Haas Pavilion · at California · NIT
Closing line
CAL -5.5✓ JOES covered by 6.5
CAL -5.5✓ JOES covered by 6.5Closing total152.5Under by 1.5
 JOES | This season | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| 21-11 | Record | 21-11 |
| 19-13 | ATS | 17-15 |
| 11-21 | O/U | 14-18 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JOES 71–77 CAL · ✗ CAL (71%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JOES | 33 | 43 | 76 |
| CAL | 41 | 34 | 75 |
1st half: JOES 33, CAL 41 (CAL by 8). The model had CAL by 3.6 and a total of 69.1 (actual 74).
Team stats
| JOES | CAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-68 44% | Field goals | 28-67 42% |
| 9-26 35% | 3-pointers | 12-32 38% |
| 7-13 54% | Free throws | 7-12 58% |
| 45 16 off | Rebounds | 39 12 off |
| 18 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| JOES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaiden Glover-Toscano G | 36 | 24 | 9 | 0 | 9-25 | 4-14 |
| Derek Simpson G | 35 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| Austin Williford G | 33 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1-7 | 1-4 |
| Dasear Haskins F | 33 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 8-12 | 0-1 |
| Justice Ajogbor C | 31 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Khaafiq Myers G | 14 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Anthony Finkley F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Smith C | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Billy Rayer, Owen Verna, Mekai Johnson, Kevin Kearney, Will Lange, Steven Solano, Al Amadou, Deuce Jones
| CAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dai Dai Ames G | 34 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 6-15 | 2-7 |
| Chris Bell F | 32 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 9-17 | 5-12 |
| Justin Pippen G | 30 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 2-13 | 1-6 |
| Nolan Dorsey G | 22 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Lee Dort F | 18 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Milos Ilic C | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Semetri Carr G | 17 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| DeJuan Campbell G | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Sammie Yeanay F | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Mantas Kocanas C | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: BJ Fisher, Jorell Clark, Luke Butler, Stephon Marbury II, Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut, Rytis Petraitis, Jovani Ruff, John Camden
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCAL -5.5
no move
CloseCAL -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open148.5
▲ 4
Close152.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
JOES +205 · CAL -250
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CAL -5.5 · unchangedmodel CAL -6
model CAL -6
Opened 148.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 4 upmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CAL -5.5 | CAL -6.2 | CAL +0.7 | L JOES covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 147.8 | Under 4.7 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | JOES 70.8 · CAL 77 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CAL -3.6 | CAL -8.0 |
| 1H total | 69.1 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | JOES 32.8 · CAL 36.3 | JOES 33 · CAL 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JOES | 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% |
| CAL | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Joseph's
32 games played
Straight up
21-11
66% wins
Against the spread
19-13
59% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-21
34% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LAF | W 85-76 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | vs DREX | W 76-65 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 12 | @ VT | L 59-94 | +12.5 | L −22.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 17 | @ PENN | L 74-83 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 20 | @ UNLV | L 85-99 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 30 | vs PRIN | W 60-58 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 6 | vs TEM | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs COPP | W 87-65 | -22.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 11 | @ SYR | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 18 | vs DSU | W 67-51 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 22 | vs CCU | L 62-68 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 31 | @ SLU | L 79-102 | +19.