13.5 | 161.5 | O 182 |
| Mar 7 | @UK | W 84-77 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | U 161 |
| Mar 13 | vsUK | W 71-63 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 14 | vsVAN | L 74-91 | -7.5 | L −24.5 | 161.5 | O 165 |
| Mar 20 | vs PV | W 114-55 | -35.5 | W +23.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
−9.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−3.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−15.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
+3.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−1.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
−15.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−0.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
+8.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+0.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−4.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
−3.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 90-60
+2.5
29
vsDART
DARTW 94-72
−13.5
3
@MIZ
MIZL 74-76
−9.5
6
vsUGA
UGAW 92-77
+5.5
10
vsTENN
TENNW 91-67
+19.5
13
@OU
OUW 96-79
+9.5
17
@VAN
VANW 98-94
+2.5
20
vsLSU
LSUW 79-61
+2.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 67-76
−20.5
28
@SC
SCW 95-48
+33.5
1
vsALA
ALAW 100-77
+13.5
7
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-67
+13.5
11
@UGA
UGAW 86-66
+11.5
14
vsUK
UKW 92-83
−3.5
17
vsSC
SCW 76-62
−9.5
21
@MISS
MISSW 94-75
+5.5
25
@TEX
TEXW 84-71
+6.5
28
vsARK
ARKW 111-77
+24.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTW 108-74
+13.5
7
@UK
UKW 84-77
+1.5
13
vsUK
UKW 71-63
−2.5
14
vsVAN
VANL 74-91
−24.5
20
vsPV
PVW 114-55
+23.5
covered 19didn’t cover 15avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
+15.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−1.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−26.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
−21.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−33.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
+8.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−1.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
−24.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+4.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−12.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
+6.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 90-60
−6.5
29
vsDART
DARTW 94-72
+5.5
3
@MIZ
MIZL 74-76
−4.5
6
vsUGA
UGAW 92-77
−3.5
10
vsTENN
TENNW 91-67
+6.5
13
@OU
OUW 96-79
+17.5
17
@VAN
VANW 98-94
+27.5
20
vsLSU
LSUW 79-61
−18.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 67-76
−16.5
28
@SC
SCW 95-48
−8.5
1
vsALA
ALAW 100-77
+0.5
7
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-67
−14.5
11
@UGA
UGAW 86-66
−12.5
14
vsUK
UKW 92-83
+20.5
17
vsSC
SCW 76-62
−18.5
21
@MISS
MISSW 94-75
+16.5
25
@TEX
TEXW 84-71
−2.5
28
vsARK
ARKW 111-77
+18.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTW 108-74
+20.5
7
@UK
UKW 84-77
−1.5
13
vsUK
UKW 71-63
−27.5
14
vsVAN
VANL 74-91
+3.5
20
vsPV
PVW 114-55
+14.5
over 15under 19avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Iowa
22-12 overall · 11-11 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Clemson67–61
- Lvs Ohio State69–72
- Wvs Maryland75–64
- L@ Nebraska75–84
- Lvs Michigan68–71
2 days since their last game.
Florida
27-7 overall · 17-3 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Prairie View114–55
- Lvs Vanderbilt74–91
- Wvs Kentucky71–63
- W@ Kentucky84–77
- Wvs Mississippi St108–74
2 days since their last game.