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 3 | vs DAV | L 56-62 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | vs DUQ | W 97-90 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 11 | @ RICH | W 67-65 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 14 | vs SBU | W 68-64 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 19 | @ VCU | L 72-79 | +14.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 24 | vs DAY | W 81-74 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 27 | @ LUC | W 85-64 | -1.5 | W +19.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | @ LAS | W 67-58 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 4 | vs GW | W 76-73 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 7 | @ GMU | L 52-60 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | U 112 |
| Feb 10 | vs FOR | L 64-68 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 135.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 18 | @SBU | W 71-65 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 21 | vsLUC | W 75-61 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 25 | vsGMU | W 81-63 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 136.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 28 | @ URI | W 61-55 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Mar 4 | @DAV | W 70-67 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | O 137 |
| Mar 7 | vsLAS | W 88-76 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Mar 13 | vsDAV | W 70-58 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 133.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 14 | vsVCU | L 64-77 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 18 | @ CSU | W 69-64 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
−4.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−22.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−14.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
−3.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 60-58
−3.5
6
vsTEM
TEMW 70-69
+2.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-65
−0.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 63-71
+3.5
18
vsDSU
DSUW 67-51
−1.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 62-68
−13.5
31
@SLU
SLUL 79-102
−3.5
3
vsDAV
DAVL 56-62
−4.5
7
vsDUQ
DUQW 97-90
+8.5
11
@RICH
RICHW 67-65
+9.5
14
vsSBU
SBUW 68-64
+5.5
19
@VCU
VCUL 72-79
+7.5
24
vsDAY
DAYW 81-74
+13.5
27
@LUC
LUCW 85-64
+19.5
31
@LAS
LASW 67-58
+6.5
4
vsGW
GWW 76-73
+4.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 52-60
−1.5
10
vsFOR
FORL 64-68
−7.5
18
@SBU
SBUW 71-65
+11.5
21
vsLUC
LUCW 75-61
+4.5
25
vsGMU
GMUW 81-63
+19.5
28
@URI
URIW 61-55
+8.5
4
@DAV
DAVW 70-67
+4.5
7
vsLAS
LASW 88-76
+0.5
13
vsDAV
DAVW 70-58
+9.5
14
vsVCU
VCUL 64-77
−6.5
18
@CSU
CSUW 69-64
+10.5
covered 19didn’t cover 13avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
+22.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−5.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−6.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
+22.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 60-58
−28.5
6
vsTEM
TEMW 70-69
−8.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-65
+5.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 63-71
−12.5
18
vsDSU
DSUW 67-51
−19.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 62-68
−14.5
31
@SLU
SLUL 79-102
+19.5
3
vsDAV
DAVL 56-62
−21.5
7
vsDUQ
DUQW 97-90
+37.5
11
@RICH
RICHW 67-65
−18.5
14
vsSBU
SBUW 68-64
−15.5
19
@VCU
VCUL 72-79
−0.5
24
vsDAY
DAYW 81-74
+15.5
27
@LUC
LUCW 85-64
+5.5
31
@LAS
LASW 67-58
−17.5
4
vsGW
GWW 76-73
−6.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 52-60
−27.5
10
vsFOR
FORL 64-68
−3.5
18
@SBU
SBUW 71-65
−11.5
21
vsLUC
LUCW 75-61
−6.5
25
vsGMU
GMUW 81-63
+7.5
28
@URI
URIW 61-55
−25.5
4
@DAV
DAVW 70-67
+0.5
7
vsLAS
LASW 88-76
+21.5
13
vsDAV
DAVW 70-58
−5.5
14
vsVCU
VCUL 64-77
−4.5
18
@CSU
CSUW 69-64
−11.5
over 11under 21avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
California
32 games played
Straight up
21-11
66% wins
Against the spread
17-15
53% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-18
44% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CSUB | W 87-60 | -15.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 6 | vs WRST | W 77-67 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 10 | vs CSUF | W 93-65 | -22.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 13 | @ KSU | L 96-99 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 18 | vs PRES | W 67-57 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 124.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 21 | vs SAC | W 91-67 | -21.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCLA | W 80-72 | +7.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 2 | vs UTAH | W 79-72 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs PAC | W 67-61 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs NWST | W 79-70 | -19.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 19 | vs MORG | W 97-50 | -26.5 | W +20.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 21 | vs COLU | W 74-56 | -8.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 30 | vs LOU | L 70-90 | +7.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 2 | vs ND | W 72-71 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 7 | @ UVA | L 60-84 | +14.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @VT | L 75-78 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 14 | vs DUKE | L 56-71 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 17 | vs UNC | W 84-78 | +7.5 | W +13.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 24 | @ STAN | W 78-66 | +4.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @ FSU | L 61-63 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | @ MIA | W 86-85 | +11.5 | W +12.5 | 148.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 4 | vs GT | W 90-85 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 7 | vs CLEM | L 55-77 | +4.5 | L −17.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 11 | @SYR | L 100-107 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | O 207 |
| Feb 14 | @ BC | W 86-75 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 21 | vsSTAN | W 72-66 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 25 | vs SMU | W 73-69 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 28 | vs PITT | L 56-72 | -6.5 | L −22.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 4 | @GT | W 76-65 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 7 | @ WAKE | L 73-80 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Mar 11 | vsFSU | L 89-95 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 184 |
| Mar 18 | vs UIC | W 91-73 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-60
+11.5
6
vsWRST
WRSTW 77-67
−4.5
10
vsCSUF
CSUFW 93-65
+5.5
13
@KSU
KSUL 96-99
+3.5
18
vsPRES
PRESW 67-57
−0.5
21
vsSAC
SACW 91-67
+2.5
25
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+15.5
2
vsUTAH
UTAHW 79-72
−0.5
6
vsPAC
PACW 67-61
−1.5
13
vsNWST
NWSTW 79-70
−10.5
19
vsMORG
MORGW 97-50
+20.5
21
vsCOLU
COLUW 74-56
+9.5
30
vsLOU
LOUL 70-90
−12.5
2
vsND
NDW 72-71
−2.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 60-84
−9.5
10
@VT
VTL 75-78
+2.5
14
vsDUKE
DUKEL 56-71
−0.5
17
vsUNC
UNCW 84-78
+13.5
24
@STAN
STANW 78-66
+16.5
28
@FSU
FSUL 61-63
+1.5
31
@MIA
MIAW 86-85
+12.5
4
vsGT
GTW 90-85
−2.5
7
vsCLEM
CLEML 55-77
−17.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 100-107
−0.5
14
@BC
BCW 86-75
+7.5
21
vsSTAN
STANW 72-66
+4.5
25
vsSMU
SMUW 73-69
+8.5
28
vsPITT
PITTL 56-72
−22.5
4
@GT
GTW 76-65
+8.5
7
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-80
−1.5
11
vsFSU
FSUL 89-95
−4.5
18
vsUIC
UICW 91-73
+11.5
covered 17didn’t cover 15avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-60
−0.5
6
vsWRST
WRSTW 77-67
−4.5
10
vsCSUF
CSUFW 93-65
−4.5
13
@KSU
KSUL 96-99
+30.5
18
vsPRES
PRESW 67-57
−0.5
21
vsSAC
SACW 91-67
+3.5
25
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+8.5
2
vsUTAH
UTAHW 79-72
−1.5
6
vsPAC
PACW 67-61
−16.5
13
vsNWST
NWSTW 79-70
+3.5
19
vsMORG
MORGW 97-50
−4.5
21
vsCOLU
COLUW 74-56
−23.5
30
vsLOU
LOUL 70-90
+0.5
2
vsND
NDW 72-71
+4.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 60-84
−4.5
10
@VT
VTL 75-78
+4.5
14
vsDUKE
DUKEL 56-71
−22.5
17
vsUNC
UNCW 84-78
+10.5
24
@STAN
STANW 78-66
−2.5
28
@FSU
FSUL 61-63
−33.5
31
@MIA
MIAW 86-85
+22.5
4
vsGT
GTW 90-85
+22.5
7
vsCLEM
CLEML 55-77
−7.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 100-107
+58.5
14
@BC
BCW 86-75
+16.5
21
vsSTAN
STANW 72-66
−11.5
25
vsSMU
SMUW 73-69
−21.5
28
vsPITT
PITTL 56-72
−15.5
4
@GT
GTW 76-65
−13.5
7
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-80
−1.5
11
vsFSU
FSUL 89-95
+29.5
18
vsUIC
UICW 91-73
+13.5
over 14under 18avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Joseph's
21-11 overall · 14-6 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Colorado St69–64
- Lvs VCU64–77
- Wvs Davidson70–58
- Wvs La Salle88–76
- W@ Davidson70–67
4 days since their last game.
California
21-11 overall · 9-10 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UIC91–73
- Lvs Florida St89–95
- L@ Wake Forest73–80
- W@ Georgia Tech76–65
- Lvs Pitt56–72
4 days since their last game